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Trump could salvage the jail Hillary poo poo with a promise to appoint a special prosecutor re:selling the Iraq War
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Oct 10, 2016 15:05
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thefncrow posted:Imagine you break down the state line stuff, and right now all 50 states require that insurance companies cover pre-existing conditions. Yes. This is the same thing that happens with credit cards. Ever wonder why they're all based out of South Dakota or Delaware? Because South Dakota and Delaware have a hilariously high cap on interest rates (I believe its 30%), which lets them circumvent usury regulations in other states.
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Oct 10, 2016 15:06
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When's the last time Trump said he was just being sarcastic? That might be his best bet if the "Lock her up" speech gets enough backlash.
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Oct 10, 2016 15:07
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canepazzo posted:So, Ivanka "liked" this tweet: 
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Oct 10, 2016 15:07
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BI NOW GAY LATER posted:She did, repeatedly. In fact, she responded to almost every question about policy by stating what his actually is and then contrasted it to hers. That isn't what I said. She specifically said he wasn't a normal republican early in the debate and then went on to argue policy with him for an hour like he's a normal republican.
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Oct 10, 2016 15:07
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lozzle posted:When's the last time Trump said he was just being sarcastic? They're already trying to spin it that way, but it ain't gonna work.
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Oct 10, 2016 15:07
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https://twitter.com/AtifRMian/status/785473562849271808 I expect Hillary to bring this up.
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Oct 10, 2016 15:08
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WampaLord posted:I am
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Oct 10, 2016 15:09
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BI NOW GAY LATER posted:She did, repeatedly. In fact, she responded to almost every question about policy by stating what his actually is and then contrasted it to hers. I loved that Hillary briefly mentioned Trump buying up Chinese steel when he brought it up during his reply to Ken Bone. lozzle posted:Couerpoint: Chris Wallace works for Fox News and is not named Shepard Smith. Megan Kelley would do as well, but Shep Smith is the best anchor  has and much more likely to call his own coworkers and his employer on their bullshit
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Oct 10, 2016 15:09
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iospace posted:https://twitter.com/AtifRMian/status/785473562849271808 He better not be counting the Finn who won the memorial prize in economics because one, it's not a Nobel, and two, it's not a science. 
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Oct 10, 2016 15:09
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mcmagic posted:That isn't what I said. She specifically said he wasn't a normal republican early in the debate and then went on to argue policy with him for an hour like he's a normal republican. That isn't what you said until you edited it. Look, we all know you hate Hillary you don't have to keep beating a dead horse. You clearly think you know more about this than her team of advisers and that's whatever, but like you're posting like some idiot on a sports message board that questions literally every call a coach makes -- which I guess makes a lot of sense.
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Oct 10, 2016 15:10
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canepazzo posted:So, Ivanka "liked" this tweet: 
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Oct 10, 2016 15:11
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Antti posted:He better not be counting the Finn who won the memorial prize in economics because one, it's not a Nobel, and two, it's not a science. Economics is a social science.
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Oct 10, 2016 15:11
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https://twitter.com/CahnEmily/status/785482047632670720
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Oct 10, 2016 15:11
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Teriyaki Hairpiece posted:How do Mormons reconcile their support with Trump with their moral beliefs? Are their any articles or editorials about this? His words and behavior are just so opposite from the way devout Mormons try to live their lives, it's insane that Utah is still dark red this election. Same as any of the other vile things the religious right supports: ignore any dissonance from your supposed beliefs and work to rationalize it as positive because it hurts people you hate.
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Oct 10, 2016 15:12
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Antti posted:He better not be counting the Finn who won the memorial prize in economics because one, it's not a Nobel, and two, it's not a science. It actually is though. It's just also a religion when it comes to certain aspects. (the "invisible hand", the Austrian school in its entirety, etc.) lozzle fucked around with this message at 15:22 on Oct 10, 2016 |
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Oct 10, 2016 15:12
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Geostomp posted:Same as any of the other vile things the religious right supports: ignore any dissonance from your supposed beliefs and work to rationalize it as positive because it hurts people you hate. Mormons, to their credit though, have been very  about trump from the get go.
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Oct 10, 2016 15:12
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Why is the 538 prediction virtually frozen since the release of the tape? I know that there were some devastating new polls in that time frame. Is it because the LA time daily tracker is so irritatingly stable? Is Silvers model nothing else than a slight modification of that poll? Even though I know it's meaningless, I want to see a blue Arizona and that 49.5% is mocking me.
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Oct 10, 2016 15:13
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Jesus, looking at that graph, I think Sam Wang's onto something about this race being less volatile.
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Oct 10, 2016 15:14
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greatn posted:Why not have national standards? We do have national standards as part of Obamacare. They are just purposefully set somewhat low to keep the minimum premiums down and to allow states to customize their insurance exchanges. The idea was to give the states "flexibility" because changing the minimums or rules fairly often would require acts of congress and could get held up, so it was easier to let state insurance commissioners be in charge. Part of design of Obamacare was to implement it in a way that impacted the 85% of people who already had health insurance as little as possible and to keep it deficit neutral with no income tax increases or reduced benefits.
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Oct 10, 2016 15:14
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freebooter posted:Yeah it's really fascinating that landslides are no longer common, and also that most people don't realise that's the case. I consider myself pretty politically aware but I think I only saw the Reagan maps during the 2012 election and was shocked by them. Or that if you go back to 1976 the South was all Democratic; I knew it used to be, but I didn't realise it was that recent. The whole concept of Republican = Conservative, Democrat = Liberal is fairly new. The Goldwater campaign was the seed that grew into our modern day disaster. The Nixon campaign tended to the soil that seed was planted in, and I don't know, in the grasping metaphor, the civil rights movement and Vietnam are like fertilizer? Whatever the case may be, before Goldwater, there were liberal and conservative Republicans, same as there were liberal and conservative Democrats, and that was the whole point. This ensured that both parties nominated moderate candidates for the general. As for the landslides, I mean, it's been a long time, but it terms of the number of contests it hasn't been too many.
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Oct 10, 2016 15:14
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Lamb Chowder posted:and is there any indication that he feels the same way about Russian intervention in Syria or Ukraine? Assange has been spreading (laughably bad) Russian conspiracy theories on MH-17... OddObserver fucked around with this message at 15:23 on Oct 10, 2016 |
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Oct 10, 2016 15:14
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cant cook creole bream posted:Why is the 538 prediction virtually frozen since the release of the tape? I know that there were some devastating new polls in that time frame. There hasn't been a lot of polling yet, they use polling as the mover and shaker not news directly.
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Oct 10, 2016 15:14
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shep smith for moderator
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Oct 10, 2016 15:15
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cant cook creole bream posted:Why is the 538 prediction virtually frozen since the release of the tape? I know that there were some devastating new polls in that time frame. Nobody polls Arizona, even though at this point they probably should.
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Oct 10, 2016 15:15
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Night10194 posted:Jesus, looking at that graph, I think Sam Wang's onto something about this race being less volatile. It's skewed by the y-axis. If you look at the 2-way graph, it's a bit more jagged, but still no where near 2012 levels: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html
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Oct 10, 2016 15:16
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cant cook creole bream posted:Why is the 538 prediction virtually frozen since the release of the tape? I know that there were some devastating new polls in that time frame. It's because there haven't been a ton of polls conducted entirely post-tape yet.
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Oct 10, 2016 15:16
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where are my polls, i need them i need to get sweet sweet poll numbers into my veins
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Oct 10, 2016 15:16
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cant cook creole bream posted:Why is the 538 prediction virtually frozen since the release of the tape? I know that there were some devastating new polls in that time frame. As said already, 538, Upshot, and PEC all use polls. If you want news based predictions, PredictWise is what you want.
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Oct 10, 2016 15:17
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https://twitter.com/baratunde/status/785482798022987776
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Oct 10, 2016 15:17
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Trump paid for Bill's accusers to attend the debate. Again, more evidence of Trump's projection.
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Oct 10, 2016 15:18
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BI NOW GAY LATER posted:I am sure it would be more satisfying to the left and her personally, but I can tell you which is a better strategy to maximize your win and it ain't this one. Agreed, she kept herself above it. One of the dumbest things you can do when someone starts throwing out absurd claims is to start arguing with them about it, because you immediately begin building validation around them. It's no longer just one lone weirdo making claims, it's two people debating it, so it must have some merit! She said "Everything you just heard was a lie, but to get to the question that was asked...." which wasn't flashy, but was definitely the safer play. Besides, Hillary knows that the real gains are to be made through oppo releases and the ever-present possibility of Trump just self-destructing on his own.
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Oct 10, 2016 15:18
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cant cook creole bream posted:Why is the 538 prediction virtually frozen since the release of the tape? I know that there were some devastating new polls in that time frame.
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Oct 10, 2016 15:19
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Charlz Guybon posted:Arizona is blue now. Only using Now-cast.
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Oct 10, 2016 15:20
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Young Freud posted:Trump paid for Bill's accusers to attend the debate. Did Trump or did his foundation?
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Oct 10, 2016 15:21
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an AOL chatroom posted:One of the dumbest things you can do when someone starts throwing out absurd claims is to start arguing with them about it, because you immediately begin building validation around them. It's no longer just one lone weirdo making claims, it's two people debating it, so it must have some merit! There is some merit to this thinking but at the same time John Kerry got sunk by swiftboaters precisely because he felt no need to address it. Fortunately for Hillary most Americans are already predisposed to think of most of Donald's attacks as preposterous (including, somewhat unfortunately, the idea that Bill Clinton is a rapist). lozzle fucked around with this message at 15:23 on Oct 10, 2016 |
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Oct 10, 2016 15:21
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iospace posted:Mormons, to their credit though, have been very See, I thought they had been a bit anti-Trump six months ago or whenever, but that Mormons had fallen pretty much into lockstep due to something. Republican tribalism? I have been set straight.
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Oct 10, 2016 15:21
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Young Freud posted:Trump paid for Bill's accusers to attend the debate. https://www.washingtonpost.com/news...d/?tid=pm_pop_b quote:The campaign’s plan, which was closely held and unknown to several of Trump’s top aides, was thwarted just minutes before it could be executed when officials with the Commission on Presidential Debates intervened. The commission officials warned that, if the Trump campaign tried to seat the accusers in the elevated family box, security officers would remove the women, according to the people involved, who spoke on the condition of anonymity because the discussions were confidential.
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Oct 10, 2016 15:21
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His complete inability to actually apologize for anything means he never stops bleeding once he gets a real gash like this.
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Oct 10, 2016 15:21
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FizFashizzle posted:Did Trump or did his foundation? Breitbart reportedly paid for at Broadrick's.
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Oct 10, 2016 15:22
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