|
If you really feel like betting on DWS and want to make sure it's guaranteed money, you can still buy in on her winning her primary at under 90 cents. Primary is the 30th of August.
|
#
¿
Jul 3, 2016 19:01
|
|
|
|
| # ¿ May 14, 2024 09:01 |
|
|
CARL MARK FORCE IV posted:Yeah, that'll be the last HOT GOON STOCK TIP that I ever act on. HOT GOON STOCK TIPs are actually usually fairly good. You've just got to remember that we're only slightly better informed idiots who are pooling our knowledge together. Group think not only is a variable to be seriously considered, there's also our general liberal bias and desire for certain events to happen/not happen. Definitely take suggestions with a pinch of salt, but they're usually worth at least considering. Though it's usually best to wait for some sort of consensus rather than a couple people posting their ideas on their own.
|
|
#
¿
Jul 4, 2016 00:43
|
|
|
Glad I had my sell oder set at 97 cents. Nice to hear in passing that the FBI didn't indict then check on the app to see my near 50% profit.
|
|
#
¿
Jul 5, 2016 21:52
|
|
|
Michael Scott posted:Which app are you all using? The official one seemed to have terrible reviews so I just have a browser bookmark on my phone. I use the official app, but only to check my account at work or panic sell if I made a dumb bet and news breaks while I'm out. Mostly I just use the website itself.
|
|
#
¿
Jul 5, 2016 22:10
|
|
|
Michael Scott posted:I think you said that one key to high gain is to 'play on emotions' rather than play actual events. Is there any way to do that with this kind of market? What kinds of markets does that work well with? In a couple weeks or so, Donald Trump will surge in the polls and across the board the Republican prospects will look rosy. Said surge will quickly be dashed a few days latter as Hillary and the Democrats rise to seemingly new heights and the Republican Party will seem doomed to eternally wonder the political desert. Convention bumps are real, predictable, and will undoubtedly throw the relevant markets into chaos in their wake. There are a few ways to play this coming emotional reaction that flies in the face of rationality. You can buy Trump and related Republican shares while they're low right now and flip them. You can put in lowball bids on Hillary and Democratic shares in anticipation of this. Or you can try and do both. Keep in mind that other people will also be trying to play the upswings on both sides, so there's a possibility that things turn out like a couple of the Bernie markets did. Tons of money dumped into markets trying to play the people playing the market and most of that money being lost because everyone is trying to make the same play.
|
|
#
¿
Jul 6, 2016 05:02
|
|
|
Nirvikalpa posted:Can't believe that CLINTON.FEDCHARGES.2016 is still at sell 91. Why? Market won't close until the end date, which I believe is the end of December.
|
|
#
¿
Jul 6, 2016 19:15
|
|
|
 Hopping Trump doesn't pick  because he's the least money option.
|
|
#
¿
Jul 8, 2016 02:15
|
|
|
So it seems about 40,500 people bought Ivanka lotto tickets and 40,500 people went with the "free penny" today. I went with the free penny, but, man, I really hope there's 40,500 lotto winners come announcement.
|
|
#
¿
Jul 9, 2016 01:18
|
|
|
I really hope that Trump names someone no one else has ever even considered to be on the list before. Just because it would be hilariously Trump. With the side benefit of making me a lot of money, of course. Then I hope they turn him down after the public announcement and the market and comments go totally batshit.
|
|
#
¿
Jul 10, 2016 13:51
|
|
|
Actually, I realize now that what I really crave is for Trump to make a pick that absolutely no one could have predicted. Then after the convention have some insane Eagleton poo poo go down and then have a new market pop up with an even longer list of fever dream options for me to bet against.
|
|
#
¿
Jul 10, 2016 22:06
|
|
|
Gotta love the people trying to argue against Pence in favor for Cruz. Lotta effort towards that impossible pump. https://twitter.com/KennyGGee/status/752279666719850496
|
|
#
¿
Jul 11, 2016 00:20
|
|
|
FourLeaf posted:Gotta admit I'm stunned Trump is willing to overlook Pence endorsing Cruz. That really seems like one of the much more minor reasons not to go with Pence. Trumpian ego aside.
|
|
#
¿
Jul 11, 2016 00:47
|
|
|
FourLeaf posted:That's just it though. With Trump I'm not sure if we can put ego aside. Word seems to be that Pence is the choice conservative parts of the GOP are pushing for him to make. If he does go with that option, the role of VP will probably be to fund raise while Trump himself talks about how much money he has and man it's sweet not needing to ask for money because he's so tremendously tremendously rich. Whether he ends up bowing to their demands or not, is another story.
|
|
#
¿
Jul 11, 2016 01:27
|
|
|
Did some new news come out on the Pence front? The market is flipping back to not believing in Pence.
|
|
#
¿
Jul 11, 2016 19:24
|
|
|
Adar posted:
My plan is to sell Pence YES when they get high enough and then pick up some penny stocks on Pence NO after that for just such an occasion. Selling the YES should more than cover the loss on Pence NO if he does become the nominee and I get the money this week.
|
|
#
¿
Jul 11, 2016 21:44
|
|
|
Hmm, yes. Fox wouldn't want to tarnish their sterling reputation.
|
|
#
¿
Jul 12, 2016 22:18
|
|
|
Fox and Newt just ended their contract yesterday, citing suddenly caring about employing a potential VP pick. At around the same time Trump made it clear the pick would be announced on Friday. Which means that is the most likely to be picked. Remembering that things are still left up to Trump's "good brain" to finalize things, so anything could still happen.
|
|
#
¿
Jul 13, 2016 17:18
|
|
|
Given the reports of Trump already trying to get out of the Pence pick, general rules of volatility regarding Trump, and the desire to gently caress over Trump by a not insignificant portion of the RNC delegates, a couple bucks worth of Pence NO shares probably is a pretty defensible lotto ticket.
|
|
#
¿
Jul 15, 2016 22:29
|
|
|
So, now you can buy YES shares on DWS winning her primary for like 70 cents. People don't actually understand how carefully drawn congressional districts work.
|
|
#
¿
Jul 25, 2016 03:26
|
|
|
EngineerSean posted:I get why the district itself might be same for Dems, but i don't get why a scandal wouldn't cause her to lose the primary. It's not a scandal that her district could possibly care about. They voted for Hillary by somewhere around 50 percentage points more than Bernie and she's their long term incumbent congresswoman.
|
|
#
¿
Jul 25, 2016 04:24
|
|
|
EngineerSean posted:Yeah I guess I get this but I didn't realize the carefully drawn Congressional district was designed to be as pro-Hillary as possible. It's not drawn to be pro-Hillary. It's drawn to include a bunch of Democrats that almost all happen to be pro-Hillary.
|
|
#
¿
Jul 25, 2016 16:28
|
|
|
Did they get rid of the funds display at the top of the page all the sudden, or is my browser just not loading it for some reason?
|
|
#
¿
Jul 29, 2016 02:20
|
|
|
OAquinas posted:It's you. Still getting my +XXXX and available funds list. Firefox on my desktop. I won't have any free funds until they pay out on the Democratic Candidate anyway, so it's not a big deal at the moment. Yeah, logging out and back in fixed it.
|
|
#
¿
Jul 29, 2016 02:46
|
|
|
EngineerSean posted:You could take this as an opportunity to get cheap Hillary NO's that you can sell when the price is where you want to buy Hillary YES's. Hillary is going to have to really gently caress up to get to a worse place than she was prior to the DNC. Best hope is that Trump succeeds in pulling a Romney in the first debate.
|
|
#
¿
Jul 31, 2016 03:54
|
|
|
SHINEBLOCKA posted:If you're betting value bets out to the general election, just put it all here on "NO": https://www.predictit.org/Contract/612/Will-the-Democratic-presidential-nominee-win-at-least-370-electoral-votes-in-2016#data You can still buy DWS winning her primary for less than 80 cents. Florida primaries are August 30th.
|
|
#
¿
Aug 1, 2016 21:49
|
|
|
Nirvikalpa posted:http://www.tampabay.com/blogs/the-buzz-florida-politics/tim-canovas-poll-shows-he-is-eight-points-behind-debbie-wasserman-schultz/2287632 If you're leaking an internal poll that shows you 8 points down less than a month before the election, you're definitely getting spanked.
|
|
#
¿
Aug 3, 2016 02:30
|
|
|
So 5 days away from the election, and Paul Ryan winning the primary is sub 90. Between him and DWS market I've really got to question the wisdom of crowds.
|
|
#
¿
Aug 4, 2016 02:18
|
|
|
BCRock posted:There are some interesting bets you can make with all of the different electoral college markets. Buy NO in all 8 sub markets, and probably buy no in the 370+ landslide market. You win money no matter what the actual EC total is as long as you structure your NO bets at a proper price. Or buy NO on everything except YES in 400+ or 279 or less, so you can have a little extra to buy your celebratory/consolation booze.
|
|
#
¿
Aug 4, 2016 02:42
|
|
|
Necc0 posted:Also friendly reminder that you can still get R370.NO for .91 for some loving reason if you like free money Almost certainly only because it's a 3 month wait and you can put your money into other things, like Hillary winning, for a better return. OAquinas posted:It'll take AZ, NC, and GA (and holding onto NV, where Trump is still polling close for some unfathomable reason). If the anecdotal evidence of mass waves of Hispanics rushing their citizenship so they can vote are correct, they're probably being under represented in polls. Hell, considering Trump is approaching less than 10% support among all non-whites, their desire to vote against him may not be properly baked into the polls.
|
|
#
¿
Aug 9, 2016 18:04
|
|
|
On the subject of fundraising, I know that Trump has said he raised $80 million in July. However that included money for the RNC, does his campaign give that money to the RNC, thus having it count on line 7 of his FEC Report or does it go directly to the RNC?
|
|
#
¿
Aug 18, 2016 02:05
|
|
|
Do we have any idea on if they'll put up demographics markets for the general? I'd love to bet on whether Trump or Hillary who will win Jewish Men 55+ who also identify as Native American.
|
|
#
¿
Aug 18, 2016 21:06
|
|
|
You don't actually "make" anything until you pull your money out of the site, right? Like, if I was up $1000 it doesn't count towards anything until I have them send me a check.
|
|
#
¿
Sep 5, 2016 23:05
|
|
|
|
| # ¿ May 14, 2024 09:01 |
|
|
So, is the market for a candidate winning at least 50% of the vote looking crazy low to anyone else? Last time that didn't happen was 2000 and the Ross Perot 1990s Boogaloo.
|
|
#
¿
Nov 6, 2016 15:25
|
|