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Ice Phisherman posted:If I were the democrats I'd be finding more people like [the Khans]. Trump seems eager for the controversy and is easily baited. He'll take a poke at anything or anyone who offends him no matter how dumb it is. He'll charge stupidly at anything that gets his attention. Yeah it's probably not going to be any one single thing that will sink Trump's campaign, but rather a series of different examples of American exceptionalism and multi-culturalism, deliberately baited or otherwise, that Trump will be unable to resist saying something horrible about, one news cycle at a time, all the way to November.
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Aug 1, 2016 14:30
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Antti posted:it was a very Aaron Sorkin moment and everyone loved it. I love The West Wing to death and even watched The Newsroom in its entirety (I'm so so sorry) and this is bang-on.
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Aug 1, 2016 16:49
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Mel Mudkiper posted:Why does a Muslim terrorist supporter send his son to fight for America in Iraq for fucks sake. It was a plot point in one of Tom Clancy's books where an Iranian family migrates to the States, and their son grows up to become a Secret Service agent, and then gets as far as being on the President's detail. Except he's actually a sleeper agent and at some point gets his orders to assassinate POTUS via instructions left behind by his Iranian spy-handler, whose cover identity is a rug merchant.
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Aug 2, 2016 06:48
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Luna Was Here posted:What is it with him and the word good? Like, has he ever heard of a synonym or something ????? I don't know about whether he's doing it "ironically" or otherwise intentionally, but it's pretty clear to me that Trump has a very limited vocabulary.
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Aug 2, 2016 08:47
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The European nationalist bigots are more well-educated and tactful, yes, but then they go on and use that intellectualism and education and tactfulness to disguise their bigotry and xenophobia in dogwhistles and subtleties. I mean, so did William F Buckley. Trump doesn't, because he can't, but that's why people who like him, like him.
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Aug 2, 2016 15:25
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waitwhatno posted:But judges have to be confirmed by the Senate, right? So it can't get TOO bad, like him appointing his daughter or something. It is incredibly unlikely that a Trump Presidency would also result in a Democrat-controlled Congress.
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Aug 2, 2016 16:48
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Lid posted:Bernouts are just the 2016 PUMAs. It's just a lot more obnoxious this time because it's spilling into Twitter and Facebook instead of being cordoned off into Hillaryis44.com
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Aug 2, 2016 17:09
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Jarmak posted:Is there any chance that if we see a ridiculous landslide victory and the GOP keeps the house that it could be the proof of disenfranchisement needed to get the SC to move on gerrymandering? If I'm not mistaken Democratic Congressional and Senate candidates have been receiving the majority of votes since at least 2008 and it hasn't caused any movement yet, so I don't think anything's going to happen until at least the redistricting in 2020.
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Aug 2, 2016 17:13
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OAquinas posted:California has a lot of the population of the US in it, and is one of the last states to close (sorry Hawai'i). It's also reliably dem that it could have its EV counted prior to the final voter tally entered in. Luckily the US won't have that problem this year when Clinton sews up 270 EVs before the California polls even close.
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Aug 3, 2016 08:55
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Giving Iran 400 million dollars that we already owed them in the first place in exchange* for getting them to release prisoners that they were within their rights to originally arrest would seem to indicate that Obama knows how to make the best deals. * I know it wasn't an exchange
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Aug 3, 2016 12:57
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Ignatius M. Meen posted:I can't see the GOP getting remotely closer to winning the presidential race by dumping Trump at this point. Has this sort of thing even ever happened? The closest thing we've seen was probably 1968, where LBJ's decision to not run and RFK's assassination turned the DNC into such a shitshow that the party was hamstrung in the general. And that was just a case of the presumptive nominee getting shifted around a bunch. It's difficult to imagine that the GOP could pull off changing the actual nominee after the convention is over and having that improve their chances. It's also going to allow Trump to slam the party repeatedly for being cowards after he gets booted. They lose, and Trump can totally claim the historical counterfactual where he would have won instead.
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Aug 3, 2016 13:28
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https://twitter.com/kindofabigdata/status/760674089946189824
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Aug 3, 2016 13:34
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The "truth is in the middle" of nuclear winter is that while a single nuke going off won't cause it, even a "limited exchange" such as between India and Pakistan would probably throw up enough fallout and dust to cause severe damage to global agriculture leading to global famine. It's not going to cause Snowpiercer levels of global cooling, but it will gently caress over millions of people in the Third World. And that is of course assuming that a limited exchange wouldn't escalate into every other nuclear arsenal going off anyway.
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Aug 3, 2016 15:15
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Arrgytehpirate posted:Why would any other country except India and Pakistan jump in if they're just nuking each other? Obviously the countries that border them are hella hosed but they probably don't have nukes and more nukes wouldn't help them. Because you don't know that the nukes from Pakistan are only ever heading towards India, and vice-versa, and waiting for that to be confirmed could take long enough that you're screwed on timing your retaliation if it turns out you actually need to.
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Aug 3, 2016 15:21
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Charlz Guybon posted:The Israelis would notice that Pakistani missiles would be flying east towards India. Who else could they possibly be aimed at? I'm not saying I disagree, but if nuclear policy were entirely based on rationality, we wouldn't have had the Cold War.
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Aug 3, 2016 15:30
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Arrgytehpirate posted:What does uspol think of nukes re Japan? It's a derail on the same scale as tipping and cooking steaks.
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Aug 3, 2016 15:36
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BI NOW GAY LATER posted:The what The US shipped 400 million USD to Iran as part of a payment of a deal made before the Iranian revolution, since the nuclear treaty they have includes unfreezing of assets. This was done at around the same time that the American sailors that were arrested some months back for violating Iranian waters were finally released from their internment. The WSJ published an article insinuating that this was proof of Obama paying Iran for the release of what were effectively hostages. This could well have been a thing that might put the Democrats on the defensive for a news cycle because nuance is dead, but alas, Trump.
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Aug 3, 2016 16:58
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Tibeerius posted:One correction. The Americans who were "ransomed" in this story were not the sailors, they were a Washington Post reporter, a former U.S. Marine, a pastor, and one other person. Thank you. I appreciate getting fact-checked.
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Aug 3, 2016 17:12
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zoux posted:Tweet chain from Jeb's FP advisor on Trump's nuclear policy Read bottom to top. Iron Rose's twitter account spotted.
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Aug 3, 2016 17:54
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theflyingorc posted:no no no, that's also very bad. The US Electoral College has had a smattering of faithless electors over the years, with the latest in 2000, but it hasn't mattered since at least 1836 and 1800. I do agree that optics-wise it looks bad, especially if you want to avoid the spectre of an illegitimate election.
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Aug 3, 2016 18:18
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Tibeerius posted:I love how Trump has turned the usual "VP = attack dog" conventional wisdom upside-down. Every quote I see from Pence these days is covering for his running mate. "Lapdogs! All of you!"
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Aug 3, 2016 18:48
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I just wanted to share this Howard Dean moment from the 2016 DNC because I thought it was a nice self-deprecating moment: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xKZnbmbm9Z4&t=369s
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Aug 4, 2016 06:46
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Cardboard Box A posted:Flag-themed clothing are not actual US Flags, the same way gold-fringe flags are not, and thus not subject to the flag code. You can't be serious, right? This is sounds like SovCit junk. the talent deficit posted:Peak Republicans was the early 2000s when you had Ford, Reagan and both Bushes alive and kicking or during the Clinton years with Nixon replacing the younger Bush. I just wanted to appreciate all the effort that went into this post.
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Aug 4, 2016 11:30
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emdash posted:
Holy mackerel, that last 4-way poll.
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Aug 4, 2016 12:33
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Iron Crowned posted:why doesn't Hillary just start acting like she's vetting far-left judges for SCOTUS? I'd think that would get them to confirm Garland in a heartbeat. Giving the impression that you think you've already won can drive down turnout for your voters, and vice-versa for the opposition.
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Aug 4, 2016 12:48
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Does not understand nuclear strategy.
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Aug 4, 2016 13:14
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Sensible Thursday posted:So this new Melania scandal should extend the meltdown at least a couple more days, right? "So this new scandal should extend the meltdown at least a couple more days, right?" is what I expect most people here are buckled up for all the way to November. Trump never "ends" a scandal. He just says some poo poo that's worse than the last thing he said. And even when someone or something takes the spotlight away from him, he just goes off and says some poo poo anyway, because he can't stand not being talked about.
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Aug 4, 2016 13:44
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El Disco posted:Another good example is the Dean Scream. He was already pretty far behind when it happened, but a lot of people think it was the YEEEEAAARRRGH that sank him. It's sort of like the Battle of Teutoberg Forest - the Roman Empire was already on a downward slope for a while, but we like to say "this is where the tide turned" because it's an easy shorthand. If it didn't happen, (pop) historians would have just pointed to something else as being the definitive decisive battle.
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Aug 4, 2016 16:37
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A Trump concession speech, if it ever happened, would probably be something like 5 minutes of staying on script followed by re-litigating everything he's said since the primaries and everything we're about to hear in the next three months. " ... now let me tell you about Megyn Kelly and Fox News ..."
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Aug 4, 2016 16:40
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Binary Badger posted:Anyone noticed he hasn't tweeted anything overtly negative for the past 24 hours? Calm before the storm - his tirade against the Khans didn't come immediately after the DNC, either.
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Aug 4, 2016 16:57
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Bit of ancient history: how many people were still in the last Republican Debate?
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Aug 4, 2016 17:57
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http://www.rappler.com/nation/142109-duterte-us-ambassador-goldberg-buwisitquote:CAPIZ, Philippines – The notoriously frank President Rodrigo Duterte had something to say about United States Ambassador Philip Goldberg on Friday, August 5.
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Aug 6, 2016 04:23
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HorseRenoir posted:Clinton +12 in Virginia Terry McAuliffe 2020!
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Aug 7, 2016 16:54
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https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/762649765687365633
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Aug 8, 2016 15:18
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zoux posted:GA is kind of the Dem's PA though, the one they think that maybe this year, they can flip. Isn't that Texas? Grundulum posted:I can live with that outcome. I don't think "the continued existence of contemporary society" is a particularly tough call.
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Aug 8, 2016 15:52
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Grundulum posted:Help me out, someone. I have never been able to figure out why John Lithgow was allowed into the room for this event. Based on this Time article, that's: quote:Tom Donilon (standing, arms folded) was President Obama’s National Security Advisor from October 2010 until June 2013 and is now a fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations. Donilon didn’t want President Obama to watch the raid, fearing it would appear he was micromanaging the strike. Obama reportedly insisted, striding into the room, saying “I need to watch this.”
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Aug 9, 2016 12:31
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In this election's lingo, what does "tankies" mean?
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Aug 9, 2016 13:34
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berserker posted:Here's what I don't get about the "silent majority" thing. Polls are anonymous. It's not like when someone calls you to ask poll questions that there's anyone standing there watching you and judging your answers. The pollsters don't get your name, only demographics statistics. No one knows who it is who is saying they support Clinton or Trump. So in that scenario, why would anyone have any reason to lie about how they truly feel and so throw off a poll? And how likely could it possibly be that this happens consistently over all polls? Based on my own experience with other people who believe in this sort of thing, it comes from: "I never got polled, and none of the people I know have gotten polled either, how can they know what we think? How can 1000 people be representative of millions?" "Look at all the people attending these rallies! How can we possibly lose?!"
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Aug 10, 2016 05:40
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vyelkin posted:Publicly fingered in the butt for a broken headlight: New Chuck Tingle book title. zoux posted:Ryan said at a press conference that he hadn't heard what Trump said and then a reporter was like "here I'll read it" and he was all NO! Please tell me there's video CommieGIR posted:
Yeah he was absolutely calling him a human being in the pejorative sense. I'd start a Philippines thread, but I don't know if there'd be any interest in it, and it'd just be me posting the latest insane poo poo that the President said. Here's a cross-post from a write-up I made in the Politoons thread compiling the week so far: gradenko_2000 posted:This Sunday, the President read and released a list of more than 150 officials that he claims is or was involved in the drug trade. The list is simply names, with no corroborating evidence, and no official charges have been filed against any of the people named.
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Aug 10, 2016 16:51
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You're missing the point. And I doubt this guy was mentioning it as praise for how far he has come.
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Antti posted:I also listen to a lot of podcasts and it's getting old to get bombarded with ads for all these subscription services that I literally can't use. CLUB W! MEUNDIES! BLUE APRON! I was actually really interested in the Five Four Club thing that Keeping it 1600 plugs because I'm lazy and uneducated when it comes to clothes shopping. Alas. Zanzibar Ham posted:I don't remember, does Civ V fix the 'fortified hoplite can smash an army of tanks' issue? That was a Civ 3 problem that Civ 4 solved. It reared its head again in unpatched, no-expansion Civ V, but was also fixed later on.
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Aug 10, 2016 17:08
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