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Nemo Somen posted:Hm, I hope returning voting rights to felons helps against this because Florida switching from lean Dem to lean R makes the path to 270 look real awkward for Dems. Of course, the situation is a bit more complex than that. It's just that I'm looking at the red states and feel confident that most of them won't vote for a generic Dem and I think a good number of blue states can go red if a candidate devoid of charisma is at the top of the ticket. I wonder who would be a good Dem to maintain a hold on these states.
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# ¿ Nov 11, 2018 20:45 |
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# ¿ May 13, 2024 03:22 |
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enraged_camel posted:For what? They want to interrogate him and force him to recuse himself from the Russia stuff. If he is no longer acting AG by then, what would be the point of a subpoena?
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# ¿ Nov 12, 2018 13:13 |
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It also isn't particularly hard to call most races. I think if you crunched the numbers, my gut feeling is that most elections have similar number of late switches. It's just that this election is particularly important at the margins, why most elections your average voter doesn't care if the Democrats won 5 seats versus 10 seats.
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# ¿ Nov 12, 2018 15:09 |
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"Presidential harassment" makes me think of the president's sexual harrassment, so I don't think it will be a very effective phrase for me and those like me (college educated white men) but i'm probably not the platonic ideal of that particular group.
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# ¿ Nov 12, 2018 17:14 |
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Not to get all Freudian, Neilsen is also a woman with the main job of telling Trump "no." Not because she wants to, understand, but because Trump seems to have a fundamental misunderstanding of how immigration works and has reportedly tried to do things like cancel all visas from Central America or send asylum seekers away without a hearing or have the army fight the caravan or insist on building the wall.
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# ¿ Nov 13, 2018 13:53 |
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If Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race and lose the Florida Senate race I'm just gonna, like, stop making any predictions. Ever.
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# ¿ Nov 14, 2018 04:11 |
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Mezzanine posted:I no longer believe the theory that screaming about WITCH HUNT means that indictments, etc are imminent. The timing has never really lined up, I feel like it's unlikely he'd be told of it at 7AM, and let's be honest; his sole influence now is Fox News. He sees or hears "MUELLER" on the TV box, he tweets. It's just a matter of the angrier he is, the more he tweets.
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# ¿ Nov 15, 2018 15:26 |
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Teddybear posted:Am I mistaken— a finding that he is would trip the Magnitsky Act sanctions and lead to basically the end of Saudi-US business, given how entrenched MBS is? Which, uh... I don't really blame them.
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# ¿ Nov 17, 2018 21:13 |
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Tibalt posted:Which is probably why there is so much push back and foot dragging on it. It seems clear that Turkey has undeniable proof with an impeccable evidence trail, but someone in the Justice Department doesn't want to pull the trigger on completely destroying the current geopolitical status quo in the Middle East (+ any petroleum producing or dependent nation).
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# ¿ Nov 17, 2018 23:56 |
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Charlz Guybon posted:Love is going down after all. Dem floor is now +39 in the House
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# ¿ Nov 20, 2018 13:17 |
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AP Exclusive: Navient "may" have driven tens of thousands of borrowers struggling with their debts into higher-cost repayment plans. 2017 audit that finally became public. edit: she's running Tibalt fucked around with this message at 01:06 on Nov 21, 2018 |
# ¿ Nov 21, 2018 01:02 |
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Sanguinia posted:Remember the "no blue wave," BS on election night, including from inside this very forum? Fun times. If only there was a ghost of a chance in MS or FL had gone the other way to really put the icing on the cake. PS, My Jewish rear end and my POC wife were fleeing to, like, Italy like reverse 1930s Jews otherwise because I know how this poo poo ends and I'm going to be one of those grandpas that knows when poo poo is going down in 40 years after the Siege of Salt Lake City finally puts an end to the fascist menace in our lifetime. Nobody putting my loving yinzer rear end in a camp happy rosh hashanah I'm glad I don't have to flee my home country this year so in that context $10 American doesn't mean gently caress.
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# ¿ Nov 21, 2018 19:59 |
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rscott posted:I have bad news about Italy
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# ¿ Nov 21, 2018 21:55 |
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Hellblazer187 posted:Incoming Mexican government: no asylum deal with Trump Now the only question is, did someone tell WaPo this because they're incompetent, or because they want to spike the deal.
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# ¿ Nov 25, 2018 14:27 |
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Hellblazer187 posted:It just seems bizarre that an incoming left wing Mexican president would be like "OK sure whatever you want" to a right wing US president who is vocally racist against Mexicans.
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# ¿ Nov 25, 2018 16:11 |
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bird food bathtub posted:They really should have known by now that the very first thing you do after talking to the toddler in chief is tell the rest of the world what you actually talked about so he can't make up bullshit and lie about it. Even a one or two day closure would be catastrophic, although I don't think the president can do that unilaterally.
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# ¿ Nov 25, 2018 17:20 |
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Hellblazer187 posted:Closing the southern border would torch the US economy as well. He's never going to close the border. Edit: unlike tariffs though, I don't think Trump can unilaterally close the border, so i'm not saying it'll happen. Just pointing out that an economy torching policy has been on the way for a year now. Tibalt fucked around with this message at 17:45 on Nov 25, 2018 |
# ¿ Nov 25, 2018 17:40 |
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exploded mummy posted:Shaich went to a really liberal college in Worcester, Massachusetts . *as in, as ethical as a public owned corporation in America's capitalist system can be, limited by their usage of a franchise system that insulates them from direct interaction with the workers in the majority of their locations.
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# ¿ Nov 26, 2018 15:34 |
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Data Graham posted:My question is whether businesses are being actually socially conscious nowadays, i.e. pulling advertising from Fox News shows, taking stands that cause chuds to boycott them, etc; or whether it's all calculated and performative and aimed at shareholder profits in the end anyway The test, of course, is whether I do something good even if it harms me and reduces my social standing (which these corporations obviously fail)... but the real question is does it matter if i'm doing a moral thing for the right reason, and which reason is right? And can individual morality be scaled up to an organization? Should it be? Probably not! Edit: also there is a significant group of institutional investors who identify public corporations who have large stores of unexploited goodwill and proceed to invest heavily in those corporations, force a change of leadership, and "churn" the goodwill into investor dividends, so it's not like a CEO can just choose to focus on the longterm. Tibalt fucked around with this message at 17:16 on Nov 26, 2018 |
# ¿ Nov 26, 2018 17:11 |
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Handsome Ralph posted:Is it possible Mueller has a cooperating witness that no one is aware of at this point? Like, if I was involved in any international funny business for Trump while Flynn wasn't under arrest, I would be fleeing the country. The Trump Presidential Campaign didn't really seem to maintain opsec, if ya know what I mean. I honestly expect the nail in the coffin to be some random email detailing their crimes with the entire Trump family CC'd for no real reason..
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# ¿ Nov 27, 2018 02:30 |
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Like... I know that's going to be a difficult case to make due to the circumstances, but this is conspiracy to obstruct justice, right? "Here's what I told investigators, here's what they think, let's keep our story straight"? Could explain why Mueller is willing to cut Manafort loose even without unimpeachable evidence, I guess.
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# ¿ Nov 28, 2018 03:13 |
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bird food bathtub posted:Yowza. Cohen raid 2.0?
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# ¿ Nov 29, 2018 17:59 |
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Sanguinia posted:This is such loving horseshit. If gerrymandered forever-republican state legislatures in purple states can just obliterate any ability for any Democrat to implement their policies and campaign promises, whats the loving point of anything? 2.) There is always the hope of a resurrected VRA.
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# ¿ Dec 1, 2018 08:50 |
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Nonsense posted:if Non Senator Beto runs for President because he was on Ellen.
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# ¿ Dec 2, 2018 21:51 |
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Kai Tave posted:Serious question but what's the usual turnaround for something like getting caught out in a flagrant smear campaign to paint Robert Mueller as a rapist? I mean, it got shut down almost immediately on the fringes of fascist Twitter. Mueller might not even know who Wohl is, let alone what he did.
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# ¿ Dec 4, 2018 13:44 |
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friendbot2000 posted:Dude, he knows what Wohl did and who he is because he referred it to the FBI lol. Good thing I said "Mueller" and not "the FBI" in my post then, huh.
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# ¿ Dec 4, 2018 14:58 |
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A GIANT PARSNIP posted:Yeah remember that Kav replaced Kennedy who voted to gut PPACA, while Roberts upheld it. 1.) It's a bad decision from a bad judge that will almost certainly be overturned even in the relatively conservative 5th district. Even a judge whose okay with repealing ACA isn't going to be eager to hear it. Which is important because: 2.) The composition of the court hasn't changed since the last time ACA came in front of it. If everyone votes like they did last time, and Kavanaugh votes the ACA down, you still have a 5-4 decision. 3.) The immediate need for a response through a divided Congress means the easiest solution will be to put the mandate back in place. Seriously, you can't just invalidate a whole law like this, it's such a bad decision guys.
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# ¿ Dec 16, 2018 04:21 |
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eke out posted:Lambert can't stop telling us about how no one cares about random nobodies like the campaign manager, deputy campaign manager, national security advisor, etc You know, last week, when we found out that Cohen committed crimes and lied to Congress on the order of Trump, and that Mueller had the receipts.
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# ¿ Dec 18, 2018 05:05 |
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The Glumslinger posted:Mueller won that secret appeals case
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# ¿ Dec 19, 2018 00:34 |
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# ¿ May 13, 2024 03:22 |
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eke out posted:true, technically all we know is that Michael Dreeben and Zainab Ahmad happened to return to their main office at the exact time you'd expect from someone leaving the DC courthouse We can easily clear this up. Maybe they were having lunch, so we just ask thEEEYE WAIT A MINUTE, poo poo
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# ¿ Dec 19, 2018 02:52 |