Register a SA Forums Account here!
JOINING THE SA FORUMS WILL REMOVE THIS BIG AD, THE ANNOYING UNDERLINED ADS, AND STUPID INTERSTITIAL ADS!!!

You can: log in, read the tech support FAQ, or request your lost password. This dumb message (and those ads) will appear on every screen until you register! Get rid of this crap by registering your own SA Forums Account and joining roughly 150,000 Goons, for the one-time price of $9.95! We charge money because it costs us money per month for bills, and since we don't believe in showing ads to our users, we try to make the money back through forum registrations.
(Thread IKs: weg, Toxic Mental)
 
  • Post
  • Reply
Dwesa
Jul 19, 2016

steinrokkan posted:

Why would FSB want to kill Kadyrov, though. He is an important state asset. Anyway, I'm afraid the sources reporting the supposed poisoning are dubious at best
Yeah, I can't recall any example in the recent past where speculations about someone's death or serious illness was later confirmed. This kind of news appears every time a dictator disappears for a few weeks after having plastic surgery or something.

Also Hello new thread/Welcome back old thread :wave:

Dwesa fucked around with this message at 21:34 on Mar 5, 2023

Adbot
ADBOT LOVES YOU

Dwesa
Jul 19, 2016

Herstory Begins Now posted:

you know if there's a more recent version of that chart (that one is from may 22)? I'd be really curious to see what it looks like at this point after a conscription wave and the mobilization wave

the site it is from appears to be more or less defunct
map from 24 February 2023



quote:

Description
Map uses figures for identified dead Russian soldiers reported by BBC News Russia and Mediazona, based on finding their obituaries or other announcements about their deaths. There are currently about 15000 identified soldiers. Black and red means higher losses per population in a region, blue and green means lower losses. This is only a fraction of the total losses, but they should be representative because the identification is distributed randomly. I.e., it is unlikely that men from Moscow are less likely to have an obituary than men from Altai.

Here is a similar map for 9th September 2022: link
And for 10th May 2022: link

Observations
Moscow continues to be by far the lowest contributor, pushing even further ahead of other areas. It has only 98 casualties, even though proportionally it should have had about 1400. The highest casualties are for the Tuvan Republic, which also happens to have consistently the highest homicide rates in Russia. The likelihood for a Tuvan to die in the war is about 70 times higher than for a Muscovite. This is probably because proportionally, many more Tuvans serve in the army because they see it as a "social lift".

Another comparison is that if we take the top 20 regions by casualty rate, they would have 13m population and 2996 identified deaths, compared to Moscow's 12.5m and 98 deaths.

There is a correlation with income, although some poor regions like Ingushetia have a low rate. Oil-rich regions have a lower rate, but still not as low as Moscow despite being technically slightly richer (so HDI is probably the better predictor).

Largest contributors to casualties per capita:

Tuva Republic 52.91
Buryatia 46.00
Nenets Autonomous Okrug 38.17
Magadan Oblast 37.74
Zabaykalsky Krai 30.57

Lowest contributors to casualties per capita:

Moscow 0.78
Saint Petersburg 2.44
Tyumen Oblast 3.42
Moscow Oblast 3.60
Khanty-Mansiysk Autonomous Okrug – Ugra 5.87

Highest overall contributors:
Krasnodar Krai 617
Sverdlovsk Oblast 568
Chelyabinsk Oblast 477
Bashkortostan 473
Buryatia 452

Dwesa fucked around with this message at 23:24 on Mar 5, 2023

Dwesa
Jul 19, 2016

https://mobile.twitter.com/NeilPHauer/status/1632282678195105792

oh my, another DIY MT-LB with naval gun mounts

https://mobile.twitter.com/oryxspioenkop/status/1632079968237649922

Dwesa
Jul 19, 2016

Comfy Fleece Sweater posted:

There’s something going on here because I see the same kind of bad faith arguments from Latin American authoritarians (they’re always trying to attack us, we’re the victims, etc etc) and their cronies on Twitter. It’s like they learn it from somewhere, or maybe all narcissists react the same way and spread it

Umberto Eco posted:

7. To people who feel deprived of a clear social identity, Ur-Fascism says that their only privilege is the most common one, to be born in the same country. This is the origin of nationalism. Besides, the only ones who can provide an identity to the nation are its enemies. Thus at the root of the Ur-Fascist psychology there is the obsession with a plot, possibly an international one. The followers must feel besieged. The easiest way to solve the plot is the appeal to xenophobia. But the plot must also come from the inside: Jews are usually the best target because they have the advantage of being at the same time inside and outside. In the U.S., a prominent instance of the plot obsession is to be found in Pat Robertson’s The New World Order, but, as we have recently seen, there are many others.

Dwesa
Jul 19, 2016

Tai posted:

Don't engage

Dwesa
Jul 19, 2016

Extra row of tits posted:

So I’ve been absent from the thread for ages, what happened to that huge build up of tanks and planes that was on the news? Wasn’t there a huge Russian push about to happen?

https://twitter.com/KofmanMichael/status/1631270936807714816

Dwesa
Jul 19, 2016

"what if what Russian propaganda is telling us is not a completely absurd fabrication..."

Dwesa
Jul 19, 2016

Neddy Seagoon posted:

It's not for them, it's to discourage all the commoners getting ideas that maybe Russia isn't the best place to live right now. "Russia isn't perfect, but everywhere else is WORSE! So stay in Russia!"
Alas, I am finishing up my squirrel. I wish I could reheat it, but there is no gas.

I wonder whether anyone actually believes this stuff.

Dwesa
Jul 19, 2016

HonorableTB posted:

Jeez i thought I :justpost: a lot in this thread and I checked out the top posters and zone has almost 20 more posts than me :stare:

For content: yes I know it's Russia Today but I really want to believe someone horsejacked kadyrov lmao

https://twitter.com/RT_com/status/1633509539986415616
Btw, RT twitter and other stuff (along with some other Russian media) is not visible in most European countries

Dwesa
Jul 19, 2016

Strange reaction, I would expect them to amplify the narrative that some Ukrainians did it. Maybe they don't like that the blame wasn't on UA government.

https://twitter.com/Liveuamap/status/1633783693373317123

Dwesa
Jul 19, 2016

Public support for Ukraine in most EU countries increased in February compared to the last Eurobarometer survey in November

https://twitter.com/Kofronjan/status/1633498867541983232

Dwesa
Jul 19, 2016

Dumb Sex-Parrot posted:

Thanks this is very interesting. Do you, or anyone itt, know why some of the old east block countries (Slovenia, Slovakia, Czechia for instance) are so low?
I don't know about Slovenia, so this will mostly apply to Slovakia (and perhaps to some extent to Czechia), there are various factors: idea of pan-Slavism was fairly popular since Austria-Hungary, then there were decades of Soviet propaganda and many older folks are nostalgic about those times, because they perceive those times as simpler and more economically stable (if you shut up), Russian propaganda is also sadly quite prevalent and many politicians embrace it because disinfo webs give them space.

Dwesa
Jul 19, 2016

https://twitter.com/AlexKokcharov/status/1634192576713457665

https://twitter.com/AlexKokcharov/status/1634195053676580867

:lol:

RF army soldiers are reportedly advised to identify themselves as wagnerites when they gently caress up

Dwesa
Jul 19, 2016

Kadyrov is still alive, I guess

https://twitter.com/BBCWillVernon/status/1635234082216099840

that such cuteness may exist in such a place...

Dwesa
Jul 19, 2016

CommieGIR posted:

I think Xi is gonna play both sides of the fence here, I suspect he doesn't really want to align with a broken and slowly ground down Russia and see's a chance to gain from this.
Yes, I think the whole peace agreement is mostly to show China and Xi as reasonable international actors with a goal to gain influence elsewhere, they won't align with either side because they don't have to and nothing much will probably change.

Dwesa
Jul 19, 2016

zone posted:

https://twitter.com/Flash_news_ua/status/1635304303442407425
We are winning so hard we chopped down trees in Moscow to accommodate air defense units that are sorely needed elsewhere on the front. :dumbrim:
I am surprised they had to chop down some trees. Earlier someone posted air defense unit that was stationed between cranes in some Black Sea port.

Dwesa
Jul 19, 2016

HonorableTB posted:

This is a pro-Ukrainian account though, that's a really bad take I wouldn't have expected from EuromaidanPR
EuromaidanPress is alright, EuromaidanPR is rather crap, you can see it even shared some fake news earlier.

Dwesa
Jul 19, 2016

all military trainers are busy teaching kids how to assemble AK, so no one is left to train mobiks :shrug:

Dwesa
Jul 19, 2016

zone posted:

https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/1635956444372582402

I'm trying very hard to not roll my eyes completely back into my head here.

"And it's astonishing when you put their faces next to the messages. These are completely regular people that you might have seen sipping Martinis on a holiday in your European town."

That's not really surprising, even here in (supposedly) European country, majority of people supporting Russia are just regular people. There might be some neonazis or tankies, but most toxic FB profiles that put that "laughing with tears" reactions under articles about Russian war crimes or that are calling for extermination of liberals are usually some middle-aged folks, women and men with profile picture with their grandchildren and so on.

Dwesa fucked around with this message at 14:25 on Mar 15, 2023

Dwesa
Jul 19, 2016

Toxic Mental posted:

Looks like it just sprayed fuel on it? Meh

bent blade of propeller can be seen at the end of the video

Dwesa
Jul 19, 2016

Pot Smoke Phoenix posted:

The last couple of seconds appears to be footage FROM the attacking aircraft; was that added on after the fact?

You can also clearly see the prop damage just before it switches to what appears to be the added footage.
Those last seconds were released some time ago and I think the conjecture was that it was just footage from some flight sim.

Edit: which is confirmed by drone footage, there are no clouds underneath in the real video

Dwesa fucked around with this message at 13:35 on Mar 16, 2023

Dwesa
Jul 19, 2016


mobby_6kl posted:

Yet more footage is leaking out
:perfect:


Ukraine had Ghost of Kyiv, Muscovy has Pisser of Crimea

Dwesa
Jul 19, 2016

zone posted:

https://twitter.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1636350203396608001
drat all the squirrels are gone apparently so people switched to turnips
tbh, winter tomatoes are flavorless and watery, turnips might be better, although I prefer black radish and sauerkraut (instead of lettuce)

Dwesa
Jul 19, 2016

Government of Slovakia approved donation of Slovak MiG-29s to Ukraine + KUB air defence system

Dwesa
Jul 19, 2016

Award for surviving accidentally hitting and destroying old UAV with your fighter jet after 2 fuel pissing maneuvers failed.

Meanwhile US already replaced the drone

https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1636701761921511425


Tweet was deleted.

https://twitter.com/Liveuamap/status/1636712467983224832

Dwesa fucked around with this message at 13:55 on Mar 17, 2023

Dwesa
Jul 19, 2016

Medvedev was drunk again

https://twitter.com/maxseddon/status/1637700519585013763

war criminal Girkin doesn't like him

https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1637732446627147777

they could at least change the name of a company they use to bypass sanctions :effort:

https://twitter.com/maxseddon/status/1637708617930485762

Dwesa
Jul 19, 2016

https://twitter.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1638136894138507265

it was some old artistic performance after all

https://twitter.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1638127667202465792


zone posted:

Given the sort of rumblings among ultranationalists such as Girkin these days I think the home team (specifically the FSB, whose mouthpiece Girkin is) have begun running out of patience with Putler's follies.
I doubt it, it's probably more about Putin stopping to "act weak" and finding excuses (and he should instead punish "plywood generals" that are responsible for failed SMO, it's Girkin's evergreen). Longer version of that "shut up, Putin" clip:

https://twitter.com/wartranslated/status/1637950468952391681

Dwesa
Jul 19, 2016

Tarquinn posted:

Yeah, look at Putin’s right shoe.
heels not high enough

Dwesa
Jul 19, 2016

It seems Xi's visit did not lead to any specific agreements :shrug:

https://twitter.com/maxseddon/status/1638207630693761024

Dwesa
Jul 19, 2016

poverty goat posted:

have any of these antiques actually showed up at the front or are they just being used as artillery until their barrels give out or whatever?
So far there are only reports of them being taken out of storage

Dwesa
Jul 19, 2016

poverty goat posted:

right but the last crop of antiques we were laughing about, did they ever see use as tanks? there was speculation they were just using them as artillery
I am not aware of such footage, they're mostly seen already destroyed or captured and there were only reports of converting captured T-62s to ARVs

I wonder whether donating to warcriming organization counts as participation in crime.

Dwesa
Jul 19, 2016

Karate Bastard posted:

They will all drive over mines anyway.
This, if Vuhledar repeats, they will just drive over mines or will be destroyed by artillery.

Dwesa
Jul 19, 2016

something exploded in bay of Sevastopol this night

https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1638562934988103684

Dwesa
Jul 19, 2016

shadow puppet of a posted:

Russia trying to destabilize Ukraine’s future economy with an unmanageable surplus of rubble and weapons grade scrap metal.

Do they genuinely not have any ultra top secret Cold War research lab prototype doom weapons they can unlock to save a little face? Like a tank that transforms into a giant fist or funky shaped plane that generates concussive shockwaves? Or did all that stuff get handed over to the mob for yacht money?
They have secret superweapons, for example nuclear-powered cruise missile Burevestnik with unpredictable trajectory that managed to spill radioactive material into White Sea when it crashed

Dwesa
Jul 19, 2016

https://twitter.com/Gerashchenko_en/status/1638587089678737437

something something Russia's sanitation coverage

Dwesa
Jul 19, 2016

on Russian ineffective demining

https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1638658220955713539

https://twitter.com/RALee85/status/1638661428230987784

Dwesa fucked around with this message at 23:21 on Mar 22, 2023

Dwesa
Jul 19, 2016

Ecumenical Patriarch condemns ROC for its role in Russian aggression

https://twitter.com/EuromaidanPress/status/1638826339779203073

Bakhmut - comparison with a situation one week ago

https://twitter.com/War_Mapper/status/1638699131945328641

Over 2 weeks

https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1638827936135655427

Hersh still full of poo poo

https://twitter.com/holger_stark/status/1638561100009549829

Something nice for a change

https://twitter.com/EuromaidanPress/status/1638778349496442880

Dwesa
Jul 19, 2016

https://twitter.com/JaroNad/status/1638899885800923137

Dwesa
Jul 19, 2016

Zalessian Krivichians whine again

Adbot
ADBOT LOVES YOU

Dwesa
Jul 19, 2016

I think those won't help against drones blowing up fuel depots.

  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4
  • 5
  • Post
  • Reply