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crepeface
Nov 5, 2004

r*p*f*c*

BillsPhoenix posted:

Reply to the P/I thread, which felt like the a derail there as it's burgers.

A recentish change with western imperialism has added so many indirect/tangential costs, it's getting harder to even see a benefit for the exploiting nation (US) as a whole.

Foreign bribes have always been a minimal cost, but internal bribes - via superpacs, have skyrocketed. Where as foreign bribes can at least be argued as having value for the Imperialist, domestic can not.

Shipping costs, supply chain costs for a single corporation discounts the full cost to the stealing nation. Ships, trucks, labor, etc is a limited resource. By creating an excessively long chain, the burgers may be cheaper, but every other product using these resources has an increased cost. While measurable, McD has incentive to not report, and will use aforementioned bribery to ensure it won't get regulated, creating recursive domestic bribery costs as competitors for these items use bribes to get their own priorty/reduced costs of these items.

A discrete example of how excessive this recursive bounce has become is the USN and Panama canal. Traffic in the canal is so heavy, they auction of passage priority, generating billions in revenue. The USN is not exempt and will pay the auction fees, which is then a direct cost increase to the imperialists population which is supposed to be exploiting Brazil for cheaper beef.

It's very difficult to ascertain how much these extra costs end up being vs producing the beef locally, but the economic benefit to the imperialist nation's population is questionable. Globally it's catastrophically dumb, evil, and inefficient.

paraphrasing a quote from some imperialist: empire cost us more than it gained us, but it was a burden that we took on because of our virtue and nobility.

i think it's Parenti that points out that's only true for the nation as a whole. the wealthy get immeasurably richer from empire.

but, that doesn't mean that the american people would automatically be better off if the US neo-empire collapsed. imo, the more likely scenario is that the rich would squeeze the working class even harder to extract more wealth from them in an attempt to maintain the level of profit growth that they used to get from their overseas ventures.

edit: also, we can't forget that the US dollar is the current reserve currency of the world. the US's tools of dominance are financial and cost it very little compared to the ye olde form of military imperialism.

crepeface has issued a correction as of 04:29 on Dec 21, 2023

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thechosenone
Mar 21, 2009
Well sure, but given they aren't exactly having much luck producing more even now while they still have many of those holdings to help multiply the value of local production, I don't see that doing anything but hastening the decline in the rate of profit.

Danann posted:

It's always been acknowledged even in liberal circles that the behavior of the European (and Imperial Japanese) empires of the 19th and 20th century to hold on to their colonies even in prosecuting actual wars produced poor or even negative benefits when seen from the viewpoint of a Paradox gamer looking to maximize their nation power level score.

The missing key is that the state is merely a tool of the ruling class (or alliance of classes). In other words the state would enrich the ruling bourgeois faction even if it ends up destroying what makes it possible to sustain an empire like the discipline of the armed forces or the recurring investments to keep the costs of labor down like education and infrastructure.

Today the US empire is about enriching the bourgeois who derive their wealth and income from finance and rent. Thus it will endlessly squander any attempts to be a counterweight to the PRC's BRI because the point of debt is to gain profit from interest and it cannot have profitable agriculture based who employ solely domestic citizens because the landlords and owners of healthcare industries demand that their business be profitable first and foremost.

I always feel like financial capital is just an abstraction of where they get their wealth from (in fact I'm pretty sure that's exactly what it is + a casino), and not an actual change in where it originates. Financialization seems to me like it just sort of lets capitalists switch their production holdings on the fly, occasionally getting lower level suckers to bargain theirs away so they individually have a larger slice of the pie. This doesn't let them just magic stuff out of mid air, just let's them borrow each other's strength, but that is still expressed in terms of how much labor is commanded.

Because of all the hairbrained schemes/counter-schemes they've come up with to get their slice that themselves cost part of the slice to do so, the amount they receive only decreases. Short of finding a way to discipline itself, capital seems unable to avoid either isolating itself from the growing world and reducing itself to irrelevancy or becoming domesticated by Chinese wealth and essentially doing the equivalent of my grand uncle selling the house he lived in/inherited from his mother to the church in front of it provided he could live there until he died.

crepeface
Nov 5, 2004

r*p*f*c*

thechosenone posted:

Well sure, but given they aren't exactly having much luck producing more even now while they still have many of those holdings to help multiply the value of local production, I don't see that doing anything but hastening the decline in the rate of profit.

I always feel like financial capital is just an abstraction of where they get their wealth from (in fact I'm pretty sure that's exactly what it is + a casino), and not an actual change in where it originates. Financialization seems to me like it just sort of lets capitalists switch their production holdings on the fly, occasionally getting lower level suckers to bargain theirs away so they individually have a larger slice of the pie. This doesn't let them just magic stuff out of mid air, just let's them borrow each other's strength, but that is still expressed in terms of how much labor is commanded.

Because of all the hairbrained schemes/counter-schemes they've come up with to get their slice that themselves cost part of the slice to do so, the amount they receive only decreases. Short of finding a way to discipline itself, capital seems unable to avoid either isolating itself from the growing world and reducing itself to irrelevancy or becoming domesticated by Chinese wealth and essentially doing the equivalent of my grand uncle selling the house he lived in/inherited from his mother to the church in front of it provided he could live there until he died.

they currently print dollar bills out of thin air that they trade for goods.

Danann
Aug 4, 2013

thechosenone posted:

I always feel like financial capital is just an abstraction of where they get their wealth from (in fact I'm pretty sure that's exactly what it is + a casino), and not an actual change in where it originates. Financialization seems to me like it just sort of lets capitalists switch their production holdings on the fly, occasionally getting lower level suckers to bargain theirs away so they individually have a larger slice of the pie. This doesn't let them just magic stuff out of mid air, just let's them borrow each other's strength, but that is still expressed in terms of how much labor is commanded.

Yeah, fictitious capital is a much more accurate name than financial capital since a lot of it is people and institutions selling stuff such as derivatives of mortgages backed by one unit of capital (a house in this case). It will trip people up though because the profits made by it and the soldiers and cops who enforce it are very much real.

BillsPhoenix
Jun 29, 2023
But what if Russia aren't the bad guys? I'm just asking questions...
Something interesting about the value of exploitation is that the recursive competition makes it deteriorate over time.

United Fruit Co was able to successfully make huge profits, with minimal supply chain impacts because they were one of the first. Today McDonalds is so much later that the additional costs impact many, many other industries.

I think the US economy largely reflects this - the 50s and 60s saw insane wealth growth for most Americans, an unstainably rich and large "middle class" As exploitation continued, returns diminished and household wealth decreased.

Setting aside math, the consolidation of wealth can't really explain this - a few hundred yachts and private jets is not nearly enough physical goods to offset the missing housing, cars, and other stuff that's now lacking in the US.

Using dananns post - the consolidated wealth is almost all purely fictional money - not based on goods or even services.

Truga
May 4, 2014
Lipstick Apathy

BillsPhoenix posted:

Using dananns post - the consolidated wealth is almost all purely fictional money - not based on goods or even services.
it is when you use the same fictional money as the reason why goods or services can't exist

my dad
Oct 17, 2012

this shall be humorous
I would caution against seeing financial capital (and finance institutions) as an abstraction.

One of capitalism's greatest defeats was suffered in the late 90s in a battle which spilled bank notes instead of blood - finance capital of the international bourgeoise facing down the financial institutions (and, indeed, financial capital) of a socialist country on an even playing field, and being forced to back down. Had the battle gone the other way, the consequences would have been very real.

mycomancy
Oct 16, 2016

my dad posted:

I would caution against seeing financial capital (and finance institutions) as an abstraction.

One of capitalism's greatest defeats was suffered in the late 90s in a battle which spilled bank notes instead of blood - finance capital of the international bourgeoise facing down the financial institutions (and, indeed, financial capital) of a socialist country on an even playing field, and being forced to back down. Had the battle gone the other way, the consequences would have been very real.

What was this now?

my dad
Oct 17, 2012

this shall be humorous

mycomancy posted:

What was this now?

Loosely speaking, the 1997 Asian financial crisis. China, with a lot of difficulty, stopped a series of escalating speculative attacks that severely harmed the economies of several other Asian countries and were targeting Hong Kong next (the affected countries were hurt a lot more than a surface glance of the numbers would tell you, given how deeply the IMF wormed itself into them afterwards in order to "save" them)

Centrist Committee
Aug 6, 2019

my dad posted:

Loosely speaking, the 1997 Asian financial crisis. China, with a lot of difficulty, stopped a series of escalating speculative attacks that severely harmed the economies of several other Asian countries and were targeting Hong Kong next (the affected countries were hurt a lot more than a surface glance of the numbers would tell you, given how deeply the IMF wormed itself into them afterwards in order to "save" them)

I think in retrospect this was the end of reform and opening up as it had going so far

BillsPhoenix
Jun 29, 2023
But what if Russia aren't the bad guys? I'm just asking questions...

my dad posted:

I would caution against seeing financial capital (and finance institutions) as an abstraction.

One of capitalism's greatest defeats was suffered in the late 90s in a battle which spilled bank notes instead of blood - finance capital of the international bourgeoise facing down the financial institutions (and, indeed, financial capital) of a socialist country on an even playing field, and being forced to back down. Had the battle gone the other way, the consequences would have been very real.

I tried to break it into parts, the fabricated fin capital is growing in size and importance, but is relatively new.

Both the recursive increased costs of exploitation and the fabrication of fincap (as opposed to fincap theft like the US did with Bretton woods in nam) seem like attributes of end stage capitalism - they're not sustainable.

I know most anti capitalist theory is that it's inevitable and a core problem with capitalism, I'm not sure I agree. I'll point to the collapse of UK as an example. A huge imperialist, titan of capitalism collapsed, but as a whole capitalism kept crushing it - in a capitalism continues to grow as a practice.

I suspect if the US collapses China will end up being the next champion. They've already started to move into some of the practices.

thechosenone
Mar 21, 2009
That would indeed be a concern of mine. If China's leadership decides to cash in it will then become a matter of time. If the next leader after Xi Xingping doesn't sell out I'll probably have a good enough chance of not seeing China fall on its rear end though.

As for the Asian financial crisis, I'd say that was an attempt to basically use the capital they had in those countries to engulf them and integrate them as parts of the financial capital system. Using it to shatter opponents who enter into the system with financial plays is indeed another emergent effect of the system. having failed to integrate and discipline China however it is now much more difficult if not impossible to use, and the abuse of it resulting in more and more nations being cut off and trading with each other has culminated in the opposite effect in Russia: attempting to yank the chain has simply broken it, and taken much physical capital with it that is now Russian owned, often at much lower cost than it would have been to otherwise appropriate it if it was even for sale otherwise.


crepeface posted:

they currently print dollar bills out of thin air that they trade for goods.

As for the use of printed money to buy things, that is part of the redistribution. It doesn't change that the cost of the product is the cost to reproduce the labor that made it, regardless of when or where it was made. The cost of a widget is the cost to reproduce the labor to make it. 'But what if you simply force people to make it at gunpoint until they die' a person could ask? If you think about it, the fat reserves, muscles, minds ex cetera of the worker also represent capital of a sorts, one which is built/sustained by the cost of the labor to reproduce that, which I believe is what Marx refers to as the means of subsistence. Accounting for this and the labor it takes to reproduce the labor required to force this death march of production shows that they still do not make money from nothing, just from the existing capital in their control (and at an extremely large and rapidly unsustainable premium. Doubt you're gonna get many immigrant laborers if you're just funneling people into death camps).

Edit: Given the pie is gonna shrink and people are already at subsistence level and there isn't enough excess labor to meaningfully increase profits for even a quarter even if you death marched all of it (and this would only shrink the pie further not keep it the same or bigger) rich people are gonna either have to thunder dome the weaker of their members or have such done for them as their power collapses after being spread to theoretical maximum and then farther. Ergo I believe there will be rich person thunder dome, with the proportion of rich people to poor people decreasing.

thechosenone has issued a correction as of 01:54 on Dec 22, 2023

dead gay comedy forums
Oct 21, 2011


BillsPhoenix posted:

It's very difficult to ascertain how much these extra costs end up being vs producing the beef locally, but the economic benefit to the imperialist nation's population is questionable. Globally it's catastrophically dumb, evil, and inefficient.

It's a collateral effect that happens structurally, not intentionally. No British worker has directly received benefits from Cecil Rhodes loving around in Africa, but their job in a factory in Birmingham, Newcastle or Manchester had a greater guarantee by those activities (and all others).

The imperial dividend isn't for the country, but for its capitalist class. The consequent gains are tangential: with imperialism, the goods affected are indeed offered at lower prices to the domestic market than otherwise they would -- the capitalists effectively offshore their surplus value extraction elsewhere instead of pressing down the domestic workers. Likewise, imperial prices force other countries to be more competitive to have commerce; the American South cotton production and participation in slave trading had direct correlation with British textile industry, and when prices weren't favorable enough, their colonies picked up the slack accordingly.

Things are very different with the American model and subsequently with neoliberalism later. By leveraging financial capital from their very strong currency and purchasing power parity, companies earn far more through cracking the whip in labor extraction rather than the supply. Paying cents on the hour for a Bangladeshi in a sweatshop to sell clothing for a price available to the average consumer is what gives the brand their yield, not the sale per se. Without gains in average income, those goods become relatively more expensive just by inflation alone, and thus it becomes explicit for the worker that there's no great advantage to be had there -- the benefits diminish in comparison to the previous period because the neoliberal colony doesn't allow for push harder on the necks directly, that outsourcing of control means it is a matter for the local capitalists to handle. But it is still there.

crepeface
Nov 5, 2004

r*p*f*c*

thechosenone posted:

As for the use of printed money to buy things, that is part of the redistribution. It doesn't change that the cost of the product is the cost to reproduce the labor that made it, regardless of when or where it was made. The cost of a widget is the cost to reproduce the labor to make it. 'But what if you simply force people to make it at gunpoint until they die' a person could ask? If you think about it, the fat reserves, muscles, minds ex cetera of the worker also represent capital of a sorts, one which is built/sustained by the cost of the labor to reproduce that, which I believe is what Marx refers to as the means of subsistence. Accounting for this and the labor it takes to reproduce the labor required to force this death march of production shows that they still do not make money from nothing, just from the existing capital in their control (and at an extremely large and rapidly unsustainable premium. Doubt you're gonna get many immigrant laborers if you're just funneling people into death camps).

Edit: Given the pie is gonna shrink and people are already at subsistence level and there isn't enough excess labor to meaningfully increase profits for even a quarter even if you death marched all of it (and this would only shrink the pie further not keep it the same or bigger) rich people are gonna either have to thunder dome the weaker of their members or have such done for them as their power collapses after being spread to theoretical maximum and then farther. Ergo I believe there will be rich person thunder dome, with the proportion of rich people to poor people decreasing.

huh? we're talking about fictitious/financial capital in the context of imperialism.

the dollar being the global reserve currency of the world means the US gets to print dollars out of nowhere and trade them for real goods from other countries. it gets to give out loans in dollars and make make more dollars off the interest. it can buy up big parts of the global pie for effectively nothing.

the average american people get things like walmart goods and cars, the wealthy get yachts and private jets, US corporations get nickel mines and water rights and the US state gets military bases. this is dependent on the dollar.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Rr_swuerrto

this is why, as danann said, US attempts to build a rival BRI will fail. financialised capital returns too much profit and exerts too much control in their system for agriculture (and infrastructure) to be worth doing outside supporting their global domination (like telling countries to grow cash crops instead of wheat so they're beholden to wheat markets for food).

this is also where china will likely be different (at least in the near future). their big banks are still under state control and they're an production/export economy the way the US used to be so their prosperity depends on material production and having customers that can afford their increasingly sophisticated goods (aka goods with more labour value).

Ardennes
May 12, 2002
Going back to that discussion, do Americans actually benefit in any real way from buying goods at Walmart? The dollar allows the retailer to access labor and goods cheaper, but I think you can make a very strong argument that doesn't actually benefit those buying at Walmart, it just is used to soften the decline the rate of profitability.

The reserve dollar is the tool of the empire, but in material terms, the population of the US is as much of a slave to it as anyone else. To be honest, average quality of life of Americans in many ways is closer to many developing countries than a developed one at this point after you abstract out currency differences.

The US economy is not only much smaller than it seems in terms of GDP (or even GDP (PPP)) but just what type of prices people for goods and services is ridiculous in international terms.

The only real argument at play is that the American elite will last out at the public as it rapidly declines in power, but even then, this will be temporary.

----------

Also, the US government bringing money out of thin air and it being consequence-free and limitless is also incorrect; you can clearly see it in terms of the US holding on to higher interest rates much long than anyone thought and how spend-thrift the US government has suddenly become. Even military spending to the DoD wasn't much higher than the previous year despite massive improvements needing to be done. The US dollar is based ultimately on the influence of the American Empire, and as that influence fades so does the ability of the US to rely on it.

Ardennes has issued a correction as of 12:57 on Dec 23, 2023

thechosenone
Mar 21, 2009

Ardennes posted:


Also, the US government bringing money out of thin air and it being consequence-free and limitless is also incorrect; you can clearly see it in terms of the US holding on to higher interest rates much long than anyone thought and how spend thrift the US government has suddenly become. Even military spending to the DoD wasn't much higher than the previous year despite massive improvements needing to be done. The US dollar is based ultimately on the influence of the American Empire, and as that influence fades so does the ability of the US to rely on it.

What they said. Sorry I'm kinda wracked a bit by waking up to remembering my mother and father will die one day. Goddamn that loving sucks.

Probably some people who wish their old man and lady would try to demand to see the manager of a wolverine though am I right!? *Nervously texting as my bowtie violently spins and drags me off the stage*

Goddamn I loving hate capitalism. Makes the time I have left with loved ones all that much worse. And goddamn do I love Marxism and Marxists, warts and all. At least everyone here knows the frustration that there's a better way, and I hope we all get to benefit from this sooner rather than later.

crepeface
Nov 5, 2004

r*p*f*c*

Ardennes posted:

Going back to that discussion, do Americans actually benefit in any real way from buying goods at Walmart? The dollar allows the retailer to access labor and goods cheaper, but I think you can make a very strong argument that doesn't actually benefit those buying at Walmart, it just is used to soften the decline the rate of profitability.

wat?



this is the US's trade balance. they collectively get to pay that difference with made up paper and numbers in a spreadsheet. what is this very strong argument that US people don't benefit from imperialism and dollar hegemony?

quote:

The reserve dollar is the tool of the empire, but in material terms, the population of the US is as much of a slave to it as anyone else. To be honest, average quality of life of Americans in many ways is closer to many developing countries than a developed one at this point after you abstract out currency differences.

dude, we keep going over this.

yes, if you also changed the economic system of the US when you removed dollar hegemony it would be different. but that's a separate thing that most people don't accept as a given.

quote:

The US economy is not only much smaller than it seems in terms of GDP (or even GDP (PPP)) but just what type of prices people for goods and services is ridiculous in international terms.

The only real argument at play is that the American elite will last out at the public as it rapidly declines in power, but even then, this will be temporary.

----------

Also, the US government bringing money out of thin air and it being consequence-free and limitless is also incorrect; you can clearly see it in terms of the US holding on to higher interest rates much long than anyone thought and how spend-thrift the US government has suddenly become. Even military spending to the DoD wasn't much higher than the previous year despite massive improvements needing to be done. The US dollar is based ultimately on the influence of the American Empire, and as that influence fades so does the ability of the US to rely on it.

no one said the US having a money printer is consequence-free wtf are you talking about.

thechosenone
Mar 21, 2009
Okay but if it isn't consequence free then it isn't cost free (and like hell did anyone but the working class take that hit, and I'd say pushing it onto the workers of other nations just kicks the can down the road before it hits us in the shin, probably harder than earlier). If like 99 percent of the printed cash just goes into the dragon hordes of the rich and they use it to just make it easier to ignore the working man then there are many who may not benefit at all. As it is I'm sure it helped some but ultimately whatever gains we got were taken back or otherwise squandered.

We don't have a hypothetical non capitalist America to compare to, though now that I use the word 'non capitalist ' I'm absolutely certain we'd have been better off that way. Edit2: Not that this was an option but even less powerful capital would have been an improvement.

Edit: come to think i'd take less powerful capitalists and less alienation than whatever scraps finance capital threw at my parents/grandparents to betray the international workers. We clearly adapt to the bread and circuses we have, so even if I'd been born poorer I may have been happier for it.

thechosenone has issued a correction as of 15:09 on Dec 23, 2023

crepeface
Nov 5, 2004

r*p*f*c*
you're abusing the word 'cost' as badly as an neoliberal economist.

let me put it this way: the US people are currently able to afford a far higher standard of living than they otherwise would without the current system of imperial financial dominance.

i don't think that's a controversial take in cspam.

sure, you could say that imperialism is a poison pill and it would be better for the US people in the long term if/when the US hegemon collapses and if they build a more equitable society. but you're yadda yadda yaddaing a lot of intermediate steps there

Ardennes
May 12, 2002

crepeface posted:

wat?



this is the US's trade balance. they collectively get to pay that difference with made up paper and numbers in a spreadsheet. what is this very strong argument that US people don't benefit from imperialism and dollar hegemony?

dude, we keep going over this.

yes, if you also changed the economic system of the US when you removed dollar hegemony it would be different. but that's a separate thing that most people don't accept as a given.

no one said the US having a money printer is consequence-free wtf are you talking about.

You just said "effectively for nothing." It really isn't the case at least, especially nowadays. Beyond just the mechanics of a fiat currency, the US has to take action in such as higher interests order to support continual monetary expansion. It isn't for free, and it isn't for nothing, even it seems like it initially.

Long-term high trade deficits are not to the benefit of the American people, the US didn't always have those deficits. They were created. Neoliberalism isn't a permanent feature of American life or really necessary for its standard of living in any significant time frame. Even if you wanted to boil it down to "no other solutions are possible or worth talking about," the conditions of American society are dramatically declining in real time despite those consistent deficits.

At a certain point is someone living out of their car in Arizona truly exploiting the third world or the public of the first world and the third world just on either end of a monolithic system?

(It wouldn't even be the end of American capitalism or America as a country, it would literally just returning the US to the state it was in the 1970s; well within living memory.)

crepeface
Nov 5, 2004

r*p*f*c*

Ardennes posted:

You just said "effectively for nothing." It really isn't the case at least, especially nowadays. Beyond just the mechanics of a fiat currency, the US has to take action in such as higher interests order to support continual monetary expansion. It isn't for free, and it isn't for nothing, even it seems like it initially.

Long-term high trade deficits are not to the benefit of the American people, the US didn't always have those deficits. They were created. Neoliberalism isn't a permanent feature of American life or really necessary for its standard of living in any significant time frame. Even if you wanted to boil it down to "no other solutions are possible or worth talking about," the conditions of American society are dramatically declining in real time despite those consistent deficits.

At a certain point is someone living out of their car in Arizona truly exploiting the third world or the public of the first world and the third world just on either end of a monolithic system?

(It wouldn't even be the end of American capitalism or America as a country, it would literally just returning the US to the state it was in the 1970s; well within living memory.)

what is the US inflation rate? like 3%? australia's is 5% and we are like one of the only countries to have a trade surplus with china.

other countries have to hold US dollars because it's the reserve currency. when the US prints dollars, those dollars buy less and they actually have to produce poo poo to get dollars rather than printing them. that's partly why everyone that's in their economic gravity is more hosed than they are.

you're talking about long-term detriments while that's the reality that other countries are dealing with today

Ardennes
May 12, 2002

crepeface posted:

what is the US inflation rate? like 3%? australia's is 5% and we are like one of the only countries to have a trade surplus with china.

other countries have to hold US dollars because it's the reserve currency. when the US prints dollars, those dollars buy less and they actually have to produce poo poo to get dollars rather than printing them. that's partly why everyone that's in their economic gravity is more hosed than they are.

you're talking about long-term detriments while that's the reality that other countries are dealing with today

The average Australian probably has a better quality of life (or almost certainly) than an American, you are assuming a reserve currency brings some type of intrinsic benefit to come people in the US, when it clearly doesn't.

Also, inflation isn't a good metric for a comparison, because so many factors go into it. The Russians have high inflation right now but it isn't from the ruble collapsing (it has actually been doing better) but far higher wages are just pushing up prices altogether.

So one hand, you could say life is "worse" because inflation...but it reality average Russians are going the best they have, maybe ever, at this point.

Ardennes has issued a correction as of 15:59 on Dec 23, 2023

Cuttlefush
Jan 15, 2014

gotta have my purp
jesus christ

Atrocious Joe
Sep 2, 2011

do Black and indigenous workers in the US benefit from imperialism

what about the millions of workers that have migrated to the US from Latin America in the last few decades.

crepeface
Nov 5, 2004

r*p*f*c*

Ardennes posted:

The average Australian probably has a better quality of life (or almost certainly) than an American, you are assuming a reserve currency brings some type of intrinsic benefit to come people in the US, when it clearly doesn't.

Also, inflation isn't a good metric for a comparison, because so many factors go into it. The Russians have high inflation right now but it isn't from the Ruble collapsing (it has actually been doing better) but far higher wages are just pushing up prices altogether.

So one hand, you could say life is "worse" because inflation...but it reality average Russians are going the best they have, maybe ever, at this point.

lol you're the one that brought up inflation as a negative consequence of dollar hegemony! but russia having having it higher is the best they've ever had it???

lol???

thechosenone
Mar 21, 2009
I'd still rather live in a stinky rear end America that was never able to do finance capital and/or never got to live off the suffering of other nations workers even if it meant I was dirt poor. The more money capitalists have the more they can turn the thumbscrews. To me that means it'd have been a drat better value than the hogfeed we get now. Don't care about whatever my definitions sound like, because the poo poo I ain't good at saying from my head, whether it's just misspoken or mis thought still makes more sense than the words of a non Marxist economist.

crepeface
Nov 5, 2004

r*p*f*c*

Atrocious Joe posted:

do Black and indigenous workers in the US benefit from imperialism

what about the millions of workers that have migrated to the US from Latin America in the last few decades.

is the average black person in the US better off than the average black person in another country that's not the metropole of the EU/5 eyes? probably???

why are we breaking it up into demographics?

Ardennes
May 12, 2002

crepeface posted:

lol you're the one that brought up inflation as a negative consequence of dollar hegemony! but russia having having it higher is the best they've ever had it???

lol???

In a relative sense in to the dollar, the point is that it is often difficult to do cross country comparisons of inflation without taking other factors into account. That said, inflation in the US specifically is noteworthy due to the relatively low levels of inflation it has experienced since the mid-00s. Also, high inflation in the US, is a negative consequences of the decline of dollar hegemony, so the other way around

In Russia, because wage increases are significantly (7-8%) higher than inflation, people are making more money, prices are being raised, and their quality of life is getting better because of it. This isn't happening in the US, far from it.

Ardennes has issued a correction as of 16:10 on Dec 23, 2023

Atrocious Joe
Sep 2, 2011

crepeface posted:

is the average black person in the US better off than the average black person in another country that's not the metropole of the EU/5 eyes? probably???

why are we breaking it up into demographics?

Black and indigenous people in the US belong to oppressed nations within the borders of the imperialist core, and how they relate to liberation movements globally has been a big part of US history. I don't have a gotcha here, it's a question that's existed for like over a century.

With regards to Latin American migration there is the phenomenon of how victims of US imperialism can then become beneficiaries of it once actually living in US borders. For some nations, a large fraction of the population now lives in the US. For example there are almost 2.5 million Salvadorans in the US and 6.5 million in El Salvador. That's one of the more extreme examples, but it's a pattern repeated across parts of Latin America. How simply residing in the US influences workers has an impact across the Americas, because people in the US are going to in contact with their friends and relatives back home.

fart simpson
Jul 2, 2005

DEATH TO AMERICA
:xickos:

Ardennes posted:

you are assuming a reserve currency brings some type of intrinsic benefit to come people in the US, when it clearly doesn't.

how is this clear? i think it clearly does bring a benefit to american people

the comparison is what life would be like for average people in the us if dollar hegemony suddenly disappeared, not whether or not the average american has the highest standard of living in the world or not

Ardennes
May 12, 2002

fart simpson posted:

how is this clear? i think it clearly does bring a benefit to american people

the comparison is what life would be like for average people in the us if dollar hegemony suddenly disappeared, not whether or not the average american has the highest standard of living in the world or not

It it really when it is trapping them in a continually worse quality of life? The fact that things will get worse before they get better isn't saying much besides it is a process.

------

Also, I wouldn't split the suffering of the American people based on race or ethnicity really either. It is clear there is suffering across the board, even if they are mean correlations. There are plenty of poor whites in America, probably more than ever.

fart simpson
Jul 2, 2005

DEATH TO AMERICA
:xickos:

Ardennes posted:

It it really when it is trapping them in a continually worse quality of life? The fact that things will get worse before they get better isn't saying much besides it is a process.

yes? those things aren’t directly related. you can be benefiting from something while also on a general downward trend

Cuttlefush
Jan 15, 2014

gotta have my purp
i swear we already did this one at least once. maybe twice. this is an insanely stupid argument to make ardennes. you're on argument autopilot. snap out of it. go reread https://www.marxists.org/archive/lenin/works/1916/imp-hsc/ and do 20 comrade lenins

Ardennes
May 12, 2002

fart simpson posted:

yes? those things aren’t directly related. you can be benefiting from something while also on a general downward trend

Abusive relationships aren't of true benefit

dead gay comedy forums
Oct 21, 2011


fart simpson posted:

the comparison is what life would be like for average people in the us if dollar hegemony suddenly disappeared, not whether or not the average american has the highest standard of living in the world or not

Yeah, I mean, this is a statistic factual. But to take in terms that matter to people, the benefits of imperialism are always tangential and incidental wrt the working class. It's benefits happen in spillovers - if the class holds global control a significant market share of oil production and distribution, cheaper domestic prices happen also because other capitalists want the advantages, etc

I chose that example because, imho, neoliberalism hosed up even that basic logic through its leap to financial capitalism as the dominant form. I have this "guess" (I haven't read anything specifically about this idea so I think that "hypothesis" would be way too much lmao) that once neoliberalism rolled in, the benefits of imperialism in the aggregate started to diminish accordingly and had an expiry date stamped on them. Like, without material demand to make use of the material spoil, those tangential and incidental benefits start to evaporate pretty quickly - the dictators and juntas don't put the minerals into the cargo ships to be processed in the USA. The ship was built in South Korea by a LLC that handles its main business address in the Cayman and flies a flag of Panama; this ship will deliver the minerals to metalworks in Latin America and Asia, which will process them. These sheets of various metals will be worked in the General Motors plants of San Luís de Potosí in Mexico and Qingdao in China; the latter sends vehicles under the all-American brands of Chevrolet and Buick to be consumed in the USA.

Think of all material economic activity that doesn't happen in the United States as a consequence of that. Imperialism follows the form; under industrial capitalism, verticalization and integration are critical to amplify benefits of scale (and thus produce more value). It wants to centralize the activity domestically - it oppresses others to acquire raw materials in a brutal systematic manner that provides a bonus domestic surplus gain that allows for both profits and wages to increase.

Under financial capitalism, the domestic surplus gain is reverted to financial form: credit. Like wages in industrial capitalism also helped form a base of consumption of its own activity, credit in finance works similarly, but far more negatively to the working class because credit is debt, after all. This is where it all comes together for the USA: there are material effects that still exist (especially in terms of power established in things such as the dollar and the exorbitant privilege) and provides with much greater purchasing power parity than almost every other case around the world, but at the same time, the historical collapse in the lack of gains of real income, loss of productive activity and financialization meant an American working class bound to be poorer in income and catastrophically far more in debt in its average to the point that there's no imperial dividend able to compensate for that in its spillover

mawarannahr
May 21, 2019

thread, let's come together and shake our heads at this utter buffoon, happy holidays
Robert M. Solow, groundbreaking economist and Nobelist, dies at 99

www.seattletimes.com posted:

Robert M. Solow, who won a Nobel in economic science in 1987 for his theory that advances in technology, rather than increases in capital and labor, have been the primary drivers of economic growth in the United States, died on Thursday at his home in Lexington, Massachusetts. He was 99.

His son John confirmed the death.

Solow taught at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, where he and a fellow Nobel laureate, Paul A. Samuelson, forged the MIT style of economic analysis, which emerged as a leading approach in the second half of the 20th century and played an important role in economic policymaking.

His work demonstrated the power of bringing mathematics to bear on important economic debates and simplifying the analysis by focusing on a small number of variables at a time.

Beyond the impact of his own research, Solow helped launch the careers of a stunning number of future superstar economists, including four Nobel laureates: Peter Diamond, Joseph E. Stiglitz, William D. Nordhaus and George A. Akerlof. “My pride and joy,” Solow said.

The affection was reciprocated. In an interview for this obituary in 2013, Alan S. Blinder, a Princeton University economics professor, former deputy chair of the Federal Reserve Board and a Solow pupil, said, “All his former students idolize him — all, with no exceptions.”

Solow received the John Bates Clark Medal in 1961 as the finest American economist under 40 and the National Medal of Science in 1999; he was one of the few economists to receive that honor. In 2014, President Barack Obama awarded him the Presidential Medal of Freedom, the nation’s highest civilian honor.

Solow’s research on economic growth became the model by which economists, well beyond the confines of MIT, came to practice their craft. For a century or more they simply “knew” that growth of capital and labor determined economic growth. But Solow could not find data to confirm that common-sense presumption.

Besides, academic theories of economic growth that predated his writings had the discomforting implication that capitalist economies were always teetering between boom and bust. He observed that “the history of capitalism didn’t look like that.”

So what did explain growth? Entrepreneurs? Geography? Legal institutions? Something else?

“I discovered to my great surprise that the main source of growth was not capital investment but technological change,” Solow said in an interview in 2009, also for this obituary. Specifically, he estimated that technical progress accounted for a surprising 80% of 20th-century American growth. He later pointed to Silicon Valley as a validation of his theory.

Technology Was Key

Solow’s strategy — his gimmick, he liked to say — was to pick out one thing of special interest and simplify the role of everything else. The goal was to understand completely the role of a “little piece of the puzzle.” This strategy of inquiry came to be known as building “toy models.”

In analyzing economic growth, he singled out technological progress (the ability of society to translate inputs of capital and labor into outputs of goods and services) as independent from the other key variables, including population growth and returns on capital.

He devised a graph with two curves. One captured his simplifying assumption that population growth and technological knowledge rise at a constant rate over time. The second one captured his all-important assumption that the economic impact of adding more and more capital gets weaker and weaker. Adding capital to an economy drives up total output, but each additional dollop of capital drives up output by less than the previous dollop did.

Put the two curves on the same graph and a powerful theory of growth emerged. Solow showed that higher savings and investment would indeed make individuals richer on average — the level of income per person would rise. But the added savings and investment would not affect the economy’s long-term rate of growth. The impact of additional savings on permanent growth rates peters out in a way that, under Solow’s assumption, the impacts of population and technical knowledge do not.

Out went 100 years of often fruitless, meandering debate. Solow’s simple graph refocused the argument, providing a clear path to cause-and-effect statements about past and future growth. He published his growth model in 1956. At that point, he had provided an elegant theory. A year later, he presented evidence.

The Solow growth model, propounded in his book “A Contribution to the Theory of Economic Growth,” in 1956, and its empirical follow-up, “Technical Change and the Aggregate Production Function,” published in 1957, made his reputation while he was in his early 30s and led in due course to the Clark Medal and the Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences.

“It really still is the basic story that the profession uses when it wants to talk about the determinants of growth,” Solow said in the 2009 interview, conducted at the Russell Sage Foundation in Manhattan, where he spent several months each year after retiring from MIT in 1995.

He reinforced his view of how economists should practice their craft by reconfiguring the all-important doctoral thesis. He pioneered the submission by Ph.D. candidates of three essays, each focusing analytical attention on a discrete economic problem, instead of a single volume stretched out over hundreds of pages.

The three-essay thesis soon proved the rule at MIT and other graduate departments. In another interview for this obituary, in 2013, Solow made the point that he wanted his Ph.D. advisees to do in their theses what they would be doing as modern economists: “writing articles, not tomes.”

A gifted writer, he was famous for his quick wit and puckish sense of humor. Once, at a conference in Chicago, he sparred with Milton Friedman, the renowned conservative economist whose views were often the opposite of Solow’s.

“Milton was going on about the money supply,” he recalled in 2009, “so what I said was everything reminds Milton of the money supply. Everything reminds me of sex, but I try to keep it out of my written work.”

He took rhetorical aim at what he deemed vapid criticisms of academic economics by public intellectuals. Always calling on economists to ground their propositions in evidence, he insisted that economics should be “a search for verifiable truths, not a high-school debate.”

About John Kenneth Galbraith, a confidant of President John F. Kennedy and the author of an influential 1967 attack on mainstream economists, “The New Industrial State,” Solow wrote that Galbraith “mingles with Beautiful People; for all I know, he may actually be a Beautiful Person himself.” But the book, he said, “is for the dinner table not for the desk.”

He called “The Global Crisis of Capitalism,” a book by multibillionaire hedge-fund trader, George Soros, “embarrassingly banal,” adding that it has “as many escape clauses as it has claims.” The problem, Solow wrote, was that Soros “wants to be a philosopher, indeed a sort of philosopher-king” and that “in straining, he reveals a fundamental difficulty with the role of philosopher-king. It is too drat hard.”

To Harvard at 16

Robert Merton Solow was born on Aug. 23, 1924, in New York City’s Brooklyn borough, to Milton and Hannah (Sarney) Solow. He arrived at Harvard University on a scholarship at age 16, inclined to study botany or biology with an eye toward a secure job in the United States Forest Service. But though he received a top grade in biology, he felt inept.

“I could look in the microscope, but I couldn’t get clear in my head what I was seeing enough to make a drawing of it,” he recalled in 2009. “I’m just not good at that.”

He switched to a free-form major in social sciences, but when he turned 18 at the beginning of his junior year, after the outbreak of World War II, he enlisted in the Army, beginning three years in uniform that “formed my character,” he said. He served in North Africa after the fighting there had stopped, and he was deployed to Sicily and the Italian peninsula, where the Army drew on his knowledge of both German and Morse code.

He had studied the language while rooming with a German refugee during his freshman year at Harvard. He learned Morse code as a minimally paid participant 👁️ in a government-funded program, connected to the Harvard psychology department 👁️ , to find the best ways to teach it.

“I still, when I walk along the street, if I look at a sign, I’ll say it to myself in Morse code,” he said in 2009. “It’s just a habit I have.”

While waiting to report for military duty in late 1942, he met Barbara Lewis, a Radcliffe student from Trenton, New Jersey, with whom he corresponded during the war. They married in August 1945, scarcely a week after his troopship had docked in Norfolk, Virginia.

Her father, he said, must have been dubious about “this guy she had gone out with maybe six times, three years ago.”

Returning to Harvard, he turned almost casually to the discipline in which he would become preeminent at the suggestion of his new wife, an economics major who became a noted economic historian. She died in 2014.

In addition to his son John, his survivors include another son, Andrew; a daughter, Katherine Solow; eight grandchildren; and three great-grandchildren.

Solow and his wife lived in Concord, Massachusetts, while they were raising their children, then moved to Boston. About 15 years ago they moved to a retirement community in Lexington. They were longtime summer residents of Martha’s Vineyard.

As a young scholar, Solow served as a research assistant to Wassily Leontief, helping him create the first input-output model of the American economy, for which Leontief was awarded the Nobel in 1973. (An input-output model consists of numbers entered into rows and columns that capture how much of the output of one sector of the economy is used as input to the production of output in each of the other sectors of the economy.) Solow then spent a year at Columbia University before joining MIT as an assistant professor.

“I have never had or wanted any other job,” he wrote at the time of his Nobel, noting the close relationship he developed with another of the profession’s giants.

“I was given the office next to Paul Samuelson’s,” he recounted in the publication Les Prix Nobel. “Thus began what is now almost 40 years of almost daily conversations about economics, politics, our children, cabbages and kings.”

At the Russell Sage Foundation, Solow, long interested in the social effects of economics, supervised a major project studying low-wage work in five advanced economies in Europe and the United States. The study found that such work was far more prevalent in the United States than in the other countries, and that the living conditions of low-wage workers were better in Europe because of a more generous social-safety net there along with rules that provided workers with greater bargaining power.

Although choice posts in Washington beckoned on several occasions — he did serve briefly as a staff member of the president’s Council of Economic Advisers during the Kennedy administration — Solow’s heart was always in academia.

Once, when invited to an embassy party, his secretary was asked his rank so that he could be properly seated according to protocol. “Tell them,” he told her, “I’m a full professor of economics at MIT — and they don’t have anything that high in the government.”

This story was originally published at nytimes.com. /Read it here.
anyone here have to read this poo poo?

dead gay comedy forums
Oct 21, 2011


I had to read some Solow, wasn't much though (lol). Solow wasn't a pioneer at all, that's typical MIT bullshit in econ. Kondratieff in Russia was talking about the economical supercycle in the beginning of the 20th century, based on the transformation of technological standards of the mode of production (steam engine, combustion, etc). The idea of seasonal supercycles based on technological progress tied very neatly with Marx's observation of the tendency of the rate of profit to fall, because while the productive leap of every subsequent technological shift was massive, it produced diminishing returns of capital accumulation - eventually we would reach the "Kondratieff winter", an economic supercycle where technological advance pushes not nearly enough of the tendency back.

Solow argues in terms of technological change in itself, forget social use or context or anything. And, of course, growth doesn't mean social development, improvement of the quality of living for everybody in a society, etc. It isn't an inherently positive thing. MIT people in econ are very often forgetful of such details and they really could use a couple of days of labor in a third world export plantation to have a broadening of horizons, so to speak

The Voice of Labor
Apr 8, 2020

crepeface posted:

is the average black person in the US better off than the average black person in another country that's not the metropole of the EU/5 eyes? probably???

why are we breaking it up into demographics?

because those are two groups most affected by the u.s. being a colonial state both at home and abroad. atrocious joe hit the crux of the biscuit in one sentence

The Voice of Labor
Apr 8, 2020

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Ones_Who_Walk_Away_from_Omelas

if you're asking whether the village benefits from the child being tortured, the child is a part of the village. it's a question on how your hedonistic calculus is performed

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3
Aug 26, 2006

The Magic Number


College Slice

The Voice of Labor posted:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Ones_Who_Walk_Away_from_Omelas

if you're asking whether the village benefits from the child being tortured, the child is a part of the village. it's a question on how your hedonistic calculus is performed

omelas is a story about how liberals cannot conceive of a perfect society without there having to be some kind of insidious hidden evil driving it, the narrator literally makes up the child torture on the spot to make a point about the readers' inability to believe in a utopia without a hidden cost and ends the story with a smug "now do you believe me?"

i'm so goddamn tired of people just taking the surface level reading of that story, star trek strange new worlds season 1 did this without irony and it was one of the worst episodes in that season

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