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Will Trump get stumped?
Yes
No
#FeelTheBern
Baby Hitler
View Results
 
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Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

Mrit posted:

It will be Hillary and Cruz, and the meltdowns will be bountiful and wonderful.

If you're sure about Cruz you should hop on PredictIt post-haste.

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Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008
I'm calling a narrow Sanders win in terms of overall support, but Hillary will probably get the most delegates.

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

Pinterest Mom posted:

The fun part of that prediction is that the first part isn't falsifiable.

Well it'll certainly be falsified in the case of a Hillary landslide, but yeah, a close result will basically be a question mark. Caucuses are loving dumb.

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

Vox Nihili posted:

I'm calling a narrow Sanders win in terms of overall support, but Hillary will probably get the most delegates.

gently caress it, retracting this. Bernie edges the whole thing, dammit.

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

Land of the Free

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

Thump! posted:

MOM and Trump getting into an actual fight would be the best thing.

Martin would snap his limbs off, lmao

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

Pragmatica posted:

I'm a captain for the Sanders campaign. I plan on posting some updates and pictures when I can during and after caucus night. I'm located in Boone County, if you are interested in watching those results.

Get 'em.

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

Tatum Girlparts posted:

Isn't Microsoft a big Sanders donor?

Not that I know of. They did support Obama in 2008, which might be what you're recalling.

https://www.opensecrets.org/orgs/recips.php?id=D000000115&type=P&state=&sort=A&cycle=2008

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

Tatum Girlparts posted:

https://www.opensecrets.org/pres16/contrib.php?cycle=All&id=N00000528&type of his corporate backing they're number three, so it'd be pretty weird of they were in the cabal to screwjob him.

$16000 in individual contributions, a fraction of what Clinton has likely received from that same pool.

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

Mitt Romney posted:

Rubio is gonna win Iowa

Nah. His puny campaign apparatus can't make the most of his last minute rubementum.

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

Montasque posted:

Donald Trump is currently sitting at 68% on Predictwise to win Iowa.

Cruz is at 27%
Rubio at 8%

So tempting to scoop some Cruz argh.

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008
I hereby declare victory in Iowa for myself.

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

Top Bunk Wanker posted:

They're not wrong.

Die you poo poo.

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

Amused to Death posted:

Death to millennials

Life to millennials IMO

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

rscott posted:

MSNBC just rolled back 2% what

Microsoft just triggered the Nixon Protocol.

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

a cop posted:

God drat! Bernie is OLD!

Old School Socialist, that is.

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008
The way Bernie's delegate share keeps bouncing back up to within 0.2% is mind-boggling. This is insane.

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

Josh Lyman posted:

Why does MSNBC polling information say Hillary has 665 and Bernie has 661?

Weren't there like 150,000 caucusers?

Caucus-goers aren't counted, they're counting bound precinct-level delegates.

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008


Enten I will end you.

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

a cop posted:

This is why Hillary's going to win!

Because a contested precinct had a landslide result for Bernie?

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008



ENTEN.

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008
A SECOND PLANE JUST HIT THE DNC

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

SirKibbles posted:

MSNBC reporting that the DNC is disputing the 90 precincts

DNC now reporting itself for fraud, wait, DNC now accusing itself of making false accusation!

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

EugeneJ posted:

America needs to wait in line and pay their doctor $100 to get prescribed that Xanax

:colbert:

@ $200 per script or w/e

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

Corek posted:

Reminder that Ron Paul actually absconded with all the Iowa votes 4 years ago because of paulites taking over the iowa gop

Ron Paul is a literal fey folk so they really should have seen that coming.

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

Look Around You posted:

Wasn't it the Sanders campaign accusing the DNC of fraud?

(as an aside his campaign seems to love to accuse the DNC of fraud and foul play every time something doesn't go their way)

DNC initially contacted the Sanders campaign about the 90 precincts thing. No idea what's actually going on.

Sanders camp also says internal numbers show a 2 delegate lead, but that's another story entirely... maybe?

There are no actual fraud accusations fwiw.

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

Brannock posted:

What happens to O'Malley's delegates now that he's dropped out?

They are forced to commit ritual suicide.

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

Narcissus1916 posted:

In Nevada the caucus chair can be a volunteer from the Clinton or Sanders camp. So a Precinct Captain can pull double duty as a Captain AND as a chair - but they can't "openly advocate" for their candidate.

Great system. Really great. Based on our excellent & well-established system of corporate governance, presumably.

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

Arkane posted:

this guy seems affable and normal

how in god's name did he pick santorum

He seems like a hapless dork to me. Just ask for a drat pen!!!

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008
Wait nevermind.

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008
Javert (Precinct Chair): Now Precinct Delegate 24601, time is up and the vote is tied. You know what that means? 
Jean Valjean: Yes, it means I'm free. 
Javert: No. 
[flips a coin] 
Javert: Follow to the letter your itinerary, this badge of shame you wear until you die. It warns that you're a Hillary delegate. 
Jean Valjean: The vote was 54-54. My sister's child had school tomorrow and had to leave. You've dragged this out for hours... 
Javert: And you will be here until dawn unless you learn the meaning of the law! 

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008
Polling average underestimated Bernie's support by about 4 points relative to Hillary's based on the final tallies.

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

Yoshifan823 posted:

I'm going to kill all of my friends. They won't shut up about coin-flips and voter fraud, when it's such a minor, dumb thing that changes nothing.

It's like someone peeing in the pool. Sure it's disgusting, but it doesn't actually do anything except make it a little warmer for like a second. And everyone loving does it anyways, and if they did it, I'm sure they wouldn't be saying the same thing.

TBF the coin flip thing is mind-bogglingly idiotic and deserves its fair share of condemnation.

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

Northjayhawk posted:

You can't award half a delegate. Someone has to win, how else do you break a tie other than a coin flip?

Wow, people really will defend anything. Award a half delegate to each or just award it to undecided. Or keep recounting until one side wins.

The whole "delegate" construct is an insane farce anyway. Ideally just get rid of the caucus system entirely.

Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

Joementum posted:

Delegates are actual people who participate in actual meetings.

Yeah, that's dumb.

But there's no reason you couldn't send someone as unassigned.

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Vox Nihili
May 28, 2008

Northjayhawk posted:

Yes, there is. "Unaffiliated" is its own preference group. My caucus had literally zero unaffiliated voters, and thats not going to be uncommon, people who are willing to show up and endure an hour or more of bullshit probably have an opinion.

Makes more sense than giving away extra votes by chance. It would be trivial to set up assignment rules that don't rely on that and it's endlessly amusing that people think the current way is in any way defensible.

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