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What is the best flav... you all know what this question is: This poll is closed. |
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| Labour |
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907 | 49.92% |
| Theresa May Team (Conservative) |
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48 | 2.64% |
| Liberal Democrats |
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31 | 1.71% |
| UKIP |
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13 | 0.72% |
| Plaid Cymru |
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25 | 1.38% |
| Green |
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22 | 1.21% |
| Scottish Socialist Party |
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12 | 0.66% |
| Scottish Conservative Party |
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1 | 0.06% |
| Scottish National Party |
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59 | 3.25% |
| Some Kind of Irish Unionist |
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4 | 0.22% |
| Alliance / Irish Nonsectarian |
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3 | 0.17% |
| Some Kind of Irish Nationalist |
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36 | 1.98% |
| Misc. Far Left Trots |
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35 | 1.93% |
| Misc. Far Right Fash |
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8 | 0.44% |
| Monster Raving Loony |
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49 | 2.70% |
| Space Navies Party |
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39 | 2.15% |
| Independent / Single Issue |
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2 | 0.11% |
| Can't Vote |
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188 | 10.35% |
| Won't Vote |
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8 | 0.44% |
| Spoiled Ballot |
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15 | 0.83% |
| Pissflaps |
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312 | 17.17% |
| Total: | 1817 votes | ||
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Irony Be My Shield posted:Under 18-24 year olds are polling like 70% Labour, and the next age group is also pretty heavily Labour. This thread is about what you'd expect, the only age group with a lot of Tories is 65+ and they don't post on the internet that much. Introduce internet only voting.
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Jun 1, 2017 10:09
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Five points is a very interesting number, if you go by national swing along anything less than 6 points hangs parliament.
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Jun 2, 2017 12:14
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Namtab posted:Please bear in mind before becoming hopeful that old people may very well have postally voted weeks ago This is very true and a good point. However back on the hopeful front postal votes dropped during the first big Labour surge. One of the things that did for Remain was that leave was in the ascendancy during postal voting. Still though, it's important to keep our hope balanced.
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Jun 2, 2017 12:18
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jBrereton posted:Does that calculation include SF not turning up? I have no idea I'm afraid, It was Mike Smithson's not mine. Probably is my instinct given how knowledgeable he is.
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Jun 2, 2017 12:18
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Jippa posted:I'm glad that you guys watched the debate last night so I didn't have to. Interestingly the guardian is way more positive on corbyn and down on may, they don't seem to think the nuke thing was a big deal. The BBC coverage and commentator's round-ups are both fine too. I wonder if we've all just been triggered by fuds.
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Jun 3, 2017 08:26
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Tesseraction posted:They are either going to have an egg-coated turd on their face come Friday or be the smuggest motherfuckers in the room. A million times this. There are big reputations on the line.
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Jun 5, 2017 11:32
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Daveman23 posted:The postal votes that are in at the moment show the Tories with an 11% lead. That is very encouraging if it is the case. Who polled it?
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Jun 5, 2017 13:50
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Halisnacks posted:Could a sufficiently weak Conservative majority, either reduced or only marginally bigger than pre-election, be enough for May's resignation? Or would she need to lose the majority entirely before her stepping down becomes plausible? Less than Cameron means the knives will be out imo. Edit: Even a minor increase from Cameron would be problematic for her.
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Jun 5, 2017 13:51
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Daveman23 posted:One of the election programme staff. If it just tallies then this data is fluff. You can predict a constituency on that if it's done really well across a few polling districts. It just isn't happening for the whole country. In my day we only sent one person to this as it was harder to see on the postal style ballot anyway. Cerv posted:Got toopen the postal votes early to get started in rubbing out the pencil marks TAKE A PEN!
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Jun 5, 2017 14:06
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Pissflaps posted:Corbyn is doing a rally at the safe Labour seat of Gateshead. And was in Edinburgh earlier, also odd. This whole election is odd.
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Jun 5, 2017 20:32
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Gonzo McFee posted:https://twitter.com/sharcoal/status/871681331801067520 I actually think this is quite good. Looks like a human being.
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Jun 5, 2017 20:52
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Pissflaps posted:If you want to win an election then campaigning in marginals is more useful than campaigning in seats you hold with a 15,000 majority. The impact of a leader's visit to a seat is pretty negligible to be honest. A few people will notice but not nearly enough. Usually it's just a pain in the rear end for the campaign team.
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Jun 5, 2017 21:13
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big scary monsters posted:
I am shocked you do not consider this a tasty breakfast.
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Jun 6, 2017 06:39
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Jose posted:BBC are taking the piss a bit Someone should be sacked for that. Include the Saudi stuff or leave it out.
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Jun 6, 2017 10:05
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peanut- posted:http://labour-uncut.co.uk/2017/06/05/polls-labours-surging-non-london-doorstep-its-a-nuclear-winter-for-labour-somethings-got-to-give/ Jose posted:this is grim It is. As many have pointed out these people have an agenda, they say as much in the first line of the article, however before I offer some hope (sorry - lies) can I first state for the record that I don't think Labour are going to win this election and given the looming wall that is Brexit don't necessarily think this is a bad thing. I would love to see a hung parliament although consider a small Tory majority likely. Anyway here are a few things that let this article down. • Polls now have Corbyn and May pretty much neck and neck approval wise by the measure that has been good at predicting elections. This article does not acknowledge that. • The author mentions Labour positives not being straight with the pollsters in protest or for sentimental reasons. This could equally be true of Tory positives who don't like Corbyn but are traditionally Labour then revert to type at the ballot box. In short we may have a new generation of shy Labour supporters. The article does not mention this. • There is no actual data involved in this article unlike the polls where there is lots. The author might have seen some but if so it will be bitty and weak. You do get a feeling on the doorstep but it is affected by your own perspective and as we’ve said there is an agenda. If you had gone out canvassing the night after Nick Clegg won that debate (as I was for the Lib Dems at the time) you would have felt like God’s gift to democracy. Now we have #libdemfightback so we all know how that went. • Electoral register updates are extremely cumbersome to implement. There is no way local parties have all the info on newly registered voters and there is even less way they have sampled all that many. Constituency polling is hard in itself and younger voters are particularly hard to reach. You need years of data to predict outcomes well in any one constituency. Both campaigns are visiting places based on out-of-date information – but it’s the best they can do. • If the Labour surge is contained in London, why have they jumped nine points in Scotland? I’m sure there are other issues too.
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Jun 6, 2017 11:06
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TheRat posted:Back to "This can't possibly be legal, right?" That text has to be there by electoral law. This is a crap leaflet. In London it will backfire.
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Jun 6, 2017 15:22
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OrthoTrot posted:If Labour won with the Labour movement in the state it's in it would be miraculous. Yes. Do not despair comrades Attend to your barricade. 12 years after the Paris uprising there was a new France! In all seriousness though A lot of good has been done in the last few weeks. My political background isn't Labour but I'll be voting for them enthusiastically this time. The manifesto is hardly a work of art however it offers fantastic vision, something that has been lacking for years. People aren't going to be happy with Theres May's Brexit police state. Sometime soon something has got to change. Zalakwe fucked around with this message at 09:05 on Jun 7, 2017 |
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Jun 7, 2017 09:01
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nothing to seehere posted:It all comes down to if the Lib Dems would vote for the same Queens Speech/ Budget as the DUP would, over a Labour government. If they propped up the government for the 2 time in 7 years, a Tory government would continue, otherwise Labour + SNP would probably rule. They don't need to vote for it, just not vote it down. The oppo would basically have the Tories on a leash until they felt like collapsing the Government.
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Jun 7, 2017 15:39
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Gort posted:https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5-JHNOCobFM I'm starting to think this election is about the engaged versus the not engaged. If only we could have cloned him. Everyone he actually meets thinks he's great.
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Jun 7, 2017 19:23
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Serotonin posted:He was a pretty good local mp despite being a lib dem. This was the Lib Dems superpower. Now they don't really have MPs so...Steve Webb is genuinely a lovely bloke) btw. Off to vote Jam with my wife and two proxies in a knife edge marginal. Reasonably confident our MP will continue to.be the sister of a Blue Peter presenter.
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Jun 8, 2017 08:49
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Surprise T Rex posted:I'm torn between hope, hopelessness, and a vague sense of "Well at least the left is on the up!" This. Off to vote Jam in a knife edge marginal. My wife and a proxy coming with me. Think it'll get done here.
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Jun 8, 2017 09:55
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How on earth is this man not going to be Prime Minister? Zalakwe fucked around with this message at 13:57 on Jun 8, 2017 |
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Jun 8, 2017 13:55
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hookerbot 5000 posted:My husband is like that too. He never bothered voting until we got together and now he always asks me who he should vote for before he goes. It's a bit weird and I used to tell him to make his own mind up but then he'd just say party names while staring intently at me so just telling him who I voted for is quicker. I think this is nice. He trusts you. It's not the same thing as forcing him.
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Jun 8, 2017 15:59
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Huge, huge result if true.
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Jun 8, 2017 22:17
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Prince John posted:gently caress, a 7% swing predicted, a 2% swing ocurred. Yeah this is all getting very complicated.
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Jun 8, 2017 23:05
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This is going to be mad, results going everywhere.
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Jun 8, 2017 23:59
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Loving Africa Chaps posted:This would be loving huge And infinitely entertaining.
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Jun 9, 2017 00:21
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Might just eat jam today.
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Jun 9, 2017 06:58
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Gort posted:Let's: We can't sadly because nationalism.
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Jun 9, 2017 10:09
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People are going to get very fed up of still seeing Theresa May very, very quickly. Can I just say this is the best day. All my political experiences until now are comparitively awful.
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Jun 9, 2017 14:20
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What is the quick rebuttal to the 'National spending is like a credit card' crap?
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Jun 9, 2017 14:59
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Cheers all.
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Jun 9, 2017 15:05
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EmptyVessel posted:One of my favourite examples of Discordian wind-up was Robert Anton Wilson sending a Pope card to Ian Paisley Snr. We used to send an old school Labour and Republican friend of ours a picture of one royal or another on his birthday for a giggle. Occasionally we would get it back with a slogan scrawled on it. The papers used to refer to him as 'firebrand socialist' when he was a councillor and his daughter was Corbyn's agent. Sadly he died recently much too young but he would be loving this and I expect still pissed.
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Jun 10, 2017 16:29
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Isn't it Government policy to encourage refurbs like this when they create more flats? Tax breaks and such like. It might just be for commercial property conversions. I remember thinking it was a license to build slums when it was announced. Rare I can't actually watch the news. Heartbreaking stuff.
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Jun 14, 2017 09:05
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The London property market is no where near as string as many in here seem to assume. There are already thousands of high end (in price) properties unsold, to the point some of the being offered with a free Rolls or £250,000 of furniture https://www.pressreader.com/uk/the-daily-telegraph-property/20170603/281505046182021. The centre of the city is gradually hollowing out with demand only growing in the middle and outer boroughs.
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Jun 15, 2017 07:45
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Honestly nearly cannot watch the news, having a young son doesn't help.
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Jun 15, 2017 22:30
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vodkat posted:is there ever a medical reason to go full hollywood diet loony? Can help control some types of diabetes.
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Jun 21, 2017 10:45
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Wistful of Dollars posted:I wonder if Rowson has stopped grinning yet since the Mail's breakdown. Missed this breakdown, could you summarise. There is nothing I hate more than the Daily Mail.
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Jun 22, 2017 16:13
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Cat Machine posted:Rowson posted this cartoon: That's just delightful.
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Jun 22, 2017 16:18
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OwlFancier posted:We'll see if that's backed by action, personally I doubt she'll change party. Having changed allegiance recently after being very involved in the last lot it's a very strange thing to do. A bit like changing football team. A bunch of your mates still play there. Edit: On this day in 2002 I'm sure someone somewhere was eating a tasty sausage at exactly this time.
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Jun 25, 2017 15:23
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