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Lovely Joe Stalin
Jun 12, 2007

Our Lovely Wang

Preen Dog posted:

Yes, you start blasting at everything you think is the threat, or wait for the threat to reduce your friendlies to a level that makes you comfortable with your portion of guilt in the trolley problem.

But there wouldn't be any such calulation in reality. The attack force size and composition was unknown, and IDFs goal would simply be to halt the incursion with all force available. Wasting time trying to snipe one attacker or even distinguish them means others can advance further. Everyone looks the same in thermal, and a captured civilian is much worse strategically than a dead one. The chopper crews are basically God, but on the flip side, everything looks like a manpad and a rifle bullet can kill them through the windshield.

For any hope of survival, civilians would have to hide until ground forces could retake the area and ID them face to face, which is seen in video of the aftermath.

This is insanity. What you are describing is not only not what a properly trained force would do, it is actually insane to imagine as a rational response. We have plenty of examples of hostile gunmen rampaging in large civilian populations, and the response has universally not been to recreate the the turret scene from Aliens but with attack helicopters.

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FlamingLiberal
Jan 18, 2009

Would you like to play a game?



Space Cadet Omoly posted:

Is this going to change anything moving forward? Like, are there going to be any meaningful consciences for Israel if they ignore this?
Nope. I think the most concrete move any country has done with regards to Israel has been to recall their ambassador, which is not the kind of thing that is going to result in Israel changing course. The only legitimate way to stop this immediately is for the White House to stop giving the IDF more weapons. Obviously that will never happen.

Testekill
Nov 1, 2012

I demand to be taken seriously

:aronrex:

https://twitter.com/cameronwilson/status/1734743848985956594?t=d_wStW_mGf1b8sl0ts_8hw&s=19

Crikey is an independent Australian news site, it's looking like the video of crowds chanting gas the Jews was altered and police are unable to verify it actually happened.

https://twitter.com/cameronwilson/status/1734761968882581814?t=MdxbRDdtHvAlRrULCLx7kg&s=19

Very telling reaction from the AJA which is a very real organisation and not right wingers using the cover provided to attack others.

CSM
Jan 29, 2014

56th Motorized Infantry 'Mariupol' Brigade
Seh' die Welt in Trummern liegen

Pentecoastal Elites posted:

Apparently per this Haaretz article: https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news...8e-d52f47ac0000 the IDF are only reporting around 15% of their casualties, based on the discrepancy between the IDF and israeli department of health. Full disclosure I'm basing this off a twitter summary of the article because I don't have a Haaretz account.

Considering that the department of health is another government source I wouldn't be surprised if they're undercounting as well.
The article talks only about wounded IDF, and the IDF is reporting 34% compared to hospital figures.

Perhaps you shouldn't rely on Twitter summaries.

Paladinus
Jan 11, 2014

heyHEYYYY!!!
Wonder if Biden will walk this back, too.

https://www.cnn.com/cnn/2023/12/12/politics/biden-israel-losing-support-netanyahu/index.html


quote:

“I think he has to change, and with this government, this government in Israel is making it very difficult for him to move,” Biden said, calling Netanyahu’s government the “most conservative government in Israel’s history.”

He warned support for the country’s military campaign is waning amid heavy bombardment of Gaza and added that the Israeli government “doesn’t want a two-state solution.”

Biden said right now Israel “has most of the world supporting it,” but said “they’re starting to lose that support by the indiscriminate bombing that takes place.”

Paladinus fucked around with this message at 16:28 on Dec 13, 2023

Kalit
Nov 6, 2006

The great thing about the thousands of slaughtered Palestinian children is that they can't pull away when you fondle them or sniff their hair.

That's a Biden success story.

FYI, your link is broken. Here’s a working one: https://www.cnn.com/2023/12/12/politics/biden-israel-losing-support-netanyahu/index.html

Even though I know he’s been privately saying this kind of message to Netanyahu, I’m a little surprised he’s publicly said this.

Also, why would he walk it back?

Kagrenak
Sep 8, 2010

Kalit posted:

FYI, your link is broken. Here’s a working one: https://www.cnn.com/2023/12/12/politics/biden-israel-losing-support-netanyahu/index.html

Even though I know he’s been privately saying this kind of message to Netanyahu, I’m a little surprised he’s publicly said this.

Also, why would he walk it back?

Probably thinking of this happening earlier:


But this was a much more direct and clear statement from Biden than the earlier tweet was. I'm sure they'll be asked about these remarks so it'll be interesting to see where they end up going with it. I don't have much hope in them holding to this new line in ways that matter like not sending the IDF more bombs while they continue their atrocities.

Kalit
Nov 6, 2006

The great thing about the thousands of slaughtered Palestinian children is that they can't pull away when you fondle them or sniff their hair.

That's a Biden success story.

Kagrenak posted:

Probably thinking of this happening earlier:


But this was a much more direct and clear statement from Biden than the earlier tweet was. I'm sure they'll be asked about these remarks so it'll be interesting to see where they end up going with it. I don't have much hope in them holding to this new line in ways that matter like not sending the IDF more bombs while they continue their atrocities.

Ahh thanks. And yea, to me, that seems like more of a clarification than a walk back.

And to your last point, Biden already seemed to have suggested that nothing will change, per that article:

quote:

“We’ll continue to provide military assistance to Israel until they get rid of Hamas, but we have to be careful – they have to be careful,” Biden said. “The whole world’s public opinion can shift overnight, we can’t let that happen.”
Unfortunate, but unsurprising

Kalit fucked around with this message at 13:25 on Dec 13, 2023

Pentecoastal Elites
Feb 27, 2007

CSM posted:

The article talks only about wounded IDF, and the IDF is reporting 34% compared to hospital figures.

Perhaps you shouldn't rely on Twitter summaries.

That's why I made the disclosure, isn't it?

Underreporting by 2/3rds is still completely nuts, and again considering the sources almost certainly another lie. If they're reporting figures this bad the real numbers must be awful.

Kagrenak
Sep 8, 2010

Pentecoastal Elites posted:

That's why I made the disclosure, isn't it?

Underreporting by 2/3rds is still completely nuts, and again considering the sources almost certainly another lie. If they're reporting figures this bad the real numbers must be awful.

This is basically as conspiracy minded as calling the Gazan health ministry's figures made up. Both are governmental departments but both operate largely independent of political control and there's no evidence to suggest either is providing deliberately misleading figures. It just also makes no sense to call these highly embarrassing figures which are in huge excess of IDF totals an underrepresentation. Why would they do this when they'll catch as much heat for these numbers as they would for the supposed real total?

From the article, Haaretz is the one doing the analysis linking boring daily hospital dispatches to overall casualties, so there's even less reason to call the overall total a falsification:

Haaretz article posted:

The hospitals' data shows that the number of wounded soldiers to be twice as high as the army's numbers.
For example, Barzilai Medical Center in Ashkelon alone reports treating 1,949 soldiers hurt in the war since October 7 (out of 3,117 injured people treated there during the war), whereas the army reports a total of 1,593 wounded soldiers. Assuta Ashdod reportedly treated 178 patients, Ichilov (Tel Aviv) 148, Rambam (Haifa) 181, Hadassah (Jerusalem) 209 and Sha'arei Tzedek (Jerusalem) 139.

Pentecoastal Elites
Feb 27, 2007

I'm sorry but it is astoundingly naive to believe anything coming from any israeli source at this point. They have lied constantly and consistently about everything, and no one should have any reason to trust anything coming from any israeli source that's not independently verified.

Sephyr
Aug 28, 2012
https://prospect.org/world/2023-12-12-palestinians-imprisoned-social-media-posts/

Biden should at the very least demand that Ben-Gvir and the other top psychos be sacked. Apparently the imperial superpower can't even tell its satellite to keep the apartheid on the down-low.

Even that ghoul Reagan managed to elbow Israel and go "You're making the scene look bad, quit the butchery for a bit". Eisenhower slammed the table and got Britain, France and Israel to stop rolling aroung Egypt like it was a new Race for Africa.

But the Cold War winner hyperpower suddenly can't do more than faint "Sure would suck if you dropped the white phosphorus we give you on civvies, eh?" innuendo.

Fidelitious
Apr 17, 2018

MY BIRTH CRY WILL BE THE SOUND OF EVERY WALLET ON THIS PLANET OPENING IN UNISON.

Kalit posted:

\
Unfortunate, but unsurprising

loving Biden. Yeah wow, of course, the absolute worst part of what is going on right now is that it might affect the world's public opinion of Israel.
That's the real concern here.

Mid-Life Crisis
Jun 13, 2023

by Fluffdaddy

Sephyr posted:

https://prospect.org/world/2023-12-12-palestinians-imprisoned-social-media-posts/

Biden should at the very least demand that Ben-Gvir and the other top psychos be sacked. Apparently the imperial superpower can't even tell its satellite to keep the apartheid on the down-low.

Even that ghoul Reagan managed to elbow Israel and go "You're making the scene look bad, quit the butchery for a bit". Eisenhower slammed the table and got Britain, France and Israel to stop rolling aroung Egypt like it was a new Race for Africa.

But the Cold War winner hyperpower suddenly can't do more than faint "Sure would suck if you dropped the white phosphorus we give you on civvies, eh?" innuendo.

Is there any evidence Biden really even wants to slow them down? The one thing he has admitted to over the decades is being unapologetically Zionist.

If Biden can make calls for Netanyahu to back off he can placate his unsettled voters and Netanyahu can show off to his voters that he is defiant of the US; they both politically can pander to their bases. In action, Biden has yet to actually do anything other than withhold some guns? Or have I missed more?

Irony Be My Shield
Jul 29, 2012

Kagrenak posted:

This is basically as conspiracy minded as calling the Gazan health ministry's figures made up. Both are governmental departments but both operate largely independent of political control and there's no evidence to suggest either is providing deliberately misleading figures. It just also makes no sense to call these highly embarrassing figures which are in huge excess of IDF totals an underrepresentation. Why would they do this when they'll catch as much heat for these numbers as they would for the supposed real total?

From the article, Haaretz is the one doing the analysis linking boring daily hospital dispatches to overall casualties, so there's even less reason to call the overall total a falsification:
Some of it might just be confusion over whether to count young reservists who were injured off-duty during the October 7th attack? I can imagine the IDF counting its losses at bases and during operations would come to a different figure than a hospital asking all its patients whether they're in the IDF. And I don't think it's at all valid to add numbers from different hospitals together given that eg the soldiers being treated in Tel Aviv were probably referred there for specialist treatment or intensive care by one of the hospitals closer to Gaza (and therefore are being counted multiple times).

I can imagine them playing down the wounded but I can't see any way the official ~450 fatalities figure is significantly wrong - every dead soldier is publicly named so if they hide one their family would immediately know. At most they might delay the reporting of deaths for a few days.

Groovelord Neato
Dec 6, 2014


Al-Jazeera reporting the IDF executed women, children, and infants sheltering in a school:

quote:

Exclusive video and images obtained by Al Jazeera this morning show bodies piled up inside the Shadia Abu Ghazala School in the al-Faluja area, west of the Jabalia refugee camp in the northern Gaza Strip.

At least two people at the school said a number of people including women, children and babies were killed execution-style by Israeli forces while sheltering inside the school.

“The Israeli soldiers came in and opened fire on them,” a woman at the scene said. “They took all men, then entered classrooms and opened fire on a woman and all the children with her.”

The woman said there were newborn children among them. “The Israeli soldiers executed those innocent families at point blank,” she added.

https://www.aljazeera.com/news/liveblog/2023/12/13/israel-hamas-war-live-world-calls-for-ceasefire-as-israel-bombards-gaza?update=2554825

E2M2
Mar 2, 2007

Ain't No Thang.

Mid-Life Crisis posted:

Is there any evidence Biden really even wants to slow them down? The one thing he has admitted to over the decades is being unapologetically Zionist.

If Biden can make calls for Netanyahu to back off he can placate his unsettled voters and Netanyahu can show off to his voters that he is defiant of the US; they both politically can pander to their bases. In action, Biden has yet to actually do anything other than withhold some guns? Or have I missed more?

Feels like just sprinkling some stuff here and there they can point to after this is all said and done and Netanyahu falls on the sword. "Look, we tried to stop them from commiting genocide!"

Civilized Fishbot
Apr 3, 2011

E2M2 posted:

Netanyahu falls on the sword.

Which Netanyahu are you talking about here? Obviously not Bibi Netanyahu, who as a rule does not sacrifice his political power for anyone or anything.

Professor Beetus
Apr 12, 2007

They can fight us
But they'll never Beetus

DeadlyMuffin posted:

He's also out of sync with his own party. I was pleasantly surprised to see more Democrats sympathizing with Palestinians than Israelis in this WSJ poll, but almost half sympathize with "both equally" which I find hard to understand.

Well hopefully not to dredge up recent thread dust ups, but I have to guess that at least part of that reason is the disproportionate media narratives that portray the issue largely as a "both sides" thing and hyper focus on atrocities committed by Hamas while barely paying lip service to the ongoing genocide or even acknowledging that genocide is happening.

BrutalistMcDonalds
Oct 4, 2012


Lipstick Apathy

Lovely Joe Stalin posted:

This is insanity. What you are describing is not only not what a properly trained force would do, it is actually insane to imagine as a rational response. We have plenty of examples of hostile gunmen rampaging in large civilian populations, and the response has universally not been to recreate the the turret scene from Aliens but with attack helicopters.
It is insane. It's not rational. But most wars have probably been irrational in terms of means or ends or both together -- and that's reality. People come up with these rational behavior models and then are confused again and again that people in war do the opposite of that. You have 200 hostages, and one choice is a military rescue, but there's a 2/3 chance everyone dies. Turns out, people over and over choose the military option even if it's "rationally" a bad idea in terms of the odds. But in the absence of war and in dealing in terms of non-violent diplomacy, the same people act rationally. All this training (to get them to follow orders to kill other people) is a thin baseline that people fall back to like robots once hit by the shock and horror of what's going on.

I don't know how I'd illustrate it. Literature does it. Or the painting of Guernica or Skinny Puppy albums or something like that. One day, the nice liberals want to go back to brunch, but take their brunch away and they're not far removed from wanting the military to shoot the opposition with machine guns. People evolved from primates. Trying to find the reason in the madness seems like an exercise in futility.

Testekill posted:

Crikey is an independent Australian news site, it's looking like the video of crowds chanting gas the Jews was altered and police are unable to verify it actually happened.
Yeah I listened to the clip and the audio sounded to me as if I had heard it before, it sounded spliced in, but I couldn't place exactly where I'd heard it, like some neo-Nazi gathering in the U.S. some years ago when I tried to follow that stuff more closely. The hardcore neo-Nazi white supremacist stuff. There's no music in their chants. The accents sounded more American (and angry white-guy American) than a largely Arab crowd in Australia, and I'd highly doubt they'd chant that slogan anyways.

BrutalistMcDonalds fucked around with this message at 21:18 on Dec 13, 2023

Mia Wasikowska
Oct 7, 2006


This seems important! I wonder when we can expect any western reporting on it whatsoever

Irony Be My Shield
Jul 29, 2012

BrutalistMcDonalds posted:

It is insane. It's not rational. But most wars have probably been irrational in terms of means or ends or both together -- and that's reality. People come up with these rational behavior models and then are confused again and again that people in war do the opposite of that. You have 200 hostages, and one choice is a military rescue, but there's a 2/3 chance everyone dies. Turns out, people over and over choose the military option even if it's "rationally" a bad idea in terms of the odds. But in the absence of war and in dealing in terms of non-violent diplomacy, the same people act rationally. All this training (to get them to follow orders to kill other people) is a thin baseline that people fall back to like robots once hit by the shock and horror of what's going on.

I don't know how I'd illustrate it. Literature does it. Or the painting of Guernica or Skinny Puppy albums or something like that. One day, the nice liberals want to go back to brunch, but take their brunch away and they're not far removed from wanting the military to shoot the opposition with machine guns. People evolved from primates. Trying to find the reason in the madness seems like an exercise in futility.
When it comes to the hostages I think the reason why Israel is not negotiating for them (beyond just accepting hostage releases in exchange for basically nothing as in the previous ceasefire) is pretty obvious and was completely foreseeable - Hamas killed more people than they currently hold hostage, and have said they will perform similar mass-killings in the future until Israel is destroyed. Destroying or at least crippling Hamas is Israel's critical priority, as Hamas' continued existence will lead to more Israelis dying in the long-term. Hamas obviously doesn't want to be destroyed so the positions of the two sides is fundamentally irreconcilable. It probably goes beyond even that, with Israel thinking that showing weakness will encourage other enemies to attack even if they can be convinced that Hamas won't repeat October 7th.

WarpedLichen
Aug 14, 2008


Irony Be My Shield posted:

When it comes to the hostages I think the reason why Israel is not negotiating for them (beyond just accepting hostage releases in exchange for basically nothing as in the previous ceasefire) is pretty obvious and was completely foreseeable - Hamas killed more people than they currently hold hostage, and have said they will perform similar mass-killings in the future until Israel is destroyed. Destroying or at least crippling Hamas is Israel's critical priority, as Hamas' continued existence will lead to more Israelis dying in the long-term. Hamas obviously doesn't want to be destroyed so the positions of the two sides is fundamentally irreconcilable. It probably goes beyond even that, with Israel thinking that showing weakness will encourage other enemies to attack even if they can be convinced that Hamas won't repeat October 7th.

Yeah, it kinda makes sense when you present it that way.

Except that you forget that as long Israel is the way it is, Hamas will exist in some form and aim to repeat October 7th.

So yeah, you kind of have to ignore the possibility for Israel to change to think that way.

punishedkissinger
Sep 20, 2017

Is there anything to indicate the IDF have achieved actual progress in destroying Hamas? Seems like the IDF is actually losing soldiers at a faster rate the last few weeks, and the rockets are being launched just as much.

FlamingLiberal
Jan 18, 2009

Would you like to play a game?



punishedkissinger posted:

Is there anything to indicate the IDF have achieved actual progress in destroying Hamas? Seems like the IDF is actually losing soldiers at a faster rate the last few weeks, and the rockets are being launched just as much.
They’re doing a bang-up job of leveling most of Gaza. It’s impossible to verify who in Hamas has actually been killed. The IDF is just rounding up groups of males they find and then accusing all of them of being with Hamas.

Marenghi
Oct 16, 2008

Don't trust the liberals,
they will betray you
The attacks and abuses of civilians increasing is likely because they aren't making progress on Hamas. Soldiers frustrated by guerilla attacks and unable to pin them down are lashing out at the people they can see.

Happens all the time in asymmetric wars.

Starsfan
Sep 29, 2007

This is what happens when you disrespect Cam Neely

punishedkissinger posted:

Is there anything to indicate the IDF have achieved actual progress in destroying Hamas? Seems like the IDF is actually losing soldiers at a faster rate the last few weeks, and the rockets are being launched just as much.

Recent polling seems to indicate that if anything Hamas is gaining in popularity / support in the West Bank, Gaza and internationally so that's a negative.

Saladman
Jan 12, 2010

punishedkissinger posted:

Is there anything to indicate the IDF have achieved actual progress in destroying Hamas? Seems like the IDF is actually losing soldiers at a faster rate the last few weeks, and the rockets are being launched just as much.

The IDF has completely and verifiably - by Hamas itself - destroyed a number of Hamas ministries, like the ministry of health, the ministry of education, and the ministry of energy and sanitation.

Also while I doubt the IDF has achieved much of its goal of defeating the military ministry of Gaza, I very much doubt Hamas is launching rockets "just as much" but I haven’t seen any stats on it. Seems highly highly unlikely though considering that half the urban area of Gaza is rubble.

Starsfan
Sep 29, 2007

This is what happens when you disrespect Cam Neely

Saladman posted:

The IDF has completely and verifiably - by Hamas itself - destroyed a number of Hamas ministries, like the ministry of health, the ministry of education, and the ministry of energy and sanitation.

Aren't those just Hamas referencing the physical schools, the hospitals and the public utilities that Israel has destroyed? Hamas was the government in Gaza.. I don't count that as any sort of progress towards destroying Hamas as an institution.

Koos Group
Mar 6, 2013

Note: This is legitimate. https://www.tiktok.com/embed/7291463939592883458

However, I would ask that anyone who wants to post a charity please clear it with the mods first to ensure we don't get one that isn't.

HonorableTB
Dec 22, 2006

Grem posted:

I think they should. If the Natives where the United States is rose up to grt their land back I'm pretty confident I'd support them fully, yea.

E: I guess I shouldn't let D&D posters dox me.

For the record I am a Native American and I think the idea of rising up and kidnapping people whose only crime was being born in a place hundreds of years after the offense against Natives was committed is a heinous and abhorrent thing. Non-natives being born in America isn't an offense against me, they didn't take things from me personally themselves. Any offense committed against me happened in the 1800s during the trail of tears when my tribe was evicted to Oklahoma, not in 2023. Sarah and Bob Smith down the street aren't the colonizers and "rising up" to take their....townhouse on a 1/4 acre lot?

Besides this is a dumb comparison because Palestine and Native Americans are in very different situations. For one, I'm a citizen. I would not be if I were a Palestinian. I have freedom of movement and can go where I please. Palestinians cannot. Natives have their own problems stemming from colonialism but the Palestinians have it much worse because their genocide is currently ongoing while ours was already successfully completed centuries ago.

HonorableTB fucked around with this message at 00:54 on Dec 14, 2023

Grem
Mar 29, 2004

It's how her species communicates

That's cool you should talk to the guy that brought up the stupid rear end analogy in the first place.

Paladinus
Jan 11, 2014

heyHEYYYY!!!
Israel's really pushing its luck with the 'we do whatever the gently caress we want now, and we will continue to do so later' line.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/l...f08108e9e7500f0

On top of that, the UK, following the US, will also introduce a visa ban on extremist Israeli settlers.

https://twitter.com/David_Cameron/status/1735240073505800334

Hopefully, small things like that will eventually add up to something substantial. Preferably sooner than later.

punishedkissinger
Sep 20, 2017

Paladinus posted:

Israel's really pushing its luck with the 'we do whatever the gently caress we want now, and we will continue to do so later' line.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/l...f08108e9e7500f0


always pretty funny to see western leaders insist that Israel wants to negotiate Peace when theyve been explicitly against both a two state and one state solution for decades now.

DeadlyMuffin
Jul 3, 2007

Pentecoastal Elites posted:

I'm sorry but it is astoundingly naive to believe anything coming from any israeli source at this point. They have lied constantly and consistently about everything, and no one should have any reason to trust anything coming from any israeli source that's not independently verified.

You do realize that *you* posted the Israeli source, right?

Then someone pointed out an issue with your summary, and now you're attacking the validity of anything coming from any Israeli source.

Seems backwards to me.

Neurolimal
Nov 3, 2012
To each their own, but I'd argue that your figures being at odds with your own hospital data is more serious than your adversaries saying "Hamas-run" a whole bunch.

Best Friends
Nov 4, 2011

Edit: wrong thread

Less sarcastic version: what percentage of the settlers are considered “extreme” here, and doesn’t this imply that all the rest engaged in taking houses and participating in racial supremacist militia activity are legitimate?

Best Friends fucked around with this message at 17:19 on Dec 14, 2023

Piell
Sep 3, 2006

Grey Worm's Ken doll-like groin throbbed with the anticipatory pleasure that only a slightly warm and moist piece of lemoncake could offer


Young Orc
https://twitter.com/MSF/status/1735273895605772525
https://twitter.com/MSF/status/1735273900093723049

go play outside Skyler
Nov 7, 2005



There are no words to describe how I feel about this. Absolutely monstrous genocidal behavior.

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Kagrenak
Sep 8, 2010


It's like their strategy for keeping any specific atrocity out of the news is to just commit the next inconceivably horrible act so fast you can't keep up

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