|
Onlookers from the future: it is 2018 and yes, Donald J Trump is actually our president. More than a third of the country is still somehow okay with this.
|
#
¿
Mar 12, 2018 06:22
|
|
|
|
| # ¿ May 19, 2024 13:56 |
|
|
XyrlocShammypants posted:For me the big thing to watch for if Lamb wins are Republican retirements. This. They are already happening faster than the typical "party on a downswing" norm. A Lamb victory has a small but not insignificant chance of promoting a full fail-cascade.
|
|
#
¿
Mar 13, 2018 20:39
|
|
|
The Glumslinger posted:+847 after Allegheny absentee votes So Lamb needs to survive his +847 margin from a total of just over 3000 absentee votes left to calculate from the three red counties tomorrow morning. That means Lamb would have to get less than 25% of the remaining absentee votes, and Lamb has been doing a lot better than that even in those red counties. Things look good for Lamb right now.
|
|
#
¿
Mar 14, 2018 04:08
|
|
|
A whole lot more of this, please.
|
|
#
¿
Mar 14, 2018 04:12
|
|
|
Somebody print out this map and deliver it to Trump.
|
|
#
¿
Mar 14, 2018 05:58
|
|
|
Blind Rasputin posted:What exactly does that map represent? Districts dems have currently flipped/won? It extrapolates tonight's results nationally. There are over 100 districts that are held by republicans which are MORE blue than PA-18 which democrats just won. If we flipped all of those (and not a single district that is more red than PA-18) you would end up with that map. That's not a particularly likely scenario, but the reality it presents showcases just how disastrous continued results like tonight represent for Republicans come november.
|
|
#
¿
Mar 14, 2018 06:04
|
|
|
Jarmak posted:How does the '18 senate midterm map look with every state bluer than PA-18? Going by Trump+20 rather than R+11 you get this:  Nebraska and Tennessee end up being coin tosses just like PA-18 was, we lose North Dakota (likely) and West Virginia (less likely, democrats are favored to win this seat currently), and every other seat turns blue. LegendaryFrog fucked around with this message at 06:13 on Mar 14, 2018 |
|
#
¿
Mar 14, 2018 06:11
|
|
|
canepazzo posted:https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/975350027169206273 With statements like this, it feels like some of his previous handlers have given up on trying to restrain Trump.
|
|
#
¿
Mar 18, 2018 14:06
|
|
|
https://twitter.com/kylegriffin1/status/980794508815237120 https://twitter.com/andrewbeatty/status/980792518496399360 This will play out exactly like everyone expects it will.
|
|
#
¿
Apr 2, 2018 14:22
|
|
|
haveblue posted:This will be denied until he has a major malfunction on live television. Doesn't that already describe every television appearance he has made outside of scripted State of the Union addresses?
|
|
#
¿
Apr 4, 2018 13:23
|
|
|
Cable Guy posted:Uh.. didn't trump use this when he accepted the GOP nomination...? It was actually the song "You can't always get what you want".
|
|
#
¿
Apr 14, 2018 04:18
|
|
|
Cable Guy posted:I'm sure he's used "It's the end of the world as we know it..." Truly the patron saint of lovely internet trolls. http://fortune.com/video/2016/11/09/trump-you-cant-always-get-what-you-want/ Seems like a decade ago at this point.
|
|
#
¿
Apr 14, 2018 06:34
|
|
|
SirPablo posted:https://twitter.com/marcfox10/status/987181323138678784?s=20 I'm happy they made this choice, despite the last minute feint from Gov. Ducey trying to pit teachers against... well... everyone, by promising them a raise but only if paid for by cutting university funding, medicaid, disability, and more. AZ teachers are fired up!
|
|
#
¿
Apr 20, 2018 05:14
|
|
|
The final margin will almost certainly be close to R+6, given the extreme proportion of early ballot votes to Election Day votes in AZ (one of the few things we do right) and how they have historically trended to match party and ID. This is (another) warning shot across the bow for the GOP in November.
|
|
#
¿
Apr 25, 2018 04:13
|
|
|
tecnocrat posted:Chances of Netanyahu dropping a very small bomb on an isolated part of the region and using that as a pretext to get Trump to bomb Iran? 50/50. Israel might not even wait for American intervention before launching their own campaign.
|
|
#
¿
May 8, 2018 19:27
|
|
|
theflyingorc posted:The ONLY thing. We constantly invade Belgium Well, we do have a large military base in Belgium, so technically...
|
|
#
¿
Jun 12, 2018 15:05
|
|
|
Leon Trotsky 2012 posted:I think the President of the United States might not be very smart. Wait, where is this quote from?
|
|
#
¿
Jun 12, 2018 17:12
|
|
|
Nonsense posted:https://twitter.com/RepStevenSmith/status/1011037388779524102 That is not actually a representative. Georgia only has 14 congressional districts.
|
|
#
¿
Jun 25, 2018 01:47
|
|
|
SocketWrench posted:So we got the new price lists for steel at work today. Which industry are you in? I don’t imagine most people outside if the related trades have any idea about the scope of secondary effects the steel and aluminum tariffs will have.
|
|
#
¿
Jul 3, 2018 07:59
|
|
|
Shifty Pony posted:This is McConnell's nightmare. Mitch McConnell called Trump to recommend Kavanaugh, didn't he? Edit: NVM, I was thinking of Kethledge.
|
|
#
¿
Jul 10, 2018 02:43
|
|
|
Groovelord Neato posted:"i need to build electric cars to combat climate change!!" To be fair, he has donated sporadically to politicians all over the spectrum, with more money going to Democrats. This is one of those “rich people things” that seems common, I don’t really get, but probably has something to do with making a few thousand dollar donation each time you meet with (any politican) in the hopes of getting something in return. https://www.opensecrets.org/donor-lookup/results?name=Elon+Musk
|
|
#
¿
Jul 14, 2018 18:14
|
|
|
Drone posted:AZ law requires the governor to pick a replacement from the party that the person they're replacing belonged to at the time of his or her election. I'll register as a republican, and Garcia can nominate me. I'll be the one-term republican senator from Arizona co-sponsoring medicare for all bills. (Meanwhile Kyrsten Sinema, who is likely to take Flake's seat in November, will be the elected democrat supporting 50% of Republican initiatives.)
|
|
#
¿
Jul 19, 2018 18:53
|
|
|
Groovelord Neato posted:redistricting is done at the state level on census years (2020 is next). so we’re likely hosed. it’s a very bad system and the supreme court didn’t help matters. Why would your interpretation be we are hosed based on this? By most accounts, democrats are set up for a very good 2020 election year. We will be running a presidential candidate against Donald Trump after all. 2018 is already looking promising for wrestling back control over state level legislatures, and 2020 looks to follow that trend. For 2018, Democrats are more likely than not to take the house, and have a narrow shot at the a Senate majority (with the latter being far less likely). 2018 is one of the worst senate maps for either party in us history, because of the number of red seats Democrats picked up in 2012. The 2020 senate map is far more favorable, such that even an effective tie in 2018 (leaving the republicans in control) would set us up well for a 2020 majority. LegendaryFrog fucked around with this message at 11:06 on Jul 21, 2018 |
|
#
¿
Jul 21, 2018 11:04
|
|
|
Rigel posted:At this point, we need McCain to live past the first week of January. (Unless the current shitlord residing in the AZ governor's mansion wins re-election in which case it won't matter) The likelihood of that happening with him having given up treatment is pretty close to 0.
|
|
#
¿
Aug 24, 2018 20:37
|
|
|
friendbot2000 posted:What the gently caress IS GOING ON? Every outlet has a conflicting story. Do I lace up my marching boots or not? The answer is always yes.
|
|
#
¿
Sep 24, 2018 16:22
|
|
|
BardoTheConsumer posted:To paraphrase a post in cspam: Blasphemy. My circle of D&D tabletop players are universally far left liberals. Don't burst my bubble!
|
|
#
¿
Sep 30, 2018 09:49
|
|
|
Rigel posted:lol, I'm just going to assume the D+13 generic ballot is a bit of an outlier, but if that actually happened, thats in the range of when gerrymandering begins to backfire and the GOP starts losing more seats than they would have with "fair" maps. Definitely an outlier. CNN tends to give a larger +D advantage. They were the ones that had a poll with Democrats at +18 last December.
|
|
#
¿
Oct 9, 2018 18:34
|
|
|
Just watched a hell of a senate debate between Martha McSalley and Kyrsten Sinema. The last question was about climate change and McSally said, almost verbatum, "I can't believe this is the last question, we should be talking about the Military!" She then went on a rant about how she was responsible for protecting the A-10 warthog (because THAT is more important than climate change...) and then claimed Sinema encouraged people to join the Taliban and was a traitor? Which is... one hell of a claim to slip in there at the end of a debate. This is the same race responsible for this mailer though, so maybe the hyperbole is expected at this point. https://twitter.com/dannowicki/status/1049745285742645248
|
|
#
¿
Oct 16, 2018 03:05
|
|
|
Nonsense posted:Senator McSalley 4 terms. Given the number of progressive colleagues and organizers I have seen pledging to never vote for Sinema because of her pivot to the middle, you are absolutely right. There is a green party candidate at 4% polling to boot.
|
|
#
¿
Oct 16, 2018 03:09
|
|
|
Office Pig posted:Didn't Sinema go all in on the GOP tax plan with *tweaks*? That seems like it would be campaign suicide all on its lonesome. Oh yeah, Sinema is a trash candidate (despite conventional wisdom) that is throwing away her entire base vote because of how STRONGLY she pivoted to the middle the moment she stepped foot into congress. I'm from her district, which is one of the most liberal in Arizona (a good chunk of it is students), and yet she has the second most conservative voting record of ANY democrat in the house, because she has been preparing for a Senate or Governor race all along. She is doing a poo poo job at appearing as anything other than a republican with a D next to her name, and I share frustration between both her and "purity voters" that will cost us the senate seat in equal measure.
|
|
#
¿
Oct 16, 2018 03:17
|
|
|
bilperkins2 posted:https://twitter.com/kylegriffin1/status/1053421810744586240 I want to believe.
|
|
#
¿
Oct 20, 2018 00:21
|
|
|
Spiritus Nox posted:Would I be right in assuming he governed like an R, ala Murkowski? He was actually pretty moderate.
|
|
#
¿
Oct 20, 2018 00:23
|
|
|
publishko posted:holy poo poo. i used to go to this Kroger regularly Same. Crazy news day already, and I just got back from lunch.
|
|
#
¿
Oct 24, 2018 21:57
|
|
|
|
| # ¿ May 19, 2024 13:56 |
|
|
JasonV posted:The system is broken: The effort by APS (AZ energy company) against Arizona's Clean Energy proposition is equally brazen and absurd. Our (very conservative) Attorney General was forced to file suit against several AZ counties and towns for violating the law because they used tax dollars to fund town/county initiatives campaigning against prop 127. They actually used public money to campaign people to vote a certain way. This is glaringly obviously illegal such that even a friendly to the concept AG can't ignore it. However, it contains a light enough penalty ($5,000) that these elected officials don't remotely care and see it as worth while to intentionally break the law to try to get prop 127 voted down. Here is a quote from an APS representative gloating about that fact. "Matthew Benson, a spokesman working for APS' parent company to fight Prop. 127, said that if the communities violated the law, it was not a big deal, and he said Clark made the complaint to help pass the clean-energy measure. "This complaint on the part of Yes on 127 surrogates is an attempt to punish local leaders who spoke out against Prop. 127," Benson said. "It’s not going to amount to anything, I suspect. At most, perhaps the state will assess a de minimis fine for a de minimis violation. That’d be fitting." https://www.azcentral.com/story/new...paign=speakable
|
|
#
¿
Oct 26, 2018 22:37
|
|