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FourLeaf posted:It's reddit! Poe's law has got me running around not knowing what's real anymore Don't worry, it will be the source of a serious piece for a Medium post soon enough, even though it is clear bullshit
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Feb 21, 2016 05:17
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stop fighting the inevitable, just give trump the nom now
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Feb 21, 2016 05:19
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Logikv9 posted:don't get silly, trump vs hillary debates would be a majestic television moment rivaling UFC in nastiness i can't wait
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Feb 21, 2016 05:21
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FourLeaf posted:It's reddit! Poe's law has got me running around not knowing what's real anymore Don't worry, real posts about suicidal thoughts on Reddit from Bernie supporters will appear on March 1.
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Feb 21, 2016 05:22
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A Trump Clinton debate would be watched by a billion people It should happen
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Feb 21, 2016 05:23
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Marco looked so thirsty
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Feb 21, 2016 05:25
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I believe with my full heart that Berniethrowaway32 is a real person telling a totally real story about their life.
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Feb 21, 2016 05:25
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So did Rubio or Cruz end up pulling any delegates? Did they both give victory speeches while winning zero delegates?
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Feb 21, 2016 05:45
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eric posted:The GOP has to do whatever it takes to get Kasich and Carson to drop by super Tuesday. If not the only way Rubio gets the nomination is a royal screw job at the convention and Trump fucks them over with an independent run. The idea that Rubio wins a heads up against Trump is basically media fantasy at this point with no real evidence to back it up.
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Feb 21, 2016 05:46
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Alfred P. Pseudonym posted:So did Rubio or Cruz end up pulling any delegates? Did they both give victory speeches while winning zero delegates? no and no. yes.
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Feb 21, 2016 05:46
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Alfred P. Pseudonym posted:So did Rubio or Cruz end up pulling any delegates? Did they both give victory speeches while winning zero delegates? Trump won all 50 delegates tonight, but there are 698 delegates up for grabs on March 1.
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Feb 21, 2016 05:46
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Hillary already speaking in Houston 
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Feb 21, 2016 05:48
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Joementum posted:Trump won all 50 delegates tonight, but there are 698 delegates up for grabs on March 1. Don't the March 1st primaries out us at about 1/3 of the total delegates allocated? I predict Trump will have at least 1/3 of the delegates needed for a majority after March 1st.
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Feb 21, 2016 05:49
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TROIKA CURES GREEK posted:The idea that Rubio wins a heads up against Trump is basically media fantasy at this point with no real evidence to back it up. A united Rubio-Bush-Kasich ticket would have beaten Trump by a six point margin tonight. As soon as the race winows, Trump is in trouble. QuoProQuid has issued a correction as of 05:54 on Feb 21, 2016 |
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Feb 21, 2016 05:50
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QuoProQuid posted:A united Rubio-Bush-Kasich ticket would have beaten Trump by a six point margin tonight. As soon as the race winows, Trump is in trouble. The votes aren't all going to stack together
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Feb 21, 2016 05:56
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QuoProQuid posted:A united Rubio-Bush-Kasich ticket would have beaten Trump by a six point margin tonight. As soon as the race winows, Trump is in trouble. Get out. You dummy.
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Feb 21, 2016 05:56
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QuoProQuid posted:A united Rubio-Bush-Kasich ticket would have beaten Trump by a six point margin tonight. As soon as the race winows, Trump is in trouble. You're assuming Rubio gets all the supporters of Bush and Kasich, and while he would probably get most of them, a decent portion would go to Trump and Cruz.
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Feb 21, 2016 05:57
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Zohar posted:The votes aren't all going to stack together Not to mention Trump hasn't gone after Rubio yet. When he does you're going to see some serious blue screening from Rubot.
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Feb 21, 2016 05:58
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Listen, it's so simple. I'm going to be the nominee and President. Just think of it, President Trump. It's going to happen. Believe me.
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Feb 21, 2016 05:58
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Donald Trump posted:Listen, it's so simple. I'm going to be the nominee and President. Just think of it, President Trump. It's going to happen. Believe me. Mr. Trump do you think Jeb Bush might have a place in your cabinet? Followup: What about Cruz?
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Feb 21, 2016 06:01
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Guy Montag posted:Mr. Trump do you think Jeb Bush might have a place in your cabinet? Followup: What about Cruz? McGovern said he'd consider Wallace for his cabinet after visiting him in the hospital in '72.
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Feb 21, 2016 06:02
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https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/701269540844527616
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Feb 21, 2016 06:03
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QuoProQuid posted:A united Rubio-Bush-Kasich ticket would have beaten Trump by a six point margin tonight. As soon as the race winows, Trump is in trouble. Any futher winnowing is going to probably be after Super Tuesday and Trump could have a big lead by that point. I still think Rubio has a good chance of winning but I'd consider Trump the frontrunner at this point.
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Feb 21, 2016 06:05
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What are the chances of the nominee not being settled before the Republican convention?
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Feb 21, 2016 06:08
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The most unsettling time will be when Trump gets inaugurated and for at least one brief moment everything feels the same as it did before.
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Feb 21, 2016 06:09
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Joementum posted:McGovern said he'd consider Wallace for his cabinet after visiting him in the hospital in '72. Holy poo poo, why? A bid for Southern Democrats?
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Feb 21, 2016 06:09
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Pakled posted:What are the chances of the nominee not being settled before the Republican convention? Still pretty low. Most of the delegates will be awarded on March 1 and March 15. If we're still in a three way deadlock on the 16th, it might happen, but it's far more likely that either Rubio or Cruz will be well ahead of the other at that point.
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Feb 21, 2016 06:10
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Aliquid posted:Holy poo poo, why? A bid for Southern Democrats? Yes. HHH would have won easily in '68 without Wallace in the race.
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Feb 21, 2016 06:11
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Pakled posted:What are the chances of the nominee not being settled before the Republican convention? Unlikely if one of the challengers doesn't pick up a competitive amount of delegates on March 1st and March 15th and after.
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Feb 21, 2016 06:13
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Joementum posted:Still pretty low. Most of the delegates will be awarded on March 1 and March 15. If we're still in a three way deadlock on the 16th, it might happen, but it's far more likely that either Rubio or Cruz will be well ahead of the other at that point. Even if Trump's wins narrow to 3-5% per state, it's still a massive delegate sweep, as seen tonight. There's a pretty good chance that that the delegate count after the 15th is closer to 70% Trump, 30% Rubio/Cruz.
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Feb 21, 2016 06:13
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Joementum posted:Trump won all 50 delegates tonight, but there are 698 delegates up for grabs on March 1. Some haven't been polled in months, but most of them see Trump in the lead by 5 to 15 points. After winning three states in a row, do you really think his numbers are going to fall in the south?
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Feb 21, 2016 06:14
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Joementum posted:Still pretty low. Most of the delegates will be awarded on March 1 and March 15. If we're still in a three way deadlock on the 16th, it might happen, but it's far more likely that either Rubio or Cruz will be well ahead of the other at that point. But in a 3 way race with Cruz and Rubio about even doesn't that mean they are getting too few votes to pick up many delegates due to the states that allocate on winner take all or modified winner take all (like SC)?
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Feb 21, 2016 06:15
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Boosted_C5 posted:Don't the March 1st primaries out us at about 1/3 of the total delegates allocated? More like 1/4th of the total delegates allocated. If you add them to the February ones it's ~1/3.
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Feb 21, 2016 06:16
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Joementum posted:Still pretty low. Most of the delegates will be awarded on March 1 and March 15. If we're still in a three way deadlock on the 16th, it might happen, but it's far more likely that either Rubio or Cruz will be well ahead of the other at that point. Saving this post for when trumps win in Florida puts him in the lead and kasich is in second place after winning Ohio
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Feb 21, 2016 06:16
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Fuschia tude posted:Some haven't been polled in months, but most of them see Trump in the lead by 5 to 15 points. After winning three states in a row, do you really think his numbers are going to fall in the south? I think the winnowing is going to make those 5-15 point leads -5-5 point leads (edit: or worse).
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Feb 21, 2016 06:17
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Joementum posted:I think the winnowing is going to make those 5-15 point leads -5-5 point leads. We will see 
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Feb 21, 2016 06:18
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Joementum posted:Yes. HHH would have won easily in '68 without Wallace in the race. Oh man, I didn't realize the states played out that way; I thought Wallace's support was wholly contained in the states he won. Nixon won about fifteen really close states, and even some that weren't that close (Florida at >9%) would still have swung Humphrey's way because of Wallace's strong showing. At what point did the Dems realize that the South was Nixon's for the taking and stop campaigning for white votes there? my brain says 2010
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Feb 21, 2016 06:20
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Are there Super Tuesday states that Rubio has at least a decent shot at winning? e: I checked; early February polls had him down 6 in VA and CO, down 4 in AR, and up 2 in MN. e2: confused AR with AK, I meant Arkansas. Slate Action has issued a correction as of 06:24 on Feb 21, 2016 |
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Feb 21, 2016 06:20
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Slate Action posted:Are there Super Tuesday states that Rubio has at least a decent shot at winning? Honestly, he has a decent chance in any of them except, probably, Texas.
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Feb 21, 2016 06:23
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Slate Action posted:Are there Super Tuesday states that Rubio has at least a decent shot at winning? He'll get the full party backing in MN and VA, CO and AK will be tough for him. In AK, aren't the various native populations receptive to moderate Republicans? I think I remember Murkowski relying on them for her write-in campaign.
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Feb 21, 2016 06:23
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