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My Imaginary GF posted:If Romney picks someone with an 'R' last name, he could save some cash and re-use his last campaigns' logo. Romney/Rauner, two moderate governors from blue states, would absolutely trigger a Tea Party run after the convention.
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Nov 10, 2014 21:19
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By that CNN poll I'm seeing 45% for the moderate/business wing of the party (Romney, Bush, Christie, Ryan, Kasich), and 43% for Everyone Else. IMO this sends up huge warning flags for those of us hoping for a crazy candidate, as the clowncar vote will likely split and the businessfolk won't fight it out too much, being more likely to coalesce around a single candidate.
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Dec 2, 2014 18:16
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ah yes, the calculated Clinton move to tap Big Money Warren for that sweet campaign cash I agree that Clinton's VP will be from the lower Midwest or from west of I-35, though.
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Dec 6, 2014 06:52
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George HW Bush is still eligible to run as well.
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Jan 10, 2015 08:40
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I love the permanent campaign. I love the horserace. I love US politics.
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Jan 13, 2015 06:34
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For some reason I just remembered the URL to this, and it's still up!
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Jan 13, 2015 07:49
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Pinterest Mom posted:I remember the DMR poll in Iowa last October off the top of my head. I think it's interesting Clinton's highest support is against Bush. It's been said here that people don't turn out to vote against someone else, but it could very well be true with 1/50 voters. I wonder if those numbers will hold up this spring, when the idea that he's really running has had time to fester.
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Jan 13, 2015 20:40
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Bolton and Paul in a foreign policy debate would be some good television.
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Jan 14, 2015 08:08
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Jerry Manderbilt posted:As a reminder that OC could get conservative as gently caress outside of UCI, when I was around Tustin in mid-June 2012 I saw a bumper sticker on a Kiwanis vehicle saying "1.20.13 THE END OF A MISTAKE". in late 2004 my roomate bought bumper-sticker paper and printed out long, bumper-spanning stickers that read: TO ALL KERRY VOTERS: AAAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA he made multiple because they'd last about 24 hours apiece
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Jan 20, 2015 03:45
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When's the last time Romney has dipped under 15% support even in a crowded field? His base according to polling is the most solid and most consistent out of anyone. Old people love him and donors love him. His only threat is Huckabee, imo. Paul's a wild card, I have no idea. I think his comparably low ceiling of possible support among the GOP will hurt him.
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Jan 20, 2015 05:13
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eternalname posted:I'm convinced she's a speed addict. Look at her and listen to her manner of speaking. (I used to be one myself, so this isn't totally out of my rear end) If anyone's weirded out by this, she's medicated on uppers of some sort and it's obvious. It was obvious when Perry was on opiates and it's obvious now.
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Jan 25, 2015 06:34
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ufarn posted:So remind me what the deal is with the Kochs stanning for Jeb and bashing Romney? They've decided he's the big business candidate, I guess. I thought they'd go more libertarian, but the immigration issue (keeping wages low) seems to be a high priority for them. I frankly think the business wing would sit out 2016 or even endorse Clinton if an immigration hard-liner looked to win the nomination. i say swears online fucked around with this message at 11:06 on Jan 28, 2015 |
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Jan 28, 2015 11:04
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FMguru posted:Here's a complete list of states that aren't in danger of being bitten on the rear end by underfunded pension obligations: Rhode Island 
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Feb 1, 2015 21:15
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From the Fox News poll released this week, Christie's down to 4% among GOP primary voters. Those are Jindal numbers.
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Feb 3, 2015 05:05
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QwertyAsher posted:the range near my house kicks people out if they have targets of living people that aren't photos taken to be range targets, and they have six or so Confederate Flags in the building I'd sure hope so!
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Feb 4, 2015 05:44
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What's weird is that if Jeb is the nominee, W will be in the audience and it'll be palpably weird that he's not speaking. He'll definitely be the biggest issue for Jeb heading into the fall campaign, and we can all steel ourselves toward reliving our high school years in the media.
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Feb 16, 2015 06:51
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It's weird studying past elections. Realignment elections are usually one-sided affairs where it's clear the national politics has shifted in a major way. But since 1980, it's been 35 years of fairly close elections ('84 notwithstanding) with a general trend of a slow bleed of white voters from D to R, with Ds picking up the rest from increasing minorities.The change has been so gradual that it may have staved off a realigning election for the time being. I don't think one is likely or even possible when both parties are evenly matched, even when that coinflip ends up D more often than not. We're about due for a realigning election, but what are the issues that will tip the scale? What major voting blocs can still shift parties? Is the gerrymandered House the major point of inertia the GOP has, or is it the good job both parties have done in marketing to essentially each lock up ~45% of the electorate? Does a D wave in 2020 (snatching some state legislatures and gerrymandering the House to benefit themselves after the census) make a realignment more or less likely?
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Feb 18, 2015 19:36
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Cliff Racer posted:-i love putting words into other peoples mouths calling people who disagree with me shiteads and not using correct punctuation /TEAYCHES 2192015 imagine four world powers on the edge of a cliff. realpolitik works the same way
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Feb 20, 2015 06:10
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Santorum is a communion wafer, obviously
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Feb 22, 2015 18:24
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so why can't we skip the fascist genocides and go straight to Full Communism instead? it seems like an...unnecessary step, to say the least
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Feb 22, 2015 19:04
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FOUND: old Scott Walker clips https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OS-RB-goZqk
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Feb 25, 2015 06:17
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DaveWoo posted:Scott Walker: The most significant foreign policy decision that occurred during my lifetime was... Jesus Christ. I'm beginning to think it was more than personal reasons he didn't graduate college.
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Feb 28, 2015 19:13
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Tomahawk posted:You're forgetting that the strategy du jour is that dodging questions from the liberal media means you have a backbone in crazy land. It's not the liberal media that he should be worried about. His latest disaster was from a softball from Club For Growth. If the other candidates start to support the narrative that he's dumb or unprepared, I think it'll stick in a hard way. Worse than Perry, too, because at least Perry is personable and went through some semblance of brand retooling.
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Mar 1, 2015 02:41
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Nessus posted:Is Cruz or Walker the guy who now has Rick Perry's "I Beat A Lousy State Democratic Party A Bunch Of Times, So I Am Definitely Your Next President" championship belt? I assume Walker of course. Hey, Tony Sanchez was a hell of a candidate
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Mar 1, 2015 20:14
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My one worldly desire before I leave this mortal coil is to see a national convention go beyond a single vote. If Ted Cruz only nets one delegate, he still furthers this plan and I fully support his journey.
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Mar 1, 2015 20:41
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I see Ted Cruz as basically a sniveling little poo poo, but my dad sees a conservative warrior-scholar. HELP!
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Mar 2, 2015 02:44
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Scrub-Niggurath posted:I just can't imagine 2016 topping 2012 or 2008. Remember Joe the Plumber? That poo poo was like two decades worth of election hilarity in one year Yes, but keep in mind the GOP will actually choose a nominee in 2016 and what they have to choose from is the definition of 
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Mar 3, 2015 01:05
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Joementum posted:
I still think the nomination was his for the taking if he had been willing to fight for it. The donor class would have come crawling back the second Bush or Walker misspoke. My (and presumably his) dream is him as a compromise candidate at the convention.
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Mar 5, 2015 19:31
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While that's the closest way to a GOP victory, I don't think it's gonna happen. In my scenario, the GOP nominates someone crazy or stupid. I'm bullish for the Dems because I think Hillary (or Bill) can take a couple states that went blue in 92/96 while also retaining the 2008 Obama coalition with Virginia, North Carolina and Indiana. I think the biggest stretches of my logic are Arkansas and Kentucky, but imo this map is certainly viable. edit this should be plus Nebraska-02 i say swears online fucked around with this message at 06:23 on Mar 10, 2015 |
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Mar 10, 2015 06:20
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Joementum posted:Given the current state of the primary, how many Democratic primary debates do you think will be held and when will the first one be scheduled? Good god, that's a low guess. I was going to say eight for the entire primary, agreeing with starting in September.
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Mar 13, 2015 02:26
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That reminds me of LF rap battles.
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Mar 15, 2015 01:11
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Rand Paul gave a speech in Austin today. He knew his audience, and the entire speech was about weed and civil forfeiture.
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Mar 15, 2015 21:46
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Cognac McCarthy posted:They also didn't bother to give proper titles to some of the videos on the channel: "CBA DVD Take 3", "ONUG Preview no music5", "LOHPreview" Jared from Subway?
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Mar 17, 2015 17:49
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uncurable mlady posted:lol fuckin ted cruz will be lucky to make it to iowa if he's announcing in march, dude gotta be broke as a joke and unless he's planning to santorum it across Iowa I don't really see him having enough cash to really stay in the mix a good post I think Cruz' ego will make him run a national campaign and he won't end up doing the glad-handing expected in Iowa and New Hampshire. Jumping in this early is a bad move.
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Mar 23, 2015 18:00
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Begs the question, though: Is a Reaganesque landslide even possible in today's political environment?
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Mar 25, 2015 21:24
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Texas. Also hell.
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Mar 26, 2015 05:41
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quote:J Street, a group that basically has anti-Israeli sentiments heh
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Mar 26, 2015 18:58
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One of the two defining differences between Millennials and Gen-Xers is how non-white Millennials are (the other is growing up with the Internet), and that's the reason they're destined to be more left-leaning. White Millennials can do whatever they want politically, but they'll have less power than in any previous generation.
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Mar 26, 2015 19:41
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Speaking of, how would Branstad pulling a Harkin and winning Iowa with no chance at anything else gently caress up the GOP primary? Who would it impact the most? Obviously Huck if he runs.
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Mar 28, 2015 04:51
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Oh of course Perry, how could I forget. He's actually running a respectable retail campaign there, and in 2012 even won some of the more rural counties.
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Mar 28, 2015 05:00
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