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How will you be voting in the UKEU Referendum?
This poll is closed.
Remain - Keep Britane Strong! 328 15.40%
Leave - Take Are Sovreignity Back! 115 5.40%
Remain - But only because Brexit are crazy 506 23.76%
Leave - But only because the EU is terrible 157 7.37%
Spoiled Ballot - This whole thing is an awful idea 61 2.86%
I'm not going to vote 19 0.89%
I'm not allowed to vote 411 19.30%
Pissflaps 533 25.02%
Total: 2130 votes
[Edit Poll (moderators only)]

 
  • Locked thread
Hoops
Aug 19, 2005


A Black Mark For Retarded Posting

Nitrousoxide posted:

The BBC has engaged in censorship to toe the government line. Here's one particularly widespread and egregious example.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1988%E2%80%9394_British_broadcasting_voice_restrictions

There are plenty of other examples as well, though they tend to less blatent.
Isn't this an example of them specifically not toeing the government line? The government tired to implement censorship by making it illegal to broadcast their voices, so the media (including the BBC) used a loophole to defy the government's aim. Unless your point is that they should have ignored a legal, state-wide ban and got themselves sanctioned, this seems like a completely contradictory example to use.

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Hoops
Aug 19, 2005


A Black Mark For Retarded Posting
We used to get five different newspapers on a Sunday and read them as a family, and the Mail on Sunday had the best magazine.

Hoops
Aug 19, 2005


A Black Mark For Retarded Posting
We have hosed this

Hoops
Aug 19, 2005


A Black Mark For Retarded Posting

forkboy84 posted:

It'd be neat if Ober, while he's probated, would put together that Marxist reading list for the OP.
It'd be neat if he took a few weeks off the internet. I say this from a place of good intent - it would be good for a lot of UKMT posters

Hoops
Aug 19, 2005


A Black Mark For Retarded Posting

Joda posted:

Is there any particular reason why Scotland shouldn't be accepted with open arms in the EU? They're a European nation who believe in the project. For the same reason, is there any particular reason why Scotland wouldn't just accept a regular membership?
For the EU accepting Scotland, it comes down to red tape and box ticking. EU memberships are extraordinarily complex, there will be a million things that have to be negotiated and forecast first (Scotland still wouldn't have a central bank, for instance). But I think everyone sort of expects some kind of fast track negotiation.

For Scotland, I don't think there's emotional resistance to joining as a "normal" member, including adopting the Euro. But the practical difficulties of having your only land-border be with a non-EU member (who would be your largest trading partner, speak the same language, lots of businesses have branches in both, family members now separated by a passport border) means that Scotland has to make the call of which membership benefits it more - EU or UK. The problem is that there's just been such a stark difference in the vote, and Scotland has now had a completely unwanted change imposed on it (I think more than any in the history of the Union, despite what the Yes campaign would have said) that people are now far more willing to tell the rest of the UK to gently caress off. No won in 2014 because the majority of people didn't feel a wall of separation between Scotland and the rest of the UK (actually meaning England), but they certainly will now.

edit: Let's say it takes 3 years for the UK to officially leave the EU. There will be a second Scottish referendum before that time, which Yes will win. If there's only a few months overlap between UK leaving the EU and Scotland leaving the UK, I can see Scotland just sort of ignoring everything and existing in this interim legal state. But if there's 18 or 24 months, what happens then? They change the passports twice?

Hoops fucked around with this message at 22:15 on Jun 25, 2016

Hoops
Aug 19, 2005


A Black Mark For Retarded Posting

Pissflaps posted:

I think for Scotland to get independence the SNP has to make it happen now, while emotions are high.

Because, pragmatically, it doesn't make sense for Scotland to leave one economic and political union for the sake of another one with which it has less in common and relies on less economically. I also can't see Scotland receiving the same kind of fiscal transfers it enjoys while remaining in the UK.

The longer the Brexit/Independence process takes, the more chance there is for this feeling of injustice to fade and for economic reality to erode nationalist fervour.
The timeframes we're talking about mean it's almost certainly going to happen. Feels like anything within 5 years and Scotland are out, no matter what. And everything will be happening in more like 2 or 3, not 5.

The young No voters who were also young Remain voters will feel the most hurt by this because the horizon of their personal identity is so much wider. I think they'll give up being British for being European.

Hoops
Aug 19, 2005


A Black Mark For Retarded Posting
I don't care about Corbyn's suits or anything about what he does with his cabinet, and I certainly don't give a gently caress about PMQs, but the Labour leadership dodged this whole referendum when they should have been convincing their base of the positives of the EU.

Ironically though, as a pragmatist, whether Corbyn wanted to stay in or not doesn't matter any more, because the vote is over. So all that's left is to decide whether he's the right person to run the left-wing party of the UK we have now.

Hoops
Aug 19, 2005


A Black Mark For Retarded Posting

forkboy84 posted:

He campaigned loads. Just because the press didn't cover it because he's not exciting doesn't mean it didn't happen.
But it does mean that it didn't work very well. A national campaign without the media is an oxymoron - if he can't get Labour voters to agree with things he says he believes, that's a problem. My concern is him becoming the Labour Michael Howard - the people who are with him see exactly what he stands for and consider him a man of incredible substance, the people who are either neutral or against him write him off as a complete non-entity.

(disclaimer because I know how the UKMT works - this is a conversation about the Labour party and their voters, it goes without saying that the Leave campaign take far far more of the blame than anyone on the Remain side, but I already know full well whether or not they should be leading anything)

Hoops
Aug 19, 2005


A Black Mark For Retarded Posting

SUNKOS posted:

Corbyn managed to get the majority of Labour supporters to vote remain
Ashcroft poll says Labour voters were 63/37 Remain. I'm really sorry, but that's not impressive at all.

Hoops
Aug 19, 2005


A Black Mark For Retarded Posting

quote:

What is gained, after the Leave voters won, by yelling at Corbyn for not convincing the winning side they were wrong? As opposed to Corbyn's apparently tactic of "Well, we're out, I understand why, lets get some work done,". He is literally the only politician apart from Sturgeon at the moment who appears to have some idea of what he's doing and Labour seems to be furious at him for not mourning or panicking enough.
I'm trying to work through whether I still believe that Corbyn's leadership will lead to things being better. Forkboy's thoughts a few posts up are very similar to what's going through my mind. it doesn't matter if it's not fair, or if it's the media's fault, you have to view it all through a pragmatic lens, anything else is just fandom. I still know why I voted for Corbyn, most people here do, but there are moderate swing voters that think Corbyn is a joke and there's not been as much progress as I was hoping for in showing them that they're wrong. I don't have a roadmap of solutions to offer here admittedly, other than a better media team.

Tesseraction posted:

You're statistically illiterate too I see.
Oh god Tesseraction please don't. You do this every time, it's like a flashing siren for your ego being wrapped up in how well you did in school. I don't read every argument you have with pissflaps but the last time you did this to me it ended with you posting a list of topics you were currently debating on the internet, it was embarassing. Now take the final word, tell me to open up my pathetic little mind for one fucknugget of a second or say something about how the grown ups are talking, whatever of your zingers you want tonight. I promise you can be the winner.

Hoops
Aug 19, 2005


A Black Mark For Retarded Posting

brawleh posted:

Corbyn is doing the right things by the Labour party with a more grassroots approach - concern about his popularity or whatever is missing the point....
All excellent points.

I'll phrase it as: Discussions about Corbyn always boil down to accelerationism versus gradualism. I can't count how many times I've read someone post "the Overton window has shifted to the right so much in recent years...." in this thread, so my question is how does that reconcile to having a true socialist as the alternative option to a government that increased their vote share on an austerity platform? Maybe the wrong week to be making this claim, but British political history does not have a lot of incidences of massive governmental shifts. The government that came after is usually not that different to the government that came before, I just don't think it's how the voters vote unless it suddenly gets massively, massively worse like it did in Greece.

So I understand what every one of you are saying. But my point is about the virtues of risk-aversion - what if it doesn't work? My first choice would be Corbyn becomes prime minister and implements robust socialist policies. If we can't get that (and we probably won't get that), I can live with Chuka for five years, Sadiq Khan five after that, then - after we've shifted the beloved Overton window to the left a few points, normalised a centre-left voice again, and made the Tories move to the middle again like they did in the 2000s - try it with a real socialist. it's playing it much more safe but it limits the possibility of Labour getting blown out of the water and it's 15-20 years of Tory governments, with Labour being forced to move even further to the right to grab back votes.

Thing is, I believe that most of the thread have considered all of the above as well. So one thing I want to point out is that there's no reason the choice has to be build grassroots or have a clear national message. It's not "Corbyn" or "a Blairite robot", it's "Corbyn who becomes more effective at presenting his message amongst those he needs to convince" or "Corbyn who loses at the GE, gets ousted by treacherous short-sighted backbenchers and the left doesn't get another chance for a generation". How well he's doing with the man on the street is irrelevant, the PLP have the power to get rid of him and they *will* do it unless something changes. I'm not happy about it either.

Hoops fucked around with this message at 00:41 on Jun 26, 2016

Hoops
Aug 19, 2005


A Black Mark For Retarded Posting

nopantsjack posted:

I mean that is quite literally what is happening with Corbyn?
Not at all? The "Controls on immigration" mug.

Hoops
Aug 19, 2005


A Black Mark For Retarded Posting
"Fairness in the welfare system"

Hoops
Aug 19, 2005


A Black Mark For Retarded Posting

MrL_JaKiri posted:

Nah mate he got a first round knockout
How do these things happen at 1am on a Saturday night?

Hoops
Aug 19, 2005


A Black Mark For Retarded Posting

Wildstrike posted:

Hoey's my MP and she's always all over the place in ways that make no sense. Pro-Leave when she represents the most solidly Remain area in the country outside of the City of London and Gibraltar but also saying she'll oppose a motion of no confidence in Corbyn. He would be removing the whip from one of the only MPs that has said they'll support his leadership.

It's just a constant crap shoot.
Kate Hoey is the most unpredictable MP I've ever heard of. She's this sort of political and social libertarian mixed with an economic socialist, plus she hates Europe and wants to put controls on immigration. And all of those are only "sometimes". She represents a London constituency but voted strongly against banning fox hunting.

http://www.theyworkforyou.com/mp/10282/kate_hoey/vauxhall#votes

Certainly someone who doesn't blindly follow the party line. I guess she averages out as "Labour", but she could be in basically any party and would still be one of their rebel MPs.

Hoops fucked around with this message at 02:33 on Jun 26, 2016

Hoops
Aug 19, 2005


A Black Mark For Retarded Posting
I cannot believe how much mental poo poo is going on right now. And just how mental many of them are. It's honestly difficult to fully comprehend.

Hoops
Aug 19, 2005


A Black Mark For Retarded Posting

qhat posted:

I liked Andy Burnham, and I continue to like him today.
Yeah this weathercock thing is bullshit, he's a respectable and committed left wing politician who wants to renationalise the railways, was a big part of both the Hillsborough inquiry and Mid Staffs and who once got in a taxi with the Sun logo on the side. If you go through his career he's done exactly what I hope my MP would do about 80% of the time, which is a rate that compares to anyone's. He's a very good Labour Party MP and I think he'd be great as King in the North.

Hoops
Aug 19, 2005


A Black Mark For Retarded Posting
Who thinks he'll make it to the end of the day? I think he might.

Hoops
Aug 19, 2005


A Black Mark For Retarded Posting
Black country dialect, they say "mom" there.

Hoops
Aug 19, 2005


A Black Mark For Retarded Posting
Did they change the rules from the last one? Can the £3 supporters still vote?

Hoops
Aug 19, 2005


A Black Mark For Retarded Posting

Fans posted:

He won't leave unless they can beat him in an election, he's made that clear. They could all resign and he'd just offer jobs to newer MP's and Lords. He'll weather them out unless they force it with a leadership challenge.
I think most party leaders say that, until the point where they resign. Whatever he said this morning may no longer apply by 5pm, particularly if Watson resigns.

Hoops
Aug 19, 2005


A Black Mark For Retarded Posting
Didn't the thread just tear into a guy who admitted he voted Leave a few pages ago?

Hoops
Aug 19, 2005


A Black Mark For Retarded Posting

NO gently caress YOU DAD posted:

Still waiting for anyone who wants Corbyn out to present a coherent vision of what happens if he goes. Does anyone seriously think any of Umunna, Jarvis and Nandy are ready or capable of defeating a right-surging Tory party in a right-surging country? If so, why?
Angela Eagle would be a good party leader, and there wouldn't be the same kind of distractions getting in the way of effective national politics. Settle down all the party members who are chimping out right now, present an air of competency to swing voters that the media have to argue against, rather than an air of incompetency to swing voters that the media will gleefully reinforce, and get everyone in the party on message. Present someone to the northern Leave voters who isn't an old hippy from Islington.

Also yes I do think Chuka Umunna is certainly capable of winning the general election, same with Dan Jarvis. I'd rather not have to vote for them though.

Hoops
Aug 19, 2005


A Black Mark For Retarded Posting
Yeah it's getting more and more clear "Corbyn actually voted for Leave" is a rumour that's being spread to put the boot in.

Hoops
Aug 19, 2005


A Black Mark For Retarded Posting

SUNKOS posted:

I can't believe that our economy is freefalling into oblivion right now following a referendum campaign of straight lies and the media only cares about smearing the political career of a leader whose voting base did some of the most work to keep the country in the EU while the real villains are apparently free to go on holiday. What the gently caress is going on? At least Corbyn is around and actually doing something, where the gently caress are the Tories? They caused this mess, but nobody wants to point a finger at them because???
Because they're like a million billion times better at "politics" than the current Labour party.

Hoops
Aug 19, 2005


A Black Mark For Retarded Posting

NO gently caress YOU DAD posted:

See, this is the sort of thing I'm after. A general idea of policy would be nice too, but I can't complain about forum posts when senior political figures can't muster anything beyond hysteria.
Policies would be the same as Corbyn's policies.

Hoops
Aug 19, 2005


A Black Mark For Retarded Posting

Miftan posted:

Would they though?
Yeah, sure. Corbyn's never proposed anything that is massively far-left or outside the realms of what the Labour party "should" stand for, people just think he has.

I swear people who can't bear any criticism of Corbyn think "leader of a political party" is synonymous with "person who has the best ideas" and isn't actually a job with responsibilities where you have to do specific things to manage the party. The leader actually has to do things to keep the party under control, it's not just being "head of socialism" and everyone listening to you. It's not news that a lot of other MPs in a party don't like the leader, that's always been the case. It's not an easy thing to wrangle a political party into doing what you want them to, and he's no good at it. Most party leaders in the past, who many or may not have had preferable political views, have been better at it and therefore have been able to get things done because the whole bag of cats hasn't burst and everyone ran wild. To summarise - being the best player doesn't mean you should be the team captain.

Hoops
Aug 19, 2005


A Black Mark For Retarded Posting
Nothing is surprising this week.

Hoops
Aug 19, 2005


A Black Mark For Retarded Posting
Let's just knock this leadership election out quickly. If Corbyn wins a big mandate, he wins the battle, end of. Right now he's in this very awkward position of a brutal insult from his party, while pointing to a leadership election that happened ages ago in political terms.

Hoops
Aug 19, 2005


A Black Mark For Retarded Posting

thespaceinvader posted:

lol like gently caress, he conclusively won the leadership battle 9 months ago and has exceeded every arbitrary test set for him in the hope that he'd fail and give and excuse for kicking him out.

When he wins again, gently caress knows what will happen, it'll be better than the alternative but I'm getting the nagging feeling (hope being, of course, a mistake) that it will not be good.
It doesn't count any more, it's not the story. Corbyn personally doesn't give a gently caress about "the story", but all his MPs do. Whilst I disagree he's exceeded anything since his leadership election win, I think he will win the leadership contest and then all the PLP have no choice but to back down, because that's how their world works.

Hoops
Aug 19, 2005


A Black Mark For Retarded Posting
The best thing for The Northern Powerhouse would be the election of visible, powerful mayors of Manchester, Liverpool, Leeds, Newcastle, to do exactly what Sturgeon does every day. Potentially only Manchester to start with otherwise they'll crowd each other out. It'll accelerate the gently caress out of federalism as they'll have to be essentially be like US state governors, but if Andy Burnham can do it and be on TV regularly then that could potentially make a big difference. Always a suit, never ever ever in those big medal things that mayors wear.

Hoops
Aug 19, 2005


A Black Mark For Retarded Posting
As stunts go it's certainly worth the punt.

Hoops
Aug 19, 2005


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That room looks poo poo

Edit: literally, the meeting room

Hoops
Aug 19, 2005


A Black Mark For Retarded Posting
Haha has the UKMT gone over Martin McGuiness and the Queen today?

Hoops
Aug 19, 2005


A Black Mark For Retarded Posting

Jose posted:

if people want a reason corbyn is unelectable its because he's really not liked up north
People who aren't inclined to read up on his policies think he's a joke, it's really bad. I honestly can't overstress how many times in the real world I've heard "Labour-ish" people talk about how they think he's completely useless.

*not attacking Corbyn, I like him and support his policies, I voted for him"

*not attacking Corbyn, I like him and support his policies, I voted for him"

*not attacking Corbyn, I like him and support his policies, I voted for him"

*not attacking Corbyn, I like him and support his policies, I voted for him"

Hoops
Aug 19, 2005


A Black Mark For Retarded Posting

Munin posted:

The biggest difference in terms of what drives party membership is that primaries are not a thing. The way candidates are picked in the UK is totally different (opaque and undemocratic).
Candidates for what? Party leader? They're all MPs who were elected by their constituency and we don't have an executive branch of government. Then once people do become candidates, it's s very open and democratic process (for Labour anyway).

Hoops
Aug 19, 2005


A Black Mark For Retarded Posting

JeffersonClay posted:

I had no idea. So who cares if Corbyn got 60% of the vote in the last labour leadership election if less than 2% of the electorate voted?
You can only win the contest that's put in front of you, and he annihilated the competition in the leadership election. So until there's some other vote from Labour members to show otherwise, he has an overwhelming mandate to lead the party.

But the issue is exactly as you point out, i think it would be a disastrous mistake to assume that result scales up much beyond the very odd leadership contest last year. I agree with whoever said it was actually a battle for the soul of the party, but only at that level. Once you get out of paid up party members and into the general voters we just go back to "who do I want to be prime minister?". This is why the constant sarcasm about "electability" feels like people trying to pretend the conversation is about something smaller than it actually is.

In US presidential campaigns, one school of thought is that rather than current voting intention, the most important thing is a candidate's "consider" score, being the % of people that would even consider voting for them. The closer your consider score is to your poll results, the more polarising you are as candidate as it shows you have a die-hard support and a firm ceiling. Clearly that's Trump this time, with the opposite being someone like Ben Carson who almost everyone could hypothetically imagine themself, under a specific set of circumstances, with no better options, begrudgingly being okay with voting for.

So I think consider score might be Corbyns problem.

P.s are the lib dems positioning themselves as the single issue party for voting down Brexit? I think that will actually work out getting then a massive vote boost.

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Hoops
Aug 19, 2005


A Black Mark For Retarded Posting
The EU will never negotiate with anyone who isn't the leader of the government or the finance minister right? Which of two things we as a country sort of don't have right now. So any negotiation will never happen prior to a new PM and article 50 being invoked, right?

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