(Thread IKs:
weg, Toxic Mental)
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Three Olives posted:No, I actually got kicked out of a casino once because I bet on both black and red on roulette. It took them awhile but eventually they figured out how I was winning every game and got super mad. oh how was trump's casino
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Jan 31, 2024 18:59
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| # ? May 28, 2024 16:18 |
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Three Olives posted:No, I actually got kicked out of a casino once because I bet on both black and red on roulette. It took them awhile but eventually they figured out how I was winning every game and got super mad. This is not how gambling works wtf is wrong with you? You'd be breaking even on every game except for when it landed on green and you lost.
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Jan 31, 2024 18:59
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Beefed Owl posted:If you were winning every game what happened when it landed on the green zero. I chanted "No whammies!" every time they spun the wheel. Why are people so bad at gambling?
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Jan 31, 2024 19:00
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Three Olives posted:No, I actually got kicked out of a casino once because I bet on both black and red on roulette. It took them awhile but eventually they figured out how I was winning every game and got super mad. One weird trick to make infinite money, casinos HATE this
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Jan 31, 2024 19:01
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Jan 31, 2024 19:01
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Coolguye posted:the same thing that stops you from placing equal bets on both black and red in roulette. the way the odds are generally calculated you cannot win money with this strategy. Right, but that situation isn't the same. In Roulette you are faced with essentially 2 yes/no choices in regards to red and black (not counting green). There will always be one yes and that's what you're betting on. 16 yes/no's aren't the same. There will still always be one yes, but the way they have it allows you to bet on the no's, of which 15 will win.
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Jan 31, 2024 19:02
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Jan 31, 2024 19:02
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Jan 31, 2024 19:02
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I bet DR Kek isn't even a medical doctor probably just has a PhD in geology or something stupid.
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Jan 31, 2024 19:02
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Additionally, the betting system isn't "you vs house" but "you vs people with house taking a table cut". It's like a very slow game of poker, but you can also bet on multiple people to lose.
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Jan 31, 2024 19:04
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Biting dicks, nipples protruding, LIKE A DOG!!!
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Jan 31, 2024 19:05
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Ionicpsycho posted:Right, but that situation isn't the same. In Roulette you are faced with essentially 2 yes/no choices in regards to red and black (not counting green). There will always be one yes and that's what you're betting on. i haven't looked into these sites since 2017 when i had to for work but back then they weren't super good at verifying accounts were uniquely owned. you could definitely just have 16 accounts.
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Jan 31, 2024 19:05
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For a long time craps tables didn't have 12 as a push for the don't pass so if you bet both the past and the don't pass you basically could never lose you wouldn't win but it was one way to keep getting the free drinks that came around while you played they used to call it the beer bet for that reason but now you can't break even each time.
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Jan 31, 2024 19:05
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So she’s on par with all the metal bands they were mad about in the 80s? Is Taylor now an honorary metal singer? Someone get her a Jackson Kelly covered in skulls.
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Jan 31, 2024 19:05
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I don't think you should gamble, only the Lord knows what will happen next and betting is like saying you know better than Him.
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Jan 31, 2024 19:05
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Well we are on the subject of betting should we start an office pool for the date that the New York fraud case is decided. I'm going with February 13th
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Jan 31, 2024 19:07
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Jan 31, 2024 19:07
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Pope Corky the IX posted:Remember Romney? And his toothpaste logo?
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Jan 31, 2024 19:07
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Anecdotally, my social media is full of posts like "I don't really care about Taylor Swift but..." followed by a 3,000-word essay detailing somethin cool or interesting about Taylor Swift. In conclusion, Donald Trump should definitely go to war with her.
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Jan 31, 2024 19:08
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My uncle is Arthur Engoron and he said he won't post the verdict until my facebook post gets 500 likes
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Jan 31, 2024 19:08
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Jan 31, 2024 19:09
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Ionicpsycho posted:Wait, gambling question. What's keeping me (besides self control and poverty) from simply putting money on one of every no option in a single bet? For example for the question "What will be the Electoral College margin in the 2024 presidential election?" there's 16 choices. Only one of those will be a Yes. Nah the arbitrage stuff doesn't work, if you bet every possibility and do the math, it'll only pay out like 97% on average. They keep the implied odds of all the bets added up at over 100%. Sometimes you'll come out ahead if you hit on one of the higher payout ones, but behind if you hit one that was higher odds, and on average won't make money. Flowers for QAnon posted:You guys realize that money inflows on bets move the line/odds, right? The purpose is to drive equal $ volume on both sides. It’s not a straight up odds thing. Yeah but it's a good idea of how the public feels. It's just a good gauge of average sentiment. Maybe not even a good gauge because it just polls gambling junkies, but I don't think anyone here is saying what's on predictit is accurate in terms of reality, just an idea of how people feel.
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Jan 31, 2024 19:10
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Ionicpsycho posted:Additionally, the betting system isn't "you vs house" but "you vs people with house taking a table cut". It's like a very slow game of poker, but you can also bet on multiple people to lose. In poker that cut is the rake, but unlike poker you can sell your position to someone else. You don't have to wait until the election you could say buy Trump Yes, then sell when he wins the nomination since in theory he should go up from that. do note: they also take a cut when you withdraw and it's not small but you can keep compounding your winnings without paying that if you don't cash out. I've opted to not gently caress with their site because of the cash out at least when I last looked like 6 years ago.
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Jan 31, 2024 19:10
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Beefed Owl posted:When looking at these polls I would like to remind everyone that every indication showed that 2022 was going to be an absolute blowout win for Republicans and yet they lost big to an incumbent who had a sub 50 approval rating during an economic downturn. That is insane and basically takes work to accomplish. Texas won’t go Blue, but Ohio might. Biden appears to have what will be a very good economy in 2024 plus the incumbent’s advantage. Plus, when you look at the trend line of elections from 2016 to 2023, it’s pretty bad for Republicans with 2020 as a bit of a weird outlier where Trump overperformed. Either Trump brings out non-voters who only vote when Trump is on the ballot (possible) or Trump used the executive branch to gently caress with the 2020 election in ways both known (postal service) and unknown. But that’s just my own personal  when the mood strikes me.Comedy option: incumbents always win reelection during a war and… *gestures towards the Middle East*
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Jan 31, 2024 19:10
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Jan 31, 2024 19:10
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I hope the "Satan is pretty cool" meme guy turns up at the Baphomet trial
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Jan 31, 2024 19:11
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Also here’s the maximumquote:Criminal mischief in the third degree, which is an aggravated misdemeanor and punishable by up to two years in prison and a $8,540 fine, occurs when: The cost of the damaged property is greater than $750 but less than $1,500 in value. I doubt he goes to prison but who knows quote:
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Jan 31, 2024 19:12
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what is the timeline today for lolling at Trump losing more money
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Jan 31, 2024 19:13
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This type of argument... *walks down the street punching minorities in the face and gets arrested* "OH I GUESS BEING WHITE IS ILLEGAL IN THE USA NOW."
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Jan 31, 2024 19:15
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 Hail Satan!
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Jan 31, 2024 19:16
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But... Lots of those parents also go to said concerts. And have seen that they are just...concerts.
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Jan 31, 2024 19:16
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I like how right wing internet thinks unceremoniously melting down a statue that prominently stood for decades commemorating Robert E. Lee, an actual historical figure who was a traitor to the United States and served as a reminder to black Americans that white southerners fought and died to keep slavery is the same as some rear end in a top hat kicking the head off a homemade model of a completely imaginary naughty devil monster that was on display for like a week to troll gullible Christians into committing an easily prosecutable hate crime.
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Jan 31, 2024 19:17
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I want to win a Peace Nobel prize. How can I do this while hating who I hate?
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Jan 31, 2024 19:18
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I love how they're showing their whole rear end about religious freedom I mean we all know it but it's nice to have confirmation
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Jan 31, 2024 19:19
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Roblo posted:But... Those parents were duped by the hidden Nazi and satanist symbolism, such as the shape of her stage, or the banners hanging over it saying that she is united with the worst people [ImgCPACstage] No, not like that!
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Jan 31, 2024 19:21
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Seth Pecksniff posted:I love how they're showing their whole rear end about religious freedom
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Jan 31, 2024 19:22
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Roblo posted:But... Lots of those parents also have been going to her concerts since they were around their kids age because she has been huge for like 2 decades lol
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Jan 31, 2024 19:23
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WITCH HUNT!!
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Jan 31, 2024 19:24
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https://twitter.com/atrupar/status/1752759166962143462
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Jan 31, 2024 19:25
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Beefed Owl posted:I bet Texas actually goes blue. You just cursed us all.
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Jan 31, 2024 19:25
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