|
From Sinema's last financial disclosure she has less than $100k of assets and is still paying off student loans. It seems more likely that she had a galaxy brained plan to become president than that this is all a strategy to get as rich as possible which is going perfectly.
|
#
¿
Jan 31, 2024 23:55
|
|
|
|
| # ¿ May 21, 2024 07:24 |
|
|
https://twitter.com/nytimes/status/1753180214077620728 Oregon senate Republicans did another walkout after they passed a ballot initiative to ban walkouts and found out.
|
|
#
¿
Feb 2, 2024 06:31
|
|
|
Xiahou Dun posted:Is this like a bigger scale version of the do a self-defeating thing ==> complain about it to the base-strategy? They walked out even though they knew it was banned because then it would look like they were being oppressed? Nobody really campaigned against the ballot measure and I don't think anyone will be very sympathetic to politicians saying having to do their jobs is unfair. I guess they might not care about running for reelection.
|
|
#
¿
Feb 2, 2024 07:10
|
|
|
One other thing we know about Trump's foreign policy is that he plans to invade Mexico if elected
|
|
#
¿
Feb 3, 2024 01:38
|
|
|
They're calling it historic because New Hampshire has been the first primary since 1920
|
|
#
¿
Feb 4, 2024 19:15
|
|
|
AKA Pseudonym posted:The commentary on his memory seems a bit gratuitous for a special counsel's report to me. Is this sort of thing typical? The special counsel is a Republican.
|
|
#
¿
Feb 8, 2024 22:30
|
|
|
RBA Starblade posted:Oh, is this about Hunter? It's the classified documents. The special counsel is a Republican (I don't know why the justice department chose a Republican special counsel) so when he found no wrongdoing he did a partisan hit job instead.
|
|
#
¿
Feb 8, 2024 22:38
|
|
|
I would wait until Republicans start winning elections before I made my plans to leave the country. There are lots of elections between now and November and if Trump is going to win in a landslide, Republicans will probably overperform in some of them.
|
|
#
¿
Feb 9, 2024 01:09
|
|
|
Most news isn't as important as Twitter makes it sound, nobody will remember this in three weeks.
|
|
#
¿
Feb 9, 2024 04:06
|
|
|
FistEnergy posted:Over the past 3+ years, many of Trump's weaknesses have been dulled due to Biden being weak/vulnerable/guilty in the same areas: family corruption, mental weakness, improper actions with classified documents, being hostile with the press, bloodthirsty Middle East policy, inflation, voters' feelings on the economy, age and ability to handle the job, etc. None of these are Trump's important weaknesses in a general election. Those are that he got abortion banned and did January 6. He is going to be bragging about both of those during the campaign and on very high profile trial for one.
|
|
#
¿
Feb 9, 2024 16:12
|
|
|
Because Biden is clearly not actually senile so there is no reason to remove him from office, and Democratic voters want Biden as the nominee.
|
|
#
¿
Feb 10, 2024 04:50
|
|
|
HookedOnChthonics posted:Lmao are you seriously promulgating a ‘shy Biden voter’ theory It's not exactly shy Biden voters. The thing is you see a lot of people online talking about protest voting because Democrats aren't far enough left (or, on other sites, because Republicans aren't far enough right), but evidence doesn't support that happening enough to matter. In 2016 and 2020 there was a lot of talk about Sanders voters not turning out for the nominee because they wanted a socialist, but they turned out at very high rates. Actual protest voters are usually protesting because Democrats are too far left (or Republicans are too far right) and most of them just vote for the other party.
|
|
#
¿
Feb 11, 2024 02:42
|
|
|
Probably Magic posted:Okay. Please stop stealing votes from Jill Stein to prop up the Democratic Party's failing attempt to keep Donald Trump out of office. This doesn't really work because I would rather have Biden than Jill Stein as president.
|
|
#
¿
Feb 11, 2024 19:02
|
|
|
Shrecknet posted:this is a good-faith question from a concerned anti-genocide but still Biden voter: We wouldn't know why they voted third party. The people voting for the green party aren't necessarily doing so because they're upset that the Democrat isn't socialist enough. They could also be protest voting because the Democrat isn't moderate enough, or protest voting against the Republican, or they could be dedicated green party voters. That's also why third parties aren't usually spoilers. Clinton lost Wisconsin by 23,000 votes and Jill Stein got 31,000, but if Stein hadn't been on the ballot enough of those voters would have skipped or voted for Trump that he'd still have won. What we do know is that protest voting because Democrats aren't left enough (or Republicans aren't right enough) is rare.
|
|
#
¿
Feb 11, 2024 19:34
|
|
|
If you're mostly deciding based on genocide, another thing to consider is that Republicans support the genocide Russia is carrying out in Ukraine and have policy plans to aid it, while Democrats oppose it and have policy plans to prevent it. That isn't hypothetical either, we know because Republicans won the house in 2022 and implemented their plans to aid Russia's genocide of Ukrainians.
|
|
#
¿
Feb 11, 2024 21:44
|
|
|
Raiad posted:The number of times that the claim that "if Trump wins, he will become a dictator" has come up, I have to wonder why the Dems don't simply enact whatever mechanisms would allow him to it to prevent him from taking power. Seems like, if we are in such a precarious state, that would be far preferable to allowing a worse dictator to take power. Because dictatorships are bad
|
|
#
¿
Feb 11, 2024 22:36
|
|
|
https://twitter.com/RobertKennedyJr/status/1756900265368723562 Don't you hate it when you accidentally air a Super Bowl ad? edit: The ad which is completely unaffiliated with the RFK Jr. presidential campaign is also pinned on the RobertKennedyJr twitter account 
James Garfield fucked around with this message at 06:33 on Feb 12, 2024 |
|
#
¿
Feb 12, 2024 06:29
|
|
|
L. Ron DeSantis posted:This LI special election is a unique set of place and circumstances that probably doesn't tell us much about November, but if Pilip wins I'm not looking forward to the countless takes about it. One of the big Data Pundit takes right now is that Democrats are going to lose because people who don't vote in special elections are Republicans, so you can expect some of those even if Suozzi wins
|
|
#
¿
Feb 14, 2024 00:25
|
|
|
Anno posted:Was there much reputable polling for this race? This says the polls were D+3, but doesn't say who the pollsters were.
|
|
#
¿
Feb 14, 2024 04:21
|
|
|
BRJurgis posted:*"they're making a lot more money than you, just saying!" (As rich influential moguls build bug-out-bunkers) I mean those guys are building bug out bunkers because they're dumb. There are a lot of dumb rich people. The (edit: second  ) richest man in the world is on ketamine while he makes business decisions.
|
|
#
¿
Feb 16, 2024 07:51
|
|
|
I think success for the uncommitted campaign was more about getting journalists to report on it than actually winning votes. It was obviously never going to get enough votes to matter, but journalists did cover it so it was probably a success.
|
|
#
¿
Feb 28, 2024 08:01
|
|
|
small butter posted:I will keep saying this to everyone who will listen: the polls are still not predictive yet and are literal coin flips. They start to get marginally predictive around mid-April, not now, and their predictive power will increase very slowly but linearly until election day. Also if you're going to use the Michigan primary to predict the general election, it's only fair to include that Trump has underperformed the polls in every primary so far and did so by double digits yesterday. That probably doesn't mean anything for November, but neither does the vote uncommitted campaign.
|
|
#
¿
Feb 28, 2024 20:53
|
|
|
small butter posted:Interesting. Do you have any good primary polls to share of the states so far? 538 has poll averages for most of the states, here's a tweet summarizing it https://twitter.com/baseballot/status/1762695643909312996
|
|
#
¿
Feb 29, 2024 00:29
|
|
|
dadrips posted:I said trump is the *only* republican I can see doing this, and only because he's suggestible enough that a Bannon-type could plant the notion that doing so would make him super popular. Which it honestly might well do Trump didn't do covid relief because a Bannon type convinced him it would win, he put Mnuchin (who Trump appointed because he's rich, and may not have actually been a Republican) in charge and didn't involve himself much. I don't think a Trump who wins in 2024 is going to appoint random rich guys to his cabinet just because they're rich again. James Garfield fucked around with this message at 04:15 on Mar 4, 2024 |
|
#
¿
Mar 4, 2024 04:12
|
|
|
Leon Trotsky 2012 posted:Drowning in student loan debt due to compounding interest, but doesn't support debt forgiveness. I mean it wouldn't be the first time, Kyrsten Sinema has about as much student debt as the median borrower (though hers is probably from law school and that might change the statistics)
|
|
#
¿
Mar 6, 2024 02:27
|
|
|
Jaxyon posted:All northern white liberals had to do was not be cowardly racists, but welp They aren't the ones opposing immigration, there are still moderates and conservatives in blue states.
|
|
#
¿
Mar 6, 2024 22:36
|
|
|
Robinson will probably do better than the other nazi that ran for governor of a swing state as a Republican against a Jewish attorney general named Josh
|
|
#
¿
Mar 7, 2024 01:13
|
|
|
koolkal posted:Not sure if I would use her wording but that race was insane. Schiff got so much money poured into him that he spent more on promoting Garvey than Garvey spent on himself. A Schiff vs Porter race and a Schiff vs Garvey race are equally likely to be won by a Democrat (and Schiff and Porter would have the same voting record in the senate), but the Schiff vs Porter race would take in massive amounts of actblue donations that would otherwise go to more competitive states. edit: I'm also unsure you can blame Schiff for this when Porter spent 20 million dollars and finished 19 points behind Garvey, who spent 1 million. James Garfield fucked around with this message at 20:33 on Mar 7, 2024 |
|
#
¿
Mar 7, 2024 20:27
|
|
|
Majorian posted:That’s not right-wing framing; as others pointed out, the left has been attacking him on that front since before 2020, because hey, it’s effective. I don't know about that. Bernie Sanders obviously wasn't going after Biden's age, since he's older and had a heart attack during his campaign. If I remember right the age issue was mostly Buttigieg's thing. It's also hard to call it effective when Biden easily won the primary (unless your idea is that Sanders would have won if he had attacked Biden's age, even though it didn't work for Buttigieg?) I don't recall the left in congress criticizing Biden's age at all, either. I'm not sure how you get to "the left has been attacking Biden's age since before 2020" unless "the left" just means some twitter users.
|
|
#
¿
Mar 9, 2024 04:06
|
|
|
Majorian posted:Jacobin ran a piece entitled, "Joe Biden Is Not All There Mentally. Running Him for President Is Incredibly Dangerous" in May 2020. It was hardly the first such piece in a left-of-center publication that election cycle, nor would it be the last. (but it was very easy to find) I assumed when you said "the left" you meant something that matters like actual politicians running for office to Biden's left, rather than some article in a magazine with a circulation of 75,000. edit: that article is also endorsing a candidate who's older than Biden, so I'm skeptical it qualifies as attacking Biden for his age James Garfield fucked around with this message at 04:30 on Mar 9, 2024 |
|
#
¿
Mar 9, 2024 04:24
|
|
|
Byzantine posted:I'd be more sympathetic to the 'not immune to propaganda' statements if they weren't constantly leveled against the left There are like two people who post in this thread and don't consider themselves part of the left. Any recurring topic here is "constantly leveled against the left".
|
|
#
¿
Mar 9, 2024 18:21
|
|
|
Civilized Fishbot posted:If you live in California, sure. If you vote in the right swing state, your probability of casting a pivotal vote is around 1 in 10 million. That paper is old so maybe now it might be between 1 in a million and 1 in 100 million. That's small but not so small that people don't make decisions in pursuit of it. If you buy a Powerball/Mega Millions ticket, the odds of getting the jackpot are about 1 in 300 million. And these tickets sell very well, but my homemade "zero probability of winning" lottery tickets sell very poorly! The difference between zero and non-zero. And a low probability of your vote deciding the election doesn't make it worthless, because the impact is large. Biden winning in 2020 caused trillions of dollars of government spending, but to make the arithmetic easier it meant that about half the country got $2000 worth of stimulus checks. That's 330 billion dollars, so even if your vote had a 1 in 100 million chance of swinging the election it'd be worth $3300 in stimulus checks alone (assuming you care about other people getting aid).
|
|
#
¿
Mar 10, 2024 17:53
|
|
|
Jimbozig posted:If two events have probabilities within 0.00001% of each other, it's more than fair to say that they are equally likely. In that case, I'm betting on becoming president because quantum tunneling teleports me into the oval office. It's also equally likely
|
|
#
¿
Mar 10, 2024 20:55
|
|
|
Mendrian posted:Well, that's encouraging, and you're correct, but I think the problem is that when someone posts 'Biden old' it's important to sus out whether they mean 'in the context of an election against Trump does this matter' versus 'does this matter more generally' because it's a different answer depending on which one you're discussing. And I have seen here and elsewhere people blurring the line because they're nervous any discussion of Biden's age automatically makes it the former. I don't think saying Biden is old is controversial, people are getting pushback for "Biden has dementia based on this 15 second video clip and being old" (obviously false) or "Biden will lose because he's old" (debatable since we won't even know who won until November)
|
|
#
¿
Mar 11, 2024 06:58
|
|
|
Bodyholes posted:This notion that minority voters are naturally conservative and would vote more Republican if not for cultural allegiances handed down from the civil rights era ignores the very real likelihood that most of those minority voters are economically more aligned with Democrats still. It's not saying that everyone who isn't white is naturally conservative, it's saying that "conservative" voters who aren't white are still likely to vote for Democrats. (the rest of your point could still be true though, like if black people and white people mean different things when they tell pollsters they're conservative)
|
|
#
¿
Mar 12, 2024 01:22
|
|
|
Dapper_Swindler posted:i mean i live in PA but lol probably. least id only have to deal with one rear end in a top hat instead a dozen or so a day. It's in the senate, Ted Cruz has to be at least a dozen on his own.
|
|
#
¿
Mar 13, 2024 02:59
|
|
|
If they're banning tiktok because some of its users support Palestine, why are they willing to settle for ByteDance selling it? Seems like a bit of a cop out new page so here's Republicans being in disarray https://twitter.com/SollenbergerRC/status/1767877865612124257 James Garfield fucked around with this message at 01:04 on Mar 14, 2024 |
|
#
¿
Mar 14, 2024 01:01
|
|
|
FlamingLiberal posted:The people looking to buy TikTok are all right wing billionaires A right wing billionaire bought twitter a year and a half ago and there's still plenty of pro Palestine content there. Tiktok is bigger than twitter, so it's probably harder for moderators to delete all the pro Palestine content.
|
|
#
¿
Mar 14, 2024 01:41
|
|
|
The phones are very distracting in class in a way laptops or calculator games aren't, but people aren't getting their brains rotted because they can google stuff on their phone. I don't think dumb cartoons are rotting anyone's brain either, but someone should start a moral panic about the gross Hero Wars youtube ads.
|
|
#
¿
Mar 14, 2024 06:16
|
|
|
|
| # ¿ May 21, 2024 07:24 |
|
|
DOJ please find a way to ban car dealerships next
|
|
#
¿
Mar 15, 2024 20:11
|
|