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What is the best flav... you all know what this question is: This poll is closed. |
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| Labour |
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907 | 49.92% |
| Theresa May Team (Conservative) |
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48 | 2.64% |
| Liberal Democrats |
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31 | 1.71% |
| UKIP |
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13 | 0.72% |
| Plaid Cymru |
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25 | 1.38% |
| Green |
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22 | 1.21% |
| Scottish Socialist Party |
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12 | 0.66% |
| Scottish Conservative Party |
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1 | 0.06% |
| Scottish National Party |
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59 | 3.25% |
| Some Kind of Irish Unionist |
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4 | 0.22% |
| Alliance / Irish Nonsectarian |
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3 | 0.17% |
| Some Kind of Irish Nationalist |
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36 | 1.98% |
| Misc. Far Left Trots |
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35 | 1.93% |
| Misc. Far Right Fash |
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8 | 0.44% |
| Monster Raving Loony |
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49 | 2.70% |
| Space Navies Party |
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39 | 2.15% |
| Independent / Single Issue |
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2 | 0.11% |
| Can't Vote |
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188 | 10.35% |
| Won't Vote |
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8 | 0.44% |
| Spoiled Ballot |
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15 | 0.83% |
| Pissflaps |
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312 | 17.17% |
| Total: | 1817 votes | ||
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congratulations on your conservative and liberal democrat coalition government
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Jun 8, 2017 22:02
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| # ¿ May 16, 2024 11:06 |
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Kaislioc posted:If you mean 2015 the last exit pill didn't predict a hung parliament. That was the polls. In fact, the exit poll was the first main sign we were getting a Tory majority. the 2015 exit poll had the cons at 316, short of a majority of 323 (or 326)
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Jun 8, 2017 22:05
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forkboy84 posted:Does anyone know what the Exit Poll predicted seatwise last time? I know it seat Tory biggest party, but how big? last time was tory 316 labour 239 actual result was tory 330 labour 232
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Jun 8, 2017 22:07
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Harrow posted:Is it realistic that Labour can form a coalition government, given these results? I want to know if I should keep cheering for the UK to pull out of the right-wing nosedive or if this is just more of a slowing of the nosedive not really labour would need the support of the SNP, LibDems, Plaid Cymru, Greens, and a smattering of Irish parties. That's not a coalition that can hold together. looks like Con+LibDems again
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Jun 8, 2017 22:11
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JosefStalinator posted:any good sites for streaming video and also election results (like the NYT ones for the USA) bbc is usually pretty good but results are going to come very slowly - each seat's result is reported all at once, and it'll probably be like 4-6 hours until the bulk is in
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Jun 8, 2017 22:15
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maybe, after neither the conservatives or corbyn are able to secure the confidence of the house, the labour right and tories will turn to a figures from outside parliament........................... tony
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Jun 8, 2017 22:21
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axeil posted:
nah, it's fairly routine for cabinet members to be defeated
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Jun 8, 2017 22:22
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communism bitch posted:Because they did it once before and annihilated their own base. Did Farron ever end up ruling out supporting the Tories
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Jun 8, 2017 22:28
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Rakosi posted:Lib Dems ruling out any coalition in no uncertain terms on the Sky news broadcast. Did they rule out any sort of accord, or just specifically a coalition?
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Jun 8, 2017 22:51
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wocobob posted:Could someone give a quick primer on the "Sinn Fein taking seats" thing to the Americans in the thread? I get the impression they're an Irish party, but I don't know much else about them. Do they have seats in parliament that they don't occupy out of protest or something? Exactly.
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Jun 8, 2017 22:54
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African AIDS cum posted:Exit polls were very wrong re: Trump. And America is actually decent at polling. Exit polls also consistently overestimated Bernie by quite a lot. If there's a difference in willingness to speak to pollsters that's out of line with previous elections (maybe because Labour voters are younger or more enthusiastic than they've been in the past), it's possible that this could go wrong.
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Jun 8, 2017 22:58
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African AIDS cum posted:I think the whole concept of exit polls is just done here now. The media needs to give it up Eh, getting the results +/- 15 seats isn't bad. They should just be reported as ranges, as numbers that have uncertainty, instead of point estimates.
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Jun 8, 2017 23:21
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BBC just updated its forecast to 322, two short of majority.
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Jun 9, 2017 02:17
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kustomkarkommando posted:SF is one course for 7 seats so thats a majority oh yikes
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Jun 9, 2017 02:19
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Xaerael posted:Tory forecast withering away. gaining eight seats since the exit poll is the opposite of withering away
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Jun 9, 2017 02:27
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snp so useless they're losing seats to the libdems
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Jun 9, 2017 02:42
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KUDjRZ30SNo
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Jun 9, 2017 02:46
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baka kaba posted:Mmmf yes BBC says 9 (which is also the number already declared)
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Jun 9, 2017 03:29
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Namtab posted:I see the tweets here but I wanted to go and tell her to stick to kids books and not political hot takes. she might be using a blocklist - where she automatically blocks everybody that follows certain people
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Jun 9, 2017 03:33
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Reveilled posted:Westminister handles both policy for the whole of the UK and things specific to England, e.g. the English National Health Service. In principle based on English Votes for English Laws (a policy introduced by the Conservatives in the last parliament), Scottish MPs are not supposed to get a vote on English matters. If the Tory majority relies of Scottish Tories, look up in your idiom dictionary "Hoised by one's own petard". the tory majority doesn't "rely" on scottish tories once scotland is out of the picture. they'll still have an easy majority of english seats.
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Jun 9, 2017 04:06
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hakimashou posted:Lol the Home Secretary kept demanding recounts until she 'won.' Is there actually a credible source saying that she asked for multiple recounts, or just twitter jokes? During her victory speech she thanked the poll workers for having counted all the votes twice.
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Jun 9, 2017 05:19
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LemonyTang posted:^^ My point is Brexit is done m8. Finished. Pro-Brexit parties received over 85% of the vote though 
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Jun 9, 2017 05:24
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Zenithe posted:Could SF potentially turn up for lols and/or spite, or is their hard stance on telling England to gently caress themselves too strong? zero percent chance
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Jun 9, 2017 06:11
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Hieronymous Alloy posted:When was the last hung Parliament 2010
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Jun 9, 2017 06:18
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SteelMentor posted:Wait, what the gently caress happened. I wake up and everyone told me May got hung. no it's looking like either tory+dup or new election
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Jun 9, 2017 06:29
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ewe2 posted:Why not Tory+LD then? They have more seats. LibDems have said no coalition or deals (with anyone). https://twitter.com/LibDemPress/status/872935171414249473
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Jun 9, 2017 06:32
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Mr. Nemo posted:What would happen if no parties agreed on a coalition? The previous PM continues without getting anything done or...? new election
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Jun 9, 2017 06:37
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MrL_JaKiri posted:The Tories pushed for a hard brexit but will be forced to govern alongside at least one group (either DUP or Lib Dems) who want a soft one at most. Hard brexit's probably off the table now. Or, alternatively, the parties are going to fumble around trying to form government for a month, fail, and call another election, so 3-4 months of the 24 month article 50 window get eaten up with nobody having a mandate to negotiate.
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Jun 9, 2017 06:53
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icantfindaname posted:so wait may/her tory replacement is going to stay PM with a minority of seats? Lab+SNP+LibDems+PC+Green is well short of a majority.
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Jun 9, 2017 07:08
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icantfindaname posted:What are the remaining seats if neither DUP/tory or the left parties have a majority? Sinn Fein abstentionists? Independents? Tory+DUP do have a bare majority, but one that wouldn't survive any amount of dissenters.
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Jun 9, 2017 07:13
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Chimp_On_Stilts posted:Why did this happen? Is it similar to gerrymandering in the USA? Nah, just geographic dispersion of votes. The UK doesn't really have partisan gerrymandering. SNP only ran in 59 scottish seats seats, greens in just over 600. SNP got 977,569 votes, so an average of about 16.5k per riding they ran in Greens got 523,259 votes, so an average of about 900 per riding they ran in.
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Jun 9, 2017 07:17
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squirrelzipper posted:What is the norm for no confidence in the UK parliament? Since the Fixed-term Parliaments Act of 2011, it's law, not norm. When a motion saying that the house does not have confidence in the government passes, that starts a 14 day countdown. If a new government is formed (by the opposition or by the same party) during those 14 days, that government must be confirmed by a positive confidence motion from the majority of parliament. If nobody can pass a confidence motion within 14 days, parliament is dissolved and new elections are held.
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Jun 9, 2017 07:53
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Xaerael posted:I don't think I could take BoJo losing his seat. I've been up 24 hrs following this shitfest, BoJo not being able to shoehorn himself into a leader candidacy due to being ousted by the opposition would make me laugh myself into a coma. Lucky for you, BoJo's seat had its results announced five hours ago. 
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Jun 9, 2017 08:03
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JFairfax posted:the DUP support isn't a guaranteed Sure, but any Labour government will need the DUP to vote for a motion “That this House has confidence in Her Majesty’s Government.”. How does Corbyn get the DUP's support?
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Jun 9, 2017 08:55
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goddamnedtwisto posted:Yes, I know that (I spent an unbelievable amount of time explaining this in 2010). Well, the Queen didn't ask May to form a government. May's ministry is simply continuing - ministries aren't tied to parliamentary terms. And no there's no reason the Tories couldn't sack May and have whoever wins their leadership election be asked to form government.
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Jun 9, 2017 23:13
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Tsaedje posted:Trouble for them is they don't have anyone else remotely capable of leading the party, that's why May's leader in the first place. I mean, there's no rule that the PM has to be an MP. The Tories could beg Ruth to take the job and have her take them to a new election, something like that.
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Jun 9, 2017 23:19
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jabby posted:Don't you have to be either an MP or a Lord to be in government though? Like how could Davidson come to the commons if she wasn't an MP? Well, the PM doesn't have to come to the Commons, it's just a very strong norm that they do. This would be a scenario where Davidson would sit as PM for like a week or two before a new election is called, though, so it wouldn't really stretch convention.
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Jun 9, 2017 23:46
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smug n stuff posted:Supposing there were another election, when would that be? Would there be time for more campaigning, or would it just go straight to a vote? There'd be a ~5 week long campaign, and it would probably be clear for a week or two before the actual campaign that the election is happening.
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Jun 9, 2017 23:59
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| # ¿ May 16, 2024 11:06 |
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ultrabindu posted:So in the history of political self owns where does this rank? Well, this was a provincial election in Canada, but probably less of a self-own than Alberta 2015. Alberta has historically been a very right-wing province and for the last several years the competition had been between a mainstream tory party and a far-right bunch of hicks. There were scandals, a new tory premier came in from outside Parliament, and he managed to convince most of the hicks to join his party. He called a snap election right after that, and hosed it up so much that the social democratic party, which had 4/87 seats before the election, won a majority. The tories came in third, behind was remained of the hick party. This was the first provincial election the tories had lost since 1967.
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Jun 10, 2017 02:52
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