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(Thread IKs: weg, Toxic Mental)
 
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Frank Frank
Jun 13, 2001

Mirrored

DarkHorse posted:

You are lucky.

Mine has farted itself awake before, and also growled at its own farts

One of my dogs is terrified of his own farts. If he farts audibly, he will look at his own rear end like it’s a venomous snake and run away as fast as he can

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Lammasu
May 8, 2019

lawful Good Monster

Frank Frank posted:

One of my dogs is terrified of his own farts. If he farts audibly, he will look at his own rear end like it’s a venomous snake and run away as fast as he can

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GuRiGTVfMZM

Unkempt
May 24, 2003

...perfect spiral, scientists are still figuring it out...
If I could run away from my own anus, I think I'd give it a go. I'm not that happy with it tbh.

digital penitence
Jan 3, 2008

Philthy posted:

No. These same polls have been showing Republicans winning all their elections with +10, +20, and higher and they keep losing to Democrats. Any time a MAGA goes to bat, they get creamed. Trump is pure cancer when it comes to voters.

It's made up horse race bullshit.

:hmmyes:

Agents are GO!
Dec 29, 2004

Unkempt posted:

If I could run away from my own anus, I think I'd give it a go. I'm not that happy with it tbh.

Understandable, it is an rear end in a top hat.

Lammasu
May 8, 2019

lawful Good Monster

Unkempt posted:

If I could run away from my own anus, I think I'd give it a go. I'm not that happy with it tbh.

I'm working on getting one of those transient anuses like that one jelly fish has.

Anderson Koopa
Jun 9, 2006

Unkempt posted:

If I could run away from my own anus, I think I'd give it a go. I'm not that happy with it tbh.

I just ate a bunch of spicy chicken. I'm not sure my anus and me will be on speaking terms the next couple of days.

Ghostlight
Sep 25, 2009

maybe for one second you can pause; try to step into another person's perspective, and understand that a watermelon is cursing me



Bone Crimes posted:

Huh? Isn't the whole point that a sufficiently large random sample of a heterogeneous population trends to the mean of that population? a large random sample should catch the same percentage of whatever group within statistical polling error. If you have a poll where you have 1% young voters, but those voters make up 20% of the electorate based on the actual results or polling records, you don't have a random sample.
sure you can say it trends, which is not the same as saying it represents. say we take a random sample of 100,000 people across all of the united states - it's random, so it's entirely possible to have a sample that contains every single ordained priest in the country, and now you don't have the mean of the population, you have a random sample that contains a shitload of extra priests and will reflect that bias in the data it generates. you can't know who you're sampling, that's the randomness, so you have to try and fit that sample into the actual picture you already have of what the country looks like, which is not one-third ordained priests.
you can't rely on any size of random sample to reflect the mean of the population because it is a random sample and as such can simply be randomly unrepresentative - so you start with a model and try to hammer that randomness out of the sampling.

Catastrophe
Oct 5, 2007

Committed to burn twice as long and half as bright
I should have learned by this point that, when this thread suddenly has 400 new posts, it's not necessarily because something politically significant happened but often that Trump pulled a ridiculous face and blew rear end last night.

Three Olives
Apr 10, 2005

Don't forget Hitler's contributions to medicine.
I've mentioned this before, why not just pay people and do long term studies?

You would have better demographic data, people would have less incentive to lie to you and you could ask more nuanced questions. Voters are not random samples, why should polling be?

Three Olives fucked around with this message at 01:22 on Apr 29, 2024

Zero VGS
Aug 16, 2002
ASK ME ABOUT HOW HUMAN LIVES THAT MADE VIDEO GAME CONTROLLERS ARE WORTH MORE
Lipstick Apathy

I have been boycotting Chick-Fil-A since literally 2008 for hating gays, so if they also get boycotted for hating Christians that's a serious lol

Mulaney Power Move
Dec 30, 2004

Three Olives posted:

I've mentioned this before, why not just pay people and do long term studies?

You would have better demographic data, people would have less incentive to lie to you and you could ask more nuanced questions.

the poll that has everyone riled is in fact from a panel

Toxic Mental
Jun 1, 2019

Trump is going to stare at companies and other countries sternly which will make them afraid and lower their prices. It just makes sense!!

Ghostlight
Sep 25, 2009

maybe for one second you can pause; try to step into another person's perspective, and understand that a watermelon is cursing me



Three Olives posted:

why not just pay people
our entire economic framework is dedicated to figuring out the best way to not to do that

Pot Smoke Phoenix
Aug 15, 2007



Smoke 'em if you gottem!
Dinosaur Gum
I have a confession to make.

I’m starting to think I may not like this Trump feller at all

Cartoon Man
Jan 31, 2004
Probation
Can't post for 23 hours!

smoobles
Sep 4, 2014

Pot Smoke Phoenix posted:

I have a confession to make.

I’m starting to think I may not like this Trump feller at all

vote

John Yossarian
Aug 24, 2013
I read a recent Newsweek article with a poll saying that more people thought Trump had a more successful 1st term than Biden. I just keep thinking, do they assholes not remember covid? In 2020, so many people died and the US economy was in rough shape. Trumpers also always bring up how great the economy was doing, but they don't seem to realize it got that way because of Obama. He had to fix everything.

redshirt
Aug 11, 2007

We need the Presidency, the House, the Senate, your local Statehouse, your local Governorship, your local State Rep, your local Sheriff, I could go on,

Barometer
Sep 23, 2007

You travelled a long way for
"I don't know", sonny.
:whip: :cthulhu: :shivdurf:

I remember the first time we were around when our doggo farted and she looked at her butt, as if betrayed. ":wtf: was THAT?!"


Speaking of butts...

fondue
Jul 14, 2002

free hubcaps posted:

Trump just died:banjo:

(USER WAS PUT ON PROBATION FOR THIS POST)

That's just what the room smells like when he's in it (and far long after he's left).

The Modern Leper
Dec 25, 2008

You must be a masochist

PhazonLink posted:

yeah thats my experience too. lol at piece of poo poo dumb rear end brick voters.

"derrr leave me alone"

*later*

"but why didnt they call, email, or canvass?!?"

*Well, they never call me

*Has been brutally trained by deregulation to never answer a call from an unknown number

Renreeja
Oct 11, 2007

Philthy posted:

No. These same polls have been showing Republicans winning all their elections with +10, +20, and higher and they keep losing to Democrats. Any time a MAGA goes to bat, they get creamed. Trump is pure cancer when it comes to voters.

It's made up horse race bullshit.

its disconcerting whenever these these bullshit polls come out, but it will be worth it in the end to see all the chuds get rug pulled again.

Im sure all the polls run by rightwing orgs do out and out cheat to show their side winning, which is exactly the type of stupid self dick shooting they would do

root beer
Nov 13, 2005

Pot Smoke Phoenix posted:

I have a confession to make.

I’m starting to think I may not like this Trump feller at all

Yeah! You know what? He sounds like a jerk, a real butthole.

JAMOOOL
Oct 18, 2004

:qq: I LOVE TWO AND HALF MEN!! YOU 20 SOMETHINGS ARE JUST TOO CYNICAL TO UNDERSTAND IT!!:qq:
I get the freaking out over polls, I mean it's not like they were way off in 2016 or 2020, though its probably valid to say they don't mean anything before the conventions

pollsters do work very hard to get good representative samples (at least the good ones do), the problem is that ultimately there really are a lot of Ken Bones out there who just go whichever way the wind has been drifting, seems like between emails/general dislike of Hillary/"give him a shot" that went Trump's way in '16, fortunately it's gone the Dems way in pretty much every election since. even if the actual sentence is light I can't imagine being a convicted felon is gonna help him much

Lammasu
May 8, 2019

lawful Good Monster

root beer posted:

Yeah! You know what? He sounds like a jerk, a real butthole.

I'm beginning to think he might not be that smart.

acejackson42
Mar 27, 2005

You didn't say what I think you said...
So did Trump or one of his acolytes go off on COVID vaccines lately? Because man has there be a lot of that antivax trash popping up.

The chuds just have no idea of the scale of the COVID vaccine program, and how it completely blows up every narrative they have. I mean, 13,000,000,000 doses have been given worldwide. If there was something even remotely wrong that could be traced back, you'd have a hundred million people affected, even at under one per cent.

Imagine something openly giving blood clots and heart attacks to a third of the population of the U.S. and the CDC just shrugging its shoulders. Methinks that would be rather hard to ignore.

But when you don't have the mental acuity to understand vaccines in the first place, trying to understand the scale of a number with nine zeros after it is going to be rather difficult, too, I imagine.

That Works
Jul 22, 2006

Every revolution evaporates and leaves behind only the slime of a new bureaucracy


acejackson42 posted:

So did Trump or one of his acolytes go off on COVID vaccines lately? Because man has there be a lot of that antivax trash popping up.

The chuds just have no idea of the scale of the COVID vaccine program, and how it completely blows up every narrative they have. I mean, 13,000,000,000 doses have been given worldwide. If there was something even remotely wrong that could be traced back, you'd have a hundred million people affected, even at under one per cent.

Imagine something openly giving blood clots and heart attacks to a third of the population of the U.S. and the CDC just shrugging its shoulders. Methinks that would be rather hard to ignore.

But when you don't have the mental acuity to understand vaccines in the first place, trying to understand the scale of a number with nine zeros after it is going to be rather difficult, too, I imagine.

You can't reason someone out of a position they didn't use reason to get into.

kazil
Jul 24, 2005

Derpmph trial star reporter!

How can you say the vaccine isn't dangerous after what happened to Nicki Minaj's cousin's balls?

MrQwerty
Apr 15, 2003

kazil posted:

How can you say the vaccine isn't dangerous after what happened to Nicki Minaj's cousin's balls?

Her cousin's friend's balls*

acejackson42
Mar 27, 2005

You didn't say what I think you said...

kazil posted:

How can you say the vaccine isn't dangerous after what happened to Nicki Minaj's cousin's balls?

Forgot about that, poor guy drat near died from advanced tertiary syph.. er, vaccine disease.

Waltzing Along
Jun 14, 2008

There's only one
Human race
Many faces
Everybody belongs here

kazil posted:

How can you say the vaccine isn't dangerous after what happened to Nicki Minaj's cousin's balls?

Did the vaccine turn them incestuous and then his balls got lost in her rear end?

Ghostlight
Sep 25, 2009

maybe for one second you can pause; try to step into another person's perspective, and understand that a watermelon is cursing me



acejackson42 posted:

So did Trump or one of his acolytes go off on COVID vaccines lately? Because man has there be a lot of that antivax trash popping up.

The chuds just have no idea of the scale of the COVID vaccine program, and how it completely blows up every narrative they have. I mean, 13,000,000,000 doses have been given worldwide. If there was something even remotely wrong that could be traced back, you'd have a hundred million people affected, even at under one per cent.

Imagine something openly giving blood clots and heart attacks to a third of the population of the U.S. and the CDC just shrugging its shoulders. Methinks that would be rather hard to ignore.

But when you don't have the mental acuity to understand vaccines in the first place, trying to understand the scale of a number with nine zeros after it is going to be rather difficult, too, I imagine.
look, i've had these people try and tell me 10 million immigrants come across the mexican border each day. they are not number understanders.

Waltzing Along
Jun 14, 2008

There's only one
Human race
Many faces
Everybody belongs here

Ghostlight posted:

look, i've had these people try and tell me 10 million immigrants come across the mexican border each day. they are not number understanders.

You haven't seen the massive jack off lines at the border?

mllaneza
Apr 28, 2007

Veteran, Bermuda Triangle Expeditionary Force, 1993-1952




Magnetic North posted:

Yes, yes, but have you considered that we're loomered? Loomered, I say.

Amazing Zimmo
Jan 27, 2006

That's quite a load you got in them diapers

Barometer posted:

I remember the first time we were around when our doggo farted and she looked at her butt, as if betrayed. ":wtf: was THAT?!"


Speaking of butts...



the simple art of standing has always baffled him

GoutPatrol
Oct 17, 2009

*Stupid Babby*

Waltzing Along posted:

You haven't seen the massive jack off lines at the border?

rio cum grande

FuturePastNow
May 19, 2014


eke out posted:

also, with all due respect to the pollsters, you can look at a poll where trump wins women +1 and instantly dismiss it lol (not to mention winning 18-29s significantly, but at least i understand those are harder to find and there are a lot fewer of them in your sample so weighting can make your numbers less realistic)

pollsters don't care if the poll is right, they just want to get paid, and the news networks paying them want the poll to show that the race is close (and it may actually be! since polling is just made up we'll find out on election night)

bigman.50grand
Mar 31, 2007
no
Donnie Dumps will see the CNN poll during his 1 AM constitutional and immediately heel turn on Kennedy calling him the most important voice in the vax debate and encourage the Dems to dump the radical leftist Joe Biden for the DINO Robert F. Kennedy Junior'.

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Amazing Zimmo
Jan 27, 2006

That's quite a load you got in them diapers

bigman.50grand posted:

Donnie Dumps will see the CNN poll during his 1 AM constitutional and immediately heel turn on Kennedy calling him the most important voice in the vax debate and encourage the Dems to dump the radical leftist Joe Biden for the DINO Robert F. Kennedy Junior'.

no, that time of morning is for breaching gag orders

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