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If Republicans are feeling a huge loss on the horizon will they turn it into a rout by abandoning Trump to save themselves? I mean there has to be a point where Republicans want to win their local elections and have to say "okay, I know you are showing up to vote Hillary but please vote for me and not the D candidate I swear I'm not crazy like Trump".
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Aug 1, 2016 22:32
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 https://twitter.com/dznyc/status/760224076078145536
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Aug 1, 2016 22:33
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FuzzySlippers posted:If Republicans are feeling a huge loss on the horizon will they turn it into a rout by abandoning Trump to save themselves? They pulled the trigger at the RNC and passed the point of no return. Trump time all the time 
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Aug 1, 2016 22:34
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Dexo posted:Hahahaha Pro-Fracking Site for Millennials. I'm lost for words how bad this is
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Aug 1, 2016 22:34
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FilthyImp posted:I need Clinton to walk away with like 370 EVs. Cmon Nate stop edging me This is where I'm at. Anything short of a rout will be disappointing. I want to be able to rub Republican noses in their own filth come November. Course that doesn't work on dogs, even, who seem to have more self awareness than Republican leadership.
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Aug 1, 2016 22:35
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FuzzySlippers posted:If Republicans are feeling a huge loss on the horizon will they turn it into a rout by abandoning Trump to save themselves? How do you convince someone to show up to vote, not vote for Trump and then vote for the Senator that endorsed him 6 months ago.
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Aug 1, 2016 22:35
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Eifert Posting posted:This is where I'm at. Anything short of a rout will be disappointing. I want to be able to rub Republican noses in their own filth come November. Also the bigger the rout the more difficult it will be for Trump to say the election was rigged.
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Aug 1, 2016 22:37
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uPen posted:How do you convince someone to show up to vote, not vote for Trump and then vote for the Senator that endorsed him 6 months ago.
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Aug 1, 2016 22:37
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Kilroy posted:IIRC the Democrats only had a filibuster-proof majority in the Senate for something like a month, which as you can imagine was required to pass anything of consequence. Al Franken finally got seated July 7 2009 and Ted Kennedy died August 25 2009. That was the only period where they had a filibuster proof majority and Ted Kennedy was pretty much dying and not doing any legislating during that period anyway.
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Aug 1, 2016 22:37
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theblackw0lf posted:Also the bigger the rout the more difficult it will be for Trump to say the election was rigged. Or for Putin to rig it
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Aug 1, 2016 22:37
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This is a pretty big deal http://www.cnn.com/2016/08/01/politics/trump-vs-clinton-presidential-polls-election-2016/index.html quote:Further, a majority of Clinton's backers now say their vote is more to show support for her than to oppose Trump, a sharp shift since early May. Back then, 48% said their vote was one of support for the former secretary of state, 58% say so now. While Trump also improved his numbers on that metric, his voters are more evenly divided, with 47% saying they're backing him to show support and 50% saying it's more to oppose Clinton.
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Aug 1, 2016 22:39
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Evil Fluffy posted:Agreed. Nate's out of his gourd if he thinks Gary Johnson's going to get 7.4% of the popular vote when he got less than 1% in 2012. I said I was sorry dammit...
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Aug 1, 2016 22:40
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theblackw0lf posted:This is a pretty big deal Lol
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Aug 1, 2016 22:43
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SpiderHyphenMan posted:Republicans don't have memory spans. Everything being said now about Russia and the war in Iraq/Afghanistan certainly shows that. In 2004 deaths in Iraq were Hillary's fault!!! I have a disability where I literally cannot remember who was president before the current one!!
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Aug 1, 2016 22:43
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theblackw0lf posted:This is a pretty big deal Do it right  https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6MU7Ljz0EDE
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Aug 1, 2016 22:44
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Call him Nate Colloidal Silver the way he's turning that map blue
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Aug 1, 2016 22:45
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Please do not suddenly start panicking when this bounce levels out. Please.
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Aug 1, 2016 22:46
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What is interesting about this latest poll is that it turned Florida and Ohio into light blue states on both the polls and polls plus model
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Aug 1, 2016 22:46
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ImpAtom posted:Please do not suddenly start panicking when this bounce levels out. Please. never
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Aug 1, 2016 22:46
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ImpAtom posted:Please do not suddenly start panicking when this bounce levels out. Please. No, I am gonna ride the election roller coaster until I threw up and you can't stop me
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Aug 1, 2016 22:47
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Shimrra Jamaane posted:Lol this graph Reminder that people in this thread who don't understand statistics thought Nate Silver had his finger on the scale for Trump and we explained in detail that exactly this would happen and why.
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Aug 1, 2016 22:47
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FactsAreUseless posted:But it produced the best debate you'll ever see. One of the candidates was a pro-LGBT leather-wearing biker libertarian. Governor Otter had the biggest poo poo-eating grin after the debate while his real opponent looked like he wanted to express his Second Amendment rights to the entire auditorium. Kudos to whichever Otter staffer watched Alpha House. 
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Aug 1, 2016 22:47
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ImpAtom posted:Please do not suddenly start panicking when this bounce levels out. Please. Don't tell me what to do This was brought to my attention
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Aug 1, 2016 22:48
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BTW, I have tried to be coy about it but what is the origin of Arzy?
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Aug 1, 2016 22:48
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This isn't a bounce, it's a leveling back to the true level that we saw in June. True story.
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Aug 1, 2016 22:48
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Metapod posted:I'm lost for words how bad this is oh god the memes page
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Aug 1, 2016 22:48
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Mel Mudkiper posted:BTW, I have tried to be coy about it but what is the origin of Arzy? There was poster named Arzy. He Arzy'd a lot. His name became the verb. (It later turned out he was a complete gently caress-you-got-mine conservative who got deep into Obamarama IIRC?)
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Aug 1, 2016 22:49
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ImpAtom posted:There was poster named Arzy. He Arzy'd a lot. His name became the verb. Cheers, google made me think it had something to do with shooting a dog
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Aug 1, 2016 22:50
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Mel Mudkiper posted:BTW, I have tried to be coy about it but what is the origin of Arzy? this might help Edit: beaten 
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Aug 1, 2016 22:50
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ImpAtom posted:There was poster named Arzy. He Arzy'd a lot. His name became the verb. Or maybe he was a banker who in 2008 hadn't had his brain entirely eaten by financial sector brainslugs and was still a liberal scum idealist, one of the two, can't recall.
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Aug 1, 2016 22:51
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https://twitter.com/Taniel/status/760224732470009857
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Aug 1, 2016 22:51
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botany posted:Reminder that people in this thread who don't understand statistics thought Nate Silver had his finger on the scale for Trump and we explained in detail that exactly this would happen and why. Looking at the now-cast and "adjusted leader" columns for New Hampshire right now and yep, I definitely misunderstood Nate's methodology.
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Aug 1, 2016 22:51
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Mel Mudkiper posted:What is interesting about this latest poll is that it turned Florida and Ohio into light blue states on both the polls and polls plus model Iowa flipped on at least one of them as well iirc.
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Aug 1, 2016 22:52
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berserker posted:Looking at the now-cast and "adjusted leader" columns for New Hampshire right now and yep, I definitely misunderstood Nate's methodology.
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Aug 1, 2016 22:52
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SpiderHyphenMan posted:Republicans don't have memory spans. Same as ever, on that front. Fox depends on them not being able to remember a week ago clearly.
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Aug 1, 2016 22:53
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I'm on a tablet so I can't load half of cnn, but can someone check that CNN poll to see what the 18-34 tab was?
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Aug 1, 2016 22:54
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Dirt posted:Sexually harassed at work? Just go find a new job! Trump is so loving determined to lose women and minorities it's incredible. Jury's still out if he's as out of touch as the Romneys, though.
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Aug 1, 2016 22:55
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TheOneOutside posted:I'm on a tablet so I can't load half of cnn, but can someone check that CNN poll to see what the 18-34 tab was? N/A again  That said, Clinton wins 18-34 so this could have been an even bigger lead
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Aug 1, 2016 22:55
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BTW, what is the deal with New Hampshire going red this go around?
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Aug 1, 2016 22:55
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Cythereal posted:Jury's still out if he's as out of touch as the Romneys, though. Oh hey the jury is back and the verdict is "holy gently caress yes why is this even a question"
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Aug 1, 2016 22:57
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