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Love Stole the Day
Nov 4, 2012
Please give me free quality professional advice so I can be a baby about it and insult you

Absurd Alhazred posted:

I mean, do you really think that someone who's never heard of him is more likely to choose him after this performance? No. He had one chance to actually get widespread coverage, and he blew it.

Oh come on, I really think you're being really rough on him. It was his first debate and his dog ate his homework.

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Absurd Alhazred
Mar 27, 2010

by Athanatos

Love Stole the Day posted:

Oh come on, I really think you're being really rough on him. It was his first debate and his dog ate his homework.

Neurolimal
Nov 3, 2012

Raskolnikov38 posted:

Despite that a later question on who would you vote for has Bernie at only 8% behind her.

I'm guessing that they reason that they liked Bernie more, but believe Hillary "won" the debate by being more Politics.

Sheng-Ji Yang
Mar 5, 2014


rscott posted:

CNN literally had an old dude on TV say, "maybe this country needs a little socialism" if that isn't moving the Overton window I'm not sure what is. It's only the first debate and Bernie has a pretty good record so far of improving his delivery and conceptualizing his platform.

the top article on vox is about socialism. theres a big article about democratic socialism on wapo. even if he doesnt win he is very successfully pushing discourse left. hes absolutely the most successful American socialist politician since Debs at this point, even if his socialism is more akin to the New Deal or Share The Wealth than Debs.

hell, even hillary had to walk around the socialism/capitalism question carefully. at this point i bet a substantial portion of democrats would describe themselves as socialists.

Sheng-Ji Yang has issued a correction as of 04:02 on Oct 15, 2015

paranoid randroid
Mar 4, 2007

Sheng-ji Yang posted:

the top article on vox is about socialism. even if he doesnt win he is very successfully pushing discourse left. hes absolutely the most successful American socialist politician since Debs at this point, even if his socialism is more akin to the New Deal or Share The Wealth than Debs.

hm and it isnt even by prominent fail aids vector ezra klein

mayhaps theres some merit in this bernard saunders fellows positions.... after all??

Jewel Repetition
Dec 24, 2012

Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.

Pener Kropoopkin posted:

I wish Sanders had used Marxist dialectic to explain why he isn't a Capitalist. Thus causing the Class Consciousness of the viewing public to skyrocket.

That would be out of character for him.

Iowa Snow King
Jan 5, 2008

Bread Set Jettison posted:

That guy who threw a grenade at me aint around no more

holy poo poo

Thump!
Nov 25, 2007

Look, fat, here's the fact, Kulak!



Sheng-ji Yang posted:

the top article on vox is about socialism. theres a big article about democratic socialism on wapo. even if he doesnt win he is very successfully pushing discourse left. hes absolutely the most successful American socialist politician since Debs at this point, even if his socialism is more akin to the New Deal or Share The Wealth than Debs.

hell, even hillary had to walk around the socialism/capitalism question carefully. at this point i bet a substantial portion of democrats would describe themselves as socialists.

God I hope so. I'm getting tired of being the only socialist at parties.

Sephiroth_IRA
Mar 31, 2010
Does anyone here actually believe any of the candidates on the right have a shot at winning? Against Hillary? Against Bernie?

loving mittens was more impressive than this lot.

edit: Probably the wrong thread but the question of electability keeps coming up post debate.

Sephiroth_IRA has issued a correction as of 14:23 on Oct 15, 2015

Hodgepodge
Jan 29, 2006
Probation
Can't post for 239 days!

Sephiroth_IRA posted:

Is anyone here actually believe any of the candidates on the right have a shot at winning? Against Hillary? Against Bernie?

loving mittens was more impressive than this lot.

Honestly, Trump is their only hope, and I honestly think he has a glass jaw and will evaporate before a less friendly crowd. The dude cannot take a joke and will not react well to being burned by a genuine rival.

Atoramos
Aug 31, 2003

Jim's now a Blind Cave Salamander!


Sephiroth_IRA posted:

Does anyone here actually believe any of the candidates on the right have a shot at winning? Against Hillary? Against Bernie?

Not too long ago I would have said Bush. Now? No. Thankfully I am convinced no Republican has a shot at being president. Either Clinton will win it, or her unfavorables will lead to Bernie winning.

EugeneJ
Feb 5, 2012

by FactsAreUseless

Sephiroth_IRA posted:

Does anyone here actually believe any of the candidates on the right have a shot at winning? Against Hillary? Against Bernie?

If Trump pushes single-payer health care, I'm voting for him over Hillary

Sephiroth_IRA
Mar 31, 2010

EugeneJ posted:

If Trump pushes single-payer health care, I'm voting for him over Hillary

:yeah:

Shirkelton
Apr 6, 2009

I'm not loyal to anything, General... except the dream.
Someday they'll isolate and destroy the 'single issue voter' gene.

Philthy
Jan 28, 2003

Pillbug

EugeneJ posted:

If Trump pushes single-payer health care, I'm voting for him over Hillary

He already has.

My dad nearly had a stroke when I explained what he was saying on 60 Minutes. Dad is a bandwagon Republican, doesn't follow politics, will always vote R and Obama/Hillary ruined the world. He just knows Trump is his man because that is who is winning right now.

He also moved to the border of Mexico in Texas and complains that too many people don't speak English in America. Yeah.

Philthy has issued a correction as of 15:44 on Oct 15, 2015

Epic High Five
Jun 5, 2004



Philthy posted:

He already has.

My dad nearly had a stroke when I explained what he was saying on 60 Minutes. Dad is a bandwagon Republican, doesn't follow politics, will always vote R and Obama/Hillary ruined the world. He just knows Trump is his man because that is who is winning right now.

He also moved to the border of Mexico in Texas and complains that too many people don't speak English in America. Yeah.

The funny part is that the Republicans on both sides of the split will never, ever leave to form their own anything because of the big base of people who will vote straight ticket -R no matter what, all the time, at every election. If they stop being -R they are toast, so instead they're sticking around poisoning everything. That "I will vote Republican no matter what" is an attitude they're aware of and your dad is doing a lot of damage to the party right now.

Spacebump
Dec 24, 2003

Dallas Mavericks: Generations
I really wish ballots didn't have party affiliation on them and/or that no states did straight ticket voting.

gohmak
Feb 12, 2004
cookies need love
The polls are coming in

http://www.google.com/insights/consumersurveys/view?survey=tr2mq4bvlrnf4

Sheng-Ji Yang
Mar 5, 2014



what is this? is this just an online poll thing or a scientific poll run by google?

gohmak
Feb 12, 2004
cookies need love

Sheng-ji Yang posted:

what is this? is this just an online poll thing or a scientific poll run by google?

Google consumer survey. Here are the analytics
http://www.google.com/insights/consumersurveys/view?survey=tr2mq4bvlrnf4&question=1&filter=&rw=1

Sheng-Ji Yang
Mar 5, 2014


quote:

According to New York Times' blogger and statistician Nate Silver, the Google consumer surveys' election polls were ranked second in terms of reliability and lack of bias in predicting election results.

so according to this poll, bernie won the debate among those who watched it. im pretty surprised, im not sure i would have even said that

gohmak
Feb 12, 2004
cookies need love

Sheng-ji Yang posted:

so according to this poll, bernie won the debate among those who watched it. im pretty surprised, im not sure i would have even said that



Link to Nate's comment?

Sheng-Ji Yang
Mar 5, 2014


gohmak posted:

Link to Nate's comment?

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/11/10/which-polls-fared-best-and-worst-in-the-2012-presidential-race/#more-37396

ArbitraryC
Jan 28, 2009
Pick a number, any number
Pillbug

So by those counts the google polls were among the most accurate last cycle?

Sheng-Ji Yang
Mar 5, 2014


ArbitraryC posted:

So by those counts the google polls were among the most accurate last cycle?

yes, second most accurate according to nate

ArbitraryC
Jan 28, 2009
Pick a number, any number
Pillbug
Good, eat poo poo people pretending there wasn't blatant bias in the post debate coverage.

Shirkelton
Apr 6, 2009

I'm not loyal to anything, General... except the dream.
It's a shame the 'insights' aren't all represented across the board, some of those would have been really interesting to compare.

ArbitraryC posted:

Good, eat poo poo people pretending there wasn't blatant bias in the post debate coverage.

There wasn't.

Sheng-ji Yang posted:

yes, second most accurate according to nate

Haha, I forgot how terrible Gallup's polling was last time around, hot drat.

gohmak
Feb 12, 2004
cookies need love

ArbitraryC posted:

So by those counts the google polls were among the most accurate last cycle?

Second to TIPP

ArbitraryC
Jan 28, 2009
Pick a number, any number
Pillbug
Where's mr. his body language and tone ruined his chances now, I honestly don't get why goons were so cynical about him appearing passionate on the issues rather than plastically smiling with slow deliberate speech. Historically haven't americans been pretty big fans of the gogetters, even to a fault?

Miltank
Dec 27, 2009

by XyloJW
Pundits aren't allowed to evaluate the debates on the candidate's policy because thats bias, so they focus on more 'objective' things like relative charisma.

Spacebump
Dec 24, 2003

Dallas Mavericks: Generations

Miltank posted:

Pundits aren't allowed to evaluate the debates on the candidate's policy because thats bias, so they focus on more 'objective' things like relative charisma.

Hasn't the most charismatic candidate won the presidential election every time in our lifetimes?

Jewel Repetition
Dec 24, 2012

Ask me about Briar Rose and Chicken Chaser.

All those unfavorable Hillary views are a little disappointing. But it's good to know the biased media narrative actually has some substance.

paranoid randroid
Mar 4, 2007
part of the reason the punditry was leaning so hard on hillary "winning" was that their narrative beforehand was that she was in a tailspin for some reason. everythings going to be about hillary because the pundit class is obsessed with hillary and what is hillary doing and what do the tealeaves say about hillarys chances. theyre stupid fuckers, one and all.

paranoid randroid
Mar 4, 2007
*sanders gains five points* IS HILLARY OVER?? WILL BIDEN JUMP IN?? GOD PLEASE LET SOMETHING INTERESTING HAPPEN, WE NEED EYEBALLS

Amused to Death
Aug 10, 2009

google "The Night Witches", and prepare for :stare:
That google poll looked good until I saw 80% of respondents were men, which creates an issue since there is a gender gap in Bernie vs Hillary support. Alsomthe poll skews heavily young on top of it

Thump!
Nov 25, 2007

Look, fat, here's the fact, Kulak!



Soooo.... this first poll is pretty reliable then, yeah?

Cus if so:

ArbitraryC
Jan 28, 2009
Pick a number, any number
Pillbug

Amused to Death posted:

That google poll looked good until I saw 80% of respondents were men, which creates an issue since there is a gender gap in Bernie vs Hillary support. Alsomthe poll skews heavily young on top of it
Is it really projected that women are going to vote more for Hillary just to shoot for that first woman potus status because that is the lamest reason in the world to vote for someone. I guess going by her response to how she's different from b-rock the islamic shock went over it shouldn't surprise me, but it still would be incredibly disappointing.

Xelkelvos
Dec 19, 2012

Amused to Death posted:

That google poll looked good until I saw 80% of respondents were men, which creates an issue since there is a gender gap in Bernie vs Hillary support. Alsomthe poll skews heavily young on top of it

It'd be nice to see the separated demographics

anime was right
Jun 27, 2008

death is certain
keep yr cool

Amused to Death posted:

That google poll looked good until I saw 80% of respondents were men, which creates an issue since there is a gender gap in Bernie vs Hillary support. Alsomthe poll skews heavily young on top of it

they weighted down mens influence (tho it looks like it was still 70% after being weighted?)

anime was right has issued a correction as of 22:27 on Oct 15, 2015

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Shirkelton
Apr 6, 2009

I'm not loyal to anything, General... except the dream.

Spacebump posted:

Hasn't the most charismatic candidate won the presidential election every time in our lifetimes?

How old are you?

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