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https://twitter.com/peterdaou/status/1060273561322053633 https://twitter.com/peterdaou/status/1060267305152798720
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Nov 8, 2018 02:01
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rscott posted:I can see that for one nationwide race but shouldn't the aggregate vote track pretty closely to the GCB? 4% is a pretty huge margin. In a year were turnout was exceptionally weird, it's not that unusual. Especially with, as you note, healthy chunks of the west coast out. Deified Data posted:We are absolutely in a position where the dem primary will essentially decide the winner of the general near instantly  If we're going down the  path though, doesn't the DNC's ratfucking ability and competence pale in comparison to POTUS'?
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Nov 8, 2018 02:02
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quote:‘None of the above’ tops list of potential 2020 Dems, poll shows https://thehill.com/hilltv/what-americas-thinking/415500-biden-leads-dem-voters-list-of-potential-2020-contenders-poll Choices were: Warren: 4% Biden: 25% Bernie: 18% Booker: 3% Kamala Harris: 4% Hillary Clinton: 12% None of the above: 30%
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Nov 8, 2018 02:02
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Shimrra Jamaane posted:Last time this happened in 2016 I literally went into a suicide ward so thanks a bunch rear end in a top hat. I think he meant it was a moment of absurd hilarity when you, who is typically pretty optimistic and follows this stuff pretty closely, swung so hard from Blue wave to "its all ending isn't in" as most of us in the thread did when we saw that dumbass live model swing to 25% chance of victory I thought it was hilarious, in the way you laugh after a near miss car wreck or being rescued from a stuck elevator (USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)
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Nov 8, 2018 02:02
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Zas posted:This incidentally is part of why I was thinking that the 'new investigations' that were promised seem to be... wishful thinking at best. If we can't even bring this one home, how exactly can a weak dem house hope to instigate new investigations that will have any teeth? They can convene committees, I guess? I don't really know tbh. I have low expectations.
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Nov 8, 2018 02:03
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Deified Data posted:I'm at work, what exactly did Acosta do that they are spinning into assaulting an intern? She tried to take the microphone from him and he turned away and wouldn't let her take it. She grabbed it and they struggled with it for about 5 seconds or so.
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Nov 8, 2018 02:03
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Zas posted:This incidentally is part of why I was thinking that the 'new investigations' that were promised seem to be... wishful thinking at best. If we can't even bring this one home, how exactly can a weak dem house hope to instigate new investigations that will have any teeth? this post is panicking / launching into "well I guess we're hosed" really super early and you should reconsider it
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Nov 8, 2018 02:04
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https://twitter.com/CarlBeijer/status/1060335295973998592 https://twitter.com/ryanaboyd/status/1060210099174567938
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Nov 8, 2018 02:05
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https://twitter.com/ndrew_lawrence/status/1060335677408243713
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Nov 8, 2018 02:05
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if trump tries to fire mueller or otherwise stop the investigation, the house committee leadership can call for testimony and documents from mueller. winning the house is a pretty big deal
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Nov 8, 2018 02:05
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The Glumslinger posted:https://thehill.com/hilltv/what-americas-thinking/415500-biden-leads-dem-voters-list-of-potential-2020-contenders-poll Not liking Biden at the top of this list. Maybe I'm paranoid but I imagine the GOP has had a #metoo in their pocket with his name on it for years, waiting for the inevitable moment he ran.
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Nov 8, 2018 02:05
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https://twitter.com/Acosta/status/1060336119315873792?s=19 He used the L-word! Edit: Now she's doing it too! https://twitter.com/Susan_Hennessey/status/1060337220140306436?s=19 JasonV fucked around with this message at 02:08 on Nov 8, 2018 |
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Nov 8, 2018 02:06
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Koalas Massacre posted:5 is giving me Olivia Pope vibes and I LOVE IT. That is Ayanna Pressley, and she's the newest Congressperson from the great state of Massachusetts. She's also a DSA member and she unseated a Democrat who'd been in that seat for over 20 years 
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Nov 8, 2018 02:06
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Lightning Knight posted:I queued a week for this by the way, don't do garbage like this. Should have made it two years lol.
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Nov 8, 2018 02:06
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Deified Data posted:Not liking Biden at the top of this list. He's also old and centrist as poo poo, but he has super high name recognition I think the more interesting thing is that people don't really like any of those options. There will be space for someone else at the top of the ticket.
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Nov 8, 2018 02:06
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JasonV posted:He used the L-word! lol that the only thing that can even begin to arouse a proper response from the media is Trump manhandling a white guy in public.
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Nov 8, 2018 02:08
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The Glumslinger posted:He's also old and centrist as poo poo, but he has super high name recognition Yeah, that's just name recognition nothing polling. Its not important. A bunch of people are gonna announce soon and then it stops getting hypothetical.
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Nov 8, 2018 02:08
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GreyjoyBastard posted:this post is panicking / launching into "well I guess we're hosed" really super early and you should reconsider it I'm not panicking, just discussing. If you'd like to discuss with me, can you explain how the house can instigate investigations that might lead to legal action against, like, powerful people? It's honestly not my area of expertise at all
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Nov 8, 2018 02:08
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Mooseontheloose posted:CNN should refuse to do live coverage of his events and essentially not cover his crazy poo poo. Nothing against you personally, but this whole "the press should stop covering them" narrative is bullshit and needs to stop. It's exactly what they want. It's like giving in and giving a toddler candy if he screams and cries enough. It just reinforces lovely behavior.
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Nov 8, 2018 02:08
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theCalamity posted:https://twitter.com/peterdaou/status/1060273561322053633 i still love that daou got spurned by mother so now he is trying to be a lefty. i mean cool that he is atleast saying the points even if he is just suit.
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Nov 8, 2018 02:09
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Kemp's counting on his own bush v. gore
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Nov 8, 2018 02:09
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The Glumslinger posted:I think the more interesting thing is that people don't really like any of those options. There will be space for someone else at the top of the ticket. this is just the opportunity that john delaney has been waiting for!
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Nov 8, 2018 02:09
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Strange Poon posted:I'm kind of all over the place on it -- that is to say I don't disagree with you, and I may be comparing Apples to Oranges, but after living through 9/11 I'm not personally thrilled on counting the country to come together after or in the face of disaster. There's a huge difference between a catastrophic terrorist attack, and the cold uncaring wrath of nature. We could't come together after 9-11 because the idiots in the country wanted to mindlessly go bugfuck with missiles and troops and racism. Hurricanes and stuff like that are brutally simple by comparison.
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Nov 8, 2018 02:09
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Where the video?
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Nov 8, 2018 02:09
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Lightning Knight posted:lol that the only thing that can even begin to arouse a proper response from the media is Trump manhandling a white guy in public. its depressing but ill take it.
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Nov 8, 2018 02:10
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QuoProQuid posted:this is just the opportunity that john delaney has been waiting for! [Insert Jeb! map here]
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Nov 8, 2018 02:10
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JasonV posted:https://twitter.com/Acosta/status/1060336119315873792?s=19 Hasn't Susan Hennessey repeatedly called out Trump officials for lying? You're not confusing her with Haberman, are you? edit: e.g. https://twitter.com/Susan_Hennessey/status/1048746624904822785 https://twitter.com/susan_hennessey/status/892171832199086084 SoSimpleABeginning fucked around with this message at 02:12 on Nov 8, 2018 |
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Nov 8, 2018 02:10
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Oh no we've walked right into his trap https://twitter.com/PhilipRucker/status/1060331173103190017
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Nov 8, 2018 02:11
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Paracaidas posted:Margin of error overall is +/- 5 for GCB according to Nate. Additionally, the average miss has been about 2% compared to final margins. I did some more looking into this and Nate Cohn is estimating 114m ballots cast for house elections and they have a current count of ~99m, so there's a lot more votes to be counted. I guess the margin could widen significantly from where it is now
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Nov 8, 2018 02:12
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The Glumslinger posted:He's also old and centrist as poo poo, but he has super high name recognition Though I guess it's worth mentioning that it's only 680 "registered voters" and not necessarily liberals or leftists. I'm leery of one-time (maybe still?) most popular politician in the country Sanders coming behind Biden, but I admit, if Biden has one redeemable quality it's his desire to roll in the poo poo with Republicans and treat them like children to their faces. If he were to move leftward (and for the love of god be properly, fully vetted) I would not be opposed to Biden, but he's far from my first choice.
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Nov 8, 2018 02:12
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Lightning Knight posted:They can convene committees, I guess? I don't really know tbh. I have low expectations. Zas posted:I'm not panicking, just discussing. If you'd like to discuss with me, can you explain how the house can instigate investigations that might lead to legal action against, like, powerful people? It's honestly not my area of expertise at all It's not an exaggeration to say that they can unilaterally control one, and have functionally zero control over the other. Deified Data posted:Not liking Biden at the top of this list. QuoProQuid posted:this is just the opportunity that john delaney has been waiting for!
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Nov 8, 2018 02:12
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Deified Data posted:Not liking Biden at the top of this list. name_recognition.txt please dial down the panic
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Nov 8, 2018 02:12
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Uncle Wemus posted:Oh no we've walked right into his trap Losing the single party monopoly on power to own the libs.
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Nov 8, 2018 02:12
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I'm pretty sure you're not supposed to let the enemy know that you're exploiting their divisions when you try to exploit their divisions.
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Nov 8, 2018 02:13
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Uncle Wemus posted:Oh no we've walked right into his trap He's absolutely going to steamroll Pelosi, if her day-after comments are any indication. She simply doesn't understand what is happening.
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Nov 8, 2018 02:14
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Zas posted:I'm not panicking, just discussing. If you'd like to discuss with me, can you explain how the house can instigate investigations that might lead to legal action against, like, powerful people? It's honestly not my area of expertise at all As is my understanding... The House has the power to open and hold investigations of this kind and file subpoenas for people to testify. Hence Benghazi or Hillary's Email hearings. They also have the power to request and release findings and information, hence all the stuff Devin Nunes pulled with all those memos and documents that amounted to nothing. Mueller was appointed as a special council that had the same basic powers BECAUSE the House GOP, Ryan, and Nunes refused to do their job. They don't have the power to file criminal charges but neither does Mueller.
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Nov 8, 2018 02:14
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https://twitter.com/AltUSPressSec/status/1060339379200253952
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Nov 8, 2018 02:14
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Zas posted:I'm not panicking, just discussing. If you'd like to discuss with me, can you explain how the house can instigate investigations that might lead to legal action against, like, powerful people? It's honestly not my area of expertise at all my most immediate objection is to "if we can't even bring this one home" on an unsubstantiated hypothesis of Mueller's investigation successfully being strangled in the crib but here's another thing: state-level departments of justice can act on evidence discovered by federal subpoenas, which will be spewing forth from Democratic House committees like wasps from a breach in Ted Cruz's hull if we read into the congressional record, say, the Trump Organization committing massive tax fraud with Russian money, that's something the NYAG can use to burn it to the ground
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Nov 8, 2018 02:15
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Kobayashi posted:He's absolutely going to steamroll Pelosi, if her day-after comments are any indication. She simply doesn't understand what is happening. I think it's unlikely she doesn't know what is happening, more that she underestimates the threat. She's not dumb, she's just privileged.
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Nov 8, 2018 02:15
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GreyjoyBastard posted:name_recognition.txt My mother, for instance, can't give a reason whenever she brings up Biden for 2020. Yeah, it's just name recognition. He's the Democratic Jeb!
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Nov 8, 2018 02:15
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