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What is the best flav... you all know what this question is: This poll is closed. |
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| Labour |
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907 | 49.92% |
| Theresa May Team (Conservative) |
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48 | 2.64% |
| Liberal Democrats |
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31 | 1.71% |
| UKIP |
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13 | 0.72% |
| Plaid Cymru |
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25 | 1.38% |
| Green |
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22 | 1.21% |
| Scottish Socialist Party |
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12 | 0.66% |
| Scottish Conservative Party |
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1 | 0.06% |
| Scottish National Party |
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59 | 3.25% |
| Some Kind of Irish Unionist |
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4 | 0.22% |
| Alliance / Irish Nonsectarian |
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3 | 0.17% |
| Some Kind of Irish Nationalist |
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36 | 1.98% |
| Misc. Far Left Trots |
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35 | 1.93% |
| Misc. Far Right Fash |
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8 | 0.44% |
| Monster Raving Loony |
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49 | 2.70% |
| Space Navies Party |
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39 | 2.15% |
| Independent / Single Issue |
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2 | 0.11% |
| Can't Vote |
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188 | 10.35% |
| Won't Vote |
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8 | 0.44% |
| Spoiled Ballot |
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15 | 0.83% |
| Pissflaps |
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312 | 17.17% |
| Total: | 1817 votes | ||
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I just imagined Tony Blair's face it Corbyn wins this election.
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Jun 6, 2017 22:48
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Maybe something like this...
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Jun 6, 2017 22:58
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Has anyone else noticed how quiet Jess Phillips has been?
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Jun 6, 2017 23:16
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Gonzo McFee posted:Those paper front pages are pure Lyndon Crosby. Lie big two days before the election, by the time everyone knows it's a lie it's the day after the election. We should buy up all the Mail etc at opening time and dump them in a recycling bin somewhere.
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Jun 6, 2017 23:52
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Gonzo McFee posted:We should burn down their printing presses. Like.
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Jun 6, 2017 23:57
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Mackers posted:Tories will fall 22 seats short of a majority, says latest YouGov model - Independent If you've been reading this thread you'd know that it'd be a Labour minority government and not a coalition. Come on.
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Jun 7, 2017 00:31
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Guy Goodbody posted:I'm not in Britain, so I'm mainly getting British political news second hand from reading threads. As far as I cant ell, Theresa May's promises to the British people are to fire all the cops, fire all the firefighters, and replace the internet with going to jail. And the primary argument for voting for her is that Jeremy Corbyn is either silly or horrifying. No, you seem to have a pretty good understanding of the situation.
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Jun 7, 2017 00:34
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Baron Corbyn posted:An interesting note on Survation's polling. They're the only polling company not to have changed their methodology since the 2015 election which you might think doesn't bode well for Labour. However, their final poll for the 2015 election suggested the Tories would get 37% and Labour would get 31% which they didn't publish because it was so off base compared to everyone else that they though it was wrong. Where did you read this?
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Jun 7, 2017 11:06
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forkboy84 posted:Hey, look, a poll! It's only for Wales though Sweet. That should mean 3-4 pick ups in Wales for Labour.
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Jun 7, 2017 16:10
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Pissflaps posted:https://twitter.com/britainelects/status/872591111746990080?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw I think a lot of pollsters are going to feel silly tomorrow.
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Jun 8, 2017 00:46
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thehappyprince posted:they should all just use the nate silver 'well i did give him a 5% chance so i did actually call it right' method Eh, 538 had Trump at 25-30% when others had him at 1%.
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Jun 8, 2017 00:52
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Pissflaps posted:Survation will feel the silliest. You have no evidence for this.
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Jun 8, 2017 00:53
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Pissflaps posted:Nate Silver has absolutely nothing useful to say about this general election. He thinks it's an uncertain outcome with a wide range of possibilities. You're convinced of a massive Tory majority.
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Jun 8, 2017 00:55
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TheRat posted:This one's fun They claim to have access to 80% of smartphone users 
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Jun 8, 2017 01:09
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The train lady asked me for some vote Labour stickers 
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Jun 8, 2017 12:27
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CeeJee posted:Not even that, they poll with popup adds in other apps. This is the most  sampling method ever.
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Jun 8, 2017 13:12
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The Libearian posted:Gritted my teeth for Hillary Benn, polling place a lot quieter than it was for brexit. It could be worse. Imagine if you lived in Woodcock's constituency.
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Jun 8, 2017 14:00
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This means nothing unless you know what the UKIP vote in those constituencies is. Tory net gains from UKIP have steadily declined over the campaign and it only looks like around 10 seats are actually at risk from this assuming Labour don't pick up voters elsewhere.
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Jun 8, 2017 14:33
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TheRat posted:Uh, doesn't all indications so far suggest that the 2017 curve should be to the left of brexit? The Ashcroft stuff is weird.
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Jun 8, 2017 16:15
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https://twitter.com/twinkbat/status/872869495769104385
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Jun 8, 2017 18:44
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History Comes Inside! posted:Didn't the markets rise a little bit on brexit night because it was obvious we were staying in and then lol You forgot the best part. Farage conceded because of the market movements and then had to unconcede.
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Jun 8, 2017 19:18
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https://twitter.com/mattsayward/status/872880942599241728 hopeisalie.jpg Lord of the Llamas fucked around with this message at 19:24 on Jun 8, 2017 |
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Jun 8, 2017 19:21
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https://twitter.com/supernautynew/status/872890663205056512 I can't stop watching the Twitter "turnout" search feed.
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Jun 8, 2017 19:59
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https://twitter.com/BlueTintedNick/status/872894838529765376 https://twitter.com/BlueTintedNick/status/872896476921438209 Hope. Is. A. Lie.
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Jun 8, 2017 20:23
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Jose posted:stop posting these you're getting my hopes up I'll stop posting when you stop refreshing.
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Jun 8, 2017 20:29
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https://twitter.com/BronteWeinbren/status/872904681445609473 Peak rumour mill.
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Jun 8, 2017 20:56
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I can't read all the posts has Pissflaps admitted he was completely wrong yet?
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Jun 8, 2017 23:33
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This is going rather well. 
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Jun 9, 2017 01:30
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Gort posted:
The I'm dreaming and will wake up to a 150 seat Tory majority model.
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Jun 9, 2017 02:05
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So what model is this actually following now?
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The only thing that actually surprises me are the Scotland results.
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Jun 9, 2017 05:56
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(•_•) - Theresa May, <) )╯ / \ ( •_•) - You're done; \( (> / \ (•_•) - We did a democracy. <) )╯ / \
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Jun 9, 2017 06:18
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I'd love to know what the Queen says to May today hahahahaha.
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Jun 9, 2017 14:37
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Not sure the DUP are wise in associating with someone who is literally the worst prime minister ever.
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Jun 9, 2017 14:42
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Do we need a 2/3 majority in parliament to call another election because of fixed term act? Edit: 388, the number of seats Labour will win in the next election.
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Jun 10, 2017 23:58
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nothing to seehere posted:That's a 9% swing I think? Which, seat wise, would probably give Corbyn a majority. You must be confused. The only question was how big the Tory majority would be.
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Jun 11, 2017 00:22
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I was predicting that May was toast by Wednesday after the Tory backbencher meeting but I'm wondering if she'll last that long now.
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Jun 11, 2017 00:40
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Guys Corbyn has sunk Labour everyone knows that, right Pissflaps? (USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)
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Jun 11, 2017 02:28
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I just keep laughing every time I remember UKIP only got 1.8%.
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Jun 11, 2017 13:40
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Baron Corbyn posted:I'm not so sure it was just the wrongness of the polls, I think we were genuinely pretty far back at the time May called the election, the Survation poll on 22nd April had it had 40-29 in the Tories' favour. The other polls were much worse and as we know now completely wrong, but all showed voters turning to Labour through out the campaign, so even if the methodology was wrong, they still showed trends. Yeah, the polls were spot on this time. The flaw was in the turnout assumptions (i.e. past election turnout vs self report). IIRC the Ipsos poll that showed an 8 point Tory lead actually had Labour and the Tories tied before turnout adjustments (but after demographic weighting). This is why "poll averaging" is nonsense when you have fundamental differences in methodology, the spread in results wasn't statistical noise it was purely methodological.
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Jun 11, 2017 15:54
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| # ¿ May 16, 2024 18:12 |
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I'm glad to see that Pissflaps has agreed to serve in the shadow cabinet if asked.
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Jun 11, 2017 17:04
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