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ookiimarukochan
Apr 4, 2011

ukle posted:

13% is a colossal amount in the FTP system and would take Labour into a majority government.

Very much depends on where that 13% is - look at the difference in seats between Labour and the Alliance in the 83 election versus votes, or look at how many seats UKIP got for their vote vs the Lib Dems in 2015 for a more recent display of the problem.

MikeCrotch posted:

Australia is simultaneously one of the least densely populated countries on earth and one of the most heavily urbanised. A ridiculous proportion of the population live in a tiny few dots on the huge continent, it's actually pretty dense where people actually live.

It really isn't - the densest populated parts of Australia are about as densely populated as the least populated bits of the UK. Perhaps you're thinking of Canada? They seem to do alright without needing off-shore rape camps.

HJB posted:

People don't hate immigrants (at least, they didn't and they wouldn't), they hate the negative impact of the sheer number of immigrants on their lives.

Congrats on making the favourite argument of the racists! If this was remotely true, then people would be more anti-immigration in the parts of the country that have more immigrants (the only part of the UK where this is remotely close to happening is Slough) rather than what we actually see where it's the most painfully white areas of the country who complain the most.

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El Grillo
Jan 3, 2008
Fun Shoe
Seeing all these town halls in the US with senators getting ripped a new one, I keep wondering what would happen if Corbyn/other senior Labour figures went out and did some 'Opposition's Question Time' town-hall type events in some of these post-industrial/Brexit communities like Stoke, Collinghurst, Merthyr Tydfil... aka the 'Labour heartlands' which John Harris has spent a lot of time writing and talking about over the past few years.
McDonnell this morning kept saying 'we have to listen to people now' and everyone keeps saying that, but there don't seem to be any ideas about how Labour can actually get its message out there to an apathetic/disillusioned public. Perhaps that's because somehow we still don't seem to have a tangible and unique message, even though that's what Corbyn was elected to create & promote (i.e. anti-austerity).
Anyhow, I'd be interested in seeing someone go out there and actually try and talk to people (in a closer/less moderated setting than QT) about what's gone wrong with the economy since 1979 and push some ideas about how Labour would turn things around. Might get torn to shreds by the rabid mob of course but hey.

ukle posted:

Its going to be Clive Lewis if the rumours are true of Owen Smith and others trying to get him to stand. Dan Jarvis is far to unknown with the general populus and will give another sense of 'who' that Owen Smith had when he stood, while Clive Lewis has been in the news, doesn't have a bad rating and appears to have a good rating with the membership.
Clive has said over and over he doesn't want to be leader. Though of course it's possible he could be talked into it. But I don't blame him for not wanting to - he's not ready yet and who knows if he'll ever be. He's a nice dude, he speaks quite well and he has a somewhat better grasp of the issues than most of the empty-heads on either side of the PLP, but to me he doesn't seem well-versed enough in the political game/the issues in general yet to just jump into the leadership role and make a decent go of it.

What are Jarvis's political positions? Do we know? I had him pegged as a soft-New Labour guy along the lines of Starmer for some reason. He's no great anti-austerity/neoliberalism champion obviously.

Private Eye
Jul 12, 2010

Don't be so bloody gay, Cambo

ookiimarukochan posted:

Congrats on making the favourite argument of the racists! If this was remotely true, then people would be more anti-immigration in the parts of the country that have more immigrants (the only part of the UK where this is remotely close to happening is Slough) rather than what we actually see where it's the most painfully white areas of the country who complain the most.

You've forgotten about Boston.

MikeCrotch
Nov 5, 2011

I AM UNJUSTIFIABLY PROUD OF MY SPAGHETTI BOLOGNESE RECIPE

YES, IT IS AN INCREDIBLY SIMPLE DISH

NO, IT IS NOT NORMAL TO USE A PEPPERAMI INSTEAD OF MINCED MEAT

YES, THERE IS TOO MUCH SALT IN MY RECIPE

NO, I WON'T STOP SHARING IT

more like BOLLOCKnese

mehall posted:

Perhaps people who believe in the aims of the Labour party but are unsatisifed with the direction it is currently taking should join the Labour party so they can be involved and try and bring about the version of the party they belueve will be best for the country.

They did, and voted for Jeremy Corbyn. Like me.

Trin Tragula
Apr 22, 2005

Fangz posted:

please list 3 good things about Blair and New Labour

Sure Start, Good Friday Agreement, minimum wage.

Pissflaps
Oct 20, 2002

by VideoGames
Jesus Christ


https://twitter.com/PolhomeEditor/status/835107302692749312

Fans
Jun 27, 2013

A reptile dysfunction

forkboy84 posted:

Who? Yvette Cooper?

One of the relative unknowns from 2010 is my bet

SUNKOS
Jun 4, 2016


Fangz posted:

Let's hold hands and try and have a kumbaya moment.

Pro-Corbyn people: please list 3 good things about Blair and New Labour

Anti-Corbyn people: please list 3 good things about Corbyn and his folks

No passive-aggressiveness please

I'm not very fond of Tony Blair but life in this country was good when he was running it. People weren't relying on food banks or dying because of cuts to the NHS. The Iraq war was complete bullshit but how anyone can look back at Labour's run and think anything other than, "Life was so much better than it is under the Tories today" is insane. I like Corbyn because he wants to enforce the socialist values that make Britain great and tug politics back towards the left which is desperately needed right now but the by-election results lead me to believe that honestly, it doesn't matter who Labour picks as a candidate because they'll lose regardless.

Their problem isn't a Corbyn/Blairite problem. Corbyn isn't doing very well, but Miliband was a Blairite and he suffered a horrific defeat. I don't think that Labour could field any candidate that would win an election not because of problems within the party, but because of problems with the electorate. The only way things will change is if Brexit ends up being the disaster everyone fears it will be, the NHS dies and then the population of the UK finally get the wake up call that they need. It will be all too late by then anyways, but it's clear that far too many people are happy with what's happening in the country for Labour to oppose anything. I'd love to be wrong but poo poo's hosed.

Comrade Cheggorsky
Aug 20, 2011



:eyepop: thats really something

LemonDrizzle
Mar 28, 2012

neoliberal shithead
https://twitter.com/ONS/status/835095696772591617

those are some pretty well-heeled first timers

Fans
Jun 27, 2013

A reptile dysfunction
Blair did good things for LGBT rights. I'm counting that as 4 things

JFairfax
Oct 23, 2008

by FactsAreUseless
Tony Blair has shown us the danger of having a religious fundamentalist in charge

MikeCrotch
Nov 5, 2011

I AM UNJUSTIFIABLY PROUD OF MY SPAGHETTI BOLOGNESE RECIPE

YES, IT IS AN INCREDIBLY SIMPLE DISH

NO, IT IS NOT NORMAL TO USE A PEPPERAMI INSTEAD OF MINCED MEAT

YES, THERE IS TOO MUCH SALT IN MY RECIPE

NO, I WON'T STOP SHARING IT

more like BOLLOCKnese
It's not a contradictory position to think that:

1. New Labour did a bunch of good stuff (especially compared to the Tories)
2. Many of New Labour's decisions (PFI, focus on the middle class as opposed to the poorest, Iraq) have led to the situation both the UK and Labour are in right now
3. The leadership of New Labour's decision to parachute in ideologically loyal candidates, often in extremely suspect ways (see; Angela Eagle) instead of actually talented politicians is contributing to the current unpopularity of the Labour party

Pissflaps
Oct 20, 2002

by VideoGames
These would be the people who actually got elected as labour MPs, right?

Pochoclo
Feb 4, 2008

No...
Clapping Larry

LemonDrizzle posted:

https://twitter.com/ONS/status/835095696772591617

those are some pretty well-heeled first timers

It's either people indebting themselves for the next 100 years on a mortgage for a leasehold they won't be able to pass down onto their kids, or investors speculating. Mostly just investors. "First time buyers", well, there's always going to be a first time, right?

TinTower
Apr 21, 2010

You don't have to 8e a good person to 8e a hero.
https://twitter.com/peoplesmomentum/status/834966400087228417

Ah yes, the Conservative Party, well known anti-establishment force.

Pissflaps
Oct 20, 2002

by VideoGames

TinTower posted:

https://twitter.com/peoplesmomentum/status/834966400087228417

Ah yes, the Conservative Party, well known anti-establishment force.

Nonsense isn't it.

jBrereton
May 30, 2013
Grimey Drawer

Pissflaps posted:

These would be the people who actually got elected as labour MPs, right?
The malignant PLP.

Fangz
Jul 5, 2007

Oh I see! This must be the Bad Opinion Zone!
I kinda specified no passive aggressiveness, also 'bunch of good stuff' is kinda the vagueness I was trying to avoid.

Astroclassicist
Aug 21, 2015


Going Full Spicer. Never go Full Spicer.

JFairfax
Oct 23, 2008

by FactsAreUseless

Fangz posted:

I kinda specified no passive aggressiveness, also 'bunch of good stuff' is kinda the vagueness I was trying to avoid.

they made some money privatising air traffic control

Taear
Nov 26, 2004

Ask me about the shitty opinions I have about Paradox games!

El Grillo posted:

Seeing all these town halls in the US with senators getting ripped a new one, I keep wondering what would happen if Corbyn/other senior Labour figures went out and did some 'Opposition's Question Time' town-hall type events in some of these post-industrial/Brexit communities like Stoke, Collinghurst, Merthyr Tydfil... aka the 'Labour heartlands' which John Harris has spent a lot of time writing and talking about over the past few years.
McDonnell this morning kept saying 'we have to listen to people now' and everyone keeps saying that, but there don't seem to be any ideas about how Labour can actually get its message out there to an apathetic/disillusioned public. Perhaps that's because somehow we still don't seem to have a tangible and unique message, even though that's what Corbyn was elected to create & promote (i.e. anti-austerity).
Anyhow, I'd be interested in seeing someone go out there and actually try and talk to people (in a closer/less moderated setting than QT) about what's gone wrong with the economy since 1979 and push some ideas about how Labour would turn things around. Might get torn to shreds by the rabid mob of course but hey.

It'd be an absolutely poo poo idea because it'd turn into you arguing with the public about various things that they have absolutely totally wrong and refuse to believe anything different about. Say they'll tell you that waiting times are higher because there's more people. So you can say it's because of lack of money. Then you're arguing and when there's an argument most people assume both sides are wrong.
It's poo poo and we do already do things like that.

Dead Goon
Dec 13, 2002

No Obvious Flaws



Private Eye posted:

You've forgotten about Boston.

Boston has always been a poo poo hole!

Pissflaps
Oct 20, 2002

by VideoGames
Which one of you is Paul Mason?

https://twitter.com/paulmasonnews/status/835058260227018757

LemonDrizzle
Mar 28, 2012

neoliberal shithead


i really don't know what she was expecting

ukle
Nov 28, 2005

Fans posted:

One of the relative unknowns from 2010 is my bet

Going on the betting markets there are only 2 names in it - Clive Lewis and Keir Starmer. Keir isn't an unknown and he isn't from 2010 as he became an MP in 2015, Keir's odds are so low it makes me wonder if there is a challenge forming.

TinTower
Apr 21, 2010

You don't have to 8e a good person to 8e a hero.

LemonDrizzle posted:



i really don't know what she was expecting

Two world wars and one World Cup, but you've won three World Cups, two European Championships, and your economy's the best in Europe so overall you're the best.

Pochoclo
Feb 4, 2008

No...
Clapping Larry

LemonDrizzle posted:



i really don't know what she was expecting

Corrupt EU-schmoozing parasite convinces UK racists to destroy their own country, news at 11

Fans
Jun 27, 2013

A reptile dysfunction

ukle posted:

Going on the betting markets there are only 2 names in it - Clive Lewis and Keir Starmer. Keir isn't an unknown and he isn't from 2010 as he became an MP in 2015, Keir's odds are so low it makes me wonder if there is a challenge forming.

Betting markets wouldn't reflect an unknown

jBrereton
May 30, 2013
Grimey Drawer
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2017/feb/24/jeremy-corbyn-labour-leader-brexit-uk-political-landscape-copeland-byelection

The man has loving lost it

"In his speech, Corbyn conceded that Labour’s message had not come across in Copeland and said it would “go further to reconnect with our supporters”. He said the party must continue to straddle the divide between leave and remain voters, instead of representing only those who want to “stop the Brexit juggernaut”

YOU DID NOT REPRESENT THE PEOPLE WHO WANTED TO STOP THE BREXIT JUGGERNAUT ONE IOTA YOU DICK

DesperateDan
Dec 10, 2005

Where's my cow?

Is that my cow?

No it isn't, but it still tramples my bloody lavender.
It doesn't matter who is in charge of the labour party provided those controlling the media are opposed to the policies labour intend to introduce. Such vested interests aren't suddenly going to give positive press to ideals and ideas they have spent decades of time and effort disparaging- no matter how well presented and prepared the PR team are, or how eloquent and charming the politician is. Doesn't matter, as that won't be what features in the press, so that won't be what the public sees. They will see a nerd eating a bacon sandwich, or socialist jam grandad.

They will mercilessly attack and degrade any threat to the system that benefits them. That's their job, and they get better at it all the time.


Media bad.

jBrereton
May 30, 2013
Grimey Drawer

DesperateDan posted:

It doesn't matter who is in charge of the labour party provided those controlling the media are opposed to the policies labour intend to introduce. Such vested interests aren't suddenly going to give positive press to ideals and ideas they have spent decades of time and effort disparaging- no matter how well presented and prepared the PR team are, or how eloquent and charming the politician is. Doesn't matter, as that won't be what features in the press, so that won't be what the public sees. They will see a nerd eating a bacon sandwich, or socialist jam grandad.

They will mercilessly attack and degrade any threat to the system that benefits them. That's their job, and they get better at it all the time.


Media bad.
If there's one thing trump showed it's that you can overcome media hostility so long as you retain media interest.

Taear
Nov 26, 2004

Ask me about the shitty opinions I have about Paradox games!

jBrereton posted:

If there's one thing trump showed it's that you can overcome media hostility so long as you retain media interest.

So you want Boris Johnson as leader? Trump was a special case I'd say for media interest.

Guavanaut
Nov 27, 2009

Looking At Them Tittys
1969 - 1998



Toilet Rascal

SUNKOS posted:

I'm not very fond of Tony Blair but life in this country was good when he was running it. People weren't relying on food banks or dying because of cuts to the NHS. The Iraq war was complete bullshit but how anyone can look back at Labour's run and think anything other than, "Life was so much better than it is under the Tories today" is insane. I like Corbyn because he wants to enforce the socialist values that make Britain great and tug politics back towards the left which is desperately needed right now but the by-election results lead me to believe that honestly, it doesn't matter who Labour picks as a candidate because they'll lose regardless.

Their problem isn't a Corbyn/Blairite problem. Corbyn isn't doing very well, but Miliband was a Blairite and he suffered a horrific defeat. I don't think that Labour could field any candidate that would win an election not because of problems within the party, but because of problems with the electorate. The only way things will change is if Brexit ends up being the disaster everyone fears it will be, the NHS dies and then the population of the UK finally get the wake up call that they need. It will be all too late by then anyways, but it's clear that far too many people are happy with what's happening in the country for Labour to oppose anything. I'd love to be wrong but poo poo's hosed.
Quality of life was better, but it always seemed that New Labour had a deep suspicion of the people they were claiming to help, whether it was ASBOs or terrorism acts or moral panics or tough on crime rhetoric, it was as if you only got the carrots if there were sufficient sticks.

It's telling that Cameron managed to appeal to people by calling for more understanding of 'hoodies' and an end to harsh short-term solutions to crime while Osborne was planning to steal all the carrots and put them somewhere interesting. When the loving Tories are angling to attack you for being too tough on crime you've probably gone too far.

I think that's part of what brought about Corbyn, people being sick of a politics of suspicion and otherization and crackdowns led people to go for the complete opposite end of the spectrum.

Lt. Danger
Dec 22, 2006

jolly good chaps we sure showed the hun

Trump had media interest and media interests

forkboy84
Jun 13, 2012

Corgis love bread. And Puro


hakimashou posted:

People need to let go of their hate for Tony Blair.

You won't go to hell for not condemning him every chance you get.

Turning on and constantly poo poo-talking the man who lead three general election victories and kept the tories In their hole for thirteen years was not going to lead to a good outcome.

"Lets elect Jeremy Corbyn because gently caress Tony Blair!!!" was idiocy, and now look what you get.

Sure, once he's indicted for war crimes.

jBrereton
May 30, 2013
Grimey Drawer

Taear posted:

So you want Boris Johnson as leader? Trump was a special case I'd say for media interest.
BoJo would probably be a more capable voice for the Labour Party than Corbyn, but no, Labour needs its own guy, or girl. Where is even Labour's Mhairi Black? I'm sure Wes Streeting thinks that's him, but it ain't.

jabby
Oct 27, 2010

BBC News now describing Copeland as an ULTRA safe labour seat. Considering it had like the 26th lowest majority out of 219 seats that seems like stretching the truth slightly.

Pissflaps
Oct 20, 2002

by VideoGames

jabby posted:

BBC News now describing Copeland as an ULTRA safe labour seat. Considering it had like the 26th lowest majority out of 219 seats that seems like stretching the truth slightly.

You'd have thought a seat that had been labour since the war would be pretty safe tbf.

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ronya
Nov 8, 2010

I'm the normal one.

You hate ridden fucks will regret your words when you eventually grow up.

Peace.

Guavanaut posted:

Quality of life was better, but it always seemed that New Labour had a deep suspicion of the people they were claiming to help, whether it was ASBOs or terrorism acts or moral panics or tough on crime rhetoric, it was as if you only got the carrots if there were sufficient sticks.

It's telling that Cameron managed to appeal to people by calling for more understanding of 'hoodies' and an end to harsh short-term solutions to crime while Osborne was planning to steal all the carrots and put them somewhere interesting. When the loving Tories are angling to attack you for being too tough on crime you've probably gone too far.

I think that's part of what brought about Corbyn, people being sick of a politics of suspicion and otherization and crackdowns led people to go for the complete opposite end of the spectrum.

I know "triangulation" is a curseword and all, but you're really stretching for why a left-leaning party might play up its right-wing rhetoric and vice versa

Blair is deeply suspicious of the people, but Cameron is earnestly and honestly calling him out on it? ok

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