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FourLeaf posted:It's reddit! Poe's law has got me running around not knowing what's real anymore Don't worry, it will be the source of a serious piece for a Medium post soon enough, even though it is clear bullshit
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# ? Jun 11, 2024 16:31 |
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stop fighting the inevitable, just give trump the nom now
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Logikv9 posted:don't get silly, trump vs hillary debates would be a majestic television moment rivaling UFC in nastiness i can't wait
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FourLeaf posted:It's reddit! Poe's law has got me running around not knowing what's real anymore Don't worry, real posts about suicidal thoughts on Reddit from Bernie supporters will appear on March 1.
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A Trump Clinton debate would be watched by a billion people It should happen
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Marco looked so thirsty
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I believe with my full heart that Berniethrowaway32 is a real person telling a totally real story about their life.
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So did Rubio or Cruz end up pulling any delegates? Did they both give victory speeches while winning zero delegates?
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eric posted:The GOP has to do whatever it takes to get Kasich and Carson to drop by super Tuesday. If not the only way Rubio gets the nomination is a royal screw job at the convention and Trump fucks them over with an independent run. The idea that Rubio wins a heads up against Trump is basically media fantasy at this point with no real evidence to back it up.
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Alfred P. Pseudonym posted:So did Rubio or Cruz end up pulling any delegates? Did they both give victory speeches while winning zero delegates? no and no. yes.
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Alfred P. Pseudonym posted:So did Rubio or Cruz end up pulling any delegates? Did they both give victory speeches while winning zero delegates? Trump won all 50 delegates tonight, but there are 698 delegates up for grabs on March 1.
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Hillary already speaking in Houston ![]()
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Joementum posted:Trump won all 50 delegates tonight, but there are 698 delegates up for grabs on March 1. Don't the March 1st primaries out us at about 1/3 of the total delegates allocated? I predict Trump will have at least 1/3 of the delegates needed for a majority after March 1st.
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TROIKA CURES GREEK posted:The idea that Rubio wins a heads up against Trump is basically media fantasy at this point with no real evidence to back it up. A united Rubio-Bush-Kasich ticket would have beaten Trump by a six point margin tonight. As soon as the race winows, Trump is in trouble. QuoProQuid has issued a correction as of 05:54 on Feb 21, 2016 |
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QuoProQuid posted:A united Rubio-Bush-Kasich ticket would have beaten Trump by a six point margin tonight. As soon as the race winows, Trump is in trouble. The votes aren't all going to stack together
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QuoProQuid posted:A united Rubio-Bush-Kasich ticket would have beaten Trump by a six point margin tonight. As soon as the race winows, Trump is in trouble. Get out. You dummy.
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QuoProQuid posted:A united Rubio-Bush-Kasich ticket would have beaten Trump by a six point margin tonight. As soon as the race winows, Trump is in trouble. You're assuming Rubio gets all the supporters of Bush and Kasich, and while he would probably get most of them, a decent portion would go to Trump and Cruz.
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Zohar posted:The votes aren't all going to stack together Not to mention Trump hasn't gone after Rubio yet. When he does you're going to see some serious blue screening from Rubot.
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Listen, it's so simple. I'm going to be the nominee and President. Just think of it, President Trump. It's going to happen. Believe me.
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Donald Trump posted:Listen, it's so simple. I'm going to be the nominee and President. Just think of it, President Trump. It's going to happen. Believe me. Mr. Trump do you think Jeb Bush might have a place in your cabinet? Followup: What about Cruz?
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Guy Montag posted:Mr. Trump do you think Jeb Bush might have a place in your cabinet? Followup: What about Cruz? McGovern said he'd consider Wallace for his cabinet after visiting him in the hospital in '72.
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https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/701269540844527616
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QuoProQuid posted:A united Rubio-Bush-Kasich ticket would have beaten Trump by a six point margin tonight. As soon as the race winows, Trump is in trouble. Any futher winnowing is going to probably be after Super Tuesday and Trump could have a big lead by that point. I still think Rubio has a good chance of winning but I'd consider Trump the frontrunner at this point.
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What are the chances of the nominee not being settled before the Republican convention?
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The most unsettling time will be when Trump gets inaugurated and for at least one brief moment everything feels the same as it did before.
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Joementum posted:McGovern said he'd consider Wallace for his cabinet after visiting him in the hospital in '72. Holy poo poo, why? A bid for Southern Democrats?
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Pakled posted:What are the chances of the nominee not being settled before the Republican convention? Still pretty low. Most of the delegates will be awarded on March 1 and March 15. If we're still in a three way deadlock on the 16th, it might happen, but it's far more likely that either Rubio or Cruz will be well ahead of the other at that point.
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Aliquid posted:Holy poo poo, why? A bid for Southern Democrats? Yes. HHH would have won easily in '68 without Wallace in the race.
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Pakled posted:What are the chances of the nominee not being settled before the Republican convention? Unlikely if one of the challengers doesn't pick up a competitive amount of delegates on March 1st and March 15th and after.
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Joementum posted:Still pretty low. Most of the delegates will be awarded on March 1 and March 15. If we're still in a three way deadlock on the 16th, it might happen, but it's far more likely that either Rubio or Cruz will be well ahead of the other at that point. Even if Trump's wins narrow to 3-5% per state, it's still a massive delegate sweep, as seen tonight. There's a pretty good chance that that the delegate count after the 15th is closer to 70% Trump, 30% Rubio/Cruz.
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Joementum posted:Trump won all 50 delegates tonight, but there are 698 delegates up for grabs on March 1. Some haven't been polled in months, but most of them see Trump in the lead by 5 to 15 points. After winning three states in a row, do you really think his numbers are going to fall in the south?
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Joementum posted:Still pretty low. Most of the delegates will be awarded on March 1 and March 15. If we're still in a three way deadlock on the 16th, it might happen, but it's far more likely that either Rubio or Cruz will be well ahead of the other at that point. But in a 3 way race with Cruz and Rubio about even doesn't that mean they are getting too few votes to pick up many delegates due to the states that allocate on winner take all or modified winner take all (like SC)?
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Boosted_C5 posted:Don't the March 1st primaries out us at about 1/3 of the total delegates allocated? More like 1/4th of the total delegates allocated. If you add them to the February ones it's ~1/3.
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Joementum posted:Still pretty low. Most of the delegates will be awarded on March 1 and March 15. If we're still in a three way deadlock on the 16th, it might happen, but it's far more likely that either Rubio or Cruz will be well ahead of the other at that point. Saving this post for when trumps win in Florida puts him in the lead and kasich is in second place after winning Ohio
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Fuschia tude posted:Some haven't been polled in months, but most of them see Trump in the lead by 5 to 15 points. After winning three states in a row, do you really think his numbers are going to fall in the south? I think the winnowing is going to make those 5-15 point leads -5-5 point leads (edit: or worse).
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Joementum posted:I think the winnowing is going to make those 5-15 point leads -5-5 point leads. We will see ![]()
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Joementum posted:Yes. HHH would have won easily in '68 without Wallace in the race. Oh man, I didn't realize the states played out that way; I thought Wallace's support was wholly contained in the states he won. Nixon won about fifteen really close states, and even some that weren't that close (Florida at >9%) would still have swung Humphrey's way because of Wallace's strong showing. At what point did the Dems realize that the South was Nixon's for the taking and stop campaigning for white votes there? my brain says 2010
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Are there Super Tuesday states that Rubio has at least a decent shot at winning? e: I checked; early February polls had him down 6 in VA and CO, down 4 in AR, and up 2 in MN. e2: confused AR with AK, I meant Arkansas. Slate Action has issued a correction as of 06:24 on Feb 21, 2016 |
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Slate Action posted:Are there Super Tuesday states that Rubio has at least a decent shot at winning? Honestly, he has a decent chance in any of them except, probably, Texas.
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# ? Jun 11, 2024 16:31 |
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Slate Action posted:Are there Super Tuesday states that Rubio has at least a decent shot at winning? He'll get the full party backing in MN and VA, CO and AK will be tough for him. In AK, aren't the various native populations receptive to moderate Republicans? I think I remember Murkowski relying on them for her write-in campaign.
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