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So which one of you is working at CNN? In all honesty, it tried a bit too hard to make it work at times, but drat if it didn't do about the best job it could given the subject matter.
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# ¿ Mar 20, 2015 08:00 |
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# ¿ May 11, 2024 16:25 |
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Necc0 posted:I'm guessing you haven't seen the original Thinking about it now, the only thing it was really missing to make it truly D&D was a couple of scenes featuring the ghost of Ronald Reagan in place of the stalker/murderer of the original. (Hell, if they could have used video of that one Republican debate with Reagan's head on the screen...) But I can see why that probably wouldn't fly.
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# ¿ Mar 20, 2015 16:04 |
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Slate Action posted:Wisconsin went for Obama by 9.5% in 2012, Republicans aren't winning it in 2016 no matter who they run, barring a landslide. I wouldn't be so quick to remove it from the toss-up column.
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# ¿ Mar 23, 2015 15:53 |
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MC Nietzche posted:The only reason I think Cruz legit has a shot is because this is not 2012, the GOP does not have a clear 2nd place person to hand the nomination to the way they did with Romney. At best they have an establishment candidate in Jeb. However, even in 2012 Romney did not sweep the board, he won it through painful attrition. What I am afraid of is that Cruz actually manages to knock out a few of the challengers before the primary proper starts, and he actually manages to energize the base. He wins a couple of primaries, people weak on Bush move to join the Cruzmentum, and he wins the long game. After the obvious establishment candidate (Bush), Cruz's biggest hurdle is Walker (and to a lesser extent, Perry). Santorum and Huckabee might energize the religious right but I think they're going to be fractured as a voting bloc between the two and the other Tea Party candidates. Carson sounds good now but I'd be surprised if he doesn't now out before Iowa for being a lightweight. Rubio has immigration hanging around his neck. But Walker has enough history as a rubber stamp for Tea Party legislation and has proven to be so in bed with the Kochs that Cruz is going to have a hard time getting donations with most of the establishment money going to Bush either way. If Cruz can knock out Walker early, however, his path to the nomination suddenly doesn't seem so far-fetched, since he's basically the strongest anti-establishment candidate and Koch money probably won't go to Perry and definitely not Bush.
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# ¿ Mar 23, 2015 17:18 |
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MC Nietzche posted:Yeah, my analysis is completely discounting Perry because I fully expect him to embarrass himself once again in the debates. I mean, Perry was a lightweight even among the relatively fluffy field of 2012, which does not bode well for him. You might be right, but I think the Kochs would probably err on the side of having a literal yes man in the White House over someone with substance but who is on their side. Walker might be an intellectual lightweight, but he has never bitten the hands that feed him and has managed to build a coalition of voters across several of the pillars of the modern Republican Party. Cruz, on the other hand, has been too eager to burn bridges in the party and I'm not sure the Kochs can be certain that they won't be burned by supporting him. Plus, Cruz is at a severe fundraising disadvantage so long as the Kochs can back Walker without backing an announced candidate while Cruz has to live within FEC guidelines. And the longer that goes on, the harder it is for Cruz to get a leg up and survive the first few debates while Walker burns through what remains of the Kochs' seed money. If Cruz can secure a big sugar daddy early enough though, he might have a chance. After all, I haven't heard who Adelson is going to back this go around. EDIT: Basically this: uncurable mlady posted:lol fuckin ted cruz will be lucky to make it to iowa if he's announcing in march, dude gotta be broke as a joke and unless he's planning to santorum it across Iowa I don't really see him having enough cash to really stay in the mix ComradeCosmobot fucked around with this message at 17:38 on Mar 23, 2015 |
# ¿ Mar 23, 2015 17:34 |
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SNAKES N CAKES posted:There's your first establishment endorsement: Rush is not establishment (in the sense that he is not a representative of the Wall Street wing of the party) nor is that a true endorsement.
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# ¿ Mar 23, 2015 18:32 |
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Malloreon posted:Bleed American actually came out in mid July 2001. I know cause I bought it on release day. It was renamed "Jimmy Eat World" and re-released in October 2001. Malloreon is not joking, either. (It actually was released on 9/10... In the UK) quote:The string of coincidences surrounding the band, its artwork, and the destruction of the World Trade Center was surreal, and they came back to haunt them on the band's first European tour that December. James, the group's bassist, was detained at the Amsterdam airport, told he was a threat to security. James lied about the band's name until the officer asked why "this plane will crash tomorrow" was written on his guitar. Somehow, a copy of the disc got the band past that sticky hurdle. The issue has continued to plague them as recently as 2011.
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# ¿ Mar 24, 2015 22:47 |
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Timby posted:Secret Service protection only applies to "major" presidential / vice presidential candidates beginning four months from the general election. (So, basically after the national conventions.) Primary candidates can also request and be granted protection if certain conditions are met. Romney, Gingrich and Santorum all had Secret Service details at some point during the 2012 primaries.
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# ¿ Mar 24, 2015 23:52 |
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Quidam Viator posted:Sorry for not getting this, but what specifically are those two maps meant to show? Hypothetical best and worst cases for electoral college votes given today's political environment?
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# ¿ Mar 25, 2015 20:53 |
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Lockback posted:Do undecided voters care about Israel? Does US-Israeli relations get people to the polls? I get that its a vector to attack Obama on, but it seems like kind of a weak thing to attack a candidate on during a presidential debate. Pumping up Israel seems like what you do when you are fundraising but its not really something you make an issue. That's just it though. You don't think these people are playing the long-term funding game by appealing to pro-Israel boosters like Sheldon Adelson in an attempt to get some of their sweet cash before FEC regulations kick in by declaring? EDIT: Remember, these are the sort of people who managed to get Chris Christie to apologize to them for daring to use the phrase "occupied territories" in a speech. ComradeCosmobot fucked around with this message at 22:38 on Mar 26, 2015 |
# ¿ Mar 26, 2015 22:35 |
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Joementum posted:New CBS News poll. Where did those 2% no votes for Hillary go? EDIT: It's somehow unsurprising that the only movement since February on the Democratic side was in Biden's unfavorables. He clearly knows how to speak to women voters. ComradeCosmobot fucked around with this message at 03:20 on Mar 30, 2015 |
# ¿ Mar 30, 2015 03:13 |
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Sir Tonk posted:I think we know where Drudge has decide to hitch his wagon. Eh. I wouldn't put that much weight in that. He was going a bit gaga for Walker a few weeks back too.
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# ¿ Apr 6, 2015 23:06 |
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Fried Chicken posted:Reminder: "President Rand Paul" is an anagram of "A ripened turd's plan" As great as that is, I still don't think we'll ever do better than "My ultimate Ayn Rand porn"
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# ¿ Apr 7, 2015 16:28 |
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From a few pages back:ReidRansom posted:Perry has pending criminal charges still. Keep that in mind. Placed against him by a Democratic judge in a Democratic county. That'll probably do wonders for the base. No, I don't think Perry really has a serious chance with Walker and Jeb more or less staking out the territory that would be his. I mean it could happen if they both flamed out, but really it's Jeb's to lose, and with the fractiousness of the Republican primaries, I think he'll win without even having to do anything serious. EDIT: By which I mean that I could see pretty much every wing settling for Perry, but I don't see any wing BACKING Perry. And since backing is what gets you through Super Tuesday... ComradeCosmobot fucked around with this message at 03:36 on Apr 8, 2015 |
# ¿ Apr 8, 2015 03:22 |
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PupsOfWar posted:Sandoval or Martinez would be good picks (not sure how that would jive with sandoval's presumed senate run) I'd give Martinez the edge. If they want a woman on the ticket to at least SORT of balance out Hillary at the top of the Democratic ticket, Martinez nets them not only the Hispanic vote, but the female vote, and a Republican governor in a blue state. The risk, of course, is that Martinez turns out to be another Palin, but if Fiorina is running to be veep, she must know that Martinez does a better job at doing what Fiorina does (token minority) without the baggage of having lost campaigns in blue states.
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# ¿ Apr 9, 2015 06:20 |
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Gyges posted:At this point Republicans are going to have to do a lot more than just put a Martinez on the ticket to net the Hispanic vote. poo poo, putting a Rubio on the ticket probably isn't even going to net the Cuban subsection. I'm not saying it's a cure-all. I'm merely saying that Republicans will think it's part of a cure-all, if not the entirety of it.
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# ¿ Apr 9, 2015 07:12 |
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Raskolnikov38 posted:This now raises the question if the antiquities act is so worded that the president could make the entire planet a national park Obama uses one weird trick to enact national gun control. Conservatives hate it! EDIT: Forgot that that was undone way back in 2010. Bah.
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# ¿ Apr 10, 2015 21:39 |
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Joementum posted:The big mystery of the Rubio announcement is if he's going to stay in his Senate race. He said this (jokingly) during his NRA speech two days ago, "In just three days in Miami I will announce whether I will run for president, for re-election in the Senate or commissioner of the National Football League." The good thing for Rubio is that he can basically run both races. Rubio is free to change his mind and focus on a run for Senate any time before May 6, 2016, when Florida's candidate qualifying period ends. Since the Republican nomination should be wrapped up well before then (and Rubio out even earlier), Rubio can have absolutely no problem running for Senate instead, and claim that he stuck with his promise. Nietzschean posted:If the next president is smart, then something Obama did will be blamed and it will be repeated enough that it becomes true whether it is or not. This only works if you're a Republican, and it's why I give a better than 50/50 chance on inaugurating a Republican president on January 20, 2021. The only question is whether it's the Republican's first term or second term. ComradeCosmobot fucked around with this message at 01:16 on Apr 13, 2015 |
# ¿ Apr 13, 2015 01:12 |
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computer parts posted:Yes, the GOP is well known for all standing together these days. making GBS threads on Democrats is pretty much the sole defining feature of the modern-day Republican party. And since this would involve making GBS threads on a Democrat...
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# ¿ Apr 13, 2015 01:25 |
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Frijolero posted:I'll be voting Sanders in primary and Jill Stein in the final. I wish I could vote Sanders, but California's primary is so late he wouldn't be on the ballot even if he does run (also I refuse to register as a Democrat) Will gladly vote for Stein again, though.
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# ¿ Apr 13, 2015 18:25 |
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Shear Modulus posted:There were much better protest-vote candidates in 2012 than Stein. Anderson, for example. To be honest, I was torn between Anderson and Stein in 2012. I ended up going Stein because their positions were fundamentally the same, but only one of them had anything remotely resembling a chance of maintaining ballot access. If the Greens had nominated one of the usual kooks associated with the party, then sure, I'd have voted for Rocky, but as long as all things were the same (and Stein was actually pretty grounded for a Green Party nominee) I might as well make sure they kept ballot access because that is more important in the margins than ideological purity. But the legitimate gripes with the Greens are precisely why I haven't registered with them (or Peace and Freedom, for that matter).
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# ¿ Apr 13, 2015 18:46 |
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Chamale posted:Agreed. I voted for them in 2012 despite disagreeing with their anti-nuclear energy stance. But since Stein is also anti-vaccine, I'm going to find another hopeless third party to vote for this time. Should I choose the Socialist Party or the Party for Socialism? Where did you hear that? Stein being an anti-vaxxer is news to me, and if true, would be a bit surprising given that she's a doctor who's published a peer-reviewed survey of toxins in child development in some detail. Now of course that COULD be exactly why someone would become anti-vaccine but it doesn't quite jive with my understanding, especially when the only thing I could dig up was where she seemed to adhere to a much more nuanced and reasonable reading of the "holistic health" point in the Green Party platform in 2012.
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# ¿ Apr 13, 2015 19:07 |
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Hollismason posted:Yeah if you want to see the Civil Rights act completely dismantled vote 3rd party, let a Republican become president and you count the minutes until we're hosed. If you are in a safe Republican or safe Democratic state, and the race is widely understood to go to the incumbent, there is no harm in voting third party.
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# ¿ Apr 13, 2015 19:25 |
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Juvenalian.Satyr posted:I don't think illegal abortion is on the table It is if Justice Ginsburg is replaced with Justice John Yoo. Repeal of Roe v. Wade largely hasn't happened yet because Kennedy still likes the idea of stare decisis. I seem to recall that there are four firm votes otherwise.
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# ¿ Apr 13, 2015 19:31 |
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Brace yourselves for Grandmagate.
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# ¿ Apr 16, 2015 02:41 |
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Spaceman Future! posted:How would that matter to any GOP candidate? Its not an issue this cycle As of a month ago, marijuana legalization will be on the ballot in Nevada in 2016. Chances are good that California, Arizona, Maine and Massachusetts will get ballot initiatives as well.
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# ¿ Apr 16, 2015 07:51 |
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Titus Sardonicus posted:Are people still arguing that the charges against Perry are purely political? Has he been officially indicted? I've only been following this story sort of obliquely. He was officially indicted, but because a Democratic district attorney filed charges against him. This obviously means the whole thing can be ignored as a political witch hunt. Oh, and the Republican appeals court judges will ensure that nothing bad happens to him in the end.
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# ¿ Apr 22, 2015 16:06 |
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Hellblazer187 posted:I know people in programming who lament bringing in too many Indians to do for half the pay a college graduate from the United States would expect. I'd rather bring them here to work (and spend). An Indian in America earning half is better than an Indian in India earning a tenth and spending it all there. But is it better when you also remember that that American he helped replace is also earning half? You now have two people doing twice the work for the same total cost to the company. EDIT: And for the same overall benefit to the economy given that we aren't talking about people earning more than $200k, so there's no outsized amount of money being routed to savings instead of more immediate purchases. Unless you count "lower cost of labor" to be a net positive. ComradeCosmobot fucked around with this message at 16:36 on Apr 22, 2015 |
# ¿ Apr 22, 2015 16:32 |
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Hellblazer187 posted:That's missing the point. Of course I'd rather have American graduates earning good salaries. When the two economically feasible alternatives for a large tech company are "bring Indians in, pay half" or "send work to India, pay less than half," everyone is better off when they choose the first of those options. If there's a way to change things such that a third economically feasible option includes "pay American graduates full amount" then I would love to see those changes made. However, if the only change we make is to limit skilled worker visas, we now make it much more attractive for the company to ship the entire job to India if the work can be done remotely (as a lot of technical work can). Actually, shipping work off to India doesn't always pay. It's becoming understood that outsourcing coding to India tends to produce lower-quality products (for a number of interrelated reasons including language barriers and ineffective oversight of work given the time zone difference and need to get and give regular feedback on the state of the product being developed). So unless you're going to ship half your management team over as well... There's a reason companies now are pushing to bring workers over rather than keep them in India. It costs more, but the quality suddenly becomes as good as American work. The decision isn't necessarily between "bring workers over" and "do the work in India", because it's clear that companies would very much prefer to bring them over because the work quality is better and it still costs less than paying Americans. EDIT: If your choices are "make shoddier work in India for a tenth the cost (or acceptable work for 20% of the cost but twice as much time)", "make good work in America for half the cost with non-American labor", and "make equally good work for full cost with American labor" of course the last option will never be seen as economically feasible, because there is literally no incentive to pay more. If you remove that middle option though, there's at least some demand going to that last option, because SOME people will want quality work regardless of the extra cost. ComradeCosmobot fucked around with this message at 16:56 on Apr 22, 2015 |
# ¿ Apr 22, 2015 16:50 |
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Joementum posted:That's also a ludicrous position, unsupported by evidence. On the other hand... quote:In the survey, 61 percent said "honest" describes her only slightly well or not at all.
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# ¿ May 1, 2015 21:07 |
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Nessus posted:I wonder who the new Perfect Liberal will be after Bernie eventually dies (I wish him no ill but we are all mortal) or if it will just become "We lost the last good man, sob" People seem to have rallied behind Warren already, although she's not quite Bernie caliber. There's also (depending on the issue) Wyden, Franken, and (Sherrod) Brown. Maybe Merkley, Baldwin and Whitehouse too, depending on your definitions. I mean, no one of these has really galvanized support in the way that Bernie has (other than Warren, but she's not going to take the torch to the presidency), and none of them have actually accepted the label of "socialist" as a badge of honor like Bernie, but together they make up a non-negligible bloc of the left who will keep up the good work (more or less) when he's gone (probably 2018, from what I've been hearing). EDIT: That said, Sen. Sawant (S-WA) is a name I see subtitled on C-SPAN in my dreams. ComradeCosmobot fucked around with this message at 22:52 on May 3, 2015 |
# ¿ May 3, 2015 22:49 |
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icantfindaname posted:So who else is looking forwards to 19 more months of slapfighting over strategic voting? Depends if everyone can agree to vote for [the candidate I think you should vote for].
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# ¿ May 4, 2015 05:09 |
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steinrokkan posted:How can Carly Fiorina even consider running, her only achievement is being repeatedly named as the worst CEO of a major corporation. She has money and is a woman and therefore wants to let the actual candidate (who ever that may be) know that she could be a very useful proxy if they want to attack Hillary on something where a man attacking her would seem improper (and that she should be rewarded for it, with a VP slot perhaps? Wink wink nudge nudge?) Carly doesn't really want the presidency (or rather she does, but her handlers are almost certainly aware she can't get it this time), so she's really just positioning for political favors so she can eventually get into higher office come hell or high water.
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# ¿ May 4, 2015 18:44 |
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Tatum Girlparts posted:Remember when we thought this election would be more toned down? Also she ran a major company. Did Hillary run a major company? No? Oh? Carly ran it into the ground? Are you sure it is not you who is the real sexist?
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# ¿ May 4, 2015 19:00 |
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People can vote however they like. I am not sure what is the deal with D&D's sudden insistence that there is never a good time to vote for someone other than Hillary, or that we should never vote for a party which has only one or two bad things in its platform and instead should vote for the Democratic Party? EDIT: That said, taking the nature of FPTP and voting strategically is generally a good idea if you want to maximize good outcomes. vvvv In other words: what they said vvvv ComradeCosmobot fucked around with this message at 18:11 on May 5, 2015 |
# ¿ May 5, 2015 18:05 |
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Cubey posted:The Greens are staunchly anti-nuclear and they are also supporters of various forms of woo like homeopathy and are firmly against GMOs and water flouridation. This goes back to my point though. If people shouldn't vote Green because of those parts of the platform, then I guess true liberals just shouldn't vote at all, because it's not like Democrats are much better. Only that their objectionable platform elements and actions (undying support for Israel, drones, prosecuting whistleblowers, expanding the surveillance state and not prosecuting Wall Street) are somehow more "mainstream" because the other party does it too. Yes, the Green Party is not perfect, but unless you're voting yourself for President, you'll never have a perfect candidate.
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# ¿ May 5, 2015 18:21 |
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PupsOfWar posted:if you want to Protest Vote, you can easily find some minor socialist party with social-justice/economic equality positioning that's as good or better than the Greens', but without all the weird paraphenalia inserted into the Green platform to placate elderly hippies. Unless you live in Missouri, North Dakota, Mississippi, or South Carolina. Then you couldn't even write in Rocky Anderson. If you lived in Oklahoma, South Dakota, Nevada or North Carolina, you didn't even get to vote Green. And there's also continuing ballot access to worry about. Do you vote for a write-in and risk the only left-wing party on the ballot losing access? EDIT: Cubey posted:You are right that there is no perfect candidate, but there are better options for those who wish to vote for a leftist candidate as well.; for example, the Democratic Socialists of America is a party that exists and that advocates a similar economic ideology without the baggage of new-age crazy to go along with it. The DSA has never fielded its own candidate for U.S. president. ComradeCosmobot fucked around with this message at 18:33 on May 5, 2015 |
# ¿ May 5, 2015 18:31 |
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eternalname posted:Any candidate is going to have views I disagree with, but when large portions of their platform betray a total lack of common sense, it's different than a difference of opinion on a policy issue. Please indicate the proportion of the Green Party platform that betrays a lack of common sense to the proportion that does not. Having glanced at the platform, I recall that the alternative medicine part was something like two lines of a multi-page platform. I imagine the anti-nuke stance is similar. EDIT: Also, re: anti-fluoridation, I recall that some state platforms are nuttier than the national platform. If you're voting Green for President, you don't also have to vote for your nuttier Green gubernatorial candidate. Each candidate stands on their own merits as well as the merits of the party as a whole. This is why we can talk about voting for Bernie despite the fact that he's running for the nomination of a party which has consistently failed to prosecute Wall Street all 8 years it's been in power. ComradeCosmobot fucked around with this message at 18:54 on May 5, 2015 |
# ¿ May 5, 2015 18:48 |
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eternalname posted:Correct me if I'm wrong about any of these, but if I met anyone in real life who believed in homeopathy and was against flouride and vaccinations, I wouldn't trust them in any position of authority regardless of whatever other beliefs they held. Hence why I say you have to judge each candidate on their merits. The same goes for the major parties too.
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# ¿ May 5, 2015 19:21 |
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# ¿ May 11, 2024 16:25 |
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My Imaginary GF posted:One of the key merits: Is this candidate viable? Phew! I was worried someone wouldn't come in to justify voting Republican if you are a Democrat in Wyoming, but lo and behold...
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# ¿ May 5, 2015 19:36 |