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Cat Mattress
Jul 14, 2012

by Cyrano4747
Double-posting because forum glitch.

Ikasuhito posted:

I'm pretty sure that's supposed to be a reference to when Ben Carson said that he believed they used to store grain in the pyramids.

It's from a medieval attempt at shoehorning the pyramids into the bible. This article explains it well.

Ben Carson being a person whose religious beliefs are right out of the middle ages, he embraced that legend as a fact.

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Count Roland
Oct 6, 2013

Israel looking to become more involved in Syria.

quote:

The Israeli army issued a statement on Friday morning declaring that it will intervene militarily to prevent the occupation of a Druze town in the Syrian Golan heights which has come under attack by the Islamic militant group Nusra Front.

The statement follows heavy fighting in the town Khader, approximately 3 kilometers from the Israeli border, including a car bomb that killed at least nine people and injured 23 others.

According to the IDF statement, the intervention is being made out of a commitment to the Druze population of the town.

"The IDF is prepared and ready to help the villagers and prevent damage or occupation of the village out of a commitment to the Druze population," the statement said.

"The allegations of Israeli involvement and assistance to global jihad elements in the fighting on the Golan Heights are groundless" the statement added.

A resident of the Druze border town of Majdal Shams in Israeli territory was slightly wounded by light-arms fire as part of the fighting and was treated for his injuries.

About 150 Druze, residents of the Golan Heights and Galilee, are demonstrating near the Israeli-Syrian border. Police and IDF forces have blocked traffic to areas near the border fearing an attempt to break though and cross the border fence.

The mayor of the Druze town of Majdal Shams, near the border in the northern Golan Heights, Dolan Abu Salah, told Haaretz that residents are in touch with the IDF and the army understands the great sensitivity of the situation.

Sheikh Mowafak Abu Tariff, the chief spiritual leader of the Druze in Israel, arrived in Majdal Shams and met with senior IDF commanders on the scene.

The Salafist Nusra Front said the organization has begun an operation “to remove the blockade” on the villages on the Syrian Golan Heights and Mount Hermon front. In a statement, the groups said it had no intention of harming the residents of the village of Khader or their property, nor “those who interfere in the war.” Al-Nusra warned the residents not to fight alongside the Syrian regime and warned them of the results of any such support for Syrian President Bashar al-Assad.

Druze spiritual leader Sheikh Ali Maadi called on Friday morning for Druze to come to the Golan and help. “The time of truth has come. Our brothers in Khader are surrounded, we need to defend our brothers,” he said.
https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/1.820878

emanresu tnuocca
Sep 2, 2011

by Athanatos

Count Roland posted:

Israel looking to become more involved in Syria.

https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/1.820878

Or less?

Israel has been semi-openly supporting Nusra for a while, it kinda stopped in the last year or so when it looked like the game was won by Assad, now it seems, at least according to the reports, Israel has actively prevented Nusra from attacking Assad.

So what gives? What's the strategy here? To cozy up to Assad and play good neighbors?

This is weird.

Volkerball
Oct 15, 2009

by FactsAreUseless
Can we wait til the "it's been 0 days since Israel bombed the Syrian regime" counter ticks over to 1 before we start accusing the two of being in bed together?

Al-Saqr
Nov 11, 2007

One Day I Will Return To Your Side.
Saudi Arabia hires head of bank famous for bankrupting itself to run its sovoreign wealth fund.

https://www.ft.com/content/be8a8bd8-be78-11e7-9836-b25f8adaa111

Cant see what could possibly go wrong.

also here's an incredible article from Jacobin about the gulfs insane city building policy:-

https://www.jacobinmag.com/2017/11/gulf-states-oil-capital-ecological-disaster

Al-Saqr fucked around with this message at 18:41 on Nov 3, 2017

Saladin Rising
Nov 12, 2016

When there is no real hope we must
mint our own. If the coin be
counterfeit it may still be passed.

Holy poo poo that was fast:
https://twitter.com/AlSuraEnglish/status/926395213496463362

quote:

#BREAKING - #Iraqi forces fully liberate last #ISIS-held city in #Iraq, Al-Qaim

https://twitter.com/AlSuraEnglish/status/926399568152993792

quote:

Our full report on the day long city offensive liberating #Iraq from #ISIS in any cities can be found here.
http://al-sura.com/iraqi-forces-liberate-last-isis-held-city-in-iraq-al-qaim/
Just like Hawija and Tal Afar, the Iraqi army liberated yet another decent-sized city with almost no fanfare.

Squalid
Nov 4, 2008

Al-Saqr posted:

Saudi Arabia hires head of bank famous for bankrupting itself to run its sovoreign wealth fund.

https://www.ft.com/content/be8a8bd8-be78-11e7-9836-b25f8adaa111

Cant see what could possibly go wrong.

also here's an incredible article from Jacobin about the gulfs insane city building policy:-

https://www.jacobinmag.com/2017/11/gulf-states-oil-capital-ecological-disaster

I get the sense these guys watched the animatrix and were like whoa, what can we do to make this happen in real life?

Throatwarbler
Nov 17, 2008

by vyelkin
SAA are now in Iraq.

https://twitter.com/AllyOfTruth/status/926446987792257024

https://twitter.com/klkamashiq/status/926412736552226816
https://twitter.com/klkamashiq/status/926429431794724864

Volkerball
Oct 15, 2009

by FactsAreUseless
https://twitter.com/ReutersWorld/status/926516493143216128

All talk.

Zudgemud
Mar 1, 2009
Grimey Drawer

Al-Saqr posted:

here's an incredible article from Jacobin about the gulfs insane city building policy:-

https://www.jacobinmag.com/2017/11/gulf-states-oil-capital-ecological-disaster

A really interesting article. Do you have some more articles that shed light on how exactly the existing power structures and industry make it hard to make sensible investments for a post oil economy in the gulf?

Grouchio
Aug 31, 2014

Al-Saqr posted:

also here's an incredible article from Jacobin about the gulfs insane city building policy:-

https://www.jacobinmag.com/2017/11/gulf-states-oil-capital-ecological-disaster
This madman must be stopped before he accelerates the Middle Eastern ecological death spiral further.

Laurenz
Dec 21, 2015

They call him little janny hotpockets. He was terrific, he was the best, and he did it for free too.

Saladin Rising posted:

Holy poo poo that was fast:
https://twitter.com/AlSuraEnglish/status/926395213496463362


https://twitter.com/AlSuraEnglish/status/926399568152993792

Just like Hawija and Tal Afar, the Iraqi army liberated yet another decent-sized city with almost no fanfare.

Hawija and Tal 'Afar were liberated so quickly because both were under siege for a long time and in Tal 'Afar, IS used all their resources and manpower to push out into the Ninawa desert and break the siege. Same goes for Hawija, throughout the entire Mosul campaign they launched daily attacks on the Mosul-Tikrit highway in order to disrupt or break the flow of equipment and manpower to Mosul. The result was that they were low on men and weapons when the offensives were launched.

Whereas al-Qa'im wasn't under siege and they apparently still have a lot of manpower and weapons there. Weird how it fell so quickly.
I would compare it to Mayadin but not Hawija or Tal 'Afar.

Duckbox
Sep 7, 2007

I wonder how much of ISIS's operational leadership is even still alive at this point. They have no capital and whatever is left of their central command is cowering somewhere along the Euphrates with three armies closing in on it amid sustained bombing and information warfare.

It's no wonder their outlying cadres are collapsing. The chance of getting informed and timely strategic directives from ISIS central is next to nil, so they must be operating independently and are probably just trying to stay alive/keep fighting.

Brother Friendship
Jul 12, 2013

Laurenz posted:

Hawija and Tal 'Afar were liberated so quickly because both were under siege for a long time and in Tal 'Afar, IS used all their resources and manpower to push out into the Ninawa desert and break the siege. Same goes for Hawija, throughout the entire Mosul campaign they launched daily attacks on the Mosul-Tikrit highway in order to disrupt or break the flow of equipment and manpower to Mosul. The result was that they were low on men and weapons when the offensives were launched.

Whereas al-Qa'im wasn't under siege and they apparently still have a lot of manpower and weapons there. Weird how it fell so quickly.
I would compare it to Mayadin but not Hawija or Tal 'Afar.

It seems likely that as much of their fighting force as possible was dispersed into the desert or fled. What the amounts to is anyone's guess.

Count Roland
Oct 6, 2013

Duckbox posted:

I wonder how much of ISIS's operational leadership is even still alive at this point. They have no capital and whatever is left of their central command is cowering somewhere along the Euphrates with three armies closing in on it amid sustained bombing and information warfare.

It's no wonder their outlying cadres are collapsing. The chance of getting informed and timely strategic directives from ISIS central is next to nil, so they must be operating independently and are probably just trying to stay alive/keep fighting.

Its pretty amazing they didn't just surrender/defect a long time ago. That so many have kept fighting for so long shows there really were a lot of dedicated people involved.

TheDeadlyShoe
Feb 14, 2014

pretense is my co-pilot

Count Roland posted:

Its pretty amazing they didn't just surrender/defect a long time ago. That so many have kept fighting for so long shows there really were a lot of dedicated people involved.

Consider that ISIS members were almost required to commit horrendous crimes, and that many of the attacking armies are not inclined to be merciful.

Count Roland
Oct 6, 2013

TheDeadlyShoe posted:

Consider that ISIS members were almost required to commit horrendous crimes, and that many of the attacking armies are not inclined to be merciful.

That's why you defect instead.

Easier said than done I know, but in this conflict we've seen many, many routs of soldiers in national armies against forces that were inferior on paper. That IS has so often fought to the end shows a real difference in these organizations.

Cocoa Ninja
Mar 3, 2007
Great New Yorker article that gives a general history of the SDF and follows events up through the retaking of Raqqa.

Covers things like Kurdish / Arab tension, the complexities of granting amnesty to former ISIS fighters, and the weird limbo the SDF is likely to be left in now that ISIS is gone —

https://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2017/11/06/dark-victory-in-raqqa

Rincewinds
Jul 30, 2014

MEAT IS MEAT

Well, it would now be rude of the Iraq army to not help Assad destroy his opposition.

Count Roland
Oct 6, 2013

http://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-41870406

quote:

Lebanese Prime Minister Saad al-Hariri has resigned, saying in a televised broadcast he feared for his life, while also fiercely criticising Iran.

Mr Hariri's father, former prime minister Rafik al-Hariri, was assassinated in 2005.

Mr Hariri accused Iran of sowing "fear and destruction" in several countries, including Lebanon.

He was named prime minister in November last year, after previously holding the position between 2009 and 2011.

"We are living in a climate similar to the atmosphere that prevailed before the assassination of martyr Rafik al-Hariri," he said in the broadcast from the Saudi capital Riyadh.

"I have sensed what is being plotted covertly to target my life."

Mr Hariri also attacked the Iran-backed Shia movement Hezbollah, which wields considerable power in Lebanon.

He has made several visits in the past few days to Saudi Arabia, whose leadership is strongly opposed to Iran.

Taking up the prime minister's office last year, Mr Hariri promised a "new era for Lebanon" after two years of political deadlock.

Saudi influence at play?

Sebastian Usher, Arab Affairs Editor

Mr Hariri's resignation has come as a big surprise, plunging Lebanon's often turbulent political scene into new uncertainty.

He has had a complicated political career, moving to and fro between Lebanon and Saudi Arabia - his family's key backer.

His resignation follows recent visits to the Saudis, raising speculation that their influence is likely to be at play.

Certainly, his ferocious denunciation of Iran and Hezbollah, which his own militia once battled unsuccessfully on the streets of Beirut, is in line with Saudi policy.

Maybe its :tinfoil: of me, but I read this and think of the story I posted yesterday about Israel threatening to move more forcefully into Syria.

I guess its 'cause from a grand strategy point of view, the US, Saudi Arabia and others see conflicts in Syria and Iraq winding down, to Iran's favour. Israel in Syria keeps Assad on his toes-- another potential conflict could easily spring up. Destabilizing Lebanon (well, not like Lebanon is particularly stable now) puts pressure on Hezbollah, key Iranian proxy. Keeping the conflict open-ended keeps open a way to strike at Iran and its influence, even if I think this is a dumb strategy that hasn't been working.

Dr Kool-AIDS
Mar 26, 2004

Count Roland posted:

http://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-41870406


Maybe its :tinfoil: of me, but I read this and think of the story I posted yesterday about Israel threatening to move more forcefully into Syria.

I guess its 'cause from a grand strategy point of view, the US, Saudi Arabia and others see conflicts in Syria and Iraq winding down, to Iran's favour. Israel in Syria keeps Assad on his toes-- another potential conflict could easily spring up. Destabilizing Lebanon (well, not like Lebanon is particularly stable now) puts pressure on Hezbollah, key Iranian proxy. Keeping the conflict open-ended keeps open a way to strike at Iran and its influence, even if I think this is a dumb strategy that hasn't been working.

Israel was just talking about protecting a small Druze village because their own Druze community was upset about Nusra threatening them and they didn't want to have to take in Druze refugees from Syria. They made back channel threats/deals to deal with it in the past, and were just more open about it this time. Israel may do something at some point because of iranian influence on their border (or they may not--as Obama people constantly said, Netanyahu talks a lot bigger than he acts), but Hezbollah is a reminder that intervening in neighboring countries can create long-term problems for Israel.

Laurenz
Dec 21, 2015

They call him little janny hotpockets. He was terrific, he was the best, and he did it for free too.

Duckbox posted:

I wonder how much of ISIS's operational leadership is even still alive at this point. They have no capital and whatever is left of their central command is cowering somewhere along the Euphrates with three armies closing in on it amid sustained bombing and information warfare.

It's no wonder their outlying cadres are collapsing. The chance of getting informed and timely strategic directives from ISIS central is next to nil, so they must be operating independently and are probably just trying to stay alive/keep fighting.

At this point IS is basically back to being an insurgency. They are still very active in Diyala and Salahuddin and pretty much conduct raids every single day on PMU and ISF positions before retreating back to wherever they're hiding. The IS fighters take their commands from their Wilayat's and not from the central leadership, at this point they all know their caliphate is over. It wouldn't surprise me if some high-up IS figures have managed to smuggle their way out of the Euphrates area, maybe even out of Syria and Iraq.

Al-Saqr
Nov 11, 2007

One Day I Will Return To Your Side.
Saudi shoots down houthi ballistic missile over Riyadh

http://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-41872995

Oh poo poo it looks like the houthis launched the missiles at Riyadh Airport, reports of explosions

https://twitter.com/ajenglish/status/926875124657160198


Reports of smoke from the airport:-

http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2017/11/yemen-houthi-fire-missile-saudi-arabia-riyadh-171104180946302.html

Al-Saqr fucked around with this message at 20:18 on Nov 4, 2017

Al-Saqr
Nov 11, 2007

One Day I Will Return To Your Side.
Massive government firings happening, people as high up as Prince Miteb the head of the national guard being fired, will be back later tonight with details.

here are links to tide you over:-

https://english.alarabiya.net/en/Ne...tion-probe.html
http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2017/11/saudi-ministers-national-guard-economy-dismissed-171104190619900.html

Squalid
Nov 4, 2008

Is this indicative of some kind of strategy or shifting coalition among the princes? I hate this kind of black-box politics, at least in the American political-theatre the clowns have to mime out their intentions for the mob. Not much to make sense of in these Royal schemes.

Mixodorian
Jan 26, 2009

Count Roland posted:

http://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-41870406


Maybe its :tinfoil: of me, but I read this and think of the story I posted yesterday about Israel threatening to move more forcefully into Syria.

I guess its 'cause from a grand strategy point of view, the US, Saudi Arabia and others see conflicts in Syria and Iraq winding down, to Iran's favour. Israel in Syria keeps Assad on his toes-- another potential conflict could easily spring up. Destabilizing Lebanon (well, not like Lebanon is particularly stable now) puts pressure on Hezbollah, key Iranian proxy. Keeping the conflict open-ended keeps open a way to strike at Iran and its influence, even if I think this is a dumb strategy that hasn't been working.

None of this is tinfoil hat, it is just reality.

Duckbox
Sep 7, 2007

I think at this point we can just call it a coup. Monarchies aren't really ruled by one person but by a court oligarchy. The king is still the king, but MBS has taken up the mantle of the heir apparent, which means he's effectively in power already. Now he's purging the government of rivals/threats, which probably means that anyone loyal to the previous crown prince is going to get booted in favor of his people. These purges are almost inevitable in oligarchic systems because, as we've seen, even a crown prince can be vulnerable if a rival gains too much power.

OhFunny
Jun 26, 2013

EXTREMELY PISSED AT THE DNC

Al-Saqr posted:

Saudi shoots down houthi ballistic missile over Riyadh

http://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-41872995

Oh poo poo it looks like the houthis launched the missiles at Riyadh Airport, reports of explosions

https://twitter.com/ajenglish/status/926875124657160198


Reports of smoke from the airport:-

http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2017/11/yemen-houthi-fire-missile-saudi-arabia-riyadh-171104180946302.html

https://twitter.com/StratSentinel/status/926881254804545536

Video of this.

Al-Saqr
Nov 11, 2007

One Day I Will Return To Your Side.
I'm outside so I can't talk much, but holy poo poo, WALID BIN TALAL got arrested!!!!! This is huge!!

https://twitter.com/joyce_karam/status/926914862722179073

Looks like his mile high tower is gonna be put on hold!

lollontee
Nov 4, 2014
Probation
Can't post for 10 years!

Al-Saqr posted:

I'm outside so I can't talk much, but holy poo poo, WALID BIN TALAL got arrested!!!!! This is huge!!

https://twitter.com/joyce_karam/status/926914862722179073

Looks like his mile high tower is gonna be put on hold!

As one mans tower falls, the soap gets slippery.

Vincent Van Goatse
Nov 8, 2006

Enjoy every sandwich.

Smellrose
Can someone walk me through whatever the gently caress is happening in Saudi Arabia in very small words? Like is there a genuine chance for political change here or is this just the usual succession process bullshit? Seriously all I understand of the current situation is there's a new heir apparent, Crown Prince Something-or-Other, who has been mouthing the usual words about moderation and tolerance that the Western media loves, and now Various Important People are getting arrested. Do the Yemeni missiles falling on Saudi airports have anything to do with Saudi domestic politics?

Vincent Van Goatse fucked around with this message at 01:17 on Nov 5, 2017

Willie Tomg
Feb 2, 2006

Vincent Van Goatse posted:

Can someone walk me through whatever the gently caress is happening in Saudi Arabia in very small words? Like is there a genuine chance for political change here or is this just the usual succession process bullshit?

The latter, to a certain definition of "usual" considering the general idea of royal successions is to have as few of them as possible, and this appears to be a particularly comprehensive consolidation at a very delicate time in middle east politics.

It is a genuine political change and interesting for that! But probably not in the way one would outright hope for.

Dr Kool-AIDS
Mar 26, 2004

This is definitely different than normal for Saudi Arabia. They were staring at a generational crisis for a long time since they had an unbelievably stupid succession system in which the slightly younger brother of an ancient monarch would take over after he died, so you'd end up with another near-dead king at least ostensibly running things (often they'd be infirm so the crown prince or other royals would step in to take on a lot of his duties). Eventually they realized that system wasn't working anymore, so they started choosing crown princes instead, and the current king fired the last one to replace him with his son. There was immediate pressure on the media and everyone else to talk about how great the new crown prince was, and now it seems the consolidation of power behind the crown prince is continuing with these arrests.

Tl;dr version: Rule by tradition and consensus is being replaced by an ambitious prince who wants to consolidate power behind himself.

Dr Kool-AIDS fucked around with this message at 01:43 on Nov 5, 2017

Al-Saqr
Nov 11, 2007

One Day I Will Return To Your Side.

Vincent Van Goatse posted:

Can someone walk me through whatever the gently caress is happening in Saudi Arabia in very small words? Like is there a genuine chance for political change here or is this just the usual succession process bullshit? Seriously all I understand of the current situation is there's a new heir apparent, Crown Prince Something-or-Other, who has been mouthing the usual words about moderation and tolerance that the Western media loves, and now Various Important People are getting arrested. Do the Yemeni missiles falling on Saudi airports have anything to do with Saudi domestic politics?

basically what we're seeing is the most dramatic and violent capture of power by a prince since King Faisal deposed king Saud in 1964, this isnt a political change but a really dramatic changing of the leadership of the royal family and the structure of power within the family.

Like, it's probably not a good or progressive change since the country is fully headed into a police state corporate nightmare with some makeup such as women driving, but it is a rather dramatic changing of the centers of power of the people who run things, way beyond what I thought was going to happed that's for sure.

Rigged Death Trap
Feb 13, 2012

BEEP BEEP BEEP BEEP

In short:
The plaques and portraits are changing.
Nothing else is.

Ramrod Hotshot
May 30, 2003

I've probably repeated this in this thread before, but I've got a gut feeling that MBS is biting off way more than he can chew. He has to be pissing off some princes that still retain considerable power, what with the purges of the previous crown prince (who headed the Interior ministry, basically their FBI), and all these other princes and businessmen today. He's already proven himself to be a hothead with poor judgement and strategic thinking, what with the Yemen debacle and the failed Qatar embargo. And he'd be a young head of state anywhere, but this is a country where kings ascend at about the same age as popes do. Whether it's now or after he becomes king, someone has to be plotting behind the scenes to wipe that poo poo-eating grin off the crown prince's face.

lollontee
Nov 4, 2014
Probation
Can't post for 10 years!

Ramrod Hotshot posted:

I've probably repeated this in this thread before, but I've got a gut feeling that MBS is biting off way more than he can chew. He has to be pissing off some princes that still retain considerable power, what with the purges of the previous crown prince (who headed the Interior ministry, basically their FBI), and all these other princes and businessmen today. He's already proven himself to be a hothead with poor judgement and strategic thinking, what with the Yemen debacle and the failed Qatar embargo. And he'd be a young head of state anywhere, but this is a country where kings ascend at about the same age as popes do. Whether it's now or after he becomes king, someone has to be plotting behind the scenes to wipe that poo poo-eating grin off the crown prince's face.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8FJg9ZrvaGc

Vincent Van Goatse
Nov 8, 2006

Enjoy every sandwich.

Smellrose

Sinteres posted:

This is definitely different than normal for Saudi Arabia. They were staring at a generational crisis for a long time since they had an unbelievably stupid succession system in which the slightly younger brother of an ancient monarch would take over after he died, so you'd end up with another near-dead king at least ostensibly running things (often they'd be infirm so the crown prince or other royals would step in to take on a lot of his duties). Eventually they realized that system wasn't working anymore, so they started choosing crown princes instead, and the current king fired the last one to replace him with his son. There was immediate pressure on the media and everyone else to talk about how great the new crown prince was, and now it seems the consolidation of power behind the crown prince is continuing with these arrests.

Tl;dr version: Rule by tradition and consensus is being replaced by an ambitious prince who wants to consolidate power behind himself.

Al-Saqr posted:

basically what we're seeing is the most dramatic and violent capture of power by a prince since King Faisal deposed king Saud in 1964, this isnt a political change but a really dramatic changing of the leadership of the royal family and the structure of power within the family.

Like, it's probably not a good or progressive change since the country is fully headed into a police state corporate nightmare with some makeup such as women driving, but it is a rather dramatic changing of the centers of power of the people who run things, way beyond what I thought was going to happed that's for sure.

Thank you. This explains everything, and I'm not being sarcastic when I say that.

Emanuel Collective
Jan 16, 2008

by Smythe

Ramrod Hotshot posted:

I've probably repeated this in this thread before, but I've got a gut feeling that MBS is biting off way more than he can chew. He has to be pissing off some princes that still retain considerable power, what with the purges of the previous crown prince (who headed the Interior ministry, basically their FBI), and all these other princes and businessmen today. He's already proven himself to be a hothead with poor judgement and strategic thinking, what with the Yemen debacle and the failed Qatar embargo. And he'd be a young head of state anywhere, but this is a country where kings ascend at about the same age as popes do. Whether it's now or after he becomes king, someone has to be plotting behind the scenes to wipe that poo poo-eating grin off the crown prince's face.

And assuming the Hariri "resignation" is part of MBS's plan, he just made himself some new enemies in a country they can't afford to piss off too much

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Al-Saqr
Nov 11, 2007

One Day I Will Return To Your Side.
https://twitter.com/BaFana3/status/926974746184515584

http://saudigazette.com.sa/article/521049/SAUDI-ARABIA/New-anti-terror-laws-include-death-penalty

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