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Rust Martialis posted:I just really don't think it's actually a particularly interesting discussion. The disparity of violence alone calls any attempt at equivocation into question, but if you want to call it a coup, go hog wild. He is directly engaging you and responding to the specific arguments that you were just making. Suddenly deciding that the discussion isn't "interesting" and therefore you're not obliged to explain your argument kind of raises the question of why you brought up the constitutional issue in the first place.
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# ¿ Apr 9, 2019 23:45 |
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# ¿ May 13, 2024 17:17 |
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Given that one of the most consistent complaints in D&D is that this thread gets crowded with too many "tankie" voices wouldn't a lull in activity like this one be a great opportunity for you guys to showcase what a great thread this place would be without all the outside agitators coming in and ruining it? (USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)
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# ¿ Apr 16, 2019 16:53 |
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Squalid posted:I guess my main problem with the idea of the economic war is that under capitalism, it is essentially impossible for private capital to be motivated by anything besides profit. For the same reason under conventional Marxist theory there can never be a humanitarian capitalist whose business decisions are driven by their desire for people's welfare, the collective decision making of business can not be driven systemically by ideology. The demands of profit trump everything. It's not that there can't be other motivations, but that taking all industry as a whole, profit is a necessity and all other considerations will be bend to accommodate it. That's not true at all though. The "principle agent" problem in economics is a well known phenomenon in which the people who run an organization don't always act in the best interests of the owners. A lot of decisions made by people within a corporation are focused on maintaining that individual's wealth andstatus, not increasing the profitability of the firm. Similarly, corporations tend to dislike government activism even in cases where that activism increases the rate of profit because they find it politically preferable to have a weak government that lacks the power to control their actions. From what I've read I'm inclined to agree that whatever else is happening in Venezuela, government policies have massively exacerbated shortages. But the idea that corporations aren't motivated by anything except a very narrow application of the profit margin is pretty silly. Large corporations are political entities with an obvious stake in the national leadership of their home country and the idea they are incapable of taking systematic political action in cases where they perceive their interests to be threatened isn't some kind of axiomatic truth we can all rely on. It's an argument that in every case relies on the specifics of the situation. In the abstract there's no reason to think corporations can't adsorb a short term drop in profitability in order to achieve some larger goal. It requires a degree of coordination that isn't always possible within the private sphere, but it's hardly impossible.
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# ¿ Apr 18, 2019 20:28 |
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Blackwater founder's plan for mercenaries in Venezuela: ReportAl Jazeera posted:Erik Prince - the founder of the controversial private security firm Blackwater and a prominent supporter of US President Donald Trump - has been pushing to deploy a private army to help topple Venezuela's socialist president, Nicholas Maduro, four sources with knowledge of the effort told Reuters. Biggest surprise from this article is that apparently Erik Prince is Betsy DeVos' brother?
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# ¿ May 1, 2019 17:08 |
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Sinteres posted:IMO if the US intervenes it probably will actually be over pretty quickly and easily (Panama seems more relevant than Iraq, even if it wouldn't be quite that rosy a picture), but I hope it doesn't come to that. Panama has a landmass of about 75,000 square km and a population of just over four million people. Iraq has a landmass of about 450,000 square km and 38 million people. Venezuela has a landmass of 916,445 km and a population of about 32 million. Civilian gun ownership per capita in Panama is only about 10.8 per 100 people. In Iraq it's estimated to be 19.6 per 100 people. In Venezuela the official estimate is 18.5 per 100 but I gather the official stats are so unreliable that it's likely much higher than that. Venezuela has multiple large population centres - there are five cities with populations of more than a million people, vs. only one such city in Panama and three in Iraq. So Panama is roughly 16 percent of Venezuela's landmass and 12 percent of the population, at least 50% fewer civilian guns per capita and far fewer urban centres. I dunno what part of this says "cakewalk" to you? Or why you think Panama is a better guide to how an invasion would go than Iraq?
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# ¿ May 1, 2019 18:24 |
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Sinteres posted:The invasion isn't the hard part--even in Iraq that was the easy part. The hard part is leaving behind something better than was there to begin with, and I think that's where political culture plays a bigger role than geography (though Caracas being on the coast is obviously favorable to the US). Iraq didn't have any institutions left after Saddam fell, because he was the only institution that was allowed to exist in Iraq during his reign. Can you imagine an "acting president" running around leading protests in pre-war Iraq like Guiado is doing right now as I type this in Venezuela? Colectivos firing into crowds or not, the stakes are just totally different, and it's because Venezuela was until recently a democracy with political freedoms, and I think that makes it easier for society to reconstitute itself once Maduro is gone than Iraq could after Saddam's defeat. Ah yes geography, that famously irrelevant factor in planning military operations. I can tell you're really thinking this through.
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# ¿ May 1, 2019 19:22 |
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Kawasaki Nun posted:If you think there is any question of America's capability to wage war in South America you need to educate yourself because it is absolutely not a question of capability. America could easily inflict more misery on Venezuela or pay and arm mercenaries to destabilize the government but lol if you really think the US military could successfully pull of a long term invasion and occupation of the country.
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# ¿ May 1, 2019 20:44 |
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zocio posted:Edit: read too fast, carry on. Genuinely thought this was a clever joke until your edit.
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# ¿ May 1, 2019 22:29 |
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alpha_destroy posted:For fun I fed this into Google translate. But the thing about Latin mottos is you have to get them down to three words. So I did the only rational thing. Keep feeding out through a bunch of languages until it simplifies. And this process distilled the slogan down to something I think might be more even more of a threat: Quid amplius possumus. I think Dwight Eisenhower's complaint to Allen Dulles still furnishes us with the best possible slogan for the CIA, which according to google translate might be translated as "Legatum ex Cinere"
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# ¿ May 1, 2019 23:22 |
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Discendo Vox posted:Mordin, here are some questions for you Excuse me professor will all of this be on the exam?
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# ¿ May 2, 2019 21:22 |
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Chuck Boone posted:A friend just forwarded me this note written by the "Liga de Trabajadores por el Socialismo" (League of Workers for Socialism), which is a Venezuelan group. I'm sharing it here because I hope that the position that the note puts forward will help people in this thread think critically about their blind support for Maduro. Do you agree with this? quote:Since January 23, imperialism has used appeals, maneuvers and threats to try to split the Armed Forces in order to overthrow Maduro. After their attempts failed and their coup offensive entered a stalemate, they concentrated on economic aggression and asphyxiation, which has worsened the hardships of the people. The plans for a coup remained latent, and were reactivated with this Tuesday’s attempt.
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# ¿ May 11, 2019 18:57 |
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Chuck Boone posted:Yes, to a large extent. I think the statement is downplaying the real, palpable desire for change that the overwhelming majority of Venezuelans have and eclipsing it with "imperialism did this!!!" which is pretty much this whole thread. Is it really though? Obviously this is an imperfect metric but I just looked at a list of top posters in this thread and they seem to overwhelmingly be posters who are very critical of the government? Just based on very quickly clicking through some post histories there is maybe one poster in the top 10 of this thread who might fit that description and he has been probated many times and is currently on a month long probation because of something he said in this thread. I'm not seeing evidence for a thread that is being overwhelmed by pro-Maduro posters or peopel who uncritically blame every problem in Venezuela on imperialism. quote:I do agree 100% that "a government emerging from a military coup, under the control of the U.S., would mean nothing good for the masses!". But, I think the statement lacks an important level of nuance. For example, it's highly debatable that what we saw on April 30 was a military coup, or that an opposition government will definitely be "under the control" of the U.S, which is what the statement implies. Friendly to the U.S., certainly, but "under the control" of the U.S. is something else entirely. Say what you will about Guaido, but the point of this movement is to allow Venezuelans to vote in free, fair and transparent elections. Whether or not Guaido runs in those elections, or if he wins, is another issue. But to even get to the point where we can vote, we need Maduro to let go of power, which again, is what this whole thing is about. So far as I can tell this is actually the main dispute people have. I would point out that plenty of regular posters here don't seem to share the level of nuance you describe here and would actually argue that it's literally impossible for Venezuela to be worse off than it is now. I also suspect a lot of what gets treated as "pro-Maduro" sentiments is actually just a calculation that no change of government predicated on the support of Trump and Bolsonaro can possibly result in anything except the outcome that you admit would be extremely bad. You can agree or disagree with that position, but you should be able to engage it on its own merits.
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# ¿ May 11, 2019 20:56 |
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punk rebel ecks posted:This isn't really a good metric because this thread has been alive and kicking for almost half a decade and it's really been over the past two or three months that it exploded due to Washington stepping up their "game". Yeah I get that the thread has a regular crew of posters but that like any mega thread its activity spikes whenever there's a burst of relevant news stories. Nevertheless, I've been lurking in this thread the past few weeks and the idea that its overwhelmingly full of blindly loyal Maduro supporters doesn't exactly match reality.
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# ¿ May 11, 2019 21:00 |
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Discendo Vox posted:Because the NYT is a source of legitimate original journalism with specific identifiable biases and teleSUR et al is a state propaganda outlet that exists entirely to lie to, mislead and control its targets. Again, totalizing reductive cynicism doesn’t make you a savvy consumer of media, it makes you a mark. Yeah and one of the most specific identifiable bias is their coverage of foreign countries controlled by governments that the state department wants to overthrow. In fact the New York Times did such a terrible job of covering Iraq that they had to release a full blown apology (full of qualifications and attempts to weasel out of the full weight of their failure) which I think is more than a little relevant to the topic of this thread: The New York Times posted:FROM THE EDITORS; The Times and Iraq
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# ¿ May 12, 2019 00:04 |
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CAPS LOCK BROKEN posted:
"It ought to be considered, therefore, how vain are the faith and promises of those who find themselves deprived of their country... such is the extreme desire in them to return home, that they naturally believe many things that are false and add many others by art, so that between those they believe and those they say they believe, they fill you with hope, so that relying on them you will incur expenses in vain, or you undertake an enterprise in which you ruin yourself."
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# ¿ May 12, 2019 00:13 |
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Kawasaki Nun posted:Right I'm not trying to say the msm works well or serves it purpose or anything else. I'm simply trying to illustrate how there on constraints in a competitive media system that are absent for state run media. All else being equal I would absolutely put a lot more trust in a story from the New York Times on domestic American politics compared to a TelesSUR article on domestic Venezuelan politics. There are many reasons to expect that the New York Times will have better reporting and a much stronger incentive to describe things accurately. I don't think many people here would seriously argue that the New York Times, even with its biases, is not a better source for learning about domestic issues. On the other hand the New York Times reporting on foreign countries with governments that the American government doesn't like is much less reliable. Especially since modern propaganda relies more on emphasis than outright deception. The media environment is so saturated with superfluous and competing claims on your attention that an effective propaganda campaign merely needs to ensure that a specific kind of story gets repeated constantly, whereas contradictory stories are covered with intensely and allowed to quickly fade into obscurity. Indeed, the fact that a few critical stories do get published has the predictable effect of enhancing the average news readers confidence in the publication, which is arguably a much savvier and more advanced form of propaganda than the comparatively crude kinds of lies we typically associate with state propaganda. (USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)
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# ¿ May 12, 2019 18:04 |
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The Something Awful Forums > Discussion > Debate & Discussion > Venezuela: Party Plane Jonestown
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# ¿ May 14, 2019 20:30 |
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Compelling proof that socialism can solve climate change.
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# ¿ May 21, 2019 19:58 |
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Condiv posted:i dunno why the generals would go along with this and not flock to guaido if they're so corrupt since guaido had a guy advocating for selling international aid on the free market advising him I think you're working with a caricatured idea of what corruption looks like in practice. It's not hard to believe that plenty of government figures have some actual ideological belief in the government but also engage in corrupt double dealings in an environment where such behavior is normalized. The line between corruption and belief in the system isn't as cleanly delineated as we're trained to think it is - a quick glance at the development of any wealthy nation today would show that typically the great founders and statesmen were engaged in nakedly corrupt dealings and profited handsomely from their political actions. Humans can be both ideological and venal at the same time. I also think you're underestimating the extent to which humans are often risk averse and inclined to value a beneficial status quo more highly than a hypothetically superior alternative. If Guaido became President then he would have to distribute rewards to secure his new administration, which would come at the expense of some current insiders. If you're placed high up enough in the current government then it makes sense that you don't want to risk shaking up the status quo, even if it's possible you could get an equally good or better deal from the new guy. I'm not sure if this is actually what is happening here but it's not as implausible as you're suggesting.
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# ¿ May 23, 2019 23:23 |
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Flayer posted:Guaido better hope he's in some place safe, the CIA are about to sacrifice him for the cause (of financial profit for vulture capitalism). Sorry bout your The Nixon tapes, June 11, 1971, 9:37 - 10:36 a.m. posted:Nixon: Connally’s feeling is this: He feels—and he, his gut reaction may be right, Henry, that the
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# ¿ May 31, 2019 22:46 |
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fnox posted:
Generally speaking an inflationary crisis doesn't just happen overnight because one man from the same ruling party as the last President takes power.
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# ¿ Jun 2, 2019 20:37 |
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fnox posted:
I was more wondering what specific policy changes you think were caused specifically by Maduro. You list some examples here but a bunch of them seem more like long term consequences of the government's attempts to hold power rather than just be the specific and exclusive decisions of Maduro. I'm mostly curious because most posters here who are anti-Maduro seem to also be anti-Chavez. It's a bit unusual to see someone arguing that Maduro taking office was a huge break from the Chavez years and that the cause of Venezuela's problems are overwhelmingly due to actions taken since Chavez' death.
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# ¿ Jun 3, 2019 17:43 |
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I would never advocate this anywhere else but this specific thread would probably benefit from a rule saying there's an automatic three day probation for anyone who summarizes or paraphrases another person's argument instead of quoting it directly.
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# ¿ Jun 8, 2019 18:27 |
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Squalid posted:I don't think you're really giving me poo poo for "calling Nicaragua a case of sanctions and sanctions alone working" because I quite explicitly repudiated idea, and did so in a post that you quoted. Maybe it just went over your head, but I don't think that's what really happened. I think you understood my meaning, but chose to act as if you did not. Looking at the discussion on context I think it was clear that when people talked about sanctions "working" the implication was that they were an efficacious alternative to military action. Citing examples where sanctions were used in conjunction with military acts and then saying "look, sanctions worked in this case" is, I think, a misreading of what was being argued in the first place.
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# ¿ Jun 15, 2019 20:15 |
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Squalid posted:I disagree, but regardless I also provided an example where there was definitely no military action. Anyway, the contras had just had their funding slashed and were already in the process of disbanding when Ortega lost the 1990 election. If you want to point to an alternative explanation than the sanctions for this result you'd do better to bring up the gigantic sum of US funding spent on Chamorro's campaign, rather than the war that was already in the process of ending. The US government had conducted a wide variety of activities aimed at destroying the country, from backing the contras to imposing economic sanctions. Then they grandly announced that they would end the sanctions if the Sandinista government was voted out. There are also reports from the Toronto Star's reporters that dozens of people being killed by Contras during the election in voter intimidation incidents. I really don't know why you're comfortable dismissing the potential impact of this violence or why you think a more likely explanation was campaign spending. I imagine that for a lot of voters it was well understood that the American threat to continue sanctions was also implicitly a threat to continue sponsoring the contras. You can say with the benefit of hindsight that they were already in the process of disbanding but that was probably much less apparent to voters at the time, most of whom probably lacked any reliable information on the conflict. I think the message that probably cut very clearly through all the noise was the US government saying it would stop torturing the country if they just got rid of the Sandinistas. I don't know whether that was indeed the decisive factor in the election but it at least seems like an equally plausible explanation to the argument that it all just came down to economic sanctions plus campaign spending.
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# ¿ Jun 16, 2019 21:06 |
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Vincent Van Goatse posted:This entire conversation started with a reference to the Cuban refugees who have been crossing the straits to Florida for decades in improvised boats, not the rich shitheads who bailed out alongside Batista in 1959. The former are comparable to current Venezuelan refugees, the latter are ironically enough more like Maduro and his cronies. Anyone who says that progress in Cuba has "stagnated" since the Revolution is pretty obviously discounting any improvement in the lives of the poor: WHO posted:Cuban health authorities give large credit for the country’s impressive health indicators to the preventive, primary-care emphasis pursued for the last four decades. These indicators – which are close or equal to those in developed countries – speak for themselves. For example, in 2004, there were seven deaths for every 1000 children aged less than five years – a decrease from 46 such deaths 40 years earlier, according to WHO. Meanwhile Cubans have one of the world’s highest life expectancies of 77 years. Wikipedia, Cuban Literacy Campaign posted:The Cuban Literacy Campaign (Spanish: Campaña Nacional de Alfabetización en Cuba) was a year-long effort to abolish illiteracy in Cuba after the Cuban Revolution.[1] It began on January 1 and ended on December 22, 1961, becoming the world's most ambitious and organized literacy campaign.[2][3]
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# ¿ Jun 16, 2019 23:03 |
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M. Discordia posted:This actually has a lot to do with Venezuela so I wanted to go over the absurdity on that page: It's a wikipedia entry, I sort of assumed people would know that wikipedia is not a particularly reliable source for anything other than a broad overview (I also kind of thought it went without saying that a statistic with such a ridiculously wide range was inherently sketchy). And as far as overviews go the description of the Cuban government's extensive campaign of training teachers and deploying them to the countryside is an uncontroversial aspect of Cuban history. This is demonstrated by, among other things, UN statistics showing that Cuba has an adult literacy rate of 99.8%, which is better than neighboring countries. Similarly, claims that Cuba's literacy campaign was probably the most ambitious in the world at that time and perhaps one of the most ambitious programs to date are widely echoed even in publications that aren't known for their communist sympathies. Here, for instance, is a book citing a Cuban government census from 1953 showing an illiteracy rate of 23.6% overall and 42% in the countryside: If I had to guess I would say that somewhere between that book and the wikipedia entry the stats got garbled but probably the author was trying to cite that census and hosed it up, possibly due to lack of language skills or just a general misunderstanding of stats. Or hey, maybe it was a sinister Bolshevik conspiracy. And just cause we're on the topic here's another good write up on Cuban literacy: The Independent, Latin lessons: What can we learn from the world's most ambitious literacy campaign? posted:Tuesday afternoon in the José Marti Primary School means it's time for maths. A classroom full of wide-eyed eight-year-old boys and girls are poring over frayed workbooks in pairs while their teacher walks around peering over tiny shoulders. Each wears the standard Cuban primary-school uniform of burgundy shorts or mini-skirt and white short-sleeved shirt, and eager hands go up one after the other as the day's sums are completed.
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# ¿ Jun 17, 2019 01:15 |
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M. Discordia posted:Undoubtedly there was a literacy program in Cuba in 1961, undoubtedly no one can quantitatively measure how effective it was because the numbers provided are provable fabrications, undoubtedly worldwide literacy has risen at a steady 4% every year for decades, indicating that perhaps Castro's prison camps and Guevara's mass graves were not necessary to teach some amount of people to read. *peering into the distant horizon, trying to see where those goal posts finally ended up*
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# ¿ Jun 17, 2019 13:35 |
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fnox posted:So, this is part of what makes this particular thread so loving awful to post in. You and other posters have, consistently, engaged into this type of strawman that is meant to portray me as a fascist. This is what you use to deflect any sort of pointed criticism at Maduro, this is what you use to loop back to America, this is what you use to get out of tight spots. This doesn't help the debate, this doesn't help your point, this is you literally inverting what I am saying and then claiming it as a fact, despite me constantly clarifying about this point being false. I never, not loving once said that I would rather have Pinochet than Maduro. The reason why Maduro is worse than Pinochet is that unlike Chile, Venezuela will never recover from the damage Maduro has caused to it, Maduro has just loving doomed the country, he's killed thousands directly, many thousands more indirectly, and more will be known once he's out. Saying "Maduro is worse than Pinochet by any metric" would seem to strongly imply that Pinochet would be a better choice. How else do you expect people to interpret that statement?
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# ¿ Jun 17, 2019 20:21 |
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fnox posted:
I don't really want to get pulled into the weeds litigating a comparison that doesn't make a lot of sense but if you're going to make statements like this then I think you need to accept that most folks are naturally going to interpret what you wrote here as being the logical equivalent to saying that Pinochet would be better than Maduro. Everything else you're writing kind of furthers that impressions.
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# ¿ Jun 17, 2019 20:36 |
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I like the way Snrub thinks!
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# ¿ Jun 22, 2019 16:20 |
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I don't think it would work well in this specific thread but between here and the Middle East thread it's actually kind of interesting to imagine what a genuinely pro-democratic "intervention" (and I don't necessarily mean a military intervention, just any deployment or hard and soft power) would look like. Imagining for a second that governments worked the way they are described as working in high school civics or your less cynical Hollywood film, and actually try to game out what you could do with the immense soft power of the United States to improve governance and living standards in other countries. It'd be a pure hypothetical of course, but from a purely analytical perspective it'd be interesting to actually try and work through all the organizational and logistical hurdles you would face. Also, suffice it to say, whatever process you worked out would probably not look anything like how the USA or other great powers actually act in practice.
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# ¿ Jul 9, 2019 17:43 |
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Invading a country with the intention of deposing the current government won't become any more viable of a solution just because someone else is President, given that the actual issue at hand is that the US government is neither interested in nor suited for the kind of fantasy nation building and pro-democracy intervention that someone like Fnox would presumably want to see happen. War is inherently bad and destabilizing regardless of who starts it. Especially since folks have short memories so when things don't improve as quickly as people hope the new foreign invader will swiftly lose legitimacy and there would almost certainly be a vicious civil war between loyalists to the old government and whoever is put in charge of the new one. The worst case outcome wouldn't be "death squads, but now working for the other side", it would be an actual civil war and perhaps even the de facto partition of the country. So a more relevant question would be how you propose avoiding that outcome.
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# ¿ Jul 9, 2019 20:17 |
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fnox posted:An important piece of context for those hoping for an endogenous leftist uprising: that already happened, you’re looking at it. The current situation is like the 90s was in Venezuela only 10 times worse. Actually you seem to have excessive faith in some of the world's most despicable politicians doing the right thing on your behalf.
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# ¿ Jul 9, 2019 21:19 |
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fnox posted:You seem to have no faith in the west whatsoever, I have no faith whatsoever in Venezuela’s politicians be them right or left. What would be the middle point here? Someone like AMLO intervening in this conflict? I have no faith in a military invasion's ability to improve the situation in Venezuela but as I previously explained that's not specific to any one country, that's a more general problem with state building in general. There is no short term solution, at best there's various forms of harm reduction you might practice. An actual invasion that removes the government from power would lead to a civil war which would further destroy the economy and depress living standards even more. If it got bad enough it might lead to the de facto dissolution of the country. We're not talking the difference between one dictator and another, we're talking about the difference between a repressive state and a failed one. The middle point is probably something extremely boring like unconditional aid and technical assistance which would inevitably help the government hold onto power but which would at least mitigate the suffering of the people. It wouldn't be morally satisfying to you in the way ousting Maduro would be but from the most strictly utilitarian terms it'd likely be the best outcome for the moment. Any resistance the government might initially put up toward such aid would be easier to overcome than the proposed alternative of a literal invasion: even if half or two thirds of every shipment goes directly to feathering the bed of some government functionary or local gang leader, that would still be a vastly better solution to the problem than a foreign power invading and occupying, and the US could easily afford to adsorb such losses. While this wouldn't solve every problem, and would actually create some new problems (hooking a country on foreign aid is not good for the local economy) it would be the fastest, most humane and most effective way to alleviate suffering, and then you could figure out the details of how to disengage later once the immediate crisis conditions have abated. Of course this idea seems completely implausible to everyone because deep down we all recognize that any intervention that isn't predicated on using force to advance American state interests is a total none starter. The idea that America might creatively use its wealth to achieve a none military solution sounds insane because we all know American doesn't act out of humanitarian calculations. But perhaps as an exercise it is worth remembering that if someone actually cared about people's suffering and wanted to use the power of the American state to do something about it there would be way better ways to accomplish that goal than invading other countries.
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# ¿ Jul 9, 2019 22:05 |
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fnox posted:This doesn't help remove Maduro though, it's palliative care. It helps him continue using hunger as a mean of social control, only he wouldn't have to dig a deeper hole to be able to give out free food. It would have to come with the condition that Maduro steps down or at the very least agrees to a transition plan. I'm not sure if the Red Cross aid is helping at all, I think it's mostly targetted towards refugees. Prioritizing the short to middle term welfare of Venezuelans and violently removing Maduro through an invasion are incompatible goals. There's no scenario where a foreign country putting troops in Venezuela to overthrow the government doesn't create a much worse humanitarian crisis than what is already happening. So unless you're comfortable with making things worse for a long and possibly indefinite period - look at places like Iraq and Libya for a sense of what might happen - then you're stuck with an ugly compromise that forces you to abandon any short term dream of changing governments.
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# ¿ Jul 9, 2019 22:34 |
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fnox posted:You do understand that, we’ve been trying to change the government for more than a decade and it’s the lack of international support what has killed us every time? I mean what kind of loving idiots do you think we are, do you think the Venezuelan people are not aware that getting rid of Maduro and replacing him with a transitional government would be the way to go? What exactly do you mean by "the international left"?
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# ¿ Jul 17, 2019 14:53 |
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fnox posted:Literally, the left intelligentsia abroad. The Latin American left is mostly sympathetic and perhaps realises that getting rid of Maduro ASAP is crucial in avoiding further US action and stabilizing the country to put a brake on the refugee crisis. The European left (I’m going to exclude the British from that) similarly have turned against Maduro, albeit far too late and after having fallen for Maduro’s stall tactics. Maduro’s remaining allies are the Cuba aligned countries of Latin America, and anglophone leftists without much of a clue of what’s really going on in the country. Can you be more specific on who you're referring to, and explain how they're "blocking" attempts to remove him?
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# ¿ Jul 17, 2019 17:29 |
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fnox posted:We live in a world that is very, very tightly connected through social media. The news that people spread, they matter. What you say on the internet, matters. At some point nobody gave a poo poo, but if you have a large enough following, you have influence. The influence of the American left in social media is entirely destructive to any opposition causes (be them left or right) in Venezuela. They do not contribute towards advancing a peaceful transition. This is the opposite of being specific. fnox posted:I'm not talking about right now. I'm talking about the rest of the Maduro presidency. The US could invade whenever they want to, the people responsible (other than Trump) don't want to, therefore it hasn't happened. That's always been plenty obvious to me. Those democracy watchdogs that I am talking about already failed to keep Maduro in check, that's already happened. I'm talking about the dozens of times there were endogenous threats to the Maduro presidency and this same old song and dance came along, and it quieted things down. You know what has happened on the last 7 or so years right? You don't think that the only opposition to Maduro is Guaido, am I correct? No they couldn't "invade whenever they want to", not in any meaningful sense. It would be a catastrophic misadventure and a guaranteed quagmire which is why no one has been seriously advocating it. The real barrier to the invasion isn't some nebulous "international leftist" opposition, it's material reality.
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# ¿ Jul 17, 2019 21:53 |
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# ¿ May 13, 2024 17:17 |
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It's so sad to see the Wall Street Journal is carrying water for Maduro by quoting an analyst from the Russian controlled International Crisis Group, who inexplicably says that Bolton seems to be intentionally sabotaging the negotiations. I wonder what insane line of reasoning could lie behind such an absurd statement.
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# ¿ Aug 7, 2019 21:11 |