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Merlot Brougham posted:Yep. quist no after the body slam incident was an incredible opportunity at 50c, almost made me want to get back into this
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May 26, 2017 05:16
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bawfuls posted:what about that doesn't apply to this week's announcement? I don't get what's ambiguous about it It isn't 100% clear if this line has been satisfied: "[Trump or agent] shall publicly announce the United States' unconditional withdrawal from the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC)..." Part of the problem is that Trump is functionally illiterate, so the actual words that came out of his mouth are confusing: "“the United States will withdraw from the Paris climate accord, but begin negotiations to reenter either the Paris accord” or another “entirely new transaction, on terms that are fair to the United States.” Does that amount to "unconditional withdrawal?" Personally, I think Yes is a good buy at 70c, but these rules have been known to bite people in the rear end, and you can safely assume that dozens of maxed bettors will be emailing PI in both directions with what amount to legal briefs on the matter. Part of the problem is that people "farm" ambiguous markets by buying whatever is cheap and then selling when the price goes up due to chaos.
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Jun 4, 2017 01:41
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Arkane posted:It is 100% clear that that line hasn't been satisfied; the UNFCCC treaty was never mentioned by Trump. Trump ejecting us from the UNFCCC would've been the super quick way of ejecting us from the Paris Agreement. I went through this all again and I think this is probably the same result I would reach, but lol @ relying on PI to come to that conclusion (and also lol @ whoever writes their rules, once again he managed to completely misinterpret the title of the market). It certainly has the feel of a sucker's market.
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Jun 7, 2017 07:18
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Merlot Brougham posted:Im getting ready to sell off all the mid ranges I bought for 2 cents. Holding my No on conservative 329 or less. RIP
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Jun 8, 2017 22:39
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Jun 8, 2017 23:03
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looks like exit polls may be over-favoring labour, actual results looking equivocal so far. very little data, however. hold on to ur butts if youve got money in this one
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Jun 8, 2017 23:12
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Merlot Brougham posted:That's what I'm seeing so far. And of course hoping for. Those first 3 results or so were misleading, exit polls looking spot-on now.
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Jun 9, 2017 02:14
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It's looking like Handel might have some momentum going into election day, polls have slowly moved in her direction over the last couple weeks. Market sitting at 50-50 though, no way I would buy in on either side without additional information.
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Jun 20, 2017 03:19
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theres a will theres moe posted:I bet on southern Dems failing to show the gently caress up and won. hope you got ossoff no when it was like 30 cents
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Jun 21, 2017 03:30
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LolitaSama posted:Anyone know any examples of the money on this site getting it majorly wrong? Biden Run springs to mind. I've seen markets flip 2, 3, or even 4 times before conclusion with heavy trading on each step. I haven't played in a few months, though, but I doubt things have changed. Note that the long-term players in the tweet markets have enormous spreadsheets and homemade algorithms at this point, and can A) tell you the odds of a tweet on a Tuesday afternoon and B) instantly trade when a tweet is made thanks to software they have set up.
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Jun 23, 2017 06:57
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Arkane posted:No on SCOTUS retirement is a great bet iyam, should collapse Monday after AMK doesn't retire do you have inside info on this one?
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Jun 24, 2017 23:54
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they want me back oh god
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Oct 21, 2017 09:14
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Shear Modulus posted:I can't believe that there's a thread in c-spam where people don't think Moore will win by at least 10 points. He'll probably win by less than that.
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Dec 4, 2017 00:31
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Anyone in on Moore v Jones in Alabama?
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Dec 12, 2017 06:55
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Jones is pretty cheap and the exit polls (lol I know) point to a close race. Probably worth a buy based on the available facts and sub-30 pricing, but lol.
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Dec 13, 2017 01:30
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