|
Notorious R.I.M. posted:COVID-19 MAY 2020 USA CUM DEATHS GUESSING GAME going to guess around 250,000 (two hundred and fifty thousand) omfg (oh my fuckin god)  (little smile face guy flailing around because he is on fire)e: seeing there are already a couple 250k guesses I will raise mine to 262k Flesh Forge has issued a correction as of 03:32 on May 1, 2020 |
#
¿
May 1, 2020 03:29
|
|
|
|
| # ¿ May 14, 2024 08:04 |
|
|
dang y'all some optimistic motherfuckers here in texas, CHURCHES, MALLS, THEATERS, RETAIL STORES, ARE ALL OPENING at quarter occupancy MASKS ARE ONLY ADVISORY people around here were already pretty strongly in the "just a bad flu" territory and most refuse to wear masks, and this is their sign that everything is safe
|
|
#
¿
May 1, 2020 03:41
|
|
|
apatheticman posted:You dont see chuds salting the narrative with "doctors are just putting everything down as covid" as a indicator that they aren't just going to straight up gently caress with reporting as soon as their caught in their stupidity? lol they're already loving with testing and reporting and yes, they will do this more and more
|
|
#
¿
May 1, 2020 04:09
|
|
|
motedek posted:
you gotta love graphs that predict 90 degree turns based on nothing at all lol
|
|
#
¿
May 1, 2020 04:27
|
|
|
shovelbum posted:Put me down for a quarter mil  you of all people I would have expected to be less optimistic than mea.lo posted:who ends up with higher deaths? texas or florida? probably florida due to higher pop density and people churning, texas will be very bad in houston and probably dallas/ft. but florida's A1A is wall to wall party animals and it's springtime. Flesh Forge has issued a correction as of 04:36 on May 1, 2020 |
|
#
¿
May 1, 2020 04:34
|
|
|
texas vs florida death matchFlesh Forge posted:probably florida due to higher pop density and people churning, texas will be very bad in houston and probably dallas/ft. but florida's A1A is wall to wall party animals and it's springtime. look at the maps of urban density, the atlantic and gulf coastlines of florida are basically giant cities  this is texas 
|
|
#
¿
May 1, 2020 04:45
|
|
|
Antonymous posted:we're ending this month with 4.5x as many sick as we started and no end in sight lol there's always an end in sight 
|
|
#
¿
May 1, 2020 04:54
|
|
|
Anime Schoolgirl posted:also my 269k prediction bakes in the death counts "dropping" due to chud states retroactively declaring covid deaths as "not covid" deaths yeah same, the real count at the end of may is going to be much higher but we won't really know for months if ever.
|
|
#
¿
May 1, 2020 05:17
|
|
|
strap in boys and girls etc  https://twitter.com/jeremymbarr/status/1256070806804848643 e: I legit cannot wait to see what kind of batshit insane stuff goes on at that 
Flesh Forge has issued a correction as of 06:34 on May 1, 2020 |
|
#
¿
May 1, 2020 06:31
|
|
|
is there a site that displays case fatality rate in percentage form per US state? e: How accurate is the US coronavirus death count? Some experts say it's off by 'tens of thousands'
|
|
#
¿
May 1, 2020 07:05
|
|
|
Charlz Guybon posted:This is accurate to four or five days ago I think, they're still in the midst of catching up from that lost week due to the passing of the manager's father. thanks, couldn't find this (total cases and total deaths yes, but then I'd have to make a spreadsheet to calc the percentage)
|
|
#
¿
May 1, 2020 07:10
|
|
|
Xaris posted:start? lol yeah anywhere with large-ish numbers of cases but low fatalities is very likely cooking the books. NY is probably the least dubious baseline and even NY is undercounting a lot, intentionally or no. NY is reporting a CFR of around 7.5%, really any states very much below that are probably hiding bodies.
|
|
#
¿
May 1, 2020 07:58
|
|
|
lol at all you people thinking 100-150k, this should tell you something https://twitter.com/kylegriffin1/status/1256176541320568834
|
|
#
¿
May 1, 2020 12:13
|
|
|
gay picnic defence posted:How many body bags would they normally be ordering? i dunno but the point is, if trump's people think they might need 100k, the people like jared who have been all "we don't think you need that much" with respect to ventilators, testing supplies, everything else that costs money, then uh we're probably gonna need a lot more than they're actually ordering.
|
|
#
¿
May 1, 2020 12:55
|
|
|
Frog Act posted:has anyone else not gotten their stimulus? it keeps saying I'm eligible, it will be updated with a date, etc, then once it said i wasn't eligible, then it went right back to saying they'd have a date soon. am I just not gonna get a stimulus? i never got my tax return from 2018 either so right now the government owes me $2000 and I feel like I will probably never see a dime of it me and my dad have not
|
|
#
¿
May 1, 2020 12:55
|
|
|
FRIENDSHIP ENDED WITH IHME https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1256374628957609985
|
|
#
¿
May 2, 2020 05:47
|
|
|
snoo posted:what happens at the unemployment appointment? like I assume it's over the phone, so what, am I talking with an unemployment person and my boss or something??? I can't vouch for the other agents but if you get me, all you're gonna have to do is suck my dick a few times (USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)
|
|
#
¿
May 2, 2020 09:14
|
|
|
Asproigerosis posted:I drove in to hospital for call and I came to the realization that it is impossible to do a proper lockdown. There is just no way to do this in america without a strong well coordinated plan from the federal government with heavy use of national guard. lol, accelerationism is a bunch of just world claptrap. there is no reason at all to expect utopia to come out of letting the not-very-good situation we have go completely into the shitter, it's more likely to get stuck in an even worse state. cf. the dark ages although I guess tell yourself whatever you have to to have some hope 
|
|
#
¿
May 2, 2020 16:06
|
|
|
kater posted:positive cases grew linearly the entire month of April. +30k sick every day. presumably because testing was at capacity. early mid April New York was 30-40%, once 50% of that. this last week it was only ever 15%. still same 30k growth. the rest of the country is more than capable of picking up the slack. I think people seriously underestimate how common it is for Americans to just have no medical care period, around 20% of Americans just don't get medical care of any sort. Not exactly because they're poor or homeless, it's more complicated than that. These people are much more prone to try to ride out serious illness without getting help and if they develop serious CV they're a lot more likely to die outside of doctor care. https://civicscience.com/20-u-s-adults-not-seen-doctor-past-year/ quote:Generally healthy people are more likely to answer None–therefore we can speculate that people aren’t seeking preventative care, even if they consider themselves to be fine, likely because they cannot afford to.
|
|
#
¿
May 2, 2020 16:17
|
|
|
nerds who like charts, here is a really good collection of charts with a lot of options to jerk off to http://91-divoc.com/pages/covid-visualization/ e: here's a good one  
Flesh Forge has issued a correction as of 02:06 on May 3, 2020 |
|
#
¿
May 3, 2020 02:03
|
|
|
Sir Tonk posted:goddamn, id love to see these people forced to live under actual tyranny. they already have
|
|
#
¿
May 3, 2020 02:10
|
|
|
Pittsburgh Fentanyl Cloud posted:The narrative is going to morph to "some deaths are inevitable and regrettable" so loving fast And then into "we can't let all those deaths be for nothing we owe it to the dead to keep our way of life alive"
|
|
#
¿
May 3, 2020 02:48
|
|
|
Moxie posted:Thanks for all the replies to this, I guess I forgot that evil people apparently control the minds of approximately 50% of all Americans and encourage them to do illogical poo poo. I mean, they pretty much do, have you never talked to any actual dirt poor R voters? lol
|
|
#
¿
May 3, 2020 05:11
|
|
|
Pooky posted:Only 37,308 deaths so far I have had my eye on this doc for a long while, it's just slow to update. From what I can tell, that count is based on a fairly strict accounting of death certificates and I've watched it continually update for the pas couple of weeks. It has never always been a lot below the generally accepted CV death counts but it has gone up as the past couple of weeks have gone by, as well as the estimates of "expected deaths" - when I first started looking in on that doc those percentages were all below 90. e: see the notes at the bottom of the table, it explains this e: the stat that is probably the hardest to handwave away is the combined "Deaths with Pneumonia, Influenza, or COVID-19, which is 90,000 (!) and apparently CDC has figured they should try to counter that (handwaving away deaths "it's just the flu/pneumonia") to some degree, at least in this doc https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/covid-data/pdf/covidview-05-01-2020.pdf  it's not an incredibly useful stat for deciding treatments but it very clearly shows some poo poo is real hosed up compared to historical norms, by showing all three of these as a single total it's much easier to make the point on a single graph Flesh Forge has issued a correction as of 09:11 on May 3, 2020 |
|
#
¿
May 3, 2020 08:59
|
|
|
Trixie Hardcore posted:Also the president is very anti-mask and has made it clear that he considers wearing one a sign of weakness yeah there's already a pretty strong culture warrior "masks are for liberal pussies" thing going
|
|
#
¿
May 3, 2020 09:10
|
|
|
Pooky posted:Only 37,308 deaths so far oh I guess this was a conservative talking point today https://twitter.com/DineshDSouza/status/1256641587708342274
|
|
#
¿
May 3, 2020 09:30
|
|
|
Lambert posted:This delay can range from 1 week to 8 weeks or more, depending on the jurisdiction, age, and cause of death." e: for the more up-to-date but less strict count, check https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/cases-in-us.html it's about 1 day behind Worldometers Flesh Forge has issued a correction as of 10:17 on May 3, 2020 |
|
#
¿
May 3, 2020 09:54
|
|
|
MadJackal posted:
we are taking it very seriously, but we have the worst and dumbest and most insane people in charge so their responses have been to undermine and sabotage the practical measures that the less-stupid less-insane people are trying to implement. don't doubt that they take it seriously though. poty posted:https://twitter.com/ScottGottliebMD/status/1256765834913091584 texas is really tragic, seems pretty clear things weren't going too bad until Alex Jones started wanting to eat some rear end e: same for TN
|
|
#
¿
May 3, 2020 11:24
|
|
|
Hopper posted:I can't believe I even have to ask this, but do you think they will (try to) cover up any surges in cases? And is there even a chance of going back to lockdown? you can look at graphs of tests completed and see the testing strategy at work   individual states loving around with these is a bit harder to hide because the testing is being done by third party companies that operate at the national level, but testing capacity remains really flat. there's no consistency as to who gets tested (some places it's very easy with no symptoms, some places people have died of it after being denied testing multiple times). where it seems to me the shady poo poo is going on is more with case fatality rate, some states have extremely low % fatality rate and I don't see any reasonable explanations for that other than undercounting. For countries with large numbers of cases, keep in mind most of the rest of the world is seeing CFR of 5-6 percent for the VERY GOOD responders, to 13-14 percent, so US states like TX or FL with large numbers of cases but 2-3% CFR are probably hiding bodies. e: prefigured CFR along with other stats https://bnonews.com/index.php/2020/04/the-latest-coronavirus-cases/ https://bnonews.com/index.php/2020/01/tracking-coronavirus-u-s-data/ Inceltown posted:Florida is already hiding deaths, they're not going to ease up when it gets worse. and yeah florida is no-poo poo deliberately undercounting deaths and blocking county-level coroners from reporting local (larger) counts. probably other states are too but florida is for sure. Flesh Forge has issued a correction as of 13:01 on May 3, 2020 |
|
#
¿
May 3, 2020 12:58
|
|
|
Bruce Hussein Daddy posted:What is this zeitgeist that has declared victory over the roni? It's the weather, isn't it? the White House team embraced the IHME model which initially predicted about 60k deaths and once we crossed that mark a whole bunch of people started talking like everything was over with, plus a lot of the anti quarantine protesters waved guns around
|
|
#
¿
May 3, 2020 14:29
|
|
|
yeah that's been a steady pressure though, the big thing that was like a switch being thrown was that IHME 60k mark.
|
|
#
¿
May 3, 2020 14:31
|
|
|
Rip Testes posted:Perhaps already addressed, but they are reporting using the U071 ICD-10 code only, which is the most recent Coronavirus specific code, yet only one Coronavirus code of several. Thank you for pointing this out, I missed that in the footnotes.
|
|
#
¿
May 3, 2020 14:40
|
|
|
Agrajag posted:hey pompeo going to war with china isnt exactly a great idea jsut fyi it's extremely insane, aside from the pure military aspect (they have the largest military size and the second largest budget in the world) the first thing they would do is simply wreck our economy, just lmfao
|
|
#
¿
May 3, 2020 16:33
|
|
|
Woofer posted:I know China does a bunch of manipulating in their economy but wouldn’t tanking our economy also tank their economy and also tank a bunch of other economies china has the will to do poo poo like weld unruly sick people in their houses and distribute food/supplies to quarantined workers, when it comes to economic disruption they are infinitely better prepared for that kind of poo poo than the US is.
|
|
#
¿
May 3, 2020 16:40
|
|
|
Mr Hootington posted:Trump threatened to default on the debt to china because of the virus too china has all the manufacturing power that the US has been frantically trying to get rid of since the end of WWII, the US needs them way more than the reverse. US economy is going to disembowel itself in the next year anyway and China is probably already figuring out wtf to do about that.
|
|
#
¿
May 3, 2020 17:01
|
|
|
Mackers posted:What the flying gently caress lmao trump believes he can say things and they become real, he genuinely believes in his brain that when he says that poo poo it will come true and he's trying to help. e: when he says inject bleach or drink fishbowl cleaner, he really sincerely was trying to help
|
|
#
¿
May 3, 2020 17:08
|
|
|
lol, america mumbled im up im up whole flailing at the snooze button
|
|
#
¿
May 3, 2020 17:11
|
|
|
impossible to predict, unprecedented, no one could have seen this coming, etc https://twitter.com/atrupar/status/1256974673289633792
|
|
#
¿
May 3, 2020 17:14
|
|
|
lol merka  https://twitter.com/washingtonpost/status/1256982587333058560
|
|
#
¿
May 3, 2020 17:28
|
|
|
|
| # ¿ May 14, 2024 08:04 |
|
|
Marx Headroom posted:yeah there's no plan here. theres a million smart ways to hold onto their power. they could easily do the europe thing and pay people to stay home, then tighten the screws again once the crisis has passed. imo there was a plan at first, to coordinate the quarantine protests in dem-held states, but since they've been holding hands with the nazi militia and antivax types and because let's face it they're a bunch of extremely dumb fuckholes it quickly got out of hand
|
|
#
¿
May 3, 2020 23:49
|
|