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Libluini
May 18, 2012

I gravitated towards the Greens, eventually even joining the party itself.

The Linke is a party I grudgingly accept exists, but I've learned enough about DDR-history I can't bring myself to trust a party that was once the SED, a party leading the corrupt state apparatus ...
Grimey Drawer

The way things are going, shallow graves

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Godlessdonut
Sep 13, 2005

Saladin Rising posted:


This is for making sure our little North Syria fiefdom is armed to the teeth against the many enemies around them as we stay around there for the indefinite future.

Hey that's what happens when the US president doesn't know poo poo and he hands foreign policy over to the military, you get a military-minded solution.

I bet this was an easy sell to Trump. Half the money is going to "border security." :v:

Dr Kool-AIDS
Mar 26, 2004

Erdogan's really working hard to dispel the notion that he has an Ottomanist foreign policy.

https://twitter.com/p_zalewski/status/963339808083972096

MiddleOne
Feb 17, 2011

Is it just me or has he been overplaying his hand more than usual in the last month?

Dr Kool-AIDS
Mar 26, 2004

When you're on a hot streak, you can start to believe you're invincible. Disapproval of the US is over 80% in Turkey now, so even if he doesn't bring us into open conflict, I think the alliance is going to have trouble limping along.

Bates
Jun 15, 2006
Russia's Blackwater lost 100+ Russian contractors in their little skirmish with the US in Deir Ezzor.

Learning is fun.

Dr Kool-AIDS
Mar 26, 2004

I wonder if anyone's told Trump yet that he's the first US president since at least Vietnam to have killed a bunch of Russians.

Saladman
Jan 12, 2010

Is Bloomberg pretty reliable? Because that's a loving crazy number of Russians to be killed. Iranian militias are one thing, but presumably Russian mercenaries are reasonably well-trained and reasonably well supported by the motherland. Unless Russian mercenary doesn't mean "Russian national" but "somebody on the payroll of a Russian company".

OctaMurk
Jun 21, 2013
Pretty sure the "Russian contractors" were ISIS hubters, not actual russians.

Dr Kool-AIDS
Mar 26, 2004

OctaMurk posted:

Pretty sure the "Russian contractors" were ISIS hubters, not actual russians.

At least some actual Russians have been confirmed dead.

OctaMurk
Jun 21, 2013

Sinteres posted:

At least some actual Russians have been confirmed dead.

100+ Russians though?

Nightgull
Jan 22, 2018

TOTALLY NOT A CONSERVATIVE
or a fucking nazi
What is a hubter?

Tokamak
Dec 22, 2004

hunter*

OctaMurk
Jun 21, 2013

Nightgull posted:

What is a hubter?

Isis hunters, sorry for phone posting

Mozi
Apr 4, 2004

Forms change so fast
Time is moving past
Memory is smoke
Gonna get wider when I die
Nap Ghost
I think they were contractors hired by Assad. Apparently it is over 100 dead and a couple hundred more wounded. Pretty crazy.

Edit: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-02-13/u-s-strikes-said-to-kill-scores-of-russian-fighters-in-syria

quote:

U.S. forces killed scores of Russian mercenaries in Syria last week in what may be the deadliest clash between citizens of the former foes since the Cold War, according to one U.S. official and three Russians familiar with the matter.

More than 200 contract soldiers, mostly Russians fighting on behalf of Syrian leader Bashar al-Assad, died in a failed attack on a base held by U.S. and mainly Kurdish forces in the oil-rich Deir Ezzor region, two of the Russians said. The U.S. official put the death toll at about 100, with 200 to 300 injured.

...

The Russian assault may have been a rogue operation, underscoring the complexity of a conflict that started as a domestic crackdown only to morph into a proxy war involving Islamic extremists, stateless Kurds and regional powers Iran, Turkey and now Israel. Russia’s military said it had nothing to do with the attack and the U.S. accepted the claim. Defense Secretary Jim Mattis called the whole thing “perplexing,” but provided no further details.

...

It’s not clear who was paying the Russian contingent, whether it was Russia directly, Syria, Iran or a third party. Reports in Russian media have said Wagner -- a shadowy organization known as Russia’s answer to Blackwater, now called Academi -- was hired by Assad or his allies to guard Syrian energy assets in exchange for oil concessions.

“No one wants to start a world war over a volunteer or a mercenary who wasn’t sent by the state and was hit by Americans,” Vitaly Naumkin, a senior adviser to Russia’s government on Syria, said in an interview.

...

The death toll from the skirmish, already about five times more than Russia’s official losses in Syria, is still rising, according to one mercenary commander who said by phone that dozens of his wounded men are still being treated at military hospitals in St. Petersburg and Moscow.

Most of those killed and injured were Russian and Ukrainian, many of them veterans of the separatist conflict in eastern Ukraine, according to Alexander Ionov, who runs a Kremlin-funded group that fosters ties to separatists and who’s personally fought alongside pro-government forces in Syria.

Mozi fucked around with this message at 16:00 on Feb 13, 2018

WoodrowSkillson
Feb 24, 2005

*Gestures at 60 years of Lions history*

A frontal assault on a US military position with artillery and air support is still an extremely stupid idea in 2018

Bip Roberts
Mar 29, 2005
As much as the last 15 years proved that the US military has no idea on how to prop up a failing government or suppress an insurrection it's also proved that they are bar none the best at killing every human in the room.

Nightgull
Jan 22, 2018

TOTALLY NOT A CONSERVATIVE
or a fucking nazi

OctaMurk posted:

Isis hunters, sorry for phone posting

No big. I just wanted to say I really...enjoy? is that the appropriate word? reading this thread, so thanks to everyone who contributes.

Tias
May 25, 2008

Pictured: the patron saint of internet political arguments (probably)

This avatar made possible by a gift from the Religionthread Posters Relief Fund

Saladman posted:

How political are the YPG really? Like I kind of assumed that they just paid lip service to socialism/Ocalanism but that realistically it was a broad assortment of people of different ideologies united temporarily under the banner of making an autonomous province in Syria, and that the minute they actually succeed they’ll divide in intercine conflicts like the Kurds of Iraq.

The socialist bit just seems to be propaganda for Assadist right wing Americans to froth about and left wing internet commentators to drool over. I mean I don’t hear about anything remotely in the terms of political policy in Qamishli or Kobani or wherever. It seems like it’s the typical Arab government of a state of varying levels of repressiveness and most things being free enterprised and untaxed because who is going to report taxes accurately.

FWIW I've met representatives of the YPG/YPJ, and they seem more or less on the level. Basic democracy, gender equality, collectivized economy and they try to integrate ideas from anarchist socialist thinkers in the areas under their control.

Ikasuhito
Sep 29, 2013

Haram as Fuck.

Looks like we are going to get a chance to see if Turkey has learned anything about trying to take a settlement larger than a village. The last village before Jandairis has apparently been taken and they may soon be marching on the town itself.

https://twitter.com/QalaatAlMudiq/status/963419856019304448

Ramrod Hotshot
May 30, 2003

If Erdogan could tone down the lebensraum talk for a minute and be a little more suave, he could try directly negotiating with Trump on Syria. Shower him with flattery, commiserate with him about refugees/illegal immigrants, and offer him some "favorable trade deals" in return for leaving Syria, with the pitch that he won't be "wasting" the money spent on occupying a middle eastern country, AND hey, here's a NATO ally willing to step up and do their part to "fight terrorism" and build a buffer against Iran.

His generals would probably talk him out of it in the end, but it's worth a shot, at least.

WAR CRIME GIGOLO
Oct 3, 2012

The Hague
tryna get me
for these glutes

Ikasuhito posted:

Looks like we are going to get a chance to see if Turkey has learned anything about trying to take a settlement larger than a village. The last village before Jandairis has apparently been taken and they may soon be marching on the town itself.

https://twitter.com/QalaatAlMudiq/status/963419856019304448

Gonnaa get towed in one of those btrs.

Dr Kool-AIDS
Mar 26, 2004

Ramrod Hotshot posted:

If Erdogan could tone down the lebensraum talk for a minute and be a little more suave, he could try directly negotiating with Trump on Syria. Shower him with flattery, commiserate with him about refugees/illegal immigrants, and offer him some "favorable trade deals" in return for leaving Syria, with the pitch that he won't be "wasting" the money spent on occupying a middle eastern country, AND hey, here's a NATO ally willing to step up and do their part to "fight terrorism" and build a buffer against Iran.

His generals would probably talk him out of it in the end, but it's worth a shot, at least.

Erdogan already tried that and got a commitment from Trump to stop arming the YPG, which Trump reneged on the second he talked to his generals. The US has consistently been dishonest when it comes to what we were doing in Syria, so it's no surprise Erdogan doesn't believe a word we say anymore, even if raging about "accidentally" killing US forces isn't likely to help his case.

Erdogan's far from blameless in creating this situation for himself by allowing ISIS free use of his border in the first place, so I'm not saying the US is the only party to blame for the breakdown in the alliance at all. I just don't think our mission creep has helped.

Dr Kool-AIDS fucked around with this message at 18:03 on Feb 13, 2018

Orange Devil
Oct 1, 2010

Wullie's reign cannae smother the flames o' equality!

Ramrod Hotshot posted:

If Erdogan could tone down the lebensraum talk for a minute and be a little more suave, he could try directly negotiating with Trump on Syria. Shower him with flattery, commiserate with him about refugees/illegal immigrants, and offer him some "favorable trade deals" in return for leaving Syria, with the pitch that he won't be "wasting" the money spent on occupying a middle eastern country, AND hey, here's a NATO ally willing to step up and do their part to "fight terrorism" and build a buffer against Iran.

His generals would probably talk him out of it in the end, but it's worth a shot, at least.

If the last years have taught us anything it's that Erdogan will always find a way to horribly misplay the hand he's dealt.

Rent-A-Cop
Oct 15, 2004

I posted my food for USPOL Thanksgiving!

Mozi posted:

I think they were contractors hired by Assad. Apparently it is over 100 dead and a couple hundred more wounded. Pretty crazy.

Edit: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-02-13/u-s-strikes-said-to-kill-scores-of-russian-fighters-in-syria
I guess this answers the "Why did they use so much ordnance?" questions from up-thread. Repelled a battalion sized assault with only a handful of friendly casualties.

When was the last time anyone was dumb enough to try that against US forces?

Coldwar timewarp
May 8, 2007



Those Wagner PMC’s were supposedly to be compensated with a percentage of any oil fields they captured. Crazy that they tried, but their goal makes sense.

Volkerball
Oct 15, 2009

by FactsAreUseless

Rent-A-Cop posted:

I guess this answers the "Why did they use so much ordnance?" questions from up-thread. Repelled a battalion sized assault with only a handful of friendly casualties.

When was the last time anyone was dumb enough to try that against US forces?

There was also at least one T-72 in the assault that was destroyed.

mlmp08
Jul 11, 2004

Prepare for my priapic projectile's exalted penetration
Nap Ghost

Herstory Begins Now posted:

If we killed 100 Syrians and Russians with that range of stuff, p much guaranteed they killed Americans in the original attack, that's a serious 'send a loud and clear message' type of strike. Also god drat they got half a region's worth of air support and fire support called in and allocated to them. I'm... curious for more details now.

E: Reading about it more. Yeah they 100% read the initial attack as a deliberate attack on a us/coalition/sdf headquarters with full knowledge that US forces were present and the response seems to be in line with establishing a clear message that any aggression will be met with retaliation. I mean the irony of asserting a 'non-debatable right to retaliation' while illegally on foreign soil is... interesting, but that's what appears to have happened.

Looks this way. Earlier in this thread there was a lot of chuckling about what a weird mix of stuff it was, but that's what it looks like when you have a sudden threat you didn't expect, and that threat has massively miscalculated your response. All of those assets are also ones that have been regularly in use in Syria. F-22s have been dropping bombs and doing surveillance in Syria for a few years now.

Darkman Fanpage
Jul 4, 2012
It wouldn’t surprise me if there are American contractors, and along with them American soldiers, at the oil field helping to run it. I doubt the SDF has many experienced oil industry technicians.

steinrokkan
Apr 2, 2011



Soiled Meat

Herstory Begins Now posted:

If we killed 100 Syrians and Russians with that range of stuff, p much guaranteed they killed Americans in the original attack, that's a serious 'send a loud and clear message' type of strike. Also god drat they got half a region's worth of air support and fire support called in and allocated to them. I'm... curious for more details now.

The current military leadership is very much in favor of suppressing hostile forces through decisive show of power, and they aren't kept in check. It's entirely possible they chose to demonstrate their superiority as a means to deter further Russian meddling.

reignonyourparade
Nov 15, 2012

Darkman Fanpage posted:

It wouldn’t surprise me if there are American contractors, and along with them American soldiers, at the oil field helping to run it. I doubt the SDF has many experienced oil industry technicians.

Probably at least SOME of the original workers fled to SDF held territory at some point or another/were kept there by ISIS and are happy to actually be getting paid now (that was basically what happened with a lot of the Dam engineers.)

HorrificExistence
Jun 25, 2017

by Athanatos
US bombing Russian and SAA positions in Dier ez zor

https://twitter.com/JakeGodin/status/963463570376810497

Saladin Rising
Nov 12, 2016

When there is no real hope we must
mint our own. If the coin be
counterfeit it may still be passed.

mlmp08 posted:

Looks this way. Earlier in this thread there was a lot of chuckling about what a weird mix of stuff it was, but that's what it looks like when you have a sudden threat you didn't expect, and that threat has massively miscalculated your response. All of those assets are also ones that have been regularly in use in Syria. F-22s have been dropping bombs and doing surveillance in Syria for a few years now.

steinrokkan posted:

The current military leadership is very much in favor of suppressing hostile forces through decisive show of power, and they aren't kept in check. It's entirely possible they chose to demonstrate their superiority as a means to deter further Russian meddling.
There also could have been an element of "oh hell we're under attack for real, better safe than sorry" mixed into the level of response. Going by the article posted earlier this was more like a "conventional" fight than the asymmetrical anti-ISIS stuff we're used to seeing/doing:

Mozi posted:

I think they were contractors hired by Assad. Apparently it is over 100 dead and a couple hundred more wounded. Pretty crazy.

Edit: https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-02-13/u-s-strikes-said-to-kill-scores-of-russian-fighters-in-syria

quote:

Last week’s offensive began about 8 kilometers (5 miles) east of the Euphrates River deconfliction line late Feb. 7, when pro-Assad forces fired rounds and advanced in a “battalion-sized formation supported by artillery, tanks, multiple-launch rocket systems and mortars,” Colonel Thomas F. Veale, a spokesman for the U.S. military, said in a statement.

The U.S., which has advisers stationed at the base alongside Syrian Democratic Forces troops, responded with aircraft and artillery fire.

“Coalition officials were in regular communication with Russian counterparts before, during and after the thwarted, unprovoked attack,” Veale said. No fatalities were reported on the coalition side and “enemy vehicles and personnel who turned around and headed back west were not targeted.”
I mean if you're facing a coordinated attack like that, then there's really no reason to not call in everything you've got. Which is exactly what the US did.

E:

HorrificExistence posted:

US bombing Russian and SAA positions in Dier ez zor

https://twitter.com/JakeGodin/status/963463570376810497
Well that confirms the "tank" part of what Colonel Veale said. You'd think the US blowing up a few hundred (poo poo, probably a couple thousand by now) ISIS SVBIEDs would make someone think twice about attacking a US position with a tank, but apparently not. Goddamn that attack was a terrible idea from start to finish.

Saladin Rising fucked around with this message at 23:51 on Feb 13, 2018

TheDeadlyShoe
Feb 14, 2014

quote:

“Coalition officials were in regular communication with Russian counterparts before, during and after the thwarted, unprovoked attack,” Veale said. No fatalities were reported on the coalition side and “enemy vehicles and personnel who turned around and headed back west were not targeted.”

It makes me wonder what those communications were like.

'Hey, why are there hundreds of russians attacking our base?'
'*shrug*'

Frogfingers
Oct 10, 2012

Sinteres posted:

Erdogan's really working hard to dispel the notion that he has an Ottomanist foreign policy.

https://twitter.com/p_zalewski/status/963339808083972096

Dude isn't talking nationalism, the Ottoman slap is literally just a wrestling move where you smack someone in the temple. He wants to take on the Kurds now that ISIS has stopped jobbing.

Herstory Begins Now
Aug 5, 2003
SOME REALLY TEDIOUS DUMB SHIT THAT SUCKS ASS TO READ ->>
I'm the guy intercepting an absolute fuckton of russian language comms coming from a battalion-sized and equipped force that looks like it's about to attack a literal US SOF base.

TheDeadlyShoe posted:

It makes me wonder what those communications were like.

'Hey, why are there hundreds of russians attacking our base?'
'*shrug*'

You can kind of piece it together by reading between the lines, but that's basically what happened. US calls up 'we've got a ton of vehicles and artillery massing to assault one of our SOF bases and in our intercepts they're mostly speaking Russian. Maybe pass it along that this is a US base?"

Both sides probably ran that up the chain, Russians found nothing, US apparently said 'well wait and see.' The advance didn't stop and then the US *shrugged* and we had yet another iteration of hapless convoys advancing into US air strikes and artillery with the exact same results as always.

Herstory Begins Now fucked around with this message at 00:30 on Feb 14, 2018

Cat Mattress
Jul 14, 2012

by Cyrano4747

Frogfingers posted:

Dude isn't talking nationalism, the Ottoman slap is literally just a wrestling move where you smack someone in the temple. He wants to take on the Kurds now that ISIS has stopped jobbing.

Now I want to see Erdogan and Tillerson fight a wrestling match.

Herstory Begins Now
Aug 5, 2003
SOME REALLY TEDIOUS DUMB SHIT THAT SUCKS ASS TO READ ->>
To be a bit more serious and big-picture about this: it's open season on contractors now. That's a gently caress of a lot of dead contractors and I'm curious what percentage of the entire oil facility protection force that was. This is the first time we've seen both the US and Russia apparently agree openly that no one is going to start a war over dead PMCs. That's a big deal.

Tweezer Reprise
Aug 6, 2013

It hasn't got six strings, but it's a lot of fun.

Frogfingers posted:

Dude isn't talking nationalism, the Ottoman slap is literally just a wrestling move where you smack someone in the temple. He wants to take on the Kurds now that ISIS has stopped jobbing.

yeah but lol in context

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Moatman
Mar 21, 2014

Because the goof is all mine.

Herstory Begins Now posted:

To be a bit more serious and big-picture about this: it's open season on contractors now. That's a gently caress of a lot of dead contractors and I'm curious what percentage of the entire oil facility protection force that was.

From what I understand most of the casualties were Russian mercs in the area to "kill ISIS" i.e. everyone but ISIS and SAA

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