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Aliquid posted:I agree, jitters may put him down to .66 before or after the debate. Rationally yes but the debate's not as sure of a thing (in my mind) as the poll.
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Feb 5, 2016 06:49
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I just really hope New Hampshire doesn't gently caress me and give Rubio the win. This loving election. First I'm rooting for Ted Cruz last week and now I'm rooting for Donald Trump this week. Hopefully I can buy an indulgence or two with my winnings.
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Feb 5, 2016 07:27
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As we watch the world burn, we will assuage our moral doubt with 300% y-o-y gains
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Feb 5, 2016 07:30
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Jewel Repetition posted:I'd take a short position on it right now because of the poll teased for 6 am EST. Which poll is that?
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Feb 5, 2016 07:34
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Sold a nice chunk of my Cruz poll shares for 50% more than what I got em for. Hoping that we'll see a few more dramatic swings with the rest.
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Feb 5, 2016 09:15
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Vox Nihili posted:Which poll is that? I don't remember the pollster but it was talked about in the Republican thread. The results are supposedly "interesting."
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Feb 5, 2016 09:29
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Jewel Repetition posted:I don't remember the pollster but it was talked about in the Republican thread. The results are supposedly "interesting." Trump gonna surge.
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Feb 5, 2016 09:32
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a cop posted:Trump gonna surge. 
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Feb 5, 2016 09:32
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Stop betting on Trump, you fools. He is the false Biden.
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Feb 5, 2016 10:43
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Jewel Repetition posted:I don't remember the pollster but it was talked about in the Republican thread. The results are supposedly "interesting." Oiled and Ready posted:A new NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll in New Hampshire finds Donald Trump leading the GOP primary with 30%, followed by Marco Rubio at 17%, Ted Cruz at 15%, John Kasich at 10%, Jeb Bush at 9% and Chris Christie at 4%. Cross post from the other thread
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Feb 5, 2016 13:06
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yea, idgi
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Feb 5, 2016 13:11
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Adar posted:Sanders is in the low 90's, so buying Sanders Yes is 10%. What you have to ask is if Bernie of the likely 20-30 point lead and definite 50% threshold = more or less than 3 times as safe as Trump. This is what I'm doing for now --- I have $500 in for Hillary NO in NH. A nice 10% return in 5 days that's way safer than Trump.
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Feb 5, 2016 14:53
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JosefStalinator posted:Stop betting on Trump, you fools. He is the false Biden. If he wins NH I'm having a Biden NO kind of night.
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Feb 5, 2016 15:54
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Alright I sent out the reporter's email address. If anyone else is interested send me a PM or post your email here.
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Feb 5, 2016 16:10
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Did they change how they do bids? It seems like now they only check to see if you can fill the bid at request and at purchase. Which is real nice, but makes it look kind of weird when I've still got thousands of outstanding buy offers on a contract that's been maxed out.
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Feb 5, 2016 17:09
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Gyges posted:Did they change how they do bids? It seems like now they only check to see if you can fill the bid at request and at purchase. Which is real nice, but makes it look kind of weird when I've still got thousands of outstanding buy offers on a contract that's been maxed out. Maybe this is so that you can get in front of the queue and have your orders execute first once they become legal? I dunno
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Feb 5, 2016 17:23
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Wow, hillary DNOM down to 70 cents.
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Feb 5, 2016 17:23
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UMass polling of NH shows an interesting trend...
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Feb 5, 2016 17:25
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That's still a mountain of a gap to climb in just a weekend.
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Feb 5, 2016 17:26
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Market isn't exactly responding to it either (hovering between 93 and 95 cents), but worth noting.
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Feb 5, 2016 17:28
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Quinn national poll just spat out a Sanders 42 Clinton 44.
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Feb 5, 2016 17:30
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Vox Nihili posted:Quinn national poll just spat out a Sanders 42 Clinton 44. Here we gooooo 
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Feb 5, 2016 17:33
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a cop posted:Wow, hillary DNOM down to 70 cents.  this is a good long term buy
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Feb 5, 2016 17:34
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Necc0 posted:Maybe this is so that you can get in front of the queue and have your orders execute first once they become legal? I dunno Don't know, but it's rather nice not to have to go back through and replace all my long term hail mary bets after my available cash dips low following a big short term bet. Also this is very JEB, even if it's not an intentional thing.  a cop posted:Wow, hillary DNOM down to 70 cents. It's going to be hilarious how low it goes when Bernie wins NH. Gyges has issued a correction as of 18:01 on Feb 5, 2016 |
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Feb 5, 2016 17:57
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Peachstapler posted:UMass polling of NH shows an interesting trend... Just to be clear she's not gonna lose by 30 and will get a bunch of late breakers. When a race is 60/30 against the favorite like this my suspicion is it will almost always resolve to 60-40 or 55-45. She'll still lose though.
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Feb 5, 2016 19:25
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Gyges posted:It's going to be hilarious how low it goes when Bernie wins NH.
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Feb 5, 2016 20:29
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bawfuls posted:But will it really drop much if she over performs the polling in NH? There should at least be a minor freak out that assumes Bernie is in the driver's seat.
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Feb 5, 2016 20:52
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bawfuls posted:But will it really drop much if she over performs the polling in NH? Depends. She could lose by 12 points and still outperform polling. If she gets within close single digits I think the momentum won't appear.
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Feb 5, 2016 21:57
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Brand new market for whether Fiorina will make it to the debate. Could be interesting.
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Feb 5, 2016 23:55
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railroad terror posted:Brand new market for whether Fiorina will make it to the debate. Could be interesting. Fool me once, shame on me.
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Feb 5, 2016 23:58
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didn't they already tell her no?
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Feb 6, 2016 00:03
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Abel Wingnut posted:didn't they already tell her no? They did last time too but changed their mind at the last minute. Although that was CNN and this is ABC. Plus there's a legitimate stink to raise this time I think. Fiorina is the only candidate being dropped out when Christie is being invited? Still the price for YES is at 33. gently caress that. I'd buy if it were sub 10.
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Feb 6, 2016 00:05
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pathetic little tramp posted:They did last time too but changed their mind at the last minute. Although that was CNN and this is ABC. Plus there's a legitimate stink to raise this time I think. Fiorina is the only candidate being dropped out when Christie is being invited? Well it's 7c now! It's your big chance!
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Feb 6, 2016 00:26
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There's a market that should be much more obvious that just opened to -- whether a moderator or "sanctioned questioner" will bring up either A: Cruz campaign tactics, re: voter violation form, or B: his claim that Carson was dropping out.
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Feb 6, 2016 00:29
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pathetic little tramp posted:Fool me once, shame on me. Yeah, that was my first really big loss on the site. Not gonna play the role of HP stock holder twice.
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Feb 6, 2016 00:32
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Gyges posted:Yeah, that was my first really big loss on the site. Not gonna play the role of HP stock holder twice. You can be a Compaq stock holder this time. 
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Feb 6, 2016 00:41
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Vox Nihili posted:Well it's 7c now! It's your big chance! That's the latest price, no one is willing to let them go for sub 30 now.
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Feb 6, 2016 00:46
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Eh, for what it's worth, someone just matched me for 11 cents on YES. Figured I'd give it a shot. If you want in, throw it out and see if someone bites.
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Feb 6, 2016 01:15
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Just remember, if Bernie does lose NH we should all be able to buy YES shares of Bernie winning a primary for a song. Sooth the pain of Socialism's defeat with sweet, sweet capital.
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Feb 6, 2016 02:17
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Parakeet vs. Phone posted:Eh, for what it's worth, someone just matched me for 11 cents on YES. Figured I'd give it a shot. Just got in for $.12 High risk high reward.
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Feb 6, 2016 02:33
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