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So our social distancing is by the numbers not doing anything, 20% need hospital, the hospitals are full, and 80% will be infected. 20% of 80% of the US population is 50M dead, why is no one talking about this
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Apr 1, 2020 15:53
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Gripweed posted:Beacuse you just made those numbers up? Nobody is talking about 50M dead because that's not a reasonable prediction Why is it not a reasonable prediction, even in young healthy ppl 20% need hospital which lol, and it's supposed to infect pretty much everyone
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Apr 1, 2020 16:00
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SKULL.GIF posted:the corona cases are being massively undercounted because we're only testing the worst cases (and today NYC changed policy to test only hospitalized cases), a huge chunk of people are riding it out at home or are just simply asymptomatic I thought 20% was based on poo poo where we had better info too, not just the rolling average of US cases where if you look at it it seems like the virus is mutating to be more severe due to what you mentioned
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Apr 1, 2020 16:07
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SKULL.GIF posted:the virus is not mutating I'm saying the 20% has been consistent, but if you look at US numbers it's rising every day due to under testing, so obviously it's not going to be like 100% hospitalization bc ny is only testing in hospitals
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Apr 1, 2020 16:10
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spacemang_spliff posted:no we don't actually know how many people have contracted it. you only get tested (esp in the US) if you're really sick and have been exposed to it. the 20% number is not something you can really extrapolate from. 20% held in SK also though right? That's not crazy really.
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Apr 1, 2020 16:12
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Taintrunner posted:https://twitter.com/DanielleB104/status/1245186965101780999 It's going to be like this in the States until there's a vaccine bc our lockdown has utterly failed. 5-7 years average lifecycle lol
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Apr 1, 2020 16:18
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Gripweed posted:Because requires hospitalization doesn't mean dead It does if there's no hospital or it wouldn't require hospitalization
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Apr 1, 2020 16:30
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err posted:Prester Jane was right, they were burning bodies in mass graves Pj is nuts and this is some Trump spook bullshit, China obviously has done a good job
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Apr 1, 2020 16:31
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Paramemetic posted:Yes, the hospitals will get overloaded. Past a certain point it's not "hard decisions" it's "all healthcare is a statistically irrelevant blip"
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Apr 1, 2020 16:34
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Gripweed posted:You know that when people talk about the collapse of the medical system, they don't mean the hospitals will literally collapse, right? If you have a thousand times as many severe cases as beds, you can basically say they don't exist
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Apr 1, 2020 16:36
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Atrocious Joe posted:what's with everyone's obsession with burning bodies I have no idea why we're doing that either, it's an industrial society, you could bury the entire population if you wanted to with no desperation tactics, heavy equipment can dig holes faster than anything but the sea can fill them
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Apr 1, 2020 16:42
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NofrikinfuN posted:we have the capability and should use it instead of filling plots of land with dead bodies forever Cemeteries aren't like industrial sites, they're pretty easily remediated down the line.
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Apr 1, 2020 16:44
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Plinkey posted:cool, confirmed roni case in my mom's office (she works at a nursing home) That's like the platinum elite status of roni, a Confirmed Case
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Apr 1, 2020 16:53
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Nodelphi posted:Not interested in the slap fight but our health system that encompasses 25 hospitals is seeing a more or less 20% hospitalization rate of patients diagnosed with Covid19. True there are probably others at home that don’t get diagnosed so the numbers may be off in that regard but otherwise 20% of those I diagnose needing the hospital is pretty dead on. Yeah this is consistent with ny and iirc sk numbers which means inside a month setting foot outside will have worse than Russian roulette odds lmao
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Apr 1, 2020 17:08
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Love to lock down the country and destroy all semblance of normal life for measures that are literally no better than everyone hanging out in a crowded bar or stadium lmao
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Apr 1, 2020 17:09
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hepatizon posted:In the no-preventive-measures scenario, 50 million US deaths is not plausible, but 20m is. Let's not kid ourselves, we're in that scenario. With the weird panic buying sprees and plague bearing delivery guys and everything being essential we're probably actually worsening it vs do nothing
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Apr 1, 2020 17:17
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hepatizon posted:The current measures are absolutely better than nothing. My prediction is 0.5-4 million deaths. I think 0.5m is achievable if we get 2/3 of: 1) is wholly partisan and impossible here 2) will only happen if they can use it to pump ppl full of mabs every yr to make corona debt the new college debt 3) is just a pipe dream
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Apr 1, 2020 17:24
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brugroffil posted:is there any doubt that China is underreporting (along with most if not all other countries due to a wide variety of reasons)? They no longer have exponential growth so they've won and the cases might as well be zero vs here where they might as well be infinite
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Apr 1, 2020 17:24
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So italy is at 12k/day now?
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Apr 1, 2020 17:26
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If our social distancing isn't doing anything people are going to just go back outside and the won't even be wrong
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Apr 1, 2020 22:58
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Notice that even like every single decrepit eastern european klepto state has easily controlled this lmao
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Apr 1, 2020 23:02
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Durf posted:SK owns I think they're reporting zero cases but have locked down anyway
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Apr 1, 2020 23:08
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Mummy Xzibit posted:My family friend/union brother that died was, at least per his Facebook, doing all the right things in terms of social distancing/staying at home as of several weeks ago. Yeah I think it's in the air or water or something in America right or else social distancing would actually do something
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Apr 1, 2020 23:16
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sexpig by night posted:there was a report (that doctor fauci got super mad at yesterday, lol) that the virus actually can travel something like 20+ feet with coughing and all which almost certainly means it's airborne Which means if someone even walks by your house...
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Apr 1, 2020 23:18
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Mummy Xzibit posted:They can't launch them without federal authorization, correct? Unless we're still doing the "hey we just got the code, let's grab our keys" thing. The locks are basically to keep out infantrymen who have overrun the place, not an entire new nation with lots of materiel and expertise
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Apr 1, 2020 23:35
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MadJackal posted:Made a re-do of Day 9 since that update turned into a standalone short fiction-ish thing. Love these posts, sounds like truly mild cases are a myth or from bcg or something lmao we're hosed
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Apr 1, 2020 23:44
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A Gnarlacious Bro posted:Yah he’s got weepy suicide written all over him I hope he does it on tv during a presser
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Apr 1, 2020 23:47
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Hospital ships are of questionable utility bc if you can fly planes you can just fly everyone out of the war zone and if you can't then the enemy can just use their planes to take out your hospital ship
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Apr 1, 2020 23:50
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Homeless Friend posted:loving lol I just talked to somebody whose going on the USS Mercy. No active testing of inflow, they're being told to bring two weeks of clothing and will be locked into the wards/rooms or w/e for that duration. Where members have their areas and they can't travel around. They didn't mention any ppe and said they'd have to wash clothes in sinks lmfao. This is incredibly dumber than stripping the boat down and installing the equipment in a larger and less open facility
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Apr 2, 2020 00:00
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Lokar posted:https://twitter.com/sarahspain/status/1245469289408323586?s=21 Can't cats get it
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Apr 2, 2020 00:41
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Cats can definitely get it and spread it and serve as a non human reservoir but no one knows yet how contagious they are to humans
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Apr 2, 2020 00:50
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CODChimera posted:But they're fine yeah? Because if it kills the cats then holy gently caress why aren't we stopping this thing already It makes them quite sick I think?
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Apr 2, 2020 00:54
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Lokar posted:Cats can infect each other with coronavirus, Chinese study finds Coming soon human fip lol
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Apr 2, 2020 00:57
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Epic High Five posted:just lmao if the BCG map is actually a map of pet cats per capita, with the lower cat ownership countries having less COVID because they have fewer animal reservoirs crawling around their homes Aren't italy and egypt both crawling with ferals
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Apr 2, 2020 01:02
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Dixville posted:I mean i would be pretty sad if my cat died from diarrhea (or any reason really)but there are so many people dying, definitely more worried about that overall. But cats being a possible reservoir is somewhat worrisome. Luckily cats don't usually go out around other people to potentially spread it (unless they are coming to see the vet!), but if it gets into the feral population that could be different. Not that most people come within 6 feet of feral cats but they might poo poo somewhere and spread it that way. Most people come within 20 feet of where an outdoor cat has been in the past several hours daily lol
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Apr 2, 2020 01:13
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CODChimera posted:We should switch strategies and focus on saving the cats This is turbo hosed from a leftist perspective imo
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Apr 2, 2020 01:30
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Dog Toothbrush posted:You guys would have been awesome during the pursuit of the Boston bomber. I bet blue jeans and women in pants have a better correlation than cats They're also reservoirs but even more contagious so yes, but those risks are better understood
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Apr 2, 2020 01:34
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The math of 20% dead without treatment including young people and America completely failing at social distancing is terrifying me to the point I can't even get out of bed in the morning, no one seems to be afraid enough at all even in here
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Apr 2, 2020 01:52
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D1E posted:That math can't be right. Why can't it be right? It's spreading completely unchecked despite a lockdown and 20% of cases will die without hospital, these are like obvious facts
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Apr 2, 2020 01:54
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lmaopocalypse posted:Sucks if true but your numbers may yet be on the high side and it's just a skullfuck of a disaster. No because I'm a huge wimp and coward
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Apr 2, 2020 01:57
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