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What is the most powerful flying bug? This poll is closed. |
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|---|---|---|---|
| 🦋 |
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15 | 3.71% |
| 🦇 |
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115 | 28.47% |
| 🪰 |
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12 | 2.97% |
| 🐦 |
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67 | 16.58% |
| dragonfly |
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94 | 23.27% |
| 🦟 |
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14 | 3.47% |
| 🐝 |
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87 | 21.53% |
| Total: | 404 votes | ||
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Ukrainian command seems a lot less optimistic about taking Kherson than Twitter. Also bonus accusation that Russia soldiers are dressing up as civilians to make Ukraine look bad when they kill them. I really should make a list of all the insane things the Ukrainian side has said were false flags.Резидент posted:The Russians are simulating a retreat from the right bank of the Kherson region in order to mislead the Ukrainian command.
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Nov 4, 2022 01:11
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Starsfan posted:every time the Ukrainians gear up for one of these all out assaults to retake a position where the Russians have months to prepare it goes horribly wrong for Ukraine.. The Ukrainians themselves seem to recognize this, as the last attempt on Kherson was half assed while they had the Kharkiv operation in their back pocket. The Kherson offensive already happened. If Ukraine was actually strangling supplies to the right bank like CNN says they are a collapse would have happened months ago. Ukraine has been attacking Kherson constantly for nearly two months and have almost nothing to show for it except getting obliterated at Sukhyi Stavok and Dudchany, hence the constant insistence that the real Kherson offensive will start any day now. Lately they've been making bizarre statements that Kherson is actually an impenetrable fortress due to irrigation ditches or something, which is hilarious because the south Ukrainian steppe is historically some of the worst defensive terrain on Earth.
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Nov 4, 2022 05:42
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Throatwarbler posted:https://twitter.com/squatsons/status/1588630387865313280 It's hilarious that the US has literally thousands of surplus Bradleys and Abramses just sitting around in the desert and they're scraping the bottom of the barrel for anything else to send because they don't want to hurt sales
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Nov 4, 2022 23:00
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mlmp08 posted:The US has said pretty bluntly that: You think that the country that spends nearly a trillion dollars a year on its military can't afford to refurbish its own mothballed inventory?
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Nov 4, 2022 23:36
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All the US could scrounge up for the latest aid package is a pile of Cold War-era SAMs and armored cop cars and a few hours later Radio Free Europe discovers that hey maybe Ukraine was doing just fine with all that old Soviet stuff anyway. https://twitter.com/RFERL/status/1588158528040194048
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Nov 5, 2022 00:59
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For any other English speakers, despite the fact that the video is called "Our Tactics" the whole video is basically him reading Rybar posts summarizing the events of the last two months (either that or he's memorized every single AFU brigade involved in the Kherson counteroffensive and how much equipment they lost in each battle, in which case I applaud his level of autism)
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Nov 5, 2022 01:35
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Lostconfused posted:I mean I didn't watch the video. Just evidence that he is still alive upto like two months ago or something. Yeah I wasn't yelling at you I was just interested in what he was talking about. Although considering he didn't really mention any personal anecdotes I get the sense he's not up to much besides reading Telegram
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Nov 5, 2022 01:45
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This was such a shocking admission from Arestovich that I actually tracked down the original interview and put it through Google Translate and yeah, it looks like he said that? https://twitter.com/SprinterMonitor/status/1588320073524969473 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=usF9ekHPRho&t=360s YouTube transcripts/Google Translate posted:We exhausted our offensive potential because we ourselves do not produce it, we are supplied with everything from the West we spent this operation, even in the North of the Kherson region, [not to mention the?] Kharkov operation, therefore we now do not have stocks that allow us to quickly create one or two Kharkov operations, and happily report there, for example, another breakthrough, a bunch of prisoners, etc.
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Nov 5, 2022 02:35
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Al-Saqr posted:looks like the Russian reserves aren’t going to make any difference, the ukranians pretty much have the Russians figured out and have an invincible defense. I will genuinely be surprised if the Russians manage any major breakthrough even during winter. I love how these posts have the tone of someone calling in to sports radio to say that the Bills are frauds who are just going to choke in the playoffs again
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Nov 6, 2022 16:11
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https://twitter.com/michaeldweiss/status/1592662029508042752 Even Michael Weiss isn't buying it lol
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Nov 16, 2022 00:37
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Now even Duda is pussying out https://twitter.com/TommyLundn/status/1592664319766167552
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Nov 16, 2022 00:59
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I wonder what the median outcome of this whole story is. It's a huge event to sweep under the rug and an exceedingly flimsy pretext to attempt to escalate the war with. My best bet is that Poland and the US will make evasive statements apparently blaming Russia but obliquely admitting Ukraine did it and at some point some senior anonymous sources in the Bundeswehr or something will just outright say that it was a Ukrainian S-300. It feels like pretty much anything short of NATO sending troops could happen though.
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Nov 16, 2022 01:30
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speng31b posted:https://twitter.com/Flash_news_ua/status/1593367483427295232 The stupidest, and therefore most likely, way that this war could end is Ukraine's economy screeching to a halt compounded by Western aid drying up, retroactively making Putin's mystifying limp-dicked decision making genius.
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Nov 18, 2022 07:16
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It's silly to argue against the idea that Russian strategic bombing will crack Ukraine's national will to resist, because no one has thought strategic bombing can do that since like 1944. Ukraine is fighting a total war, directing the maximum amount of resources its state and economy is able to towards the army. Turning the power off necessarily weakens the economy and the capacity of the state, which in turn necessarily weakens the army which those two generate and regenerate. It's not a question of morale.
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Nov 19, 2022 01:29
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Morbus posted:Yeah that's fair enough, since so far the only thing that has pushed Russian forces out have been AFU counter-offensives. There's many unknown variables here that determine whether or not the bombing campaign will win the war or not ("How will a lack of power affect the rail system?", "How many refugees will a lack of heating cause?"), and I think whether you think they are justified/'smart' vs. criminal/'stupid' depends on your own personal reckoning of what the true values of those variables are and how much margin the AFU has to work with. I think you're probably right that strategic bombing won't win the war on its own in the short-term, but at the same time no one has ever tried to win an industrial total war with a de-electrified economy. Ukraine was already straining to mobilize just 2% of its population, which is peanuts compared to other 20th century wars. For all we know the bottom could just fall out.
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Nov 19, 2022 05:58
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Hm https://twitter.com/KyivIndependent/status/1594016442869252098
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Nov 19, 2022 18:42
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I kinda wonder what will happen when the West runs out of military aid to send (or, to be precise, that they're willing to send), which seems like it'll be soon. No one seems to be willing/able to ramp up production to meet the rate Ukraine is burning through equipment. https://twitter.com/VonClownsewitz/status/1594774496149372929
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Nov 22, 2022 01:50
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I've received confidential intelligence that Russia has modified its NASAMS missiles into a ground attack role
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Nov 24, 2022 01:37
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Ukraine Railways is taking unusually long to get back on schedule after the latest round of attacks to the grid, I think Ukraine's electricity system is basically at the tipping point. In previous attacks typically only a few trains would be delayed by more than an hour. This time it seems like practically every route had long delays, several trains were cancelled, and even a day later they're experiencing severe disruption.Укрзалізниця posted:❗️Update: as of 8:40 p.m., 28 trains are running with delays of more than an hour, 15 direct trains are running with a delay of up to an hour, the rest are running on schedule. I'm interested in what the military impacts will be. According to pro-Russian accounts the AFU regularly attaches military cars onto intercity trains, so I don't think this is something that will only affect civilians (moreover, in previous attacks Ukraine Railways has said they had pulled reserve diesel locomotives to keep trains from being cancelled, which would be really weird if military trains were being disrupted as well).
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Nov 25, 2022 00:11
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I've been ignoring most news out of Bakhmut since it's been mired in a grinding positional battle for like literally half the war, but it seems like the latest round of combat has been more intense than usual. This pro-Ukraine account claims that the AFU suffered  https://twitter.com/donetchanyn/status/1596982222980263936/photo/1(USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST) Somebody has issued a correction as of 09:26 on Nov 30, 2022 |
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Nov 30, 2022 01:32
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It's literally some bloody stretchers and vests, there's not even a human in any of the photos. You're in a thread about a war.
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Nov 30, 2022 01:36
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e: whoops
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Nov 30, 2022 01:40
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If I'm connecting the dots right, it seems like Ukraine's new indigenous "attack drone" is a modified Soviet recon drone from the 1970s. https://twitter.com/Heroiam_Slava/status/1599410848513945603 https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1599836496382787584
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Dec 5, 2022 20:14
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Probably should stick to the "Russia is a terrorist state" angle https://twitter.com/procrast4ever/status/1599818052673032192
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Dec 6, 2022 04:55
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There's not a lot of jobs on the planet worse than being a mechanic in a Ukrainian mechanized battalion https://twitter.com/UAWeapons/status/1601274338095042562
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Dec 10, 2022 02:42
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Seems like the electricity grid in Odes(s)a has completely collapsed, authorities are recommending that civilians evacuate the oblast completely. https://twitter.com/I_Katchanovski/status/1601685832414691329
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Dec 10, 2022 22:45
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I bet most of the people who leave Odessa will end up as internal refugees. A large fraction of them are 18-60 men who can't leave the country anyway. This might be a big test of the pop-history theory from a few months ago that targeting infrastructure won't affect civilian morale because of the Blitz or something. I'm certain the vast majority of Ukrainians will blame Russia for the direct impacts of the missile campaign, but by the same token many will likely blame Ukrainian government "incompetence," "corruption," "unpreparedness" etc. for the extremely severe indirect consequences. Whether that anger can be directed towards political goals, and what those goals would be, is another question completely.
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Dec 11, 2022 01:15
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indigi posted:the theory is that strategic bombing doesn't greatly disrupt a state's ability to make war iirc, civilian morale is just a small part of it The main Western narrative at the beginning of the missile campaign was that the strikes were 1. primarily revenge attacks against civilians with little military effect and 2. they would "backfire" by hardening Ukraine's resolve, citing Britain's experience in WW2.
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Dec 11, 2022 02:08
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They're completely out of actually useful munitions to send now, right? They're giving gliding weapons to an Air Force which can't fly above kite altitudes at the front without getting shot down? https://twitter.com/DanLamothe/status/1603165188525809666
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Dec 15, 2022 01:01
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For what it's worth the Telegram rumor is that Ukraine has a critical shortage of S-300 missiles. It seems like a repeat of the M777 thing from the spring, where an ersatz measure in anticipation of the AFU running out of 152mm shells was billed as an expansion of Ukrainian capabilities using high-tech NATO weapons.
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Dec 15, 2022 04:50
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His full comments are worth reading. Zaluzhny's essentially saying that he can't recapture the rest of Kherson without an armored corps' worth of new materiel, which he seems to strongly imply he's not expecting to get.quote:TE: Are your allies holding you back in any way from advancing on Crimea? quote:TE: What do you make of Russia’s mobilisation?
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Dec 15, 2022 16:14
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OctaMurk posted:NATO refusing to cough up like 80B/year across the entire alliance for ukraine is ridiculous lol. Thats not a lot of money to "Save Europe" or w.e considering that this is the war the alliance was designed to fight $2 billion in "military aid" to Ukraine usually means shipping off $1 billion of materiel sitting in army stockpiles and then paying Raytheon or BAE or whoever $1 billion to replace the things you just sent. So really the "expense" is either writing off crap you already made or recirculating cash through your own domestic MIC. Meanwhile $2 billion in cash aid to Ukraine means redistributing $2 billion in cash from the metropole to pay off to nobodies in the periphery. No one gets rich off that (at least no one in the west), and in fact it's flowing money through the system in exactly the opposite way that it's designed to. So there's a lot more resistance to it.
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Dec 15, 2022 19:50
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AFU showing it's appreciation towards Germany by painting their symbols on their BMPs  https://twitter.com/Militarylandnet/status/1603777511535841280
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Dec 17, 2022 00:40
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gradenko_2000 posted:Thinking about that fact-check claiming there were no Nazis in Ukraine Would you believe there's dozens of people in the comments doing the "it's a traditional PEACE rune" thing for the Balkenkreuz?
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Dec 17, 2022 01:17
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Not a lot of posts about it but it seems like the Ukrainian energy system is at the point of collapse. The missile raid today caused severe train delays that only got worse throughout the day (which is unusual, previously there would be moderate delays immediately after the attacks which got better with time). Укрзалізниця posted:❗️As of 8:30 p.m., 22 Ukrzaliznytsia trains are delayed by more than 30 minutes due to the effects of the blackout:
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Dec 17, 2022 01:34
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Lostconfused posted:That's what people said last time. It took a lot longer to get things fixed, but it wasn't completely knocked out. For a country as big as Ukraine I don't think there's going to be a point where the grid is 100% down permanently, but it seems like the damage has accumulated to the point where most people are only getting a few hours of power a day and even critical infrastructure sometimes experiences long outages. Ukrenergo is quick to report "reconnecting" customers but that's not the same thing as actually getting them electricity. e: For some reason the Ukrainian and Russian word for "train" (as in a specific scheduled one) is "flight." No idea why. sum has issued a correction as of 03:20 on Dec 17, 2022 |
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Dec 17, 2022 03:17
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FWIW some RAND researcher says that Russian military circles have discussed a doctrine of destroying civilian infrastructure to trigger destabilizing refugee waves. At any rate I doubt Russia is able to strike the grid in just the perfect way so that they cause severe damage without risking a complete collapse, I imagine they'd prefer that the whole thing was just broken. https://twitter.com/MassDara/status/1601206616644550659
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Dec 17, 2022 06:34
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Long article from Rybar on the direct effects of the power grid strikes on the AFU. They claim the lack of power has badly affected military hospitals, causing mild injuries to become serious ones, made repairing equipment more difficult, and complicated logistics due to the huge amounts of fuel demanded by generators.Rybar/Milinfolive posted:On the situation with the wounded in Ukraine after strikes on the energy sector: analysis of the Military Chronicle and Rybar.
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Dec 17, 2022 18:55
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Regarde Aduck posted:is there a reason they don't push right down the western side and take Lviv? I assume it's very heavily defended? Because no one's said it yet the answer is the same reason they never took Kiev, which is the Pripyat marshes
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Dec 18, 2022 04:31
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Dunno if this got posted but while Zelensky was in the US, Shoigu announced an enormous expansion of the RuAF. Notably it looks they're moving away from the BTG/brigade system and back towards divisionsВоенный Осведомитель posted:
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Dec 22, 2022 20:02
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