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Who will win the most delegates on Super Tuesday?
Hillary Clinton
Donald Trump
Bernie Sanders
Jim Gilmore
Baby Hitler
View Results
 
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Concerned Citizen
Jul 22, 2007
Ramrod XTreme
ty for the thread title joementum

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Concerned Citizen
Jul 22, 2007
Ramrod XTreme

fishmech posted:

You could have just made it "donald trump's fingers" They barely take up any space at all!

:chanpop:

Concerned Citizen
Jul 22, 2007
Ramrod XTreme

The OK #s are unusual. I'm not sure how accurate they'll be. This doesn't look like Bernie's normal electorate at all. Independents are supporting Hillary and Bernie is only winning 18-29s by 14 (instead of his usual 60 points)

Concerned Citizen
Jul 22, 2007
Ramrod XTreme

Skyl3lazer posted:

The saddest thing about this thread/election is seeing people poo poo on the optimism of an entire generation

I'm optimistic about Hillary.

Concerned Citizen
Jul 22, 2007
Ramrod XTreme

a cop posted:

No the saddest thing about this election is definitely the mom who killed her baby because she thought it was a good idea to take it to 9000 bernie rallies

RIP Bernie Baby

Concerned Citizen
Jul 22, 2007
Ramrod XTreme
weird how bernie baby died around the exact same time as bernie's chances of winning the nomination

Concerned Citizen
Jul 22, 2007
Ramrod XTreme

Vox Nihili posted:

That woman murdered her child. That's what SIDS means.

It's better that baby die than grow up in a world without socialism.

Concerned Citizen
Jul 22, 2007
Ramrod XTreme

punk rebel ecks posted:

People are still repeating this myth?

It's not a myth and the people who think it is a myth are dumb. Nader ran a challenge to Gore's left and drew 181 times Bush's margin of victory. It is virtually certain that had Nader not run, Gore would be President.

The entire purpose of Nader's third party run was to draw voters from the left. All the other excuses are immaterial. All the talk about how Gore could have made up ground elsewhere is just a distraction from the clear fact that the idea that Gore could not net 500~ish votes from the 90,000+ Nader voters had he not run is utterly absurd.

Concerned Citizen
Jul 22, 2007
Ramrod XTreme

punk rebel ecks posted:

Regardless it is only one small factor to as of why Gore lost. I'd say the intense voter suppression and tricky in Florida as well as Gore being a boring rear end candidate had more to do with his loss than Nader.

It is not the only reason he lost, but it was the decisive factor.

Concerned Citizen
Jul 22, 2007
Ramrod XTreme

Happy Noodle Boy posted:

God can someone make up some exit polls or something so we have something to actually talk about.

I wish every election had a few afternoon caucuses to obsess over while waiting for the primary results.

Concerned Citizen
Jul 22, 2007
Ramrod XTreme
Whatever Trump's plan is, I'm sure it will have the same thoughtfulness and racial sensitivity he is known for.

Concerned Citizen
Jul 22, 2007
Ramrod XTreme

Logikv9 posted:

i didn't know anybody actually gave a gently caress that he was jewish

I totally met a guy in Iowa who said he wouldn't vote for Sanders because he was Jewish. I was all :stare:

He was white, though.

Concerned Citizen
Jul 22, 2007
Ramrod XTreme
American Samoa closes in 7 minutes!

Meanwhile, in Clinton HQ:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DIigqVtMp_Y

Concerned Citizen
Jul 22, 2007
Ramrod XTreme

Logikv9 posted:

on one hand, cruz the slime man is humiliated beyond all measure

on the other hand, trump

*click*

Concerned Citizen
Jul 22, 2007
Ramrod XTreme

THA TITTY THRILLER posted:

If there is an almighty power in the universe, I pray that it does not allow Ted Cruz to get more than 19% of the vote in Texas.

This but Rubio

Concerned Citizen
Jul 22, 2007
Ramrod XTreme

Brannock posted:

Ten delegates seems like a lot for American Samoa, it has 55k people

It had 284 caucus-goers in 2008. Also, it only has 6 pledged delegates.

Concerned Citizen
Jul 22, 2007
Ramrod XTreme

Concerned Citizen
Jul 22, 2007
Ramrod XTreme
bill clinton got too close to a polling place. stay tuned for the latest on this disgusting scandal

Concerned Citizen
Jul 22, 2007
Ramrod XTreme

Crain posted:

So what are the actual laws/rules regarding exit polls and their release?

There are no rules or laws. It's just ethical considerations by news agencies to not release complete exits or officially project a state until polls close there to avoid influencing the results. But they will release sort of read-between-the-lines early exits during the day.

Concerned Citizen
Jul 22, 2007
Ramrod XTreme

evilweasel posted:

Continue Obama's policies vs. more liberal though is a pretty solid clinton/sanders proxy.

Bernie only won "more liberal" in SC by 10 points.

Concerned Citizen
Jul 22, 2007
Ramrod XTreme
Thus far, Hillary seems to have very moderately outperformed Virginia polls. Polls predicted +21, current exits predict +24, current results with 20% in +31

Concerned Citizen
Jul 22, 2007
Ramrod XTreme

Amused to Death posted:

I don't think you understand the fact 4 months ago we couldn't even be sure if Bernie would win New Hampshire

How many delegates is that worth?

Concerned Citizen
Jul 22, 2007
Ramrod XTreme
RIP Bernie Sanders

Concerned Citizen
Jul 22, 2007
Ramrod XTreme
Regardless of MA, CO, and MN result, the Democratic race for the nomination is effectively over. Hillary will be up about 200 pledged delegates, meaning Bernie will need to win all remaining delegates by about 7 points to get a pledged delegate majority.

Concerned Citizen
Jul 22, 2007
Ramrod XTreme

Sheng-ji Yang posted:

sanders winning minn, colorado, ok, and vermont keeps it somewhat competitive, and most of the upcoming states are friendlier territory for bernie.

Not really. Most states heading up to March 15, including the big ones, are friendly to Hillary. Bernie's MN, CO, and OK wins are just not enough to match the truly massive margins Hillary has racked up in the south, giving her a delegate lead that is just obscenely mathematically unlikely to be beaten.

Concerned Citizen
Jul 22, 2007
Ramrod XTreme

BI NOW GAY LATER posted:

This wasn't a knockout tonight. There's still an (increasingly) unlikely path for him.

It definitely was a knockout. Texas alone is going to net her like a 100 delegate lead. He'd have to win everything remaining by too large a margin to catch up.

Concerned Citizen
Jul 22, 2007
Ramrod XTreme

Neurolimal posted:

I'm just not sure what the endgame is for Hillary supporters trying to persuade Sanders supporters that it's over. I don't think it's a burning desire to be statistically/technically correct that makes people support the outsider, I don't believe any of us are gonna go 'o yea' and vote Hillary just to say "I voted for the winner!"

I really don't care if you believe it's over or not, I just want to post about the primary.

Concerned Citizen
Jul 22, 2007
Ramrod XTreme

BI NOW GAY LATER posted:

There is, mathematically, a lane for him to do that. It's obviously not going to happen, but it was not enough of a punch to make him admit that.

Based on my estimate of the delegate math, he'd need to win all remaining pledged delegates by a margin of just over 6 points. That's pretty drat brutal, especially since we still have louisiana, michigan, mississippi, missouri, north carolina, missouri, florida, illinois, and ohio by march 15 - most or all of which should be dominated by clinton.

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Concerned Citizen
Jul 22, 2007
Ramrod XTreme
These are drawing off the AP feed, which accidentally put down Bernie when they actually called it for Hillary.

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