Taima posted:

Wow, so I've posted at length about El Nino in this thread. You can view my other posts for that information.

Some really crazy poo poo has been happening right now with that:



This is huge. I won't even bother explaining what this chart is, all you need to know is that we are currently in the beginning to mid stages of a second major supercharge cycle for this year's El Nino.

It's going to be a pretty crazy winter if the rest of this active event verifies like the model is charting (and it's been doing pretty good, so I think it will, but we'll see)!

It will take several weeks to see the warm water hit the Galapagos area (known colloquially as nino 1.2 region) but it's going to charge us up right as we go into fall. Woo baby.

Unless something seriously changes, we are looking at the strongest classic-style (far EP based canonical) El Nino event since 1997. Only real question in my mind at this point is how much it will grow from here. After 3 years of La Nina, there is a LOT of latent warm water in the west pacific to push east. Therefore the top level cap on how strong this El Nino can be, is VERY high.

I'm pretty sad that I chose this year to move from CA to Seattle cuz I would love to be in the thick of it.

The entire world is going to feel the power of this event, we ain't seen nothin' yet.

Taima posted:

Wow, so I've posted at length about El Nino in this thread. You can view my other posts for that information.

Some really crazy poo poo has been happening right now with that:



This is huge. I won't even bother explaining what this chart is, all you need to know is that we are currently in the beginning to mid stages of a second major supercharge cycle for this year's El Nino.

It's going to be a pretty crazy winter if the rest of this active event verifies like the model is charting (and it's been doing pretty good, so I think it will, but we'll see)!

It will take several weeks to see the warm water hit the Galapagos area (known colloquially as nino 1.2 region) but it's going to charge us up right as we go into fall. Woo baby.

Unless something seriously changes, we are looking at the strongest classic-style (far EP based canonical) El Nino event since 1997. Only real question in my mind at this point is how much it will grow from here. After 3 years of La Nina, there is a LOT of latent warm water in the west pacific to push east. Therefore the top level cap on how strong this El Nino can be, is VERY high.

I'm pretty sad that I chose this year to move from CA to Seattle cuz I would love to be in the thick of it.

The entire world is going to feel the power of this event, we ain't seen nothin' yet.

Sunny Side Up posted:

A few days ago we were doing an activity to teach our 3 year old about pollution and while we were able to filter the small cup, the kiddie pool just wouldn’t get clean. Attacking it, scooping it, and dropping in coffee filters in didn’t work. Eventually the only answer was not to have polluted in the first place.

netizen posted:

My mom's friend works in hospice care in Phoenix. Like she goes to people's houses to help take care of them. Seems like a tough (but vitally important) job under normal circumstances. I wouldn't want to imagine what it would be like during this heat if the power goes out for any significant amount of time. I'd like to assume they have contingency plans for this sort of thing, like taking them someplace with backup power like a hospital but who knows.

quote:

PRIVATE EQUITY EXTRACTION IS ESPECIALLY BARBARIC in our woebegone health care system, as Morgenson and Rosner most extensively explore. In a wholesale inversion of the Hippocratic oath, tens of thousands of PE-owned rural and inner-city hospitals, dialysis centers, nursing homes, emergency rooms, and psychiatric hospitals ultimately begin to resemble something like landfills of subprime humanity, with the only alternative for many being the soft euthanasia of PE-owned hospice agencies.

The Carlyle Group wanted to pay its investors a billion-dollar dividend, so it pawned the real estate holdings of a nursing home chain, forcing it to cough up a half-billion-dollar yearly rent check, which was managed through savage staffing cuts that likely condemned thousands of elderly Americans to die slowly of dehydration, gangrenous bedsores, and preventable falls even before COVID-19 killed a quarter-million residents nationwide. KKR wanted to extract its own payday from a chain of group homes for developmentally disabled adults that had already been sucked dry by a Canadian private equity firm, so it slashed pay to $8 an hour and told workers that it would have them arrested for patient abandonment if they attempted to leave “early” from open-ended “shifts” that lasted as long as 36 hours. On five separate occasions, Texas health inspectors visited KKR’s facilities to find no staff at all. In a single August 2020 day at one West Virginia group home, three of eight unsupervised residents very nearly killed themselves; the unnamed soul who drank antifreeze and was not hospitalized for nine hours damaged his organs permanently.

ELTON JOHN posted:

we're saved

https://twitter.com/capitalweather/status/1685271041608744960

Taima posted:

Wow, so I've posted at length about El Nino in this thread. You can view my other posts for that information.

Some really crazy poo poo has been happening right now with that:



This is huge. I won't even bother explaining what this chart is, all you need to know is that we are currently in the beginning to mid stages of a second major supercharge cycle for this year's El Nino.

It's going to be a pretty crazy winter if the rest of this active event verifies like the model is charting (and it's been doing pretty good, so I think it will, but we'll see)!

It will take several weeks to see the warm water hit the Galapagos area (known colloquially as nino 1.2 region) but it's going to charge us up right as we go into fall. Woo baby.

Unless something seriously changes, we are looking at the strongest classic-style (far EP based canonical) El Nino event since 1997. Only real question in my mind at this point is how much it will grow from here. After 3 years of La Nina, there is a LOT of latent warm water in the west pacific to push east. Therefore the top level cap on how strong this El Nino can be, is VERY high.

I'm pretty sad that I chose this year to move from CA to Seattle cuz I would love to be in the thick of it.

The entire world is going to feel the power of this event, we ain't seen nothin' yet.

Just a Moron posted:

Sounds like the California drout is over then, what were you doomers so worried about?

err posted:

what does that mean for Fall/Winter in the U.S.?

Microplastics posted:

Honestly I'm not even sure we're fully out of the "Climate change isn't real" stage yet

Microplastics posted:

celadon posted:

i think everyone who knows anythign about whats going on but is still optimistic believes that within a decade or twoo, a cheap and clean and easy and low-energy and scalable way to pull CO2 just out from the air and turn it into big solid carbon cubes will be invented by science. like it is an inevitability that science will rise up to meet the need, whether thats via an increase in funding or an increase in gumption.

everything else just gives us more buffer, so its ok if they're all like lovely half measures. electric cars, renewables, painting the roofs white, meatless mondays, etc. just buys some time for science to do its job

RandomBlue posted:

love conquers all doomer

Communist Thoughts posted:

I don't really see a situation in which humans all die but any animals survive

gently caress You And Diebold posted:

https://twitter.com/CNN/status/1685338187927859200?s=20

Taima posted:

Along with completely and utter life changing surfing for California and many non-shadowed parts of Central America.

Communist Thoughts posted:

I don't really see a situation in which humans all die but any animals survive

It's just gonna be us and whatever animals and plants we are eating

gently caress You And Diebold posted:

https://twitter.com/CNN/status/1685338187927859200?s=20

Hit Man posted:

There's a lot of news of "monsoon rains coming!" and I'm not joking, it's 40% rain for 2 days at 105°f minimum before resuming the heat doming

celadon posted:

i think there wont be anything left thats bigger than a breadbox or so, air land or sea

RandomBlue posted:

love conquers all doomer

Rauros posted:

shame the guardian ran this...checks notes...feminist author's opinion on climate change:

We can’t afford to be climate doomers
Rebecca Solnit

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2023/jul/26/we-cant-afford-to-be-climate-doomers
"A lot of people in this society also like certainty and while it’s obviously foolish to be certain we will win, somehow certainty we will lose isn’t subject to the same judgments. That certainty seems to come in part from an assumption that change happens in predictable ways, so we can know the future, or that there are environmental but not social and technological tipping points. But, as the thinktank Carbon Tracker notes “The S-curve is a well-established phenomenon where a successful new technology reaches a certain catalytic tipping point (typically 5-10% market share), and then rapidly reaches a high market share (i.e. 50%+) within just a couple more years once past this tipping point. Solar panels, wind turbines and lithium-ion batteries have all followed such learning curves. Each technology has declined in cost by over 90% in the past two decades. And so their growth has followed an S-curve model.” Change is often not linear but exponential, or it’s unpredictable, like an earthquake releasing centuries of tension. Big changes start small, and history is studded with surprises."

Rauros posted:

shame the guardian ran this...checks notes...feminist author's opinion on climate change:

We can’t afford to be climate doomers
Rebecca Solnit

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2023/jul/26/we-cant-afford-to-be-climate-doomers
"A lot of people in this society also like certainty and while it’s obviously foolish to be certain we will win, somehow certainty we will lose isn’t subject to the same judgments. That certainty seems to come in part from an assumption that change happens in predictable ways, so we can know the future, or that there are environmental but not social and technological tipping points. But, as the thinktank Carbon Tracker notes “The S-curve is a well-established phenomenon where a successful new technology reaches a certain catalytic tipping point (typically 5-10% market share), and then rapidly reaches a high market share (i.e. 50%+) within just a couple more years once past this tipping point. Solar panels, wind turbines and lithium-ion batteries have all followed such learning curves. Each technology has declined in cost by over 90% in the past two decades. And so their growth has followed an S-curve model.” Change is often not linear but exponential, or it’s unpredictable, like an earthquake releasing centuries of tension. Big changes start small, and history is studded with surprises."

Rauros posted:

shame the guardian ran this...checks notes...feminist author's opinion on climate change:

We can’t afford to be climate doomers
Rebecca Solnit

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2023/jul/26/we-cant-afford-to-be-climate-doomers
"A lot of people in this society also like certainty and while it’s obviously foolish to be certain we will win, somehow certainty we will lose isn’t subject to the same judgments. That certainty seems to come in part from an assumption that change happens in predictable ways, so we can know the future, or that there are environmental but not social and technological tipping points. But, as the thinktank Carbon Tracker notes “The S-curve is a well-established phenomenon where a successful new technology reaches a certain catalytic tipping point (typically 5-10% market share), and then rapidly reaches a high market share (i.e. 50%+) within just a couple more years once past this tipping point. Solar panels, wind turbines and lithium-ion batteries have all followed such learning curves. Each technology has declined in cost by over 90% in the past two decades. And so their growth has followed an S-curve model.” Change is often not linear but exponential, or it’s unpredictable, like an earthquake releasing centuries of tension. Big changes start small, and history is studded with surprises."