ImpAtom posted:

Didn't it turn out a bunch of secret service people were like full-throated Trump cultists?

Lazyfire posted:

There's a chance that his campaign finances were just so busted he couldn't continue on. His strategy of having the Super PAC be the main support structure using unlimited dark money and the actual campaign being relatively small and low cost was the same strategy JEB! used and was part of the reason he didn't make it too far in 2016. The only way that sort of plan would function is if you break the law on not coordinating with the Super PAC or get momentum in early states so you can turn those wins into donations from the usual sources looking to get in good with the eventual nominee.

Mr. Nice! posted:

How many tens of millions to hundreds of millions were wasted on jeb and desantis?

Serious_Cyclone posted:

There are, very likely, some very difficult challenges in polling this early in the election with an electorate that is this partisan, even intra-partisan within a party. And every election since 2020 has shown weakness in the GOP's position rather than strength. But I get more than a little motivated-reasoning-vibe from the immediate dismissal of polls when they look good for Trump, particularly when I don't see the same being applied to polls that look good for Biden.

Serious_Cyclone posted:

I clicked through to the X (the everything app!) post that was posted here and it says the state polls were done by Morning Consult, which I believe is a legitimate polling firm.

Lord Packinham posted:

I dunno about the doomering as the election is about the handful of battleground states and many GOP parties are going bankrupt in them, MI is basically blue now and unless trump can get more electoral votes from some other state I don’t see how he can get enough to win.

I guess there is always a chance that something goes wrong but I don’t see it happening. TRUMP can’t even sell out his big rallies anymore, I usually agree with the idea of not dismissing polls but the midterms showed polling very off with trump and maga having wayyy less impact than people thought.

E: Hunter’s hogs!

Aramis posted:

I'd imagine that Biden being incapacitated and replaced with a younger candidate is seen as likely, and since his age seems to be the main line of attack the GOP is going for, it makes a modicum of sense.

The 53/49 spread having overlap is what weirds me out, shouldn't that get almost immediately traded into a non-overlapping state? Maybe I just don't get predictive markets...

Serious_Cyclone posted:

I'm glad that the underlying problems with polling and the lack of proper context for poll respondents that made polls laughably inexcusable yesterday have all been resolved

Celexi posted:

bloomberg doesn't own the app that most americans have installed

dochermes posted:

You're in to be real disappointed by the new generation. Microplastics tangling in the brain tissue, believing TikTok, don't expect a new Golden Age

RocketRaygun posted:

I mean, Steve Bannon ran off with the "Build the Wall" money. Just stealing from the rubes is not uncommon for this crowd.

redshirt posted:

Is not the very core of MAGA, the beating heart of the hate and delusion, the small business owner? The roofer, the trucker, the electrician with 2 employees? The Self Made Man who needs no one and hates taxes (and other things)?

Hunter S Thompson posted:

This maybe the year when we finally come face to face with ourselves; finally just lay back and say it—that we are really just a nation of 220 million used car salesmen with all the money we need to buy guns, and no qualms at all about killing anybody else in the world who tries to make us uncomfortable.

Mr Ice Cream Glove posted:

Welp

TulliusCicero posted:

Tuberville can't tell you what entity of American government he is currently a part of, or how it functions

Holy poo poo, how are him and Vance able to run so far off the rails and be this insane? I thought the GOP Senate was locked down by Mitch's Vecna like grip.

TulliusCicero posted:

You know, it hadn't occurred to me that Mitch just doesn't have the skills to pay the bills when it comes to these particular loud morons

He's only had coward morons before, and these dipshits are personally empowered by dipshit Mcfuckface himself

Oscar Wild posted:

Trump is r president

Scags McDouglas posted:

That 29% is a hard floor, diamond plated, that could never be cracked with the finest of drills. Trump will carry that 29% base with him to his grave and, I would argue, they could be buried with him like King Tut.

Rescue Toaster posted:

I wonder at what point his defense can just be that nobody believes him anyway so she can't prove damages.

We seem to have some holes in our legal system with defamation around people who either A) Have no money or B) Have effectively infinite money vastly in excess of any provable damages.

Stoatbringer posted:

Imagine being so insecure you have to have “President” and “45” embroidered on everything you wear all the time.

Black88GTA posted:

I kind of wonder how many people are turned off of sporadic / onetime donations for this exact reason. It's like feeding the seagulls. Ignore them, they eventually go away, or maintain a low level "got a cracker for me? no? ok cool, gobbless" and move on, but you give them one cracker, one time, and they're up your rear end 24/7 for the rest of your life "GIMME A CRACKER MOTHERFUCKER I KNOW YOU GOT ONE IN THERE WHY DO YOU HATE THE SEAGULLS YOU CHEAP PIECE OF poo poo" it's like...dude my $25 one time donation is not loving worth a lifetime of daily political spam, sorry

madmatt112 posted:

I kinda get the feeling that a good chunk of the establishment Democratic structure finally realizes that regardless of any politics, Trump and his ilk represent a clear and imminent threat to their country’s stability - and they’re taking the threat much more seriously this time around. Maybe that’s wishful thinking and they’re simply following the polling and focus groups as they are wont to do, but it smells different these days. It doesn’t feel like the libs are treating this like a rousing game of political jousting.

MEIN RAVEN posted:

I don’t know. Clinton ran on the whole “look at what a monster this man is, your kids are watching don’t gently caress this up” thing and it didn’t work, but I chalk that up to Dems in swing states not turning out for that election because they just had 8 years of Obama and incumbent parties just…don’t usually turn out. Also swing voters, whose number one reason for voting is usually “to give the other party a chance.”

I do think things will be different this time, but how and how much is…up in the air still? Either way, at least they look like they’re taking it seriously, which is a relief.

Rod Hoofhearted posted:

They touched the hot stove in Dobbs. I guess they honestly thought it’d be celebrated and electorally rewarded.

Now it’s Operation: Save the Republican Party. Too little, too late in my opinion, but we’ll see.

Philthy posted:

I heard Obamna voted in 2020.

Infinitum posted:

The full pics are even funnier.

Tiny desk in a room not designed for it.

Ghostlight posted:

if you squint the chandelier looks a bit like a gold ring

Pot Smoke Phoenix posted:

PhazonLink posted:

e: also isnt the previous FL governor, Rick Scott (Scott Rick??) in charge of another R Dark Money pile(one that Tortoise made) and currently burning through it himself?

kazil posted:

He has not been to Michigan Pennsylvania or Ohio