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Who will win the federal Election This poll is closed. |
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| Labor Majority |
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48 | 42.48% |
| Labor Minority |
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29 | 25.66% |
| Liberal Majority |
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3 | 2.65% |
| Liberal Minority |
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12 | 10.62% |
| UAP Majoirty |
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21 | 18.58% |
| Total: | 113 votes | ||
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lih posted:morrison is going to take advice from drip twitter and have a half senate election in may for no reason and wait til september to be thrown out of office in a house of reps election He won't, but loving imagine the next few months if he did.
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Mar 31, 2022 12:14
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Breetai posted:Sa labour appears to be assuring the continuation of the previous government's December "gently caress it, COVID is over" policy. https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-04-01/child-under-five-one-of-two-covid-19-deaths-in-sa/100957728 The contrast in official guidelines and also expectations of what is decent behavior are hard to reconcile. We're interstate for a few nights and woke up this morning not feeling great. Went and got a RAT because it's the right thing to do, that was negative, but did have the moment of dilemma on if we should because suddenly being stranded away from home for a week with no resources would be a pain in the butt, and what we're meant to shell out $20-$30 for RATs every morning after a big night?
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Apr 2, 2022 01:42
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The Lord Bude posted:They gained one point - it's now 46/54 to Labor. Interestingly Labor have lost 3 points on their primary vote but 1 went to LNP and 2 went to the Greens. One point is well within the margin of error, not too notable.
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Apr 3, 2022 23:18
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Come on God give us this one.
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Apr 4, 2022 01:03
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Halo14 posted:I’m a simple man, all I want is more LNP tears than 2007. I don't think we'll see a night equivalent to that for decades to come. Howard had been in for 11 years and for better or worse (I think most of us would agree worse) had massive changed Australia over that time. Workchoices was pushed largely because the Coalition was believing their own spin and truly thinking they could do anything. The massive pushback started to make them look shaky, then you had the popular momentum around Rudd. They say that elections are lost, not won, but Rudd had such positive energy around him that in 2007 both were true. Then you had the bonuses like Howard losing his own seat to really rub in that Australia had rejected them and that an entire political era was coming to an end. In contrast to 2022, where the Coalition have been in power for 9 years, been through three PMs, and don't really have any big achievements to point to. They've ratfucked the country in a bunch of ways, and ruined a decade of potential, but what will the legacy of this government be? Nothing notable really and most of them know it and are already mentally prepared for a time in Opposition to regroup.
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Apr 4, 2022 12:24
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Chicken Parmigiana posted:
Heck yeah.
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Apr 4, 2022 14:07
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We're starting to replicate more of these in Adelaide as well, and while it's nowhere near as bad yet it's inevitable with these types of designs. Developers make money and people move into cheap housing, and then taxpayers are left to subsidize the building of extra roads and transport connections.
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Apr 5, 2022 05:17
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Anidav posted:It’s over. It will be a defeat of historic proportions. Ordinary Australians have had enough. Yes, thanks for getting us through the pandemic (lol) - but that was your job. But we are looking ahead and we don’t want any more of this Prime Minister, rightly or wrongly. Where's this quoted from?
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Apr 6, 2022 04:03
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Booted for questioning glorious leader.quote:A Liberal member who challenged Scott Morrison's federal intervention in the NSW division has been expelled from the party.
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Apr 7, 2022 04:06
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Good news everyone, assuming that Morrison calls the election Sunday and doesn't Bradbury his way into another term this is the last week where they have any real non caretaker power.
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Apr 8, 2022 03:49
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Have other states been getting his ads about how people outside cities will pay less tax?
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Apr 8, 2022 07:46
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If Labor hadn't looked like a shoe in at the last election there's a chance they might have actually won. When it looks like a landslide there are some people who won't vote for them to try and keep balance.
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Apr 10, 2022 01:09
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bell jar posted:
No, but the same human mentality is universal. There's a reason pretty much every political leader ever tries to portray themselves as the underdog, because "we're so close but need you to get us over the line, and you don't have to worry about us being too powerful afterwards" is messaging that works on a subset of voters.
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Apr 10, 2022 02:26
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the 2019 election was not brexit
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Lawman 0 posted:Hey Auspol who is going to win this election? Probably Labor, but Morrison still has big piles of money set aside in the budget whose purpose hasn't been announced yet (which is so hosed tbh) that I expect will be thrown at the marginal electorates the LNP needs to keep over the next few weeks.
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Apr 10, 2022 03:39
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Recoome posted:https://www.abc.net.au/news/2022-04-12/strawberry-farmer-loses-200k-as-pickers-go-into-covid-isolation/100977738 QLD is letting people go to work while they're testing positive to Covid?
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Apr 12, 2022 02:13
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starkebn posted:I don't give a poo poo if someone can remember a specific number. Such a stupid talking point. Yup, considering that even the supposed god king PM John Howard did the same thing.
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Apr 12, 2022 02:18
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JBP posted:Not knowing basic figures like the cash and unemployment rate as opposition leader is pretty bad tbh. As if you don't know you'll get shredded on this stuff. Embarrassing in the moment, but everyone forgets random poo poo, and I bet you for the past few weeks he's been memorizing a lot of numbers relating to their policies. Wish there was a fraction of the beat up every time a politician "can't recall" something actually scandalous.
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Apr 12, 2022 23:06
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lih posted:yeah it's just a weird goofy form of it that feels like it could be a lot more effective idk WHAT
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Apr 13, 2022 04:16
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Don Dongington posted:The fact that state Labor goverments manage to cut through and have gained government basically everywhere but NSW (which is a basketcase politically) means that there is a pathway to victory, but I'd be curious to know how much the media backing of the Liberals in WA for example impacted local's trust for said institutions. If all state and Federal governments are Liberal it makes people more likely to vote for a chance, and state governments have less ability to change taxes on the rich which is most of the reason they want a Liberal federal government.
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Apr 13, 2022 12:07
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Saw a big billboard this morning about Palmers proposal to force Home Loan rates to not go above 3% for 5 years, and am I missing something obvious (yes I know Palmers mad, but most of his policies at least seem to have had some sort of vague sanity check) but if interest rates went up higher than that and banks were prevented from giving mortgages above 3% wouldn't it do bad things to the economy?
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Apr 14, 2022 08:11
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Jezza of OZPOS posted:My generous interpretation of that was that presumably the Fed government would subsidize the banks. No I'm not sure how this would work in practice and I assume neither are they. Looking at the quotes about it on their site he talks about using the governments constitutional power to limit the bank home loan rate, so it sounds like literally just a cap.
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Apr 14, 2022 08:18
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lih posted:betting markets mean nothing and people are just getting spooked from last time + last week's gaffes God I hope so, but after the Brexit Vote, 2016 US election and 2018 Australian Federal election gonna be chewing nails hard for the next month.
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Apr 18, 2022 09:36
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At this point before the last election Newspoll was 48:52, and two months before the election it was 46:54. It's gonna be a close one.
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Apr 18, 2022 12:45
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Bargearse posted:What does the onion represent in this analogy? The furious arguments on whether the onion goes above or below the sausage represent the popular embracing of a two party system where small issues are quibbled over instead of major change.
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Apr 19, 2022 05:12
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Housing and land prices are climbing, meaning more people can't afford to build new homes to live in. Rental investors can make better returns by buying up existing stock, outbidding owner occupiers, leaving more people in the rental market and driving up the cost of housing even more. The system is set up to ensure maximum profits for investors, that comes from higher rents and less empty time.
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Apr 22, 2022 04:58
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mahershalalhashbaz posted:actually, speaking of disability, does anyone itt have any experience with disability employment services? there's a royal commission going on right now that is unearthing some nasty poo poo (pack boxes for $4/hour! have a go to get a go!) but it seems to be the opinion of the public that disabled people should just suck it up and accept that slave labour is their lot in life. i have been on des for about two years now and my personal consultant is quite evil, i am blessed to have a single shining specialist who protects me from centrelink but i've seen enough of the des methodology to know they're absolutely ruining the lives of people who are more vulnerable than i am. When I was in my final year of high school I did holiday work for an organization which hired disabled people (mostly intellectual disabilities). They did minor assembly and packaging work, and things like stripping the foam off returned QANTAS in flight audio headsets to prepare them for cleaning. During school and uni holidays they would get students in to help catch up the backlog of work, along with helping out with tasks that they don't want some of the intellectually disabled workers doing (some tasks involved using a drill press) and that's what I did. I was strongly recommended to not mention the princely $8 an hour I was receiving (this was at the turn of the century) because it dwarfed what most of the full-time workers received, but it was explained to me that this was because they also received government funding that made up the difference. At the time I didn't question it too much, assuming everything probably made sense. I can definitely believe these reports coming out.
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Apr 25, 2022 06:09
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Don Dongington posted:Spam email from a recruiting agency I used to deal with occasionally (Michael Page): For people not living paycheck to paycheck there are definitely quite a few at the moment who seem willing to take a bit less pay in exchange for conditions like WFH flexibility and 4 day weeks.
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Apr 26, 2022 00:45
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Wizard Master posted:Absolutely vile disrespect to our diggers shown by Scott Morrison during yesterday's ANZAC memorial, where he is shown texting whilst the minutes silence is occuring Can you imagine if any Labor or Greens politician had done this.
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Apr 26, 2022 01:24
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Mysticblade posted:You lot must be talking about Bill Shorten. As I understand it MMT is basically throwing away the idea of treating the governments budget like a household budget, and thinking of things more in productive potential. We think of things in terms of supply/demand, where supply is often treated as a static amount, with less demand leading to lower prices and higher demand higher prices. Imagine a factory running at 50% capacity because that's what they think is the optimum amount of production balancing revenue against unsold product. If demand is permanently increased, that factory could now run at 75% capacity with the supply/demand balance staying the same, and thus not causing inflation. As long as there's unused or underutilized production ability, the government can keep injecting money, raising living standards and stimulating the economy without worrying about debt. Obviously there is still a limit to how much money can be created as there are limits to productivity and how quickly things can ramp up, and if the government spends too much too quickly, or in the wrong areas, that could prompt rapid inflation so it's not a magic bullet to fund anything they want, but it does take away the "BUT HOW WILL YOU PAY FOR X?!?!" argument. Taxation still exists, but rather than that collected money being used by the government to pay for things it is destroyed, lowering the amount of money in circulation as an anti-inflationary measure. At least that's how I understand it, but most of it came from listening to Luke McGregor explain it on a podcast a couple of years ago so I'm certainly no expert.
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Apr 27, 2022 05:34
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NTRabbit posted:It's also an irrelevant seat, Labor only needs 3 votes from 2 Greens and 2 ex-Xenophons to carry votes She's in there for 8 years now though. Could matter after the 2026 election.
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Apr 27, 2022 09:49
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Howard did irreparable damage to Australia, but most of that was intentional, part of a vision for what his government wanted the country to be. I disagree with most of the changes he made, but for his supporters at least they could point to how Australia had been changed by his time in power. Since 2013, with 9 years of power, what has the Abbott/Turnbull/Morrison government actually done? What's their legacy?
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Apr 28, 2022 23:44
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NPR Journalizard posted:But asked about the growing pressure on home buyers, he (Howard) said: “I don’t accept there is a housing crisis.” Who could have possibly baked these things into the system:
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Apr 29, 2022 04:53
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SecretOfSteel posted:Or oats. We used to be a country of porridge eaters - but no more. I've started having porridge for breakfast at work, myth busted.
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Apr 29, 2022 07:40
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We need the government to commit strongly to massively increasing the stock of public housing.
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May 1, 2022 00:25
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Newspoll out, unchanged at 53:47
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May 1, 2022 12:37
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adeadcrab posted:Greens are not taking Griffith from Queen Terri Butler I still find it hard to imagine the Greens getting any other seats than Melbourne, but would love to see it.
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May 2, 2022 11:19
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Ok this is a great ad: https://twitter.com/AustralianLabor/status/1521034216674234368?s=20&t=Dhnxe35CU_le-IuP6KAQzQ
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May 2, 2022 13:15
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Seemlar posted:
Haha, they also have no loving idea what they are talking about. There's a reason that long-running political parties aren't featured in the constitution. The ideal for a parliament is that they are all independents, and then a majority come together on shared ideals to form a government. Hell, in the 19th century there was plenty of discussion that the office of Prime Minister itself was against the principles of the system.
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May 3, 2022 01:59
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Haha, I love this guy they put in the ABC article for balance:quote:Savers rejoice Where's the guillotine gif when you need it.
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May 3, 2022 08:00
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lih posted:https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2022/may/04/emails-reveal-one-nations-last-minute-scramble-to-find-candidates This checks out with the SA One Nation candidate who was just elected to the upper house. The daughter of a prominent party member who didn't do any campaigning, didn't appear in any One Nation campaign material before the election, hadn't even met Hanson when she visited SA, and who went to ground after results started coming in. Clearly just a seat warmer.
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May 4, 2022 00:38
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