|
Brownhat posted:No one deserves to win in a week 17 league. Welcome back Fantasy Sports Fans, it's 2018. It's officially time to Free League Hosting Services
Football Guys @Sigmundbloom Produces the excellent "Audible" podcast. My favorite follow. @MattWaldman Writes the Rookie Scouting Portfolio. I'm not sure he sleeps. @JeneBramel MD and Football Guy, excellent for injury updates on gameday morning and IDP advice Misc. Writers @4for4_Paul - from 4for4, most accurate guy the last couple years @ChrisWesseling Former writer for NBC rotoworld, works for Falcons media now I think. Not sure if he's still gonna do fantasy when 2013 rolls around. If he does, he's one of the best, and well worth the follow. @dpbrugler Dane Brugler, former NFL scout and writer for CBS, good follow. @SC_DougFarrar Doug Farrar of shutdown corner @LanceZierlein Runs thesidelineview.com, great follow @Dumonjic_Alen Bleacher report/sidelineview contributor, player evals. Smart kid. Pro Football Focus @MikeClayNFL Accurate, prolific, one of the better writers @JeffRatcliffe Great for IDP @PFF_RossMiles Also great for IDP, does a weekly IDP show with Ratcliffe @dynastytim used to write for Dynasty League Football, just joined PFF. Great dynasty follow. NFL Guys @AlbertBreer @gregcosell @mortreport @AdamSchefter Varg posted:Footballguys just emailed out an entire list of who to follow on twitter for every team's fantasy purposes.. I might actually pay attention to twitter now. I put it into an excel file in case anyone who's not subscribed to their mailings is interested. BeerGod feel free to add this to the OP too if you want Podcasts
Introduction Fantasy Football is the ancient art of nerds pouring over statistics in the hopes of predicting how infinitely more athletic and successful men will perform over the course of a professional football game. In recent history it has become a billion dollar industry while infusing itself into the collective psyche of the NFL. Countless podcasts, articles, websites, and every other source under the sun have sprung up in support of what is essentially glorified socialized gambling. There's even a television show about a league. Fantasy Football is basically Dungeons & Dragons for The leagues themselves vary from friendly to insane, including at least one where the loser gets a tattoo chosen by the winner. Other leagues have pots worth hundreds of thousands of dollars, or byzantine rules about relegation, delegation, salary caps, and every other statistic under the sun. We are collectively insane, and we can't get enough. Fantasy Football itself is a lot of fun. Not only do you get to make a game out of watching football, but it also forces you to learn about the sport as a whole. I would never have known (or cared) that last year Darren McFadden was struggling with the Raider's transition from a power blocking scheme to a zone block until he became my first round draft pick and started costing me games. It makes you a better fan when you know all the players on the field. Dirt Worshipper said it best: Dirt Worshipper posted:Before I played fantasy I despised it. We all know the obnoxious guy at the sports bar in the Brady jersey, running in between TV’s screaming ”Throw Jennings the ball!”. They disagree fundamentally with the lessons our fathers taught us about football: You root for your home team, through good years and bad. The bad years are meant to be borne with grim fidelity, the good years are our reward. Fantasy was just wrong. The Basics A league consists of several owners (typically 12), one of whom is the commissioner who manages the league. At the beginning of the season each owner drafts a roster of players. Rosters are typically fifteen players and consist of starters and a bench of reserve players to replace starters who are injured or on bye weeks. A typical starting lineup that will mirror NFL positions and consist of 1 Quarterback (QB), 2 Running Backs (RB), 3 Wide Receivers (WR), 1 Tight End (TE), a Place Kicker (PK), and a Team Defense/Special Teams (DST). Each week your players will score points for your team according to their performance. Scoring can be very simple or incredibly complicated depending on the league, but many leagues use a standard scoring system where passing provides 1 point per 25 yards, 4 points per passing touchdown, and -1 point per interception and receiving and rushing gain 1 point per 10 yards, 6 points per receiving/rushing touchdown. Field goals are typically worth 3 points, and team defense scoring depends on a number of factors including sacks, interceptions, points allowed, defensive touchdowns, etc. Many leagues will use different scoring systems depending on the preferences of the players. One significant difference is PPR, or Points Per Reception, where wide receiver are awarded a set number of points (typically 0.5 or 1) for every reception. The league season will go for a set number of weeks during the regular NFL season. Typically the last two to four weeks of the regular season are reserved for the playoffs, and most leagues end on the sixteenth week because many NFL teams will sit their star players in Week 17 if the outcome doesn't matter. Variations There are many roster variations that different leagues will use. Many leagues use a flex position where different positions can fit into a slot. The most common form of flex position replaces the third WR position in the standard lineup above with a WR/RB/TE flex position. That means that any Wide Receiver, Running Back, or Tight End player could be used in that slot. Leagues where that flex position allows a QB are typically called "2 QB leagues" because quarterbacks typically score far more points that other players. Other leagues utilize IDP or Individual Defensive Players instead of Team Defenses. IDP players score points for tackles, sacks, interceptions, touchdowns, etc. Many leagues are several years old and include rules to provide continuity between seasons. In contrast to a redraft league where every player is drafted at the start of each season some leagues use keepers where team owners are allowed to keep a set number of players per year. Other leagues are dynasty leagues where the entire roster is kept from year to year. Typically dynasty leagues use much deeper benches and include a rookie draft. The Draft Every league starts with a draft, where team owner pick their players. There are two major types of draft; the snake draft and the auction draft. A snake draft is where every owner receives a draft position and then picks a player in order for a number of rounds equal to the roster size. It's called a snake draft because the order "snakes" back and forth each round. In other words the owner who picked last in the first round will pick first in the second. Auction drafts are where each team owner has a set budget and they bid for each player until everyone's roster has been filled. There are numerous drafting strategies out there, but ultimately the goal of any draft is to get the maximum amount of value for your players. Trades and the Waiver Wire While drafting is essential, the most successful teams typically win by taking advantage of the waiver wire and trades. Trading is precisely what it sounds like; players offer each other trades that are accepted or rejected. Many leagues incorporate an approval process to prevent collusion where two players will deliberately stack one team and then split the winnings; there is no universe where Adrian Peterson is worth Mark Sanchez. Depending on the league trading may either be nonexistent or commonplace. Many leagues will end trading several weeks before the playoffs begin. The NFL has hundreds of players and most of them will not be on a team roster. As players are injured or fall out of favor team owners will be forced to pick up free agents to replace them. To do this they use the waiver wire. Each week individual players are locked the moment their team starts their game. For the duration of this "waiver period" owners who wish to claim a free agent submit a "waiver claim." Owners who wish to make more than one waiver claim must indicate the priority of their claims. At the end of the waiver period (typically a day or two after the beginning of the new week) the league software checks the standings of the teams. Going in reverse order (worst standing to highest) the teams get their highest priority claim. If multiple teams have submitted waiver claims for the same player it will go the team with the lowest standing, and the other teams will get their lower priority claims. After the waiver period has ended every player is available to be claimed immediately. The waiver wire is extremely important. Alfred Morris, the 5th ranked running back of 2012, was a free agent in most leagues until the first week. Many owners use the waiver wire to "stream" defenses and other players based on that week's match. Beer4TheBeerGod fucked around with this message at 18:12 on Apr 26, 2018 |
# ¿ Apr 29, 2017 23:49 |
|
|
# ¿ Apr 30, 2024 11:21 |
|
Beer4TheBeerGod posted:Every year I put together a list of general suggestions for draft strategies, and the community provided some wonderful insight and updates. Now that the NFL draft is over and fantasy football season has started I thought it would be appropriate to revisit those ideas and put together some new thoughts and suggestions. Consider this a living document, and let me know what you think! Teemu Pokemon posted:If it's a 1 keeper league, the goal should just be to keep the best ADP bargain, or a top end stud like Brown or Johnson if you have one, and then just treat the draft and subsequent rankings as a redraft. Don't reach on young guys because it's a "keeper league" because it's not. Spoeank posted:DON'T 👏 DRAFT 👏 TIGHT 👏 ENDS 👏 Beer4TheBeerGod fucked around with this message at 02:57 on Apr 30, 2017 |
# ¿ Apr 29, 2017 23:50 |
|
Slow draft? Slow draft.
|
# ¿ Apr 29, 2017 23:55 |
|
Leperflesh posted:So did the NFL bring back the [D]oubtful status? [P] is gone. Sataere posted:Only suggestion is add the link to that rules post that is a work of art Which post? Forever_Peace posted:Ironically, you forgot to mention Beersheets. Those things are too invaluable not to be in the OP. I'll probably update the OP once I have them ready for 2017.
|
# ¿ Apr 30, 2017 01:28 |
|
drizzle posted:I'm excited about Perine ending up with Washington. I have the seventh pick in my dynasty league and I might be targeting him with it. He seems like a fairly one dimensional player in a crowded backfield. What makes you think he's worth drafting?
|
# ¿ Apr 30, 2017 05:12 |
|
dkj posted:What hosting site has the best mobile app? Been using Yahoo which was fine until last year where it got really buggy. ESPN is my favorite, but I haven't tried any others. Suffice to say that ESPN has been good enough that I haven't cared to look elsewhere for years. The only other site I use is MFL.
|
# ¿ Apr 30, 2017 20:52 |
|
drizzle posted:It's just as crowded as any backfield right now and it's not like there are any studs there. From what I hear his pass pro should be good enough to get him on the field if he can beat out kelly in camp and I don't think he's any more one-dimensional than anyone else on the roster anyway. And short strong heavy RBs are my favorite type of RBs too for some reason, just fun to watch. NFL channel seems infatuated with him as well. I think I'll look at him as a late pickup for sure based on all the gushing they're doing, plus your comments.
|
# ¿ May 1, 2017 03:20 |
|
^^^ Draft on value, trade for need.Veritek83 posted:Just saw he was Mayock's #5 RB. Could be interesting, but I have to imagine they're still going to be really pass-heavy in Washington. Keith Marshall might also be healthy.
|
# ¿ May 1, 2017 05:37 |
|
Also it's effectively a 5WR league so I wouldn't even worry about RB.
|
# ¿ May 1, 2017 05:39 |
|
Thelonius Van Funk posted:Seems like I can finally drop Devin Smith in my dynasty league right? It's a 12 person, 30 player per team league so I'm sure there's some equally valuable trash available Yeah. 30 players is pretty deep but he's an easy drop for another flyer.
|
# ¿ May 2, 2017 12:19 |
|
So I guess the Jets and Bears are pretty good teams to stream defenses against (and avoid taking players from). Who else?
|
# ¿ May 3, 2017 17:46 |
|
Azhais posted:http://nesn.com/2017/05/this-espn-fantasy-football-scoring-change-could-greatly-affect-your-league/ gently caress yes.
|
# ¿ May 4, 2017 18:46 |
|
Butter Hole posted:Perhaps a dumb question: is there a beer sheets-equivalent for IDP? My dynasty league is introducing defensive players and the draft is this weekend. I am woefully unprepared. Anyone have some recommended resources? It's very hard to make a draft sheet for IDP because there are very few projections.
|
# ¿ May 13, 2017 13:29 |
|
drizzle posted:Redskins beat writers won't shut up about Perine winning out the starting tailback job. At least wait until my rookie draft starts assholes He's a shiny new toy in a field that doesn't have any competition. In other words typical Redskins.
|
# ¿ May 16, 2017 02:56 |
|
Spoeank posted:Okay Gentlemen, I enjoyed Mariota vs. Jameis I prefer Ross. Hamstrings can be extremely troublesome (see DeSean Jackson) and if that happens then Ross becomes an obvious WR1 from an opportunity standpoint.
|
# ¿ May 17, 2017 22:02 |
|
Rotopass doesn't have a discount code this year, right?
|
# ¿ May 24, 2017 13:24 |
|
Matt Jones is not going to be a Redskin. He was told he's "not part of the plans" for the team.
|
# ¿ May 31, 2017 02:51 |
|
Rotopass code EARLY ends this weekend.
|
# ¿ Jun 3, 2017 20:24 |
|
Drunk Nerds posted:Seems to good to be true? Adams in a dynasty for a buncha mediocre doodoo, AND you get some other stuff... I don't know if Hyde is mediocre doodoo, but I agree it's a good trade.
|
# ¿ Jun 5, 2017 23:35 |
|
Fork of Unknown Origins posted:Yeah, Hyde is more the piece I'm sad about losing than CJA, but he's the piece that the other owner wants too so I doubt the trade goes down without him involved. Just take the trade. Remember that running backs are viable for far less than good wide receivers, so in a dynasty league he could be a long term asset.
|
# ¿ Jun 6, 2017 05:06 |
|
I put this up on Reddit but figured I would share it here:quote:Redskins fan here. The only thing I would be comfortable saying is that Chris Thompson should be a reliable PPR flex play. How the rest of the position pans out between Perine, Marshall, Brown, and Kelley is going to be extremely difficult to establish. With Jones gone Perine has the highest draft pedigree of those remaining, and also has the aura of being "their" guy as opposed to McCloughan's picks. Beer4TheBeerGod fucked around with this message at 16:46 on Jun 7, 2017 |
# ¿ Jun 7, 2017 16:40 |
|
kiimo posted:Is there anything more hilarious than telling me what someone's upcoming fantasy ceiling is? Saying they have a high floor in a game notorious for injuries?
|
# ¿ Jun 9, 2017 18:45 |
|
Zombie Tsunami posted:my god, they are so thirsty for those beersheets over at reddit Yeah I guess I'm doing something right.
|
# ¿ Jun 9, 2017 23:54 |
|
kiimo posted:Your beersheets helped me to come in last in my league. Doing that would require me to triple the price, and I don't think people would appreciate that.
|
# ¿ Jun 10, 2017 00:13 |
|
Spoeank posted:TEs rule sorry y'all are fuckin babbies who don't like difficult fantasy football things Petition acknowledged, reviewed, and denied.
|
# ¿ Jun 10, 2017 23:51 |
|
Remember that Keeper rules mean that the early rounds will be far more depleted than usual; Jordy Nelson likely won't be there in the second. That said I'm a big fan of drafting on value. Johnson is absolutely an obvious pick and even the 10 spots is significant value. As for your second, here are the consensus ADP from FantasyPros and where you would be drafting them: Nelson: 12.5 [11] Edelman: 49.5 [38] Fitzgerald: 53.5 [59] Montgomery: 49.5 [110] Crowder: 65 [110] So by ADP Montgomery is your best bet. Plus if he's still a RB/WR then that could be fantastic.
|
# ¿ Jun 15, 2017 03:50 |
|
Welp.
|
# ¿ Jun 16, 2017 01:14 |
|
I will start up a new Slow Draft thread soon.
|
# ¿ Jun 18, 2017 17:22 |
|
https://forums.somethingawful.com/showthread.php?threadid=3824240 Sign up. Slow draft.
|
# ¿ Jun 19, 2017 16:18 |
|
Forever_Peace posted:Rotoviz gets the F_P stamp of approval. Rotoviz is Cool and Good. I pay for a lot of sites, they are the best.
|
# ¿ Jun 22, 2017 04:43 |
|
|
# ¿ Jun 27, 2017 04:03 |
|
Cervixalot posted:If you want to hear coach/camp narratives about why players will be good in fantasy, listen to the Audible. Get ready for hype trains. If you want to be entertained and just care about news, Around the NFL is cool and good.
|
# ¿ Jun 27, 2017 04:11 |
|
Leperflesh posted:What's going on with the N/A rows at TE and WR? My source for position levels has their names backwards.
|
# ¿ Jun 28, 2017 00:36 |
|
Leperflesh posted:Something's Fishy Bowl Smells Like 89's Girlfriend
|
# ¿ Jun 29, 2017 00:25 |
|
pubic works project posted:Beer, do you do beersheets for auction leagues? Yup.
|
# ¿ Jun 30, 2017 00:56 |
|
Spoeank posted:Ya boy just got offered $150 to put 500 words on cbs digital's scout.com about the fantasy football prospects of the jacksonville jaguars Awesome.
|
# ¿ Jun 30, 2017 23:57 |
|
Rotoviz has a really solid article on why last year was an incredible fluke in terms of RB scoring and RB health.
|
# ¿ Jul 7, 2017 20:18 |
|
Leperflesh posted:That article is sort of convincing me that, rather than zero-RB being the best approach, you should draft more RBs in the first few rounds. So the original 0RB article goes into why this is a bad idea. To be clear I mean "bad" in the sense that "a bunch of adults are making educated guesses about a game wholly dependent on random chance". The whole thing boils down to the concept of fragility, robustness, and antifragility. Fragile things are things that get worse when chaos hits, robust things are designed to endure chaos, and antifragile things actually get better when chaos occurs. The original Rotoviz article argues that traditional "BPA fill your starters" drafting is inherently fragile as only a few RBs are picked and the chance of one of them getting hurt is historically high. Going in for a large number of RBs is robust, as you have enough backup to endure the loss of a few RBs and still survive. 0RB is antifragile, in that the roster gets stronger as RBs goes down because your draft stock in them is less. The entire thing is dependent on the assertion that RBs generally get hurt more than WRs, so by focusing on WRs early you mitigate the risk of an early round pick busting out. But as you say, the real approach is to go against the grain. If a lot of RBs are drafted then going WR heavy works because you can get value. If a lot of WRs are drafted then you can use a robust strategy that has maximum value (especially when combined with an understanding of which players have the best opportunity for volume). 0RB only works if there are elite WRs to draft. Personally I really like the idea of focusing on late round gems like Terrance West and Jacquizz Rodgers to get me through the first few weeks while their competition is suspended.
|
# ¿ Jul 7, 2017 21:31 |
|
Drunk Nerds posted:This. This has always been true and will be true for the rest of time This is one of the reasons I am so glad of how BeerSheets have worked out.
|
# ¿ Jul 7, 2017 23:07 |
|
|
# ¿ Apr 30, 2024 11:21 |
|
von Metternich posted:What's the best draft spot this year? I have second choice of slot, and I'm leaning towards grabbing #2 (or 1 if the guy ahead of me doesn't take it) and taking one of the big 3 rbs. Any reason to get clever and pick something else? (Standard league, 12 teams) I would be pretty happy with 4-6. I really like the idea of getting a top flight WR this year.
|
# ¿ Jul 8, 2017 13:56 |