Register a SA Forums Account here!
JOINING THE SA FORUMS WILL REMOVE THIS BIG AD, THE ANNOYING UNDERLINED ADS, AND STUPID INTERSTITIAL ADS!!!

You can: log in, read the tech support FAQ, or request your lost password. This dumb message (and those ads) will appear on every screen until you register! Get rid of this crap by registering your own SA Forums Account and joining roughly 150,000 Goons, for the one-time price of $9.95! We charge money because it costs us money per month for bills, and since we don't believe in showing ads to our users, we try to make the money back through forum registrations.
What is the best flav... you all know what this question is:
This poll is closed.
Labour 907 49.92%
Theresa May Team (Conservative) 48 2.64%
Liberal Democrats 31 1.71%
UKIP 13 0.72%
Plaid Cymru 25 1.38%
Green 22 1.21%
Scottish Socialist Party 12 0.66%
Scottish Conservative Party 1 0.06%
Scottish National Party 59 3.25%
Some Kind of Irish Unionist 4 0.22%
Alliance / Irish Nonsectarian 3 0.17%
Some Kind of Irish Nationalist 36 1.98%
Misc. Far Left Trots 35 1.93%
Misc. Far Right Fash 8 0.44%
Monster Raving Loony 49 2.70%
Space Navies Party 39 2.15%
Independent / Single Issue 2 0.11%
Can't Vote 188 10.35%
Won't Vote 8 0.44%
Spoiled Ballot 15 0.83%
Pissflaps 312 17.17%
Total: 1817 votes
[Edit Poll (moderators only)]

 
  • Locked thread
GEORGE W BUSHI
Jul 1, 2012

The civil service have been told to prepare for a hung parliament.

Adbot
ADBOT LOVES YOU

Oben
Aug 7, 2004

Oh, the lights changed
https://twitter.com/frankieboyle/status/872378742273953792

Prince John
Jun 20, 2006

Oh, poppycock! Female bandits?

I will feel pretty bad at not cutting her much slack if it turns out Dianne Abbott has genuinely been struggling with a serious illness over the past few months. :( Hope she gets better sooner.

No update on the Poll of Polls, still a 7 point gap, so don't get your hopes up unecessarily, then if nothing else it's a nice surprise tomorrow.

Edit:vv Definitely this. When Kuenssberg was summarising the feedback received in an article I read this morning, it was all "I like the policies, but not Corbyn". If the party can keep the thrust of the manifesto, which isn't actually particularly radical, and team it up with a leader less able to be assassinated in the press, that feels like it would be a strong platform for the future.

Prince John fucked around with this message at 14:31 on Jun 7, 2017

Al-Saqr
Nov 11, 2007

One Day I Will Return To Your Side.

dispatch_async posted:

Latest Labour video (or at least I'd not seen it before):

https://twitter.com/jeremycorbyn/status/872437880622391296

Win or lose (probably lose) the campaign Labour ran has been nothing short of masterful in it's approach, shame it's wasted on a country filled with Venal Tories.

Halisnacks
Jul 18, 2009
Does anyone know if it is confirmed Corbyn is holding a rally in Islington tonight, and if so, where exactly?
Feel I'd like to experience this campaign in person. :unsmith:

Cerebral Bore
Apr 21, 2010


Fun Shoe
The whole tactical voting thing seems pretty simple. If it's a Lib Dem-Tory marginal and Labour has no chance you vote Lib Dem. In every other case you vote Labour.

Digiwizzard
Dec 23, 2003


Pork Pro

Cerv posted:

i'm never one to turn down OT pay myself, but I don't follow how does it drive turnout in this situation?
postal ballots are already available to all who want them.

The benefit is that the vast majority of people now automatically have time off to vote instead of having to arrange it with their boss.

Kurtofan
Feb 16, 2011

hon hon hon
Lab/Lib/Nat/Sinn/Plaid/Green chaos boogaloo, revovution to the max, british irish people's republic established

tories dubbed the enemy of the state

CptAwesome
Nov 2, 2005

Are there any seats that are 3 way marginals?

WhiskeyWhiskers
Oct 14, 2013


"هذا ليس عادلاً."
"هذا ليس عادلاً على الإطلاق."
"كان هناك وقت الآن."
(السياق الخفي: للقراءة)

dispatch_async posted:

Latest Labour video (or at least I'd not seen it before):

https://twitter.com/jeremycorbyn/status/872437880622391296

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bomygz1Ygkk&t=15s

Unkempt
May 24, 2003

...perfect spiral, scientists are still figuring it out...

CptAwesome posted:

Are there any seats that are 3 way marginals?

Brighton Pavilion was close to a 4-way before Caroline got elected.

MikeCrotch
Nov 5, 2011

I AM UNJUSTIFIABLY PROUD OF MY SPAGHETTI BOLOGNESE RECIPE

YES, IT IS AN INCREDIBLY SIMPLE DISH

NO, IT IS NOT NORMAL TO USE A PEPPERAMI INSTEAD OF MINCED MEAT

YES, THERE IS TOO MUCH SALT IN MY RECIPE

NO, I WON'T STOP SHARING IT

more like BOLLOCKnese
I am going to be mainlining so much coffee to stay up till 4:30 and see if Nick Clegg has been loving shitcanned

I_Socom
Jul 18, 2007

A great ride that requires finesse and effort to get the best out of it.

sassassin posted:

She says she's looking forward to being back by mid-July after doctors told her the illness could last 30 years.

I see the illness hasn't affected her grasp of numbers :downsrim:

MikeTheCoolOne
Jul 18, 2006

Drinking heavily the night before.

Halisnacks posted:

Does anyone know if it is confirmed Corbyn is holding a rally in Islington tonight, and if so, where exactly?
Feel I'd like to experience this campaign in person. :unsmith:

I'd be interested too but he's set to walk it here so might be better off targeting somewhere away from home.

The DPRK
Nov 18, 2006

Lipstick Apathy
Can anyone explain to me at what stage we're failing to apprehend terror suspects?

It's now known that authorities were aware of the Manchester bomber and the leader of the London bombings, so why was nothing done? At what point did the policing process fail?

I don't buy the idea that we need more access to people's data and back doors to encryption because we already have plenty of good information and we're not acting on it.

Zephro
Nov 23, 2000

I suppose I could part with one and still be feared...
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/commentisfree/video/2017/jun/07/britain-transformed-election-what-on-earth-is-going-on-video

Final pre-election Anywhere but Westminster is pretty good

Just remember while watching that come Friday Theresa May will be lord (lady?) of all she surveys

sassassin
Apr 3, 2010

by Azathoth

The DPRK posted:

Can anyone explain to me at what stage we're failing to apprehend terror suspects?

It's now known that authorities were aware of the Manchester bomber and the leader of the London bombings, so why was nothing done? At what point did the policing process fail?

I don't buy the idea that we need more access to people's data and back doors to encryption because we already have plenty of good information and we're not acting on it.

You can't arrest/deport someone just because their mother-in-law says they're a bad egg and there's a photo of them holding a flag.

You need hard evidence/proof of wrongdoing/conspiracy to commit acts of terrorism etc.

Zephro
Nov 23, 2000

I suppose I could part with one and still be feared...

The DPRK posted:

I don't buy the idea that we need more access to people's data and back doors to encryption because we already have plenty of good information and we're not acting on it.
There are tens of thousands of persons of interest on MI5's lists (the number that usually does the rounds is somewhere around 20,000). There aren't enough intelligence agents in the country (or even enough police) to keep tabs on that many people full-time, so you have to prioritise. That means playing the odds, and by definition when you're playing the odds sometimes you'll lose.

We have unrealistic expectations, too. The only "acceptable" number of terrorist attacks is zero ever but that's an impossible ask, just like it's impossible to stamp out murder, GBH, video-game piracy or whatever else.

Prince John
Jun 20, 2006

Oh, poppycock! Female bandits?

The DPRK posted:

Can anyone explain to me at what stage we're failing to apprehend terror suspects?

It's now known that authorities were aware of the Manchester bomber and the leader of the London bombings, so why was nothing done? At what point did the policing process fail?

I don't buy the idea that we need more access to people's data and back doors to encryption because we already have plenty of good information and we're not acting on it.

There is a list of 'persons of interest' numbering in the tens of thousands, who get categorised, and the actual resources are focused on the small number of people believed to be a high threat (and there have been many plots foiled in recent years).

It's just a question of resources in the main. Although apparently the third attacker was stopped at the border because he was on an EU-wide watch list, but we then let him anyway, so that just sounds like a mistake.

As Dame Stella Rimington said in her talk today:

quote:

People say to MI5 these days, "Why were you not following around all these people, who have been on your radar?"..and inevitably over time [when] there is a hideous attack, somebody will have been on the radar.

In a democracy, it would not be acceptable to have a security service police force that is so enourmous that it can follow everyone around. That is something to remember when you hear all those criticisms of what is going on.

TheRat
Aug 30, 2006

Zephro posted:

There are tens of thousands of persons of interest on MI5's lists

Including every left wing politician and union official worth naming.

Zephro
Nov 23, 2000

I suppose I could part with one and still be feared...
I actually don't think it's just a question of resources. Resources help but you get diminishing returns after a while. China has a full-on programme of massive state surveillance, widespread censorship, sophisticated control of the internet and old-fashioned authoritarian repression, especially in its western provinces, and they still suffer from terrorist attacks.

Coohoolin
Aug 5, 2012

Oor Coohoolie.
The big problem with intelligence is that data collecting ability vastly exceeds data analysis ability. Security authorities get swamped with emails and phone calls and keywords and loving EVERYTHING but it needs human analysts to make it in any way relevant, and there's just too much of it.

mfcrocker
Jan 31, 2004



Hot Rope Guy

CptAwesome posted:

Are there any seats that are 3 way marginals?

Bristol West was a Labour/Green/LD marginal last time, probably a Labour/Green marginal this time with a pretty solid Labour majority

The DPRK
Nov 18, 2006

Lipstick Apathy
Thanks for that.

So how would looser human rights laws play in to that? Would it result in fewer terrorist attacks in your view? At what cost?

Guavanaut
Nov 27, 2009

Looking At Them Tittys
1969 - 1998



Toilet Rascal

sassassin posted:

You can't arrest/deport someone just because their mother-in-law says they're a bad egg and there's a photo of them holding a flag.

You need hard evidence/proof of wrongdoing/conspiracy to commit acts of terrorism etc.
Presumably with Manchester guy there was a point before the attack when he was preparing a backpack full of explosives without much in the way of good reason to explain why, so there was an opportunity there. Whether there was a reasonable opportunity for a non-psychic police service is up for a review to decide.

With Westminster it's even harder though. There's no law against having kitchen knives in your kitchen (yet). Or having nebulous canisters. Or renting a van while Muslim. I'm not even sure attacks like that are preventable at any stage (outside of a traffic cop getting lucky 5 minutes beforehand) without taking measures that have worse effects than the risk of the attacks themselves. The only way out of that situation is to tackle the reasons why people do them in the first place.

The DPRK
Nov 18, 2006

Lipstick Apathy

Zephro posted:

I actually don't think it's just a question of resources. Resources help but you get diminishing returns after a while. China has a full-on programme of massive state surveillance, widespread censorship, sophisticated control of the internet and old-fashioned authoritarian repression, especially in its western provinces, and they still suffer from terrorist attacks.

Christ.

Well it's not very politically palatable to say you can't stop terrorism is it...

Halisnacks
Jul 18, 2009

MikeTheCoolOne posted:

I'd be interested too but he's set to walk it here so might be better off targeting somewhere away from home.

I know the more morally righteous thing is to actually go campaigning/canvassing for Labour in a nearby marginal, but is it so bad that I actually want to see one of Corbyn's stump speeches in person?

Mugsbaloney
Jul 11, 2012

We prefer your extinction to the loss of our job

The DPRK posted:

Can anyone explain to me at what stage we're failing to apprehend terror suspects?


Because of scary yet weak human rights activists harbouring humanist ideals that insidiously weaken the psychic membrane of britane, the police have been spontaneously falling over on their way to the terrorists houses like non Duracell bunnies. We must enact the blood ritual of Shub-niggath to give them more Powers

TheRat
Aug 30, 2006

The DPRK posted:

Christ.

Well it's not very politically palatable to say you can't stop terrorism is it...

It is, however, the truth. That's kind of the point of terrorism.

kustomkarkommando
Oct 22, 2012

CptAwesome posted:

Are there any seats that are 3 way marginals?

Thurrock is a three way between the conservatives, labour and UKIP with less than a 1000 votes between them.

Belfast South too between SDLP/DUP/Alliance (maybe SF)

Prince John
Jun 20, 2006

Oh, poppycock! Female bandits?

The DPRK posted:

Christ.

Well it's not very politically palatable to say you can't stop terrorism is it...

Sadly it's not even politically palatable to say you should address the root causes of it either.

Xaerael
Aug 25, 2010

Marching Powder is objectively the worst poster known. He also needs to learn how a keyboard works.

Baron Corbyn posted:

both the YouGov MRP and BritainElects NowCast show him losing his seat, so we should have that to look forward to, hopefully.

Catching up on the thread, this has given me hope.

Living in Hallam, if Cleggers loses to Lab, he'll be the first MP to ever lose to a Lab candidate in the constituency. It's always been Blue or Yellow around here. I'm sure the awful posh fucks up the hill will complain that the riff raff "in the towers" are to blame. I'm hoping to see a 1997 Portillo moment for him now.

mfcrocker
Jan 31, 2004



Hot Rope Guy

I'm trying to check this with friends who work in the civil service but it doesn't seem to have filtered down to the rank and file

forkboy84
Jun 13, 2012

Corgis love bread. And Puro


MikeCrotch posted:

I am going to be mainlining so much coffee to stay up till 4:30 and see if Nick Clegg has been loving shitcanned

This, but with a bottle of bourbon that was 45%ABV & on sale for £20 in Tesco.

sassassin
Apr 3, 2010

by Azathoth
Please don't hurt yourselves over the results of this election.

The NHS may not be there to help afterwards.

TheRat
Aug 30, 2006

Yougov's June 7th update:

https://twitter.com/YouGov/status/872432058773233664



e: This would be -28 CON and +37 LAB compared to 2015

Ague Proof
Jun 5, 2014

they told me
I was everything

Does anyone else think it's wrong that one of the major parties (obviously supported by the mods) is on the top and the other below it? It's clearly rigged. I had to go through a dozen third party spoiler votes just to find Pissflaps, which is "conveniently" at the very bottom. I wonder how many people were turned off by it, or couldn't find it on the polls?

It's all rigged.

Also I don't think Pissflaps is even running a candidate in my constituency. I might have to put an X for 'no' in the Labour box just as a 'gently caress you' to the Corbyknights. Owen Smith would have won.

Zephro
Nov 23, 2000

I suppose I could part with one and still be feared...

The DPRK posted:

Well it's not very politically palatable to say you can't stop terrorism is it...
Nope, but it's still true. And it's politically unremarkable to say you can't stop all murder.

mehall
Aug 27, 2010


For those asking if Corbyn will be in Islington today, in an interview with BBC Breakfast he said he was doing heading down the country doing rallies until he got to his own constituency at 9pm tonight. No idea where it would be or anything, but I can't see him not wanting to finish with an easy win.

Adbot
ADBOT LOVES YOU

Al-Saqr
Nov 11, 2007

One Day I Will Return To Your Side.

ITS SO loving UNFAIR ITS LIKE TORIES HAVE A MAGIC INVINCIBILITY SHIELD OF FUCKHEADS LIKE WHY CANT LABOUR EVER CATCH A loving BREAK gently caress.

  • Locked thread