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Pinterest Mom posted:I'd posit that a lot of NDP supporters aren't NDP supporters because they want the NDP to win, but because they want left-wing policies to be implemented. This budget looks a whole lot like the Liberals delivering on longstanding NDP priorities on several fronts, and it might have been nice for the ONDP to take yes for an answer. I think it'd generally be long term political death for the ONDP and all of it's ideas if it backed Liberal government without a formal coalition agreement for the totality of it's term in office, it's asking to be seen as redundant. There's also zero ways to enforce the delivery of these promises once the Bill is passed before the next election a year from now, when no one will be paying attention at all because it'll be right on top of a federal election campaign.
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# ¿ May 4, 2014 16:57 |
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# ¿ May 18, 2024 11:52 |
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infernal machines posted:I'm curious how you think an NDP budget would differ materially from the one the Liberals put forward. Unless, of course you're dismissing them both and counting on an OPC win. Would fix the corporate income tax deficit which is the ultimate cause of Ontario's structural revenue deficiency. Wouldn't screw over public sector workers on their pensions. Would not be a one-off campaign budget no one expects to be fully implemented, but part of a consistent governing philosophy.
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# ¿ May 4, 2014 18:10 |
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infernal machines posted:I have no reason to believe the OLP would deliver on anything in the budget in particular, but presumably they'd make a good show of it. On the other hand the NDP is going to be in a much worse position in the event of a OPC minority government. Minority governments do not last 4 years, the NDP voting down the government isn't some shocking development.
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# ¿ May 4, 2014 18:37 |
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vyelkin posted:This is a stupid election and I hope the NDP pay for it by electing a Liberal majority, at which point Wynne will steal all the NDP's good plays and name every bill the "Laugh at Andrea Horwath Act". The first thing a Liberal majority will do is stop playing lip service to the left. Their priorities under a majority (and when they were down one seat) were engineering "a very special report on the importance of austerity" and crushing the teachers and other public sector unions.
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# ¿ May 4, 2014 21:14 |
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sbaldrick posted:So I've figured out what is going to sink the PCO this time, Hudak or someone is going to talk about family values at some point and say Wynne doesn't speak for Ontario families, which will come off as an attack because of her sexuality. He does have a 300lb weak spot in the form of the disgraced Mayor of Toronto who has much less self control and no minders left who can tell him to shut up, who should be returning from his (spoiler alert: unsuccessful) forced rehab in the final week of the campaign. Hudak is very reluctant to outright condemn Ford since he is tapped directly into the unthinking id of their movement, but the odds on Ford saying something that demands condemnation are never worse than 50/50.
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# ¿ May 4, 2014 21:41 |
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Ikantski posted:I can't believe Hudak is going to lose to these people. Lying about your terrible policies is generally a better strategy than telling the truth about your terrible policies.
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# ¿ May 10, 2014 03:54 |
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Helsing posted:Yeah, this is some very principled leadership from Horwath all right. "We're gonna cut a buncha government departments. No I'm not sure which ones. The point is that I'm gonna stop the gravy train!"
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# ¿ May 16, 2014 06:21 |
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Rutibex posted:It's a nice handout to landlords. People paying rent will of course see none of this discount. Great work NDP! I don't agree with the policy either but plenty of people pay rent and Hydro, myself included, there's no obligation for a landlord to cover that cost.
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# ¿ May 21, 2014 20:35 |
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DStecks posted:You fuckin killed our government just for the sake of doing it, without even a plan for what to do next, let's be buddies now What would you suggest the Liberals do in the event of a minority government, join with the Conservatives who are just as responsible for "killing" their government, or immediately call another election where only the Conservatives will have any money?
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# ¿ May 23, 2014 23:15 |
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Niagara Falls Liberal candidate considering legal action over altered tweetquote:A Liberal candidate in the June 12 Ontario election is considering legal action after he says someone altered one of his tweets “to try and make a fool” out of him.
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# ¿ May 24, 2014 01:36 |
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Leofish posted:I get that nobody likes to be criticized but saying, "they're not real NDPers" is the dumbest poo poo. Besides, if they're so against corruption, why did they wait until now to bring down the government and not the budget before? In Ontario the opposition is only allowed to bring down the government once a year.
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# ¿ May 24, 2014 16:38 |
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Dallan Invictus posted:Yes, but isn't the budget that opportunity? Wynne has tabled two budgets and the OLP hasn't gotten noticably more corrupt between spring 2013 and now, I think Leofish's point is that the rationale for pulling the trigger now as opposed to then is hollow. That said the Liberals are just as corrupt as they were a year ago isn't a particularly good line either.
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# ¿ May 24, 2014 17:52 |
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Dallan Invictus posted:Speaking of "things that are just as true now as they were then." I disagree with Horwath a lot but as provincial NDP leaders go her main flaw is not tactical incompetence, she'd increased the size of her caucus by 24% since the last election and will almost certainly hold more seats then she won in 2011. vyelkin posted:I just can't really see Horwath and Wynne getting along after the way this election has gone, and I can't see either of them supporting a Hudak minority. I imagine the LGen wouldn't want to call a new election, but I don't really see any coalition prospects that are viable at this point in the campaign anyway. I mean, hell, Wynne would be putting forward the same budget that Horwath already rejected, since that's also their campaign platform, and God knows what the NDP would have to do to get support from either party to form a government. People in this thread took the election call a lot more personally than the Kathleen Wynne did, for one thing she knew it was coming months ago.
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# ¿ May 24, 2014 19:07 |
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This is crazy talk, the NDP in a minority is never going to cross labour by putting Tim Hudak into power for a year when he'll have unrestricted power over labour disputes. The Party would be bankrupt forever.
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# ¿ May 24, 2014 19:16 |
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JohnnyCanuck posted:Have you seen what Horwath is campaigning on? I think the ONDP left labour behind a while ago. How has Horwath made any move that was remotely anti-labour, this isn't Federal politics the ONDP is a labour party in the sense that labour buys and pays for them to exist. Labour also gives to the Liberals of course but if any party has betrayed their labour allies it's the Ontario Liberals.
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# ¿ May 24, 2014 19:21 |
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vyelkin posted:iirc all the indications we've gotten are that labour wanted them to support the Wynne budget, so in a sense this entire election is the NDP turning their back on labour even if none of their specific policies are anywhere near as anti-union as the PCs. It's true that labour generally is terrified of Hudak and has been the primary factor in getting Horwath to back the Liberals as long as she had, but they've hardly left the party, the party would be destitute if labour abandoned them. Most labour leaders remember that the Liberals tried to legislate away the right to collective bargaining only 2 years ago.
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# ¿ May 24, 2014 19:40 |
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Mmann posted:And by moving to the right of the liberals, buying ads to basically fake endorsements from right wing rags, and potentially putting Hudak into power by alienating their base and liberal swing voters the NDP is surely making labour feel safe. Mmann posted:Gasplantgasplantgasplant! Is the gas plant not a real horrifying example of corruption because you say it like this?
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# ¿ May 24, 2014 20:03 |
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brucio posted:Weren't the other 2 parties planning on canceling the gas plants too or am I misremembering the last election? Not actually sure (the PCs definitely were) of course the scandal is not because they cancelled the plants it's that they decided to build them in the first place, signing contracts with penalty provisions in the hundreds of millions and then cancelled the contracts at the height of an election campaign when they proved unpopular in important ridings and subsequently attempted to delete the records demonstrating that the decision was a purely political one.
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# ¿ May 24, 2014 20:13 |
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Mmann posted:It's an issue I don't give a gently caress about. Most people don't give a gently caress about it. I care about record a poo poo-tonne more than I care about rhetoric and the Liberal record beyond a budget they never expected was going to be enacted is solidly centre-right. Now I don't like everything about how Horwath is campaigning or has acted in opposition (although my chief complaint on the latter is that she propped up the Liberals for so long), but i've got no illusions about which parties are going to give away billions in corporate giveaways (above and below the table) and who respects collective bargaining.
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# ¿ May 24, 2014 20:28 |
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CAPTAIN CAPSLOCK posted:If the budget had passed, they can't just go "lol whoops jk" and not implement it. It becomes law. And are you seriously saying that even though the NDP has shifted to the right you expect them to pull off their mask and reveal they only did that for votes and here is their true left agenda? Because that has happened never. I expect if the Liberals get a majority the first budget they pass will look very different from this one.
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# ¿ May 24, 2014 20:47 |
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CAPTAIN CAPSLOCK posted:Then its a good thing the NDP shot down their left leaning budget to call this election. Functionally I don't think they had a choice, but then I really think they should have gone last year so they wouldn't be in this position. In an ideal world they should have demanded an option to introduce a non-confidence motion at their discretion throughout the year but it is pretty perilous to go into a campaign on a process issue if it didn't work.
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# ¿ May 24, 2014 21:07 |
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geese posted:I've heard that the ONDP was over 2.5 million dollars in debt from the 2011 election at budget time last year. I don't know about their finances are like now, but they were definitely in no financial position to be in an election last year. Yeah I know that's why they didn't pull the trigger last time (that and we were at peak-Hudak being a horses' rear end) but I doubt whatever you've raised in the last year was worth a year of distance from the Liberals' attempt to back stab labour and the gas plant scandal.
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# ¿ May 24, 2014 21:54 |
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tagesschau posted:The NDP isn't very good at realpolitik. (See also: seeing it as a "win" to hand Harper a majority that most Canadians voted against.)
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# ¿ May 25, 2014 03:38 |
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Jimbozig posted:Well, ranked ballots are such a cynical bullshit move for the liberals. But at least they should help the Greens. Ranked ballots are unlikely to result in any additional Green MPs or MPPs, that's why it's not proportional, switching to an admittedly flawed (and easily caricatured voting process) is not a good step towards PR, which is why the Greens, NDP and non-partisan Fair Vote all back an MMP system.
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# ¿ May 25, 2014 22:30 |
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Meanwhile in the UK ranked voting was back by most of parliament and a well financed Yes campaign that vastly outspent the no campaign and it still lost by an even larger margin than the completely below the radar PR campaign Ontario ran.
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# ¿ May 25, 2014 23:26 |
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tagesschau posted:You're talking about pure PR as though it's some kind of unquestionably objective good, as opposed to just good for your party. (And your example doesn't show that it's "easily caricatured," that video is outright lying when it says it's possible for someone who gets a majority of votes to lose an election.) tagesschau posted:Furthermore, how do you get around the fact that every member must represent an electoral district? You can't just add members to Queen's Park who don't represent an electoral district.
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# ¿ May 25, 2014 23:42 |
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Quantum Mechanic posted:AV/IRV is a one person, two votes system. Everyone's vote still has equal impact, it's simply that if your first preference ends up in the two-party-preferred count, your second vote goes to the same party to which your first vote went. With PR voters will vote the exact same way they always have and the upside is that every vote matters.
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# ¿ May 26, 2014 04:36 |
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vyelkin posted:Wynne and Horwath are going to have a debate over northern issues. Hudak decided not to attend. It's pretty short sighted to write off a region just because you aren't going to pick up any seats there this cycle (and turning up here functionally costs almost nothing), but Hudak knows he's never going to run another election if he loses this one and gives no fucks.
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# ¿ May 26, 2014 15:15 |
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AegisP posted:Well, Wynne tried to talk about pensions. But then Horwath decided to just talk over her with gas plants, gas plants, gas plants. Andrea did good multitasking there, I think she got the better of the pension exchange at the same time, Wynne never really defended the PRPPs. Hudak playing nice with Horwath is creepy as hell.
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# ¿ Jun 3, 2014 23:47 |
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Pinterest Mom posted:Who are all these businesses who are gravely concerned about the government's balance sheet? Apparently they're talking to Wynne as well
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# ¿ Jun 4, 2014 00:07 |
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Horwath did well in the beginning, but kind of faded, at least she landed some good sound bytes. Hudak dominated his whole time and never really slipped up. Wynne probably regrets asking for just one debate she was totally off her footing until the very end.
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# ¿ Jun 4, 2014 00:57 |
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Jimbozig posted:Whether threehundredeight know what they're doing or not
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# ¿ Jun 4, 2014 04:47 |
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Hudak won the debate, easily. Obviously he's wasn't going to convince me or most of the people in this thread to vote for him but he catered to his base quite well without any of the normal Hudak slips that end up alienating his soft supporters. Wynne spent half the debate apologizing and didn't get much of anything done the rest of her time. Horwath had a strong first half, scored a few zingers on Hudak and definitely stuck the knife into Wynne. Awful close. Ipsos did a flash poll, the top line numbers are probably garbage but the way the numbers moved from who people thought was going to win to who people thought did win really does tell the tale of the debate. Who won the debate? Hudak -36% Wynne -27% Horwath -26% Who do you think will win the debate? Hudak -24% Wynne -32% Horwath -17%
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# ¿ Jun 4, 2014 06:15 |
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Pinterest Mom posted:http://politics.theglobeandmail.com/2014/06/04/kathleen-wynne-shoots-down-liberal-ndp-coalition/
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# ¿ Jun 4, 2014 18:09 |
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Jimbozig posted:There's a difference to be drawn between a minority government that can appeal to either of the other parties for help in passing legislation depending on what is in that legislation, and a formal coalition with an agreement involving joint decision-making. A Liberal-NDP coalition would give the NDP a lot more power than an NDP-supported Liberal minority, with cabinet positions and more input on the details of laws. Of course there's a lot of room for negotiations between the Liberals and the NDP in what they might be able to negotiate that falls short of positions in Cabinet. I think your psychoanalysis of Horwath is more than a bit off, of course she thinks she can win somehow, she's at 20% in the polls she'd only need to move 15% of the province to win, it's not like she's the Green Party. Her problem I think is she's concentrating on growth outside of Toronto, particularly in the South West where she's from. It's been a rewarding strategy for the past couple of years, the party has increased the size of it's caucus considerably, but of course no left-wing party is going to be able to govern Ontario without Toronto.
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# ¿ Jun 4, 2014 19:45 |
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Hudak also has the biggest war chest and his operation is anything like (or being directly assisted by) the Federal Conservatives he'll have the most sophisticated voter database, but even he is going to have a very hard time moving enough Ontarians from their entrenched positions to form a majority. Vis-a-vis big promises he also has one huge advantage in that he has nothing to lose, if he doesn't deliver a government to the PC's he is 100% out on his rear end. The Ontario NDP was out in the wilderness so long that if Horwath keeps incremental growth going her leadership is probably secure.
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# ¿ Jun 5, 2014 02:06 |
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vyelkin posted:gently caress off, Andrea Horwath, seriously. What the gently caress.
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# ¿ Jun 7, 2014 07:21 |
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vyelkin posted:It is apparently true, though, that Horwath refused Wynne's suggestions to meet and discuss what should be in the budget while it was being written (before any of the leaks). Even Hudak was apparently willing to sit down in a room with Wynne and talk about what should be in the budget, even if what he actually said was probably "Fire everyone and appoint me Premier, and then maybe I'll vote for it". This implies that Horwath had decided to shoot down the budget literally no matter what was in it. That's more or less the open thesis of the NDP campaign, that Liberal corruption and a failure to live up to past negotiations made a deal impossible, Horwath's big mistake was not making this more explicit months ago and leaving open a patina of a chance that she might support the budget.
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# ¿ Jun 7, 2014 19:30 |
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bunnyofdoom posted:I saw one half an hour ago on the pedestrian bridge over thw queensway at Parkdale. Course it was too small to really read at 120km/h There's a tonne on Baseline in Ottawa-West.
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# ¿ Jun 8, 2014 17:50 |
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# ¿ May 18, 2024 11:52 |
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vyelkin posted:Bit early to be saying this given polls are nowhere near closing, but advance poll numbers were way down so I won't be at all surprised if they're right. Advance polling only dropped 6% despite the fact that there was 43% more advanced voting days in 2011 than this year, so that's not really a clear indicator of anything other than that more people would vote if we made it easier for them to do so.
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# ¿ Jun 12, 2014 23:19 |