(Thread IKs:
fatherboxx)
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Quixzlizx posted:I wonder if those are similar to the people who say that Gaddafi was about to destroy America forever with a new oil-purchasing reserve currency and that's why he was taken out, putting aside that the UK/France were the ones who wanted to intervene, not Obama. Besides, Paul Krugman has written a number of columns about how being a reserve currency is largely irrelevant to the economy as a whole. If the US$ stopped being a reserve currency no one would really notice.
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Apr 1, 2023 18:33
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| # ¿ May 21, 2024 09:58 |
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Nix Panicus posted:Does Ukraine have enough experience in urban pacification to maintain military control of the Crimean population if they do an invasion? Actually taking Russian territory is going to be a new challenge It's not Russian territory.
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Apr 7, 2023 01:17
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cinci zoo sniper posted:Apparently, there's a scoop from the Times that UAF had a failed amphibious assault to free ZNPP in last October. This sounds reckless as gently caress. https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2023/04/8/7397000/ I recall a report of the Russians getting ridiculed for claiming that they'd driven off an attempted amphibious assault at ZNPP. Their claimed target was a concrete pier or something. Fake edit: Found it. Dated September 14, so not the same event. I wonder if Ukraine tried it specifically because of the fake one earlier. ETA: Here's another one, dated October 12. Maybe that is an accurate one. Deteriorata fucked around with this message at 15:43 on Apr 8, 2023 |
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Apr 8, 2023 15:40
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Paracausal posted:Vice now reporting that the tranche of classified docs had some homebrew dnd material thrown in as well That's not D&D stats or class. Obviously a related TTRPG, though.
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Apr 10, 2023 19:04
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Willo567 posted:I guess I'm confused because the Economist piece confirmed that the leak was authentic and that the author talked to officials who said it was serious and damaginf, but at the same time the UK Defense Ministry is calling the leaks seriously inaccurate. That's also deliberate disinformation, to get people to wonder what parts are inaccurate and not trust any of it - possibly reducing some of its impact. Intelligence agencies in damage control mode tend to spout a lot of contradictory bullshit in order to confuse the issue.
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Apr 11, 2023 19:26
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Nothingtoseehere posted:We probably won't know a counteroffensive has "happened" until it's successfully. Troop buildups and increased fire will be obvious from satellite photos. There will also be on-the-ground reports from journalists. They're not going to be able to hide an attempted offensive. We'll know about it whether it's successful or not. The Russians ran a major offensive in the winter that accomplished almost nothing. We certainly know they tried.
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Apr 19, 2023 14:59
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https://twitter.com/Faytuks/status/1650313944697917440 Apparently, the Ukrainians are using naval drones on Sevastopol again.
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Apr 24, 2023 03:56
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Nitrox posted:Please remember that those are Ukr MOD report numbers, and are not, and never have been, backed up by any kind of proof. They've proved to be generally accurate for a long time. It's a war, no one has precise numbers. They're as good an estimate as anybody else's and a consistent benchmark.
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Apr 28, 2023 15:38
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Popete posted:That would at best be disingenuous. Oryx includes drones and has confirmed nearly 400. Given the lifetime of drones at the front and the difficulty in confirmation of them, 600 is not outlandish.
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Apr 28, 2023 16:33
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https://twitter.com/lunchbox997/status/1650952334057566209 Remote-controlled machine gun controlled by a Steam Deck.
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Apr 28, 2023 21:56
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Shes Not Impressed posted:An update on casualties from White House National Security Council: https://twitter.com/PhillipsPOBrien/status/1653093755774181377
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May 1, 2023 19:24
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Cpt_Obvious posted:Right but if half the deaths are Wagner then half the casualties should be wagner too. They cycled a lot of guys through. The total number may have stayed roughly constant, but they're different guys. If you take 1,000 casualties a day and also add 1,000 recruits a day, in 100 days you'll have 100,000 casualties without raising your total number of soldiers.
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May 1, 2023 23:34
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Willo567 posted:https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1654500316883058689 It's a sign that Russia intends to level every building they can find so advancing Ukrainians have no cover.
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May 5, 2023 17:53
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cr0y posted:I know absolutely nothing but from what I've learned from you guys over the past year or so the US/EU stationing NATO bodies and assets in Ukraine as a trip wire defense seems really unlikely and would be seen from Russia as a giant escalation. I could see it as a result of a treaty allowing US bases in Ukraine, independent of NATO, like with South Korea or Japan. At that point, there wouldn't be much Russia could do about it. I think the probability of such a treaty is fairly low, but if Ukraine formally requests it, it would be hard for the US to say no.
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May 10, 2023 02:49
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Henrik Zetterberg posted:If Ukraine pushes out Russia, why wouldn’t Ukraine join NATO? With Russia’s track record of invading whenever they feel like it, it kinda seems like their only way to guarantee they won’t get invaded in *rolls dice* 12 years. Joining NATO isn't going to happen overnight. Accession may take a decade or more once the war is over. Ukraine may want some sort of security guarantor in the interim.
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May 10, 2023 03:45
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OddObserver posted:How did World War II end again? There are plenty of practical problems with operating in Russian territory, yes, but saying that the defender should constrain themselves from acting in attackers territory is absurd. I would be amused if Ukraine invaded Russia, but only as a means of bypassing Russian defenses in Luhansk. "Sorry, we'll only be a minute. Just passing through."
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May 11, 2023 21:41
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https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1657348563020443648 Switzerland finally pulling its head out of its rear end, apparently.
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May 13, 2023 15:21
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Willo567 posted:I'm saying it may be better to be optimistic, but also to be realistic. I already said I understand why he does it though It's not his job to be realistic in public. Deteriorata fucked around with this message at 22:38 on May 14, 2023 |
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May 14, 2023 22:35
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spankmeister posted:Here's Prigozhin claiming victory. And he can't help himself not having a little of his signature rants. Congratulations. Now you get to repeat the effort for every populated settlement in Ukraine. I'm sure you're up to it!
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May 20, 2023 14:41
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KingColliwog posted:Yeah same. I'm also not a native english speaker and to me purple and violet mean the same thing. Except violet might be a slightly paler shade of purple They have different Pantone codes, so they are technically different colors if you're really into it. For casual use, they are interchangeable.
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May 30, 2023 15:47
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Moon Slayer posted:Not only is America training Ukrainian pilots on B-52s and letting someone snap a picture from right next to the formation, they've already gone ahead and painted the Ukrainian flag on the vertical stabilizer! Their previous two videos were "The US Is Secretly Delivering Dozens of A-10 Super Warthog Aircraft to Ukraine" and "Russia Outraged: Dozens of Ukrainian Pilots Successfully Bring Home F-16s from US Bases." They claim to be based in the US while they write their description in broken English. Completely legitimate channel.
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Jun 1, 2023 01:09
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fatherboxx posted:Border in Belgorod is swiss cheese but I can't see RVC repeating Strelkov's success since their incursions are brief and they are not in the position to take over whole towns (especially with a very hostile population). I don't think they actually intend to hold much land for very long. Their purposes are to 1) show people that Putin actually can't protect them and 2) they don't have to put up with Putin if they don't want to. Those ideas aren't going to take root instantly, but will eventually. Russia will seem very solid and united until suddenly it isn't. It's going to be a while before it happens.
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Jun 4, 2023 17:42
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fatherboxx posted:This has been a strategy for Russian army since february 2022, especially in Kharkiv - constant shelling and rolling around small unprotected towns in hope that people greet the liberators. I said it's not going to happen immediately. No one is expecting Belgorod Oblast to rise up tomorrow. Combined with the rising discontent in the country over conscription and war dead, and sanctions deprivations, it's going to add up until people have had enough. If Putin can figure out a way to release the pressure safely before it blows, more power to him.
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Jun 4, 2023 18:12
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https://twitter.com/warinukraineua/status/1665897532419981315 https://twitter.com/IntelCrab/status/1665904696429518849 So Russia just destroyed the water supply for Crimea. That's not something you do if you intend to keep it.
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Jun 6, 2023 03:27
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the holy poopacy posted:If Ukraine recaptured the dam or any part of the canal the water was going to be cut anyhow. Crimea does have its own potable water, the canal was cut off 2014-2022, so it's not like they just cut off their drinking water supply--the canal is just for large scale industry & agriculture. I'm aware of that. My point was that cutting it off is not something you do if you're confident you're going to hold off the Ukrainian offensive and stay there for a long time. The intent of this is to wreak maximum havoc that will be Ukraine's problem to clean up.
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Jun 6, 2023 04:05
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Tomn posted:Blowing up your own dams as a defensive measure is something that's been practiced ever since dams were a thing - it's a long-standing tradition in China for instance from ancient times straight through to WW2 when Chiang Kai Shek flooded the Yellow River to stop the Japanese. The Dutch also made extensive use of deliberate flooding in war throughout their history - unsurprising given their geography. It's frequently effective but rarely something you do if you can avoid it given the serious and inevitable long-term consequences and human cost. Generally it's something you resort to when you figure that the consequences of not flooding the dams would be worse. How much defense are they actually getting from it, though? Ukraine wasn't going to attack across the Dnipro, and blowing the dam won't slow them down if they're going for Melitopol from Zaporizhzhia. It's just vandalism that Ukraine has to clean up.
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Jun 7, 2023 01:31
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https://twitter.com/Archer83Able/status/1666433131543511040
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Jun 7, 2023 15:48
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jaete posted:In NATO & Ukraine news: Nato members may send troops to Ukraine, warns former alliance chief He's talking about after the war is over, as an alternative if NATO won't admit Ukraine directly. Nobody's going to do anything while the war is still active.
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Jun 7, 2023 23:05
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Counteroffensive has three fronts atm: https://twitter.com/GeoConfirmed/status/1666877259364302878
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Jun 8, 2023 21:04
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mlmp08 posted:I think that is precisely the UAF’s intent. Yeah, right now they're just grinding on multiple points to see which one will give. There is no preferred point of attack.
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Jun 9, 2023 23:46
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Huggybear posted:And are they mothballed? How hard is it to unmothball a fighter jet. Let alone train a pilot to fly one. And why the intense focus on the F16? Is it just because lots of NATO nations flew them so they are widely available still? Most countries that have F-16s are in the process of replacing them with F-35s, so there's a whole bunch available. Getting them to Ukraine and getting pilots trained will take a while. I wouldn't expect to see any before the fall, maybe not until next year.
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Jun 10, 2023 03:13
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Saladman posted:The BBC is reporting that Wagner is being taken over by the Russian military; Too bad Wagner got itself ground to dust in Bakhmut or they'd be in a position to do something about it. Or perhaps that was the point of grinding them to dust.
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Jun 11, 2023 18:01
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buglord posted:So probably a dumb question in light of the past 5 pages, but are we past the “shaping operations” phase and into the counteroffensive now? Would Perun & Anders Puck Nielsen call this the counteroffensive? I think they're technically still in the "find a weak spot" phase but maybe they've found one. It's all part of the counteroffensive, either way.
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Jun 11, 2023 18:23
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https://twitter.com/NOELreports/status/1667950468159492104
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Jun 11, 2023 18:51
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https://twitter.com/michaeldweiss/status/1668049097012441095
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Jun 12, 2023 04:45
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Turkey has extracted its pound of flesh: Sweden To Extradite Self-proclaimed PKK Supporter To Turkey quote:Sweden on Monday agreed to extradite to Turkey a man convicted of drug trafficking who also supported the pro-Kurdish PKK, a first since Stockholm's NATO bid was stalled by Ankara.
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Jun 13, 2023 04:20
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khwarezm posted:Ok, so I'm sorry to be a bit of a downer, but it seems like a distinct possibility that the offensive probably won't gain the results that have been hoped. If it does stall out what kind of political effects could have on the war? A loss of interest from western parties in funding it? Putin trying to snatch a win of sorts if the war turns into a stalemate that can't be reasonably broken by either side at this point? All that would depend entirely on how it failed and why. None of that could be answered now.
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Jun 14, 2023 18:23
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Ukrainian drone carries supplies to a few families stranded on a flooded area in Kardashynka https://twitter.com/EjShahid/status/1669049383994679317 
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Jun 14, 2023 23:56
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https://twitter.com/CarlaBabbVOA/status/1669326675249700864
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Jun 15, 2023 17:28
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| # ¿ May 21, 2024 09:58 |
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Tigey posted:I'm probably overthinking this, but this Hungary/Ukraine POW affair smells of some kind of schenanigans. What I read is that they are from western Ukraine (Transcarpathia), which Russia is pretending is actually Hungary since Ukraine doesn't actually exist.
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Jun 20, 2023 19:34
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