|
What is the best flav... you all know what this question is: This poll is closed. |
|||
|---|---|---|---|
| Labour |
|
907 | 49.92% |
| Theresa May Team (Conservative) |
|
48 | 2.64% |
| Liberal Democrats |
|
31 | 1.71% |
| UKIP |
|
13 | 0.72% |
| Plaid Cymru |
|
25 | 1.38% |
| Green |
|
22 | 1.21% |
| Scottish Socialist Party |
|
12 | 0.66% |
| Scottish Conservative Party |
|
1 | 0.06% |
| Scottish National Party |
|
59 | 3.25% |
| Some Kind of Irish Unionist |
|
4 | 0.22% |
| Alliance / Irish Nonsectarian |
|
3 | 0.17% |
| Some Kind of Irish Nationalist |
|
36 | 1.98% |
| Misc. Far Left Trots |
|
35 | 1.93% |
| Misc. Far Right Fash |
|
8 | 0.44% |
| Monster Raving Loony |
|
49 | 2.70% |
| Space Navies Party |
|
39 | 2.15% |
| Independent / Single Issue |
|
2 | 0.11% |
| Can't Vote |
|
188 | 10.35% |
| Won't Vote |
|
8 | 0.44% |
| Spoiled Ballot |
|
15 | 0.83% |
| Pissflaps |
|
312 | 17.17% |
| Total: | 1817 votes | ||
|
waffle posted:If we're talking about local races now I think Southampton Itchen stands a decent (but not great) chance of being a Labour gain--I wish the local party were focusing on it a little more (they're focused on keeping Southampton Test), but realistically that won't make a big difference in the end. I think because of the UKIP vote it'll prove harder to win than other marginals, if Labour win Itchen they'll likely be a long way towards forming a government. It was a fair decision to focus on Test a month ago when the outlook was gloomy, but they really should be redeploying to Itchen about now to take it back. The campaign staff in the Southampton Labour party are pretty incompetent though, so it won't happen.
|
#
?
Jun 1, 2017 20:30
|
|
|
|
| # ? May 13, 2024 22:47 |
|
|
Oberleutnant posted:No he played the original version, but it was the playstation port that took up an entire memory card for one save. That was good times I remember having to buy a new memory card for that. I still remember my most profitable line, too. Crossed half the map with a dozen stations, carried everything from passengers to oil. Horrifically inefficient, but I was an idiot child.
|
|
#
?
Jun 1, 2017 20:31
|
|
|
Oberleutnant posted:Imagine Gove all sweaty and bloated and red faced, smacking and licking his lips as he moves in for a damp slobbery kiss. Sounds like me after I seduce pissflaps
|
|
#
?
Jun 1, 2017 20:32
|
|
|
nothing to seehere posted:It was a fair decision to focus on Test a month ago when the outlook was gloomy, but they really should be redeploying to Itchen about now to take it back. The campaign staff in the Southampton Labour party are pretty incompetent though, so it won't happen.
|
|
#
?
Jun 1, 2017 20:32
|
|
|
Berious posted:e: it's quite possible they oust her after the election and put someone even worse in charge I think this is looking likely regardless. Even if she staves off a labour majority she's shown herself to be utterly useless where it matters. They're already turning on her before the election is done.
|
|
#
?
Jun 1, 2017 20:33
|
|
|
It's difficult to take YouGov's constituency modelling seriously when you see examples of its output such as this: https://twitter.com/cjsnowdon/status/870301328374935552
|
|
#
?
Jun 1, 2017 20:34
|
|
|
Total Meatlove posted:Penny Mourdant and Flick Drummond are not the most popular MPs, and the current policy of not being seen at all isn't doing either of them many favours. The majority here last time was slim in Portsmouth South @ 5000 or so, but was complicated by the overall swing to the Tories, the Lib Dems, and Mike Jackson loving a Russian spy on the navy base making 2015s result a little anamolous. Southsea is very much a hippy town and despite the money, I could see it being a Labour gain. I think the Tories are genuinely worried about losing South again due to the sheer amount of material they're sending. Labour's strategy seems to be "look what the Lib Dems did last time" and sucking up floating voters that way. It's an intriguing race
|
|
#
?
Jun 1, 2017 20:35
|
|
|
Jeremy Corbyn posted:I have a bowl of porridge in the morning. Everybody should do that. You have some sustenance during the day. He's not wrong. The interview, with all the serious stuff too.
|
|
#
?
Jun 1, 2017 20:39
|
|
|
jabby posted:For anyone who missed the Corbyn/Starmer/Thornberry/Gardiner tag team today, you can watch it here: He never visited my girlfriend in the end  Also super bummed I couldn't see this today. loving work.
|
|
#
?
Jun 1, 2017 20:40
|
|
|
Paxman posted:He's not wrong. Tea and coffee do hydrate you, you just can't typically drink them in sufficient quantities compared to water or other cold drinks.
|
|
#
?
Jun 1, 2017 20:42
|
|
|
Pissflaps posted:Tea and coffee do hydrate you, you just can't typically drink them in sufficient quantities compared to water or other cold drinks. This is bad for Corbyn
|
|
#
?
Jun 1, 2017 20:43
|
|
|
I drink about 3l of water a day while at work
|
|
#
?
Jun 1, 2017 20:45
|
|
|
WeAreTheRomans posted:This is bad for Corbyn His fundamental message - that hydration is important - is one that I endorse. Stay juicy everybody.
|
|
#
?
Jun 1, 2017 20:45
|
|
|
jabby posted:For anyone who missed the Corbyn/Starmer/Thornberry/Gardiner tag team today, you can watch it here: Could anyone tell me a bit more about the people other than Corbyn?
|
|
#
?
Jun 1, 2017 20:46
|
|
|
Pissflaps posted:Tea and coffee do hydrate you, you just can't typically drink them in sufficient quantities compared to water or other cold drinks. Typical unforced error from Corbyn and the Labour campaign. Come on!!
|
|
#
?
Jun 1, 2017 20:46
|
|
|
baka kaba posted:pigfuckin.gif 
|
|
#
?
Jun 1, 2017 20:49
|
|
|
WeAreTheRomans posted:This is bad for Corbyn "If corbyn was prime minister he's going to make water illegal because he spent all the money on the Magic money tree!! If you vote for us we'll merely poison everyone instead" - conservative leaflets
|
|
#
?
Jun 1, 2017 20:50
|
|
|
drink a herbal infusion to hydrate without overcaffeinating imo
|
|
#
?
Jun 1, 2017 20:50
|
|
|
goddamnedtwisto posted:Honest answer? Spying on political figures is really, really frowned upon in the UK (to the point where the Wilson Doctrine has now been codified in the new Investigatory Powers Act) so they'd have needed some really serious overt evidence of wrongdoing before they even thought of getting involved. State intelligence services were crawling all over the Labour party back in the 80s or thereabouts because they might have Soviet infiltrators (which tbf they probably did) but oh no when there's rumours about the dodgy foreign connections of a hard-right nationalist party in the modern day then tapping their phones is not the done thing all of a sudden. Wonder why that might be.
|
|
#
?
Jun 1, 2017 20:51
|
|
|
Pissflaps posted:It's difficult to take YouGov's constituency modelling seriously when you see examples of its output such as this:
|
|
#
?
Jun 1, 2017 20:52
|
|
|
Weren't the filth spying on some of the Green Party politicians as recently as a couple of years ago?
|
|
#
?
Jun 1, 2017 20:53
|
|
|
Irony Be My Shield posted:It's not claiming to predict every consituency correctly - they obviously didn't have the resources to do a significant sample in every area. Rather it is meant to model the overall result. Not sure I agree. The model is based on per-constituency predictions. If these are wrong the whole model falls down.
|
|
#
?
Jun 1, 2017 20:53
|
|
|
Pissflaps posted:Not sure I agree. The model is based on per-constituency predictions. If these are wrong the whole model falls down. who do you want to see as tory leader if they get the knives out for may after this election?
|
|
#
?
Jun 1, 2017 20:56
|
|
|
I mean if UKIP aren't standing, former UKIP voters are going to Labour in increasingly higher numbers and the Tories lose any voters... Stranger things have happened. Edit: Plus Lib Dems being non existent...
|
|
#
?
Jun 1, 2017 20:56
|
|
|
Paxman posted:He's not wrong. He's wrong actually, all liquid except liquids that actively dehydrate you like alcohol and saltwater hydrate you.
|
|
#
?
Jun 1, 2017 20:56
|
|
|
Oberleutnant posted:Weren't the filth spying on some of the Green Party politicians as recently as a couple of years ago? Yes they were under investigation as domestic terrorists.
|
|
#
?
Jun 1, 2017 20:57
|
|
|
Jose posted:who do you want to see as tory leader if they get the knives out for may after this election? Somebody as bad as May so labour has a chance of winning the next election.
|
|
#
?
Jun 1, 2017 20:57
|
|
|
Josef bugman posted:Could anyone tell me a bit more about the people other than Corbyn? Gardiner at least is wonderful at having total command of figures and a decent capability for being a bit shouty.
|
|
#
?
Jun 1, 2017 20:57
|
|
|
Sapozhnik posted:State intelligence services were crawling all over the Labour party back in the 80s or thereabouts because they might have Soviet infiltrators (which tbf they probably did) but oh no when there's rumours about the dodgy foreign connections of a hard-right nationalist party in the modern day then tapping their phones is not the done thing all of a sudden. Wonder why that might be. Pretty sure MI5 were keeping pretty close tabs on some of the top trade union guys as well for similar reasons.
|
|
#
?
Jun 1, 2017 20:58
|
|
|
Gonzo McFee posted:I mean if UKIP aren't standing, former UKIP voters are going to Labour in increasingly higher numbers and the Tories lose any voters... We can look for that result on the night and see how close it is.
|
|
#
?
Jun 1, 2017 20:58
|
|
|
So big fat bloaty megalomaniac decides destroying world is good thing http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-40127326 What will be the PM's reaction?
|
|
#
?
Jun 1, 2017 20:58
|
|
|
spectralent posted:He's wrong actually, all liquid except liquids that actively dehydrate you like alcohol and saltwater hydrate you. I'm assuming he's referring to the diuretic effect.
|
|
#
?
Jun 1, 2017 20:59
|
|
|
Pissflaps posted:We can look for that result on the night and see how close it is. Would it not be amazing if we beat them. Would it not be the dugs tits.
|
|
#
?
Jun 1, 2017 20:59
|
|
|
If the methodology is solid some will be wrong in Con favour, others in Lab favour. It should balance out to give a confidence interval for the overall result. It's an interesting approach, and one that I think is worth pursuing because as you've said national vote share is meaningless.
|
|
#
?
Jun 1, 2017 21:00
|
|
|
Irony Be My Shield posted:If the methodology is solid some will be wrong in Con favour, others in Lab favour. It should balance out to give a confidence interval for the overall result. It's an interesting approach, and one that I think it worth pursuing because as you've said national vote share is meaningless. Yeah, the thing to remember with their model is that the 95% confidence intervals are absolutely massive, so taking the prediction and imagining it will be accurate to within a couple of seats is highly unlikely. I'm much more inclined to trust that the final result will be within the 95% bounds though.
|
|
#
?
Jun 1, 2017 21:02
|
|
|
Gonzo McFee posted:Would it not be amazing if we beat them. Would it not be the dugs tits. I would love to be proved wrong and see Jeremy Corbyn waving from number 10.
|
|
#
?
Jun 1, 2017 21:03
|
|
|
jabby posted:Yeah, the thing to remember with their model is that the 95% confidence intervals are absolutely massive, so taking the prediction and imagining it will be accurate to within a couple of seats is highly unlikely. I'm much more inclined to trust that the final result will be within the 95% bounds though. You think the final seat count will be within 95% of what, exactly?
|
|
#
?
Jun 1, 2017 21:04
|
|
|
According to the projection today, the Tories will be somewhere between 285 and 353 seats. Which is a pretty huge window.
|
|
#
?
Jun 1, 2017 21:05
|
|
|
spectralent posted:He's wrong actually, all liquid except liquids that actively dehydrate you like alcohol and saltwater hydrate you. And even then, below a certain alcholic content (I want to say below 10%?), alcoholic beverages still hydrate you. Most beers do.
|
|
#
?
Jun 1, 2017 21:07
|
|
|
|
| # ? May 13, 2024 22:47 |
|
|
Pissflaps posted:You think the final seat count will be within 95% of what, exactly? It's by no means certain, but I'm willing to believe the final result will fall within the 95% confidence interval of YouGov's predictions.
|
|
#
?
Jun 1, 2017 21:07
|
|