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Theswarms
Dec 20, 2005

CidGregor posted:

Sorry for the delay, haven't checked the thread for a bit. You're in!

Applied as Theswarming as someone who just started playing this game for a match 3 fix.

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Theswarms
Dec 20, 2005
Lets play this piece of poo poo again.

Applied to Roxxon Oil as Theswarming.

Theswarms
Dec 20, 2005
It's 1 in 40.

Think of it as an actual physical deck of cards you are drawing from. The odds that the card you want is in any particular position is 1 in 40. You have a 1/40 chance of it being your first draw, a 1/40 chance of it being your second etc.

Theswarms
Dec 20, 2005

LorneReams posted:

It's 1/40 first draw, 1/39 the next and so on. I would assume the midpoint average should be around 20 as an over/under, but I'm burned out from work so doing the math is not in my mind. Three times in a row being the 40th seems sus as the odds are what, 1/40^3. Actually it's probably higher with 120 draws, but gently caress math.

Yeah if you are checking mid-draw those will be your chances. If you are on the 39th draw it will be 1/2. Midpoint should work around 20.

What I meant was when you are looking at the full "deck" before you have drawn any, your chance it is in any particular position is 1/40 - thus the chance of it being the 40th card is 1/40 - this is not going to be super rare.

And yep the odds for 3 times in a row are 1/40^3. That is pretty unlikely!

Theswarms
Dec 20, 2005

LorneReams posted:

Pizza Dog has at least a spot or two.

I've applied for this, going by theswarming.

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