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Bohemian Nights
Jul 14, 2006

When I wake up,
I look into the mirror
I can see a clearer, vision
I should start living today
Clapping Larry
Now that the US forces have arrived at Mosul, I'm curious to see how they'll deal with the VBIED attacks that are all the rage for ordinance delivery these days

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Bohemian Nights
Jul 14, 2006

When I wake up,
I look into the mirror
I can see a clearer, vision
I should start living today
Clapping Larry
Syria ceasefire announced to start on the 30th, includes everyone except IS and al nusra-afilliates

e: and poo poo's really popping off in mosul today

Bohemian Nights fucked around with this message at 14:11 on Dec 29, 2016

Bohemian Nights
Jul 14, 2006

When I wake up,
I look into the mirror
I can see a clearer, vision
I should start living today
Clapping Larry

succ posted:

What's that map from?

http://isis.liveuamap.com/

Good resource for keeping up with the day to day events in various conflict areas

Bohemian Nights
Jul 14, 2006

When I wake up,
I look into the mirror
I can see a clearer, vision
I should start living today
Clapping Larry

Volkerball posted:

https://twitter.com/borzou/status/814534053999341568

Russia said moderates were real for the first time.

The list of these so named moderates is also pretty interesting in terms of seeing what kind of numbers the various groups operate with

https://twitter.com/SaladinAlDronni/status/814503693664055296

Bohemian Nights
Jul 14, 2006

When I wake up,
I look into the mirror
I can see a clearer, vision
I should start living today
Clapping Larry
I would love to shill for a state actor on any online forum. If anyone is hiring, hit me up on PM, I have no ethical boundaries

Hollande visiting the Mosul frontline (I guess since the french now have some 1500 french soldiers assisting in the siege) and talking to Peshmerga leadership:
https://twitter.com/BarzanSadiq/status/815916730140753920

Also holy poo poo
https://twitter.com/Segozavr/status/815887775279026176
Trans: "According to the information of the journalists over the past 4 days the battle for Mosul, the Iraqi army lost more than 600 people killed and wounded."

must be getting on a few thousand casualties for the iraqi security forces by now

Bohemian Nights
Jul 14, 2006

When I wake up,
I look into the mirror
I can see a clearer, vision
I should start living today
Clapping Larry
Looks like a very good day for the ISF in mosul, advancing into several occupied districts in the east and SE

(also that supply line that got cut off in the south yesterday was restored after just a couple of hours)

Bohemian Nights
Jul 14, 2006

When I wake up,
I look into the mirror
I can see a clearer, vision
I should start living today
Clapping Larry

Ikasuhito posted:

Also it looks like another foreign YPG fighter has died. This one from Canada.

https://twitter.com/Dr_Partizan/status/816300462425198592

A couple of weeks ago (I think) IS reported having killed two foreign fighters in the same area. I wonder if these are the same, just that their identities were finally released.

e: found the tweet I was thinking about
https://twitter.com/geopolitiquee/status/812058928355954688

Bohemian Nights fucked around with this message at 21:28 on Jan 3, 2017

Bohemian Nights
Jul 14, 2006

When I wake up,
I look into the mirror
I can see a clearer, vision
I should start living today
Clapping Larry
The Turkish army and the FSA just seem incapable of getting a foothold anywhere in Al'bab, despite having leveled pretty much the entire city by now

Meanwhile the ISF has recaptured several more neighborhoods in mosul- at this rate they'll maybe in a few weeks control the entire eastern side of the river

e:
Also, US special forces are apparently working out of Deir Ez-Zor

This from earlier today:
https://twitter.com/EjmAlrai/status/818827355611418624

And a hostage rescue op a couple of days ago

Bohemian Nights fucked around with this message at 18:06 on Jan 10, 2017

Bohemian Nights
Jul 14, 2006

When I wake up,
I look into the mirror
I can see a clearer, vision
I should start living today
Clapping Larry

WarpedNaba posted:

So how are they going to cleanse that pocket of Daesh? They've got nowhere to run to so they'll dig in, right?

I don't think that's really an option. There's no major settlements in that area, so there are very limited places to hide and so they'd probably fall prey to airstrikes as soon as they set up any kind of noteworthy positions. Probably be hard pressed for any kind of supplies after a small number of engagements, too

I am obviously a clueless speculant but I imagine that the forces in the pocket will either make a break for it to attempt return to their side, or that there really isn't really much IS presence in that pocket to speak of, since there isn't really anything of value to defend in the area. I follow the kurd progress pretty closely on the maps, and while a lot of action is unreported, pockets like this often close with very little fanfare and seemingly little action as the front line pushes forwards

Bohemian Nights
Jul 14, 2006

When I wake up,
I look into the mirror
I can see a clearer, vision
I should start living today
Clapping Larry

Baloogan posted:

https://twitter.com/michaelh992/status/820247621981929472

:shrug: I don't know enough about anything to determine if its real or not.

It's not real

e:
http://tvzvezda.ru/news/vstrane_i_mire/content/201701141550-mr67.htm

"The commander of the Russian embassy in Yemen has officially denied information in the media that the Russian ambassador was killed in this country."

Bohemian Nights fucked around with this message at 14:08 on Jan 14, 2017

Bohemian Nights
Jul 14, 2006

When I wake up,
I look into the mirror
I can see a clearer, vision
I should start living today
Clapping Larry
Yesterday the Turkish army and the FSA announced the final push on Al'Bab. Today it was confirmed that their eight(?) attack has also petered out. This is all getting pretty embarrassing.

A backflipped turkish AAPC from yesterday:

Bohemian Nights
Jul 14, 2006

When I wake up,
I look into the mirror
I can see a clearer, vision
I should start living today
Clapping Larry
https://twitter.com/Dalatrm/status/820648688431333376
"Free Syrian Army leader Mustafa Sijri of Liwa al-Mu'tasim Brigade says that a Turkey backed "National Army" is about to take shape, urging Syrian's to join and the Free Syrian Army to merge, Syria."

Huhm..

Nenonen posted:

In APC culture, rolling onto the back is a show of deference to the alpha of the pack, much the way a bowed head shows deference among certain people. Rolling over also helps APCs get out of potential danger by peacefully persuading an aggressor to back off.

Nature is so wild and beautiful!

Bohemian Nights
Jul 14, 2006

When I wake up,
I look into the mirror
I can see a clearer, vision
I should start living today
Clapping Larry

Asehujiko posted:

"Asi_jain_bgm_mahkmh"? I'm afraid I'll need a bit more info on that one.


https://twitter.com/The_NewArab/status/820925513762045952

I think it may be related to this?

e: Gosh, a lot of people seem really angry at sisi on twitter

I really wish I spoke arabic and didn't have to rely on translation software

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/01/16/egyptian-court-deals-blow-sisi-rejecting-plans-give-islands/

Bohemian Nights fucked around with this message at 18:36 on Jan 16, 2017

Bohemian Nights
Jul 14, 2006

When I wake up,
I look into the mirror
I can see a clearer, vision
I should start living today
Clapping Larry

OctaMurk posted:

Could you translate that next time? Most of us dont speak arabic

"sisi jean(?) court ruling" or something like that

Bohemian Nights
Jul 14, 2006

When I wake up,
I look into the mirror
I can see a clearer, vision
I should start living today
Clapping Larry
Yeah it looks over for Deir-ez Zor, though the fighting might last a little longer. As if splitting the city into two pockets wasn't bad enough, IS control over the large hill on the western outskirts of the city means that air supply and reinforcement is no longer possible.

Atleast there's good news from Iraq;

https://twitter.com/IraqiSecurity/status/821141928808955910
https://twitter.com/iraqi_day/status/821326420819509248

:toot:

e: I wonder what the next phase in the Mosul op will be. All the bridges connecting the city have been blown up either by coalition airstrikes or IS, so a direct assault over the tigris to secure the western half of the city seems somewhat unlikely. I suspect the first step will be to wrap around and push the southern flank, closing off the pocket and securing the international airport, but I guess we'll have to wait and see

Maps for reference:

Mosul on 10.01


Mosul today, 17.01


Good progress! Expect that last pocket in the eastern part of the city to close within the next couple of days, if not hours. It's mostly open ground and the Nineveh ruins and shouldn't be difficult to clear when you can do it from all sides.

Bohemian Nights fucked around with this message at 15:39 on Jan 17, 2017

Bohemian Nights
Jul 14, 2006

When I wake up,
I look into the mirror
I can see a clearer, vision
I should start living today
Clapping Larry
Maybe the talk of handing the Al-Bab operation over to the SAA wasn't rumors after all;



The Turkish/FSA forces and SAA seem to be clearing IS territory from both sides, will probably be neighbors soon

Bohemian Nights
Jul 14, 2006

When I wake up,
I look into the mirror
I can see a clearer, vision
I should start living today
Clapping Larry

Thug Lessons posted:

You have some idealized vision of debates. If you look at the recent US Presidential debates they fit FaustianQ's description to a t. In any case I do recognize that most (though certainly not all) people come to this thread for news rather than political arguments and I would be happy to take it elsewhere except for the fact this is the forum for political arguments.

I think it is fine to have political arguments, and I think they're fascinating to read a lot of the time, it is not like it's either that or news

I do not think making posts saying nothing except that someone lusts for assad's cock is a political arguement

e:

some news!!

https://twitter.com/Jacm212/status/824589867241926656

Bohemian Nights fucked around with this message at 00:19 on Jan 27, 2017

Bohemian Nights
Jul 14, 2006

When I wake up,
I look into the mirror
I can see a clearer, vision
I should start living today
Clapping Larry
its finally time to fix this whole isis thing :downs:

Bohemian Nights
Jul 14, 2006

When I wake up,
I look into the mirror
I can see a clearer, vision
I should start living today
Clapping Larry
Not that it's worth much, but the regime is obviously denying that Assad has any health issues

Bohemian Nights
Jul 14, 2006

When I wake up,
I look into the mirror
I can see a clearer, vision
I should start living today
Clapping Larry

Svartvit posted:

I just assumed that last quote was Israeli. Is it a Nazi?

Kind of, I mean it's a verbatim trump quote

Bohemian Nights
Jul 14, 2006

When I wake up,
I look into the mirror
I can see a clearer, vision
I should start living today
Clapping Larry
Newswise it has been pretty quiet on all fronts in iraq and eastern aleppo, with little movement in regards to pretty coloured borders

Though this popped up today, which is a nice change of pace in eastern homs

https://twitter.com/QalaatAlMudiq/status/826089530637819904

Bohemian Nights
Jul 14, 2006

When I wake up,
I look into the mirror
I can see a clearer, vision
I should start living today
Clapping Larry

Baloogan posted:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HkjWWiUKQII

apparently a saudi FFG got nailed by a anti ship missile

Possible ID: Al Madinah class frigate
https://wiki.baloogancampaign.com/index.php/DataShip?ID=2267

Uh holy poo poo, for some reason I'm surprised that anti ship missiles are available to the yemeni(?)'s

Bohemian Nights
Jul 14, 2006

When I wake up,
I look into the mirror
I can see a clearer, vision
I should start living today
Clapping Larry

Baloogan posted:

Iran give em the missiles
they popped off a few at USN ships last year (none hit of course)

they also nailed another saudi ship last year

Ah, thanks. I wasn't aware!

Bohemian Nights
Jul 14, 2006

When I wake up,
I look into the mirror
I can see a clearer, vision
I should start living today
Clapping Larry

steinrokkan posted:

Also, armored SUVs, that means just glorified technicals or armored personal cars, no?

It's these things

Bohemian Nights
Jul 14, 2006

When I wake up,
I look into the mirror
I can see a clearer, vision
I should start living today
Clapping Larry

Shageletic posted:

Life's turning into a comic book right on schedule.



This (standalone) comic is really good and I'd recommend it to anyone

Bohemian Nights
Jul 14, 2006

When I wake up,
I look into the mirror
I can see a clearer, vision
I should start living today
Clapping Larry
If the general idea is to martyr yourself I suppose it doesn't matter if you die with a knife or a gun in your hand

Bohemian Nights
Jul 14, 2006

When I wake up,
I look into the mirror
I can see a clearer, vision
I should start living today
Clapping Larry
Third phase of the SDF offensive towards Raqqa started today

Bohemian Nights
Jul 14, 2006

When I wake up,
I look into the mirror
I can see a clearer, vision
I should start living today
Clapping Larry
Late last night the turks/FSA reportedly captured Bza'a, one of the two larger towns to the east of Al-bab, a pretty significant step in capturing the city itself

.. then they promptly lost it again and it is now under IS control once more :l

Bohemian Nights
Jul 14, 2006

When I wake up,
I look into the mirror
I can see a clearer, vision
I should start living today
Clapping Larry
"According to emerging reports from Yemen, a surface-to-surface missile fired by the Yemeni Army has hit the Saudi capital, Riyadh."

I will wait until I hear reports from Riyadh, because I can't find any sources confirming this outside of twitter

Bohemian Nights
Jul 14, 2006

When I wake up,
I look into the mirror
I can see a clearer, vision
I should start living today
Clapping Larry


Al-Hans, are we the baddies?

(Iraqi CT in mosul)

Bohemian Nights
Jul 14, 2006

When I wake up,
I look into the mirror
I can see a clearer, vision
I should start living today
Clapping Larry
My job is 75% fire safety related and this picture is making me sweat bullets

Bohemian Nights
Jul 14, 2006

When I wake up,
I look into the mirror
I can see a clearer, vision
I should start living today
Clapping Larry

Shageletic posted:

ME Food talk can get pretty hilarious tho, I mean even outside the uber political thing b/w Lebanon and Israel regarding hummous, try figuring out where kebabs originally came from (I'm saying Turkey). It can get heated.

For relevant research material on the greek/turk side of this conflict I recommend classic german documentary Kebab Connection

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pKWwOaTdP-g&t=25s

Bohemian Nights
Jul 14, 2006

When I wake up,
I look into the mirror
I can see a clearer, vision
I should start living today
Clapping Larry
https://twitter.com/metesohtaoglu/status/829345250720305152

I'm a little confused about this. Working together on al-bab- sure, they're already cooperating with coalition air forces so that's fine, they can probably ramp up the number of airstrikes- but acting together on Raqqa would be in direct conflict with turkey's interests as the only faction doing anything about Raqqa atm is the coalition supported SDF/YPG, the very people who I imagine the turks/FSA will turn their guns on once al-bab falls.. Turkey has been positioning a lot of troops by A'zaz, and there's speculation that they'll want to extend their buffer zone into the SDF territory in northwestern Syria once al-bab falls- if that happens, I have a hard time imagining them cooperating in the SDF campaign against Raqqa on one front while attacking the very same faction on the other.

e: though hopefully I'm completely wrong and turkey will be pleased with their gains and consolidate once al-bab is under control rather than pick a new fight

Bohemian Nights
Jul 14, 2006

When I wake up,
I look into the mirror
I can see a clearer, vision
I should start living today
Clapping Larry

Sinteres posted:

The converging front lines of the SAA and the Turkish incursion have finally met, and it looks like they don't intend to be good neighbors.

SAA airstrike reportedly killed 4 and injured 2 turkish soldiers a few hours ago, too

Bohemian Nights
Jul 14, 2006

When I wake up,
I look into the mirror
I can see a clearer, vision
I should start living today
Clapping Larry
https://twitter.com/Abood_Dwehe/status/830066577492017159

"Syria's democratic forces and the Assad regime coordinated to launch a joint military operation on Deir Ezzor province."

Pretty good news for all parties involved if true.

I imagine that overt military cooperation between SAA/SDF would be really good for the long term relations and for whatever comes next once IS is out of the picture as a major player

Bohemian Nights fucked around with this message at 17:17 on Feb 10, 2017

Bohemian Nights
Jul 14, 2006

When I wake up,
I look into the mirror
I can see a clearer, vision
I should start living today
Clapping Larry
Lots of conflicting reports out of al-bab and surroundings today. First the FSA claimed to have captured both Bza'a and Qabisin again but it seems like they got a little ahead of themselves and either lost control or never pushed IS forces entirely out, because they've pulled back to the outskirts of the towns again. Can't be long now, though, all roads to the area have been cut off and SAA forces are now a mere kilometer away in the south.

Sinteres posted:

The SDF has the saddest looking tank I've ever seen.

https://twitter.com/AfarinMamosta/status/830850604209692673

we advance wars now boys

Bohemian Nights
Jul 14, 2006

When I wake up,
I look into the mirror
I can see a clearer, vision
I should start living today
Clapping Larry
Mosul update: s h i t s p o p p i n



Iraqi forces moving in hard from the south, gaining serious ground the last 24h, I expect they'll start fighting over the airport very shortly

Bohemian Nights
Jul 14, 2006

When I wake up,
I look into the mirror
I can see a clearer, vision
I should start living today
Clapping Larry

Saladin Rising posted:

Seriously though this is pretty astounding news, it shows that ISIL feels legitimately under threat in Raqqa.

And they should! I think the SDF will have a really hard time actually taking Raqqa on their own- and maybe they can't, but once they inevitably gain hold of a large portion of the surrounding areas and start getting some semblance of control over movement in and out of the city plus having coalition air support to vaporize any suspected IS stronghold, it'll become incredibly dangerous to be stuck in Raqqa.

Bohemian Nights
Jul 14, 2006

When I wake up,
I look into the mirror
I can see a clearer, vision
I should start living today
Clapping Larry
http://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/view/the-campaign-to-retake-raqqa-is-accelerating

some interesting thoughts around Raqqa


I've been thinking about this a lot:

quote:

THE COALITION'S CIVILIAN PROBLEM
Deciding how to handle Raqqa's 300,000 civilians is the main challenge facing the SDF and its international backers. IS has repeatedly used civilians as human shields to deter aerial bombardment and prevent rigorous sieges. In Manbij, for example, the group barred civilians in their homes by mining the streets and shooting anyone who tried to flee. The SDF had to take the city house by house, sustaining heavy losses. In the end, many IS fighters were permitted to flee by mixing in with several thousand civilians leaving the city.

Therefore, one of the priorities in Raqqa is to encourage civilians to depart before the final assault. This means quickly reaching the city's outskirts and securing humanitarian corridors through which locals can escape, taking advantage of the disorganization created by the fighting. In addition, long-term camps will need to be established in the surrounding countryside to house people displaced by the battle, since they may not be able to return home indefinitely.

Once the main siege of Raqqa begins, Western rules of engagement regarding civilians will necessitate a long urban battle. In order to avoid a massacre and hasten the city's liberation, the SDF and their allies will likely have to negotiate the exfiltration of some IS fighters, as in Manbij.

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Bohemian Nights
Jul 14, 2006

When I wake up,
I look into the mirror
I can see a clearer, vision
I should start living today
Clapping Larry
https://twitter.com/vivarevolt/status/835196884096532480

here's hoping this goes as well for them as the al-bab debacle did

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