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Shellception posted:It's a dumb thing, but I'm looking for a lie somewhere or other. Thanks for humoring me. 807g Zander that won Sausages and 171g Perch that was worthless
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# ? Apr 8, 2024 18:01 |
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# ? Jun 10, 2024 02:25 |
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I feel like we already know there is a liar somewhere in three people, and we've got two attempts at most. Swinging out of that pool is going to be needed eventually, but, right now?
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# ? Apr 8, 2024 18:03 |
Hal Incandenza posted:807g Zander that won Sausages and 171g Perch that was worthless idgi - is this driving at something ?
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# ? Apr 8, 2024 18:03 |
Shellception posted:I feel like we already know there is a liar somewhere in three people, and we've got two attempts at most. Swinging out of that pool is going to be needed eventually, but, right now? What??????? Why would we wait????
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# ? Apr 8, 2024 18:03 |
Shellception posted:I feel like we already know there is a liar somewhere in three people, and we've got two attempts at most. Swinging out of that pool is going to be needed eventually, but, right now? This post has done psychic damage to me and now I do not know if I trust my read of the game anymore
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# ? Apr 8, 2024 18:03 |
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Sandwolf posted:What??????? What what?
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# ? Apr 8, 2024 18:04 |
Shellception posted:What what? Why would we wait to kill one within the pool of liars?
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# ? Apr 8, 2024 18:05 |
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Sandwolf posted:idgi - is this driving at something ? I am humoring Shell, but since we change roles every night I am not sure what you are worried about
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# ? Apr 8, 2024 18:06 |
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Sandwolf posted:This post has done psychic damage to me and now I do not know if I trust my read of the game anymore Lay it down. We have three people, one of which is scum. We have two days to vote them down. Why do we want to go b-, who we know did what he said he did, when he is not one of those three people?
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# ? Apr 8, 2024 18:06 |
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Sandwolf posted:Why would we wait to kill one within the pool of liars? That's what I am saying not to do wtf
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# ? Apr 8, 2024 18:06 |
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Shellception posted:Lay it down. We have three people, one of which is scum. We have two days to vote them down. Why do we want to go b-, who we know did what he said he did, when he is not one of those three people? I get what you are saying, I still always want to vote my scummiest read so I will start there but based on whatever info you may come up with I would be ok moving to TM or Zoya if need be, but I think TM is scummier and would want to vote there first
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# ? Apr 8, 2024 18:07 |
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Sandwolf posted:idgi - is this driving at something ? I'm driving at something and I think I might have it already, but I'd like Moritz to pipe on. Sorry I'm not laying it down right now, I promise I will.
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# ? Apr 8, 2024 18:08 |
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But don't mind me, I actually think we need less math and more Mafia.
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# ? Apr 8, 2024 18:10 |
Shellception posted:That's what I am saying not to do wtf Okay sorry I thought you were suggesting we vote outside of the “3 people”
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# ? Apr 8, 2024 18:17 |
Hal Incandenza posted:I am humoring Shell, but since we change roles every night I am not sure what you are worried about I wasn’t calling it scummy, I just don’t get it
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# ? Apr 8, 2024 18:17 |
Shellception posted:But don't mind me, I actually think we need less math and more Mafia. TMor has done no scumhunting, and his few posts when he has checked in appear to be giving the vibe of “totally lost,” but I don’t think it comes off as sincere
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# ? Apr 8, 2024 18:18 |
Tired Moritz posted:I just woke up :'( “Oh I’m so confused” Tired Moritz posted:Yeah we should just kill hambeet, right? Unless there's some kind of ninja at play. Never voted for beet Tired Moritz posted:If hambeet flips town, then absolutely cube. If hambeet flips scum, then sand. Has shown up today stating they think I’m town.
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# ? Apr 8, 2024 18:19 |
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Sandwolf posted:I wasn’t calling it scummy, I just don’t get it Ok Sandy, bear with me - I promise I'm going to try and make it make sense. Here are the list of fish and people again, alright? (updated it to be complete) PlasticAutomaton posted:Goldfish 841g - missing, presumed Maer What is important here is that we know one of the three No Fish people is lying, and they had the Zander that won and went unclaimed. Of the No Fish people, Zoya claims she didn't even get a second prize, Zoya posted:hmm. so we know that the thefts happen prior to the judging, presumably in some kind of fishing twilight. the day ended, and i was ready to submit my beloved ZANDER, but was informed it had been stolen out from under me (at which point i staged a mild confessional tantrum in discord emotes). i then submitted 2 other fish, both of which were tiny and didn't even get 2nd place and had Zoya posted:112g roach, 3275g salmon Hal claims: Hal Incandenza posted:807g Zander that won Sausages and 171g Perch that was worthless And TMor claims: Tired Moritz posted:Except like a sauna ticket which I guess I could use for bribing but idk it wasn't explained (but we still don't know what Moritz had) If we look at the OP, it says: the OP is loving long go look at it posted:At the end of the day each player may submit 2 different fish for the day's judging. For each species of fish the biggest submitted fish of the day will be granted a night action power as a prize and the second biggest fish will be granted a randomized item as a cobsolation prize. (...) First place prizes will be judged first and once a player has won a prize they will be ineligible to win for the rest of the day. My question here is simple. No one can win two prizes. For Zoya to not have won a single second prize with neither of her two fishes, TMor and Hal both would have needed to take the second prize from her. That is, for neither her Roach or Salmon to win, there must have been a bigger Second Place Roach and a bigger Second Place Salmon. This isn't impossible. Where it becomes impossible is when Hal claims to have won sausages with a Zander, and not a Roach or Salmon. TMor can't have two second prizes. So, unless I am wrong somewhere (which I may be), Zoya should have won a second prize for either of her fish. That's what was bothering me about her claim, and why I dug down on this dumb derail.
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# ? Apr 8, 2024 18:47 |
I knew you had a reason Shell! I just couldn’t discern it (because I am dumb)
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# ? Apr 8, 2024 18:59 |
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b-minus1 posted:It’s not that I don’t think it’s scum zoya. I just feel better about my Hal read The problem with Hal is that (if scum) they would be gambiting a fish thief power (either lying about it entirely, which seems unlikely unless it's Hal + Zoya exactly) or self-stole/didn't actually use it N1. That seems like a pretty bold stretch to me.
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# ? Apr 8, 2024 19:05 |
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Sandwolf posted:I knew you had a reason Shell! I just couldn’t discern it (because I am dumb) Tbf I was kind of obscuring it because I didn't really want to give up what I was looking for, just in case. Sorry for that. But yeah, barring a Moritz claim, or me being utterly dumb wrong, I think Zoya is lying and had the big Zander - and that's why she never got a second prize. She had a first prize. ##vote Zoya for now, but if someone could pipe on if this logic is, well, logic it'd be appreciated.
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# ? Apr 8, 2024 19:09 |
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I mean I'm still all in on scum Zoya from day 1's mess.
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# ? Apr 8, 2024 19:10 |
I prefer TMor but I’d do Zoya sure
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# ? Apr 8, 2024 19:14 |
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CubicalSucrose posted:The problem with Hal is that (if scum) they would be gambiting a fish thief power (either lying about it entirely, which seems unlikely unless it's Hal + Zoya exactly) or self-stole/didn't actually use it N1. I’ll take your word on that. I’m not really focusing on fishing mechanics
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# ? Apr 8, 2024 20:32 |
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Sandwolf posted:I prefer TMor but I’d do Zoya sure I mean, I'd do TMor on pure mafia reads. I agree with your case. But I really, really think Zoya is pulling a lie there (just out of not having thought about it too much) and I don't feel like her post history is much to look at, either.
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# ? Apr 8, 2024 20:55 |
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Best way to sort that disjunctive up is to get both of them up and talking, tbh. Can't read what's not there, and both of them feel pretty much absent in both presence and actual game stuff.
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# ? Apr 8, 2024 20:57 |
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CubicalSucrose posted:The problem with Hal is that (if scum) they would be gambiting a fish thief power (either lying about it entirely, which seems unlikely unless it's Hal + Zoya exactly) or self-stole/didn't actually use it N1. Hal CAN be if he faked the stealing or is paired with the actual thief, but at that point that is so much of a galaxy brain scheme I'm not sure I believe it.
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# ? Apr 8, 2024 21:00 |
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Shellception posted:Tbf I was kind of obscuring it because I didn't really want to give up what I was looking for, just in case. Sorry for that. this is a hell of a leap considering we don't even know what maerlyn submitted
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# ? Apr 8, 2024 21:17 |
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Zoya posted:
Maer didn't steal your Zander, so the Zander is still missing. If Maer won a second prize, and not the Goldfish we're assuming she won, then we don't know where either the Zander or the Goldfish went, which means two of you three are lying. I'll take my odds if so.
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# ? Apr 8, 2024 21:21 |
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And. If Maer won a second, and not a first. If you are the only one in the No Fish group telling the truth and both Hal and TMor are lying about their seconds, and they had a shiny fish either (Goldfish and Zander) Then it's literally impossible for you to win a second prize. Because you had two different fish. Maer could have had, at worst, one. Never two.
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# ? Apr 8, 2024 21:24 |
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Mafia edit: literally impossible for you not to win a second prize.
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# ? Apr 8, 2024 21:25 |
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i caught two salmons and a zander today yay
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# ? Apr 8, 2024 21:28 |
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Tbf, it's even worse - looking at it, I had a logic mistake: it's literally impossible for you not to have won a second in any case. Because if you are telling the truth, you had no fish, and Maer had a fish, that still means one of Hal and TMor lies and has the stolen Zander. So they would have a first and they would not be competing with you for seconds. With two different fish, and only a single person to fight you for second prize (be it Maer or one of TMor and Hal) you literally cannot lose. The fish that doesn't match the other person's winning one would automatically win.
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# ? Apr 8, 2024 21:32 |
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Which is why both TMor and Hal won.
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# ? Apr 8, 2024 21:34 |
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To further drive this home (I'm going to sleep after this don't worry): - 9 people alive end of D2 (one NK) - 7 fish prizes awarded. - 9 - 7 = 2 possible second spots The only combination that has someone not win any second prizes at all is submitting, IE. Pike and Pike when the other person has a bigger Pike. Any combo of two different fish presented automatically wins something.
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# ? Apr 8, 2024 22:02 |
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the other question is what fish did our three no action takers submit
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# ? Apr 8, 2024 22:10 |
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Someone is sense-checking Shell, maybe? I've been away from a computer for days now and so don't have the Power of Spreadsheets to validate. Passing reading suggests at least most of what they've been saying has been about right.
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# ? Apr 9, 2024 00:23 |
I am confused why things are so dead?
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# ? Apr 9, 2024 00:27 |
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Sandwolf posted:I am confused why things are so dead? I’m hoping TM and Zoya come in and fight to the death. I think at this point I’m leaning zoya and binus even though TM and binus would be more fun since all the scum replaced out
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# ? Apr 9, 2024 00:49 |
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# ? Jun 10, 2024 02:25 |
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I’m town
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# ? Apr 9, 2024 01:09 |